Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

Loughc

Andrew00 wrote: »

You can GFS all you want, it’ll still be dirty rain and wind from the Atlantic

This sadly seems to be the case, there's nothing worse than a wet, windy and mild winter.

Outlook for the next two weeks looks horrendous.

Captain Snow

Potential for some Wet Hill Snow in the North West/East into Late Monday night into tuesday.

Reckless Abandonment

"Wet hill snow"... That's like been offered non alcoholic beer ..

derekon

Loughc wrote: »

This sadly seems to be the case, there's nothing worse than a wet, windy and mild winter.

Outlook for the next two weeks looks horrendous.

Mmmm not sure where you are getting that from - looks settled , cold and dry from Saturday onwards (once that wind event goes through on Friday). The medium term signals for the period thereafter are middle of the road, finely balanced (according to my friends over on Netweather). A wee bit of patience required.

Finally I think MT mentioned on his preliminary Winter forecast that it won't really turn cold until around mid December, which is a fortnight away!!

D

Meursault

Hi All, when was the last white christmas in Ireland? was it 2010?

DOCARCH

Meursault wrote: »

Hi All, when was the last white christmas in Ireland? was it 2010?

Technically 2004 (I think), for Dublin at least.

Technically 2010 was not a white Christmas as snow did not fall that day (although most places still had blankets of snow!).

Calibos

DOCARCH wrote: »

Technically 2004 (I think), for Dublin at least.

Technically 2010 was not a white Christmas as snow did not fall that day (although most places still had blankets of snow!).

IIRC, the bookies still paid out.

Meursault

Calibos wrote: »

IIRC, the bookies still paid out.

Thanks guys. Do you mean they paid out for 2010?

Captain Snow

Possible Winter Storm this Friday. Such a steep temperature contrast throught out a lot of the GFS runs. Possible Stormy December. The whole run continues with the same story.





Gavs Latest

vistafinder

Nice sunny day in West Cork today got one light shower with a nice rainbow on show and nice crisp and clear at sunset while walking the dog.

Perfect winter day

Artane2002

A sunny day in Dublin today. It hasn't rained all day, what a miracle!!

Gonzo

Artane2002 wrote: »

A sunny day in Dublin today. It hasn't rained all day, what a miracle!!

probably the driest and sunniest day we've had since October. The ground here is still soaking tho, but it was great to get a dry day with some sunshine.

snowstorm445

Latest ECM highlights a big issue with any potential cold spells re Ireland. The block runs up against systems from the Atlantic and leaves us in the mild side. Can go either way at this stage but something worth bearing in mind.

I’d always take a retrogressive Greenland/Icelandic high over a Scandinavian high if possible, it more or less shuts out mild Atlantic air and keeps Atlantic weather systems at bay. The latter is much more hit and miss for us, like what happened in February 2012.

nacho libre

snowstorm445 wrote: »

I’d always take a retrogressive Greenland/Icelandic high over a Scandinavian high if possible, it more or less shuts out mild Atlantic air and keeps Atlantic weather systems at bay. The latter is much more hit and miss for us, like what happened in February 2012.

We may well have to wait till the second or third week of January for that, as there are indications a strat warming event may take place towards the end of this month, which could split the vortex. As you say anything before that may just be skirmishes with deep cold, before we get in on the action.

Artane2002

snowstorm445 wrote: »

Latest ECM highlights a big issue with any potential cold spells re Ireland. The block runs up against systems from the Atlantic and leaves us in the mild side. Can go either way at this stage but something worth bearing in mind.

I’d always take a retrogressive Greenland/Icelandic high over a Scandinavian high if possible, it more or less shuts out mild Atlantic air and keeps Atlantic weather systems at bay. The latter is much more hit and miss for us, like what happened in February 2012.

Well the ECM is showing a battleground situation with widespread sleet and snow over Ireland/Northern Ireland towards the end so I guess that's something for the lucky people to look forward to if it comes off.

MidMan25

Winter in here seems to be.....

Late Autumn loads of optimism/gloom about what's to come for the season ahead.

Early Dec, whole months of winter being written off.

nacho libre

Was it M. T Cranium that suggested the east coast of USA would warm up towards mid- month? That would be a good sign if it happens. One prediction i feel safe in making is if the ECM in its next run starts to back the latest GFS, there will be a meltdown over on Netweather:D
The ECM, while it may be the most accurate model overall, has form in this regard.

squarecircles

Surprised nobody's mentioned this evenings ECM, gusts of up to 150kmh in west/northwest for friday
If this evolved as it's being shown,Gfs 12z also had a severe windstorm just to the north of Donegal bay

Captain Snow

https://www.bbc.com/weather/features/46434800

Darren Bett ramping away towards the end of his forecast....;)




:eek:

Loughc

Artane2002 wrote: »

A sunny day in Dublin today. It hasn't rained all day, what a miracle!!

Sadly not true. It was raining at 7.30am in north Dublin this morning. It stopped 15mins later thankfully.

Kermit.de.frog

Snowbiee21

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

The pub run doing pub run type things

NMB

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

The pub run doing pub run type things

Yep but all the models seem to be agreeing

Snowbiee21

NMB wrote: »

Yep but all the models seem to be agreeing

Another day or two of solid agreement and we go from there

NMB

I’m waiting for nachos snow dance

nacho libre

NMB wrote: »

I’m waiting for nachos snow dance

here you go:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoPi1z7D_Xs

now we just have to wait for the snow...:D

SleetAndSnow

Frost on the cars here now in cork city. Getting cold! Saw some gritters driving past my house earlier.

Meteorite58

1.5C here near Tralee calm and clear sky. Ice forming on the cars.

leahyl

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

If something like that were to come off would it mean widespread snow or just an east coast event? Always fairly biased towards the east on this forum lol - Cork will probably end up basking in 15 degrees

Meteorite58

NATIONAL WARNINGS





Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Wexford, Cork and Waterford
Up to 30mm in places, with locally higher accumulations in upland and coastal areas, will lead to spot flooding.

Issued: Monday 03 December 2018 12:00

Updated: Monday 03 December 2018 12:00

Valid from Tuesday 04 December 2018 15:00 to Wednesday 05 December 2018 12:00