Fancies For Today III

bassy · 31-08-2019 8:07pm

zimmermania wrote: »

zimmermania wrote: »

No joy yesterday though one selection was punted from 14 to 4s and Guildsman was given too much to do but got 3rd as a consolation.

TIS MARVELLOUS has a good chance in the listed sprint at 3.15 Beverley and should have Danzeno to beat.

Best bet for me today is PICKETTS CHARGE ew at 6s in the well contested handicap at 4.25 Beverley,in top form,likes the ground and with Ollivander likely to set a good pace the race could be set up for strong finishing PICKETTS CHARGE who has the cheekpieces back on.

Sezim from the Varian yard could be the danger.

Only other bet today is FIRMAMENT ew 18/1 in the 7.15 Chelmsford.OMeara runs 3 in this with chances but the Cieren Fallon,claiming 5 might just work the oracle and get old FIRMAMENT home in front,the horse may be better on turf but at the price is worth a little ew.

Tis Marvellous got himself boxed in but would probably not have won,Picketts placed at 8s and i am wondering if anyone knows if PP or Bar- One were going 5 places in the shops in the 7 .15 Chelmsford.

PP shops only 4 places

zimmermania · 03-09-2019 12:16am

IBALLISTICVIN is the best bet tomorrow for me in the 8.45 Kempton,the horse has been running ok on turf but has not been able to get his head in front.

He has not won since october 2017 when he won a class 5 handicap over one mile three furlongs at Kempton off a mark of 65 (runs off 54 tomorrow ).Kempton seems to suit him as his racing record there reads 2nd off 50= 1st off 54-6th off 65 (beaten 4 1/2 )-2nd off 65 and most recent run 1st off 65.

Gary Moore should have him ready for this class 6 and i have backed him ew at 5s ew 4 places PP.

JABALALY in the 7.15 at Kempton ib one i have backed at 12/1 ew 4 places.It is hard to believe that he is still a maiden given that he was a close 2nd to Space Traveller first time out and that horse is now rated 114.

The gelding was disappointing last time but has been well backed and ran well on a couple of occasions,lightly raced i would not write him off and he gets on well with Dane Oneill who rides tomorrow.Ed Dunlop gave him a favourable mention in mondays Racing Post and despite top weight i think he is worth a bet ew.

4068ac1elhodqr · 03-09-2019 1:54pm

bassy wrote: »

PP shops only 4 places

Only Sky&Unibet had the 5 (with BP@21), always worth cross-checking abd whoring about for those extra place(s)

4068ac1elhodqr · 03-09-2019 1:55pm

Here's an interesting offer (PP): 34.0 for all of today's Goodwood to be won by 1L+.

zimmermania · 03-09-2019 3:18pm

Cohen Quiet Kite wrote: »

Only Sky&Unibet had the 5 (with BP@21), always worth cross-checking abd whoring about for those extra place(s)

Makes all the difference.

zimmermania · 04-09-2019 1:09pm

Tadleel 8.15 Kempton is an ew bet stepped back up to a mile tonight and may be value at around 10 ew.
Harbour Vision only wins here and if Oisin Murphy can get the horse to do its best could be a danger but a jade is a jade and cannot be trusted.

zimmermania · 04-09-2019 2:32pm

The 3.35 at Gowran is probably the best maiden run this year and it should pay to hAve a bet on Agitate 9 to 2 and 5 to 2 without the Ascot placed Royal Dornoch.

Chancer3001 · 05-09-2019 8:15am

Probabaly pointless posting at the price but junooh is 4/6 in the 7.40.

Have him in the tracker. Ran well despite finishing 5th before. Price seems strangely short from that form so I'm going to treble him with italy and germany u21s for 6/4.

(If the horse loses, it'll be up there with the poorest fancy posted!)

CH3OH · 05-09-2019 8:28pm

Chancer3001 wrote: »

Probabaly pointless posting at the price but junooh is 4/6 in the 7.40.

No criticism intended as I backed it as well. But someone knew as there was a big drift just before the off evens to 15/8 with a lot of money looking to lay the horse.
Shows how hard it is to pick them

Prince rock in the last to recoup losses
Looked very unlucky in its last run at Lingfield when met traffic and got going again to get third. Hoping with a clear run it can get a win

Chancer3001 · 05-09-2019 9:07pm

100% people there knew what was up.

I obviously didn't. Horse drifted 4/6 to 2s. Other horse goes off odds on.

Of course the 2 soccer teams won handy.

Apologies to anyone who followed.

TheOracle999 · 05-09-2019 10:40pm

Danzan (2:55 Haydock)

looks a bet to nothing tomorrow, should place at least. Has had 2 good runs this summer and looks well in at the weights. Pp going 4places. Currently 9/2

zimmermania · 06-09-2019 1:30am

Not so sure i should i should be posting this here but as we are all consenting adults i will.

One of the guys involved with Manolith texted that BREATH CAUGHT was worth an ew punt in the 5.15 at Ascot.I will not even look at the race until the morning but on his say so i stuck a score ew at 13/2 for an interest and will have a closer look at the race in the morning.5.15 Ascot.

zimmermania · 06-09-2019 11:02am

ISOMER is very well handicapped in the 5.40 at Kempton and should be fav as far as i am concerned to beat Kheros,

The horse has been tried over further than a mile on several occasions but a mile is his best trip and with the very good William Carver on board is a good bet at 5/2.

The 2.55 at Haydock is unusual in that its a claiming handicap and trainers can get horses in below their current mark,with the ground gone soft there may be a bit of value to be found by backing HYPERFOCUS near the top of the weights and UNABATED at the bottom.
Four places available here and a few quid ew both might pay off as a few in this race are better on good ground.

In the 3.30 at Haydock SHOW PALACE at 14/1 is worth a little ew on ground that suits and that price may underestimate the chance of the horse on ground that suits.

Tomw86 · 06-09-2019 3:49pm

Value to be had in this 3.50 race at Newcastle.

I think Noble Dawn looks the most appealing Newcomer at the price of 25/1 and Pianist could well improve significantly at a price of 10/1. fav is 1/3 so either these each way or w/o fav.

zimmermania · 07-09-2019 1:25am

The Cunard handicap at 2.45 Ascot over 7 furlongs is a competitive handicap and 5 places are available with PP online and hopefully some firm will pay 5 in the shops as well.

SPANISH CITY has been running well in the big handicaps and is closely matched with a few of these.Ripp Orf won it last year and will be hard to beat again on only one pound higher.

SPANISH CITY is one that might beat him however with the useful claim of Marco Ghiani who look to have a very bright future and has a strike rate of 15% this year and seems a tidy rider.It is not like Varian to put up 7lb claimers and he must feel the claim will tip the balance in favour of his horse SPANISH CITY.

I have backed it ew 5 places at 9/1.

Varian also runs SALAYEL in the 3.20 Ascot and the filly is only having her third run for him having been racing with some credit in Dubai.Beaten a head first time out for Varian she ran a fine race when 4th of 19 btn 3/4 of a length in a class 2 handicap at York.
Stepped up a furlong which will suit the filly,SALAYEL is a very good bet.

SHARJA BRIDGE started the season very well and was then a bit disappointing on ground that might have been too firm for him but they were two Group 1s and this is much easier and the gelding may make it a good day for Varian,Atzeni goes to Haydock primarily to ride this one and the hint should be taken.
On second thoughts Sharja Bridge is too risky and i will NOT be backing it today but will be of interest next time hopefully.

FOREVER IN DREAMS is worth a little ew in the big sprint at 4.10 Haydock,this is won by 3 year olds nowdays and the lightly raced filly is a decent price ew at 12/1 or higher.She likes the course and goes on the ground and would vappear to have been kept for this race.

The under-rated Billy Lee does little wrong and this filly might be under the radar.

For those who like a plot RESHOUN would seem to have been laid out for the 3.35 at Haydock,a race he won last year.His trainer likes to lay one out and the horse is only 2 lbs higher than when winning this last year and that appears to be the plan again as the horse has been running over wrong trips etc.

zimmermania · 07-09-2019 12:50pm

Having decided not to back Sharja Bridge who may need the run I backed Raising Sand ew at 4some money back if 2nd to the fav as the horse will like the ground 2.25 Haydock.I backed the 4 horses mentioned above leaving out Reshoun in an ew yankee as well as in ew singles and put a score ew on him at 6s and hoping for a good day.

Chancer3001 · 07-09-2019 1:31pm

Backed two today just for interest

1.50 elydian flame 8/1 money back if 2md or 3rd

And the so far underachieving fairyland gets Moore on board. Seems friendless in the market at 14/1 but having a shot ew with 4 places

munster87 · 07-09-2019 1:57pm

Two at Navan today, small each way bets.
Attack at Dawn 4:05, 15/2 5 places with Paddy
Alice Milligan 4:40, 11/2 5 places with Paddy as well.

munster87 · 07-09-2019 7:49pm

munster87 wrote: »

Two at Navan today, small each way bets.
Attack at Dawn 4:05, 15/2 5 places with Paddy
Alice Milligan 4:40, 11/2 5 places with Paddy as well.

Didn’t get a chance to follow any racing today, I see Attack at Dawn was nowhere and Alice Milligan beaten a head into second.

zimmermania · 08-09-2019 1:37pm

The 2.55 at York is the best race today,a class1 listed race and Dakota Gold is a very short price as he tries for 4 on the bounce and while the gelding is in very good form i have a feeling he might be best at 5 furlongs and on ground with a bit of give.
The next two in the betting,Marnie and Perfection are also fairly useful and will expose any chinks in Dakota Gold's armour.

However i backed DANZENO at 15/2 ew to do the biz,beaten a length and a half in a similar listed race at Beverly over 5 furlongs lto,DANZENO was running on at the finish and before that was beaten a short head and a nose over 5 furlongs in the Shergar Dash at Ascot again staying on really well.

He beat Enjazzat and Summerghand at level weights at Haydock in his previous race and before that was an exceelent 3rd in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot over 6 furlongs with some very good horses inc Raucous,Summerghand,Gunmetal,Perfection,Lake Volta and 20 more behind.

If there is any kind of a decent gallop today i believe DANZENO will win and at the price is very good ew value on ground he likes.

zimmermania · 09-09-2019 1:06am

FRECKLES has a very good chance of winning the 3.50 at Brighton,an easy winner last time when beating Arctic Sea over 10 furlongs at Chepstow but had an even better run on soft over 9 furlongs when going down by a short head to Kheros after a ding dong battle all the way up the straight.

I tipped Isomer in that race who lost all chance when badly missing the break,Kheros has come out since and won by 6 lengths so the form has some substance to it and i believe FRECKLES will win again and can be backed at 3/1.

bassy · 09-09-2019 1:08am

zimmermania wrote: »

FRECKLES

????

votecounts · 09-09-2019 1:09am

It's in the brighton 1550 afaik

realdanbreen · 09-09-2019 9:02am

votecounts wrote: »

It's in the brighton 1550 afaik

10/3

zimmermania · 09-09-2019 1:55pm

Freckles is a bigger price than I thought he would be and with exactly 8 runners is an ew bet.l

zimmermania · 12-09-2019 1:01am

GRACEFUL MAGIC looks a good bet in the fillies nursery at 2.10 Doncaster,the 6 and a half furlong trip should be perfect for the filly whose trainer also has Special Secret ridden by Ryan Moore in the race.

GRACEFUL MAGIC looks a progessive filly to me and she can improve again to take the £31,500 on offer,she was staying on well when hampered in two recent runs and can get her head in front now.9/2 available and she might well drift in the morning.4 places in a few bookies and i will back it ew.

zimmermania · 12-09-2019 10:24am

Four year olds win the 2.40 Doncaster nowdays and it is hard to see ENBIHAAR beaten,lightly raced the filly has got better with each run and Gosden is sure to have her spot on for this,5/4 wont make us rich but she looks the best horse in the race.

Delphinia trained by Aiden Obrien could be placed at around 8/1.

The 4.20,a lady riders handicap (the final of a series already won by Megan Nicholls) is a real good race from a betting point of view and the books go 6/1 the field.
ATHOLLBLAIR BOY is the type of horse i would love to own,a genuine handicapper who loves to come from behind and nearly always finishes strongly.

Would probably prefer an extra furlong but has won several races over 6 and they are bound to off fast in this,Izzy Clifton gets on well with the horse and her 7 lb claim will help.Will need luck in running and gaps to open but ew at 10/1 - 12/1 looks the value to me.It is a slight worry that he has not run for a couple of months but could have been kept for this and has run well after a longer layoff so a reasonable ew bet for me and i am hoping to see him come with a strong run late on.

pearcider · 12-09-2019 4:27pm

Thought we had the treble there but not to be. Great picks anyway.

bassy · 12-09-2019 4:36pm

zimmermania wrote: »

Four year olds win the 2.40 Doncaster nowdays and it is hard to see ENBIHAAR beaten,lightly raced the filly has got better with each run and Gosden is sure to have her spot on for this,5/4 wont make us rich but she looks the best horse in the race.

Delphinia trained by Aiden Obrien could be placed at around 8/1.

The 4.20,a lady riders handicap (the final of a series already won by Megan Nicholls) is a real good race from a betting point of view and the books go 6/1 the field.
ATHOLLBLAIR BOY is the type of horse i would love to own,a genuine handicapper who loves to come from behind and nearly always finishes strongly.

Would probably prefer an extra furlong but has won several races over 6 and they are bound to off fast in this,Izzy Clifton gets on well with the horse and her 7 lb claim will help.Will need luck in running and gaps to open but ew at 10/1 - 12/1 looks the value to me.It is a slight worry that he has not run for a couple of months but could have been kept for this and has run well after a longer layoff so a reasonable ew bet for me and i am hoping to see him come with a strong run late on.

Ye correct on the extra furlong would have won over 7 furlongs.good stuff zimmer

zimmermania · 13-09-2019 12:24pm

Mot Juste is very good value 8 to1 4 places 2.10 Molatham 4.20 should win and Talap 4.55.No write up today but these should be backed all at Don.

zimmermania · 14-09-2019 1:55am

A few horses that may be of interest in the big saturday handicaps.
1.50 Doncaster A MOMENTOFMADNESS won this last year and is probably laid out for it again this year.ARECEBO is running well and still has more to offer but is drawn badly and MUSCIKA also drawn badly was 5th in this race last year and may be worth a small ew 6 places.

The 3.15 Chelmsford FIRMAMENT and HABUB are two in top form and very likely to be involved again.

Musselburgh 6.15 PICKETTS CHARGE is running very well and should figure at 10/1.

BRONZE RIVER 3.10 Bath beat Overpricedmixer by a head when they last met at Kempton,Bronze River was having his first run that day and will be much sharper now and at11/8 PP is a very strong bet with an excellent claimer on board.
The same jockey rides JUMIRA BRIDGE who should win the 5 furlong handicap at 3.45 without much fuss at the generous price of 11/4.

This horses last two runs almost make him a "good thing" here.

zimmermania · 14-09-2019 10:16pm

A couple of big priced placed horses but I must have been the only one who did not know Jumira Bridge was not too busy today.

bassy · 14-09-2019 10:18pm

zimmermania wrote: »

A couple of big priced placed horses but I must have been the only one who did not know Jumira Bridge was not too busy today.

what happened pickkets charge.

Chancer3001 · 15-09-2019 2:40pm

Tipped up fairyland 2 or 3 times. Never hit his potential.

Today I said I wouldn't put him up here or id be shot.

Of course he wins at 12s....

bassy · 15-09-2019 4:08pm

Chancer3001 wrote: »

Tipped up fairyland 2 or 3 times. Never hit his potential.

Today I said I wouldn't put him up here or id be shot.

Of course he wins at 12s....

You should have stuck him up m8.

bassy · 15-09-2019 4:28pm

Charlie D 3/1 4.30 bath late word.win

Sorry for the late word i only got word 5 mins before race.hope some got on at 9/2

zimmermania · 15-09-2019 4:35pm

SALTONSTALL is one i backed recently when beaten.Stepped up to 10 furlongs might suit today as he finished very well last time at the Curragh when not getting the best of runs.

Has a good claimer on board and if getting the trip has a decent chance in the 6 oc Curragh around 15/2.

zimmermania · 16-09-2019 12:42pm

Prince Rock 8 oc Kempton is knocking on the door the apprentice on board seems useful and has ridden the horse before ew at 5 to 1 seems OK.

zimmermania · 17-09-2019 9:36am

zimmermania wrote: »

Four year olds win the 2.40 Doncaster nowdays and it is hard to see ENBIHAAR beaten,lightly raced the filly has got better with each run and Gosden is sure to have her spot on for this,5/4 wont make us rich but she looks the best horse in the race.

Delphinia trained by Aiden Obrien could be placed at around 8/1.

The 4.20,a lady riders handicap (the final of a series already won by Megan Nicholls) is a real good race from a betting point of view and the books go 6/1 the field.
ATHOLLBLAIR BOY is the type of horse i would love to own,a genuine handicapper who loves to come from behind and nearly always finishes strongly.

Would probably prefer an extra furlong but has won several races over 6 and they are bound to off fast in this,Izzy Clifton gets on well with the horse and her 7 lb claim will help.Will need luck in running and gaps to open but ew at 10/1 - 12/1 looks the value to me.It is a slight worry that he has not run for a couple of months but could have been kept for this and has run well after a longer layoff so a reasonable ew bet for me and i am hoping to see him come with a strong run late on.

ATHOLLBLAIR BOY went very close 5 days ago at a big price and should make no mistake today in the 3.oc Redcar at 6/4.

zimmermania · 17-09-2019 10:19am

THREE COMETS may wind up the outsider of three in the 3.10 at Yarmouth but could still win as he appears to be coming into form.

zimmermania · 17-09-2019 1:29pm

Rotherwick 2.20 Chepstow has cost me a few quid when seeming to need a longer trip.Goes over a mile and a half today and should be value ew.Gleefull in the 4.20 is a Varian cast off and Omeara does so well with this type that it should be backed to win the 4.20.

BorneTobyWilde · 17-09-2019 4:03pm

Zander I like in 4.45
7-1 ew.
It has faced some decent types in it's 10 only races. I think here he has a decent chance on a good weight.

BorneTobyWilde · 17-09-2019 4:09pm

Stormy Tale at 10-1 in 5.15 with 5 places is great.
I think it can win this contest.

bassy · 17-09-2019 5:56pm

Our dave 9/2 EW Newcastle 8pm pp paying 4 places

Luap · 18-09-2019 10:30am

zimmermania wrote: »

ATHOLLBLAIR BOY went very close 5 days ago at a big price and should make no mistake today in the 3.oc Redcar at 6/4.

Better ride and it would of hosed up.

Luap · 18-09-2019 11:42am

Calippo in the first at Beverley - encouraging run last week and has had a few seconds previous. Today looks to be his day to score.

Max win bet - currently 11/8 hoping it might drift more before the off.

BorneTobyWilde · 18-09-2019 2:09pm

Joupe 2.50 14-1 ew, Has finished ahead of Dolce Sicily and Cobb And Co previously, and this drop back to 6f is another bonus. The low draw a problem at Nass though.
&
Kenshibu 14-1 ew 5 places
Ran two decent races lately, can get off mark here or go grab a place

Two I fancy today.

realdanbreen · 19-09-2019 12:09pm

Long shot with a chance today, Sioux Frontier 20-1 Ayr 5.00

bassy · 19-09-2019 12:51pm

realdanbreen wrote: »

Long shot with a chance today, Sioux Frontier 20-1 Ayr 5.00

I like remember rocky 20/1 ew and myklachi with tudhorpe on board 15/2 ew in this race 5.00pm ayr

BorneTobyWilde · 19-09-2019 4:10pm

Jesse Allan 28-1 4.30

I like this ew, 5 places

Fancies For Today III

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