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Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

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    #662
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Clear and frosty in Dublin 5.


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    #663
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Today/tonight's weather is associated with Storm Etienne.

    Named by the Portuguese met service. More a rain rather than wind 'event' for us. Rain arriving on the south coast now.


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    #664
    Edward M
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,837 ✭✭✭Edward M


    Lovely white frosty morning here in South Cavan, festive looking with a bright tail of the moon and bright stars showing.


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    #665
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,677 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    White frosty day in Cork City. Really feels like winter suddenly, can see all the steam from buildings etc. lovely


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    #666
    Loughc
    Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 24,731 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Such a lovely frosty Winter morning this morning.

    Could have gotten used to it, I check the weather app to check on local temps and even at 8.30am some places were showing -1.

    And then the weather app spoils it all by showing rain until Sunday and temps rising to 13 degrees. :(


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    #667
    Kutebride
    Registered Users Posts: 1,096 ✭✭✭Kutebride


    Still white outside. Lovely n fresh with the cooler temps......very overcast. No blue skies. Boo.


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    #668
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    These are just my thoughts on how the winter will pan out - I will probably be very much off the mark if the Stratosphere doesn't play ball.

    Atlantic driven weather until mid December before high pressure takes control, gradually cooling off and dry settled weather setting in- then our First notable cold blast to hit in the last week to 10 days of December as wave activity in the strat really starts throwing punches- a displaced vortex present.
    A slight relaxing of the cold into early Jauary before a Stratospheric warming led and more intense cold spell grips the country from Mid-ish January. Gradually phasing out from mid february as spring starts to emerge.

    As a precursor to the cold spell in Jan I'm expecting a very deep cold pool to move into the near continent around new year and for it to eventually spill our direction by mid Jan.

    The combination of very low solar activity , the current enso state as well as the already and soon to be more distressed vortex also almost all the long range models indicating cold leads me to this conclusion. December and Feb to be months of two contrasting halfs. January to be the coldest month.

    I will revise this in a few weeks if the Strat events don't appear to be unfolding as currently indicated.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/1069573352841465856?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1069573352841465856&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.netweather.tv%2Fforum%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcore%26module%3Dsystem%26controller%3Dembed%26url%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fjhomenuk%2Fstatus%2F1069573352841465856


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    #669
    derekon
    Registered Users Posts: 836 ✭✭✭derekon


    BLIZZARD7 wrote: »
    These are just my thoughts on how the winter will pan out - I will probably be very much off the mark if the Stratosphere doesn't play ball.

    Atlantic driven weather until mid December before high pressure takes control, gradually cooling off and dry settled weather setting in- then our First notable cold blast to hit in the last week to 10 days of December as wave activity in the strat really starts throwing punches- a displaced vortex present.
    A slight relaxing of the cold into early Jauary before a Stratospheric warming led and more intense cold spell grips the country from Mid-ish January. Gradually phasing out from mid february as spring starts to emerge.

    As a precursor to the cold spell in Jan I'm expecting a very deep cold pool to move into the near continent around new year and for it to eventually spill our direction by mid Jan.

    The combination of very low solar activity , the current enso state as well as the already and soon to be more distressed vortex also almost all the long range models indicating cold leads me to this conclusion. December and Feb to be months of two contrasting halfs. January to be the coldest month.

    I will revise this in a few weeks if the Strat events don't appear to be unfolding as currently indicated.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/1069573352841465856?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1069573352841465856&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.netweather.tv%2Fforum%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcore%26module%3Dsystem%26controller%3Dembed%26url%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fjhomenuk%2Fstatus%2F1069573352841465856

    As a confirmed coldie, I like that forecast!! Thanks for your thoughts Blizzard7

    D


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    #670
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,677 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    White frost remained in the roofs until 12 here in cork city but it’s not raining and also bitterly cold st the same tome. Eugh


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    #671
    Snowbiee21
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    Really entriging charts over on net weather , im sure the experienced guys here can back this


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    #672
    Clonmel1000
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    Horrible evening. Wet cold dark terrible commute home.


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    #673
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,727 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    If it was 2C colder here the rain would be snow.
    Currently 3.1C.


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    #674
    Snowbiee21
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    Another solid run from ECM


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    #675
    Reckless Abandonment
    Registered Users Posts: 1,493 ✭✭✭Reckless Abandonment


    Dad has opened the cookie jar..
    343qivo.png


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    #676
    Snowbiee21
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    A Kermit de frog post incoming


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    #677
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Still mediocre upper air making our way in these latest model run. So treat the current evolution as building blocks to the main event further down the road.


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    #678
    Reckless Abandonment
    Registered Users Posts: 1,493 ✭✭✭Reckless Abandonment


    Mount Vesuvius wrote: »
    Still mediocre upper air making our way in these latest model run. So treat the current evolution as building blocks to the main event further down the road.

    -6/7 uppers could produce the goods sst are still high enough to make it happen ...but but but its all fi at the moment so not point in getting to hung up on the details just yet.


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    #679
    MidMan25
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,027 ✭✭✭MidMan25


    I'll just be glad for a bit of settled weather, cold without snow is also really welcome, as long as it's dry :)


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    #680
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Reckless Abandonment wrote: »
    -6/7 uppers could produce the goods sst are still high enough to make it happen ...but but but its all fi at the moment so not point in getting to hung up on the details just yet.

    Don't want people getting too excited that's all.
    As uppers would need to be minus 8 otherwise a wintry mess would be the result below 100 metres especially as you point out sea temperatures relatively high but also the continent is still warm. Anyway it's ages away and I just wanted to say yes the charts look great but nothing too exciting yet as no deep cold .


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    #681
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,637 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Mount Vesuvius wrote: »
    Don't want people getting too excited that's all.
    As uppers would need to be minus 8 otherwise a wintry mess would be the result below 100 metres especially as you point out sea temperatures relatively high but also the continent is still warm. .

    It doesn't take long for the continent to cool down at this time of year, but i think this will a brief affair of colder and drier weather, with the Atlantic taking over again for a short period before something more notable at the end of month, and then the main event, hopefully, sometime in January, if the SSW predicted by the uk met model comes off.


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    #682
    Artane2002
    Registered Users Posts: 1,984 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    I know this is Ireland but rain every single day in Dublin for God knows how long is borderline ridiculous, even by our standards. It was fine up to now in fairness though.


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    #683
    Loughc
    Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 24,731 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Snowbiee21 wrote: »
    A Kermit de frog post incoming

    I love his posts. :D

    Bring on the frog!!


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    #684
    Loughc
    Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 24,731 Mod ✭✭✭✭Loughc


    Artane2002 wrote: »
    I know this is Ireland but rain every single day in Dublin for God knows how long is borderline ridiculous, even by our standards. It was fine up to now in fairness though.

    It’s unreal isn’t it. I hate hate hate the rain.


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    #685
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,677 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Heavy rain in cork city since about 2pm. Ugh


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    #686
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users Posts: 11,880 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    Dark, grey, cold but at least it was dry, in meath today.


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    #687
    kerrycork13
    Registered Users Posts: 241 ✭✭kerrycork13


    Can’t understand why Kerry didn’t receive a rainfall warning today?? We’ve had more rain here today than some of the orange rainfall warnings we got in the last month or so?? Cork Kerry border east kerry


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    #688
    jirafa
    Registered Users Posts: 2,352 ✭✭✭jirafa


    Jack Frost was out and about last night in Cobh[, and was still hanging around at 11 am this morning,,,well gone now of course, as the rain sent him packing for a while again.

    47489907_10217029274539048_7396700601662308352_n.jpg?_nc_cat=105&_nc_eui2=AeFGKTfUwr7eEp5oaFP1y8ubnIfkQDcX5H_rW9_4oG5SoGx5425S0krcEIaD3sAxVNn4t2cnE4-DKAcY7ksmdbUPvh7tbbZXS0Rz3YkWGhFTpQ&_nc_ht=scontent.fdub5-1.fna&oh=11c2ebf64d38320371c9c8afb921db60&oe=5CA407CA

    47681185_10217029274819055_8939662852516478976_o.jpg?_nc_cat=109&_nc_eui2=AeFQU8BLfQCOqAO0hCgV-dm74MF2PTKZDRbim-FFrvPiFZwHGBHZySbCfwnUkAITrIpJzKbNS11puEGNy_qiKSl5PegLHqeOwvAqmhN4HFxWgQ&_nc_ht=scontent.fdub5-1.fna&oh=f0d8699f3907950f1706d6c47ba04c0d&oe=5CAC4F4B


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    #689
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Drove up from Cork this evening, rain turned to sleet around Urlingford. I'd say there was snow above 350m-400m for a time before temps rose from around 3c to 4c.


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    #690
    igCorcaigh
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,078 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    SleetAndSnow wrote: »
    Heavy rain in cork city since about 2pm. Ugh

    And still raining. Fair few big puddles in town, but the river is low.


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    #691
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,677 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    And still raining. Fair few big puddles in town, but the river is low.

    Bottom of sarsfields road is flooded, after all the money they put into the roundabout. They never clear the drains and now this is what happens. Wont be good in the morning.


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