Share Picks 2021 - Thread banned users post #1

bob mcbob · 07-01-2021 12:54pm

DutchYurt wrote: »

Whilst I agree the broad rollout of vaccines is going to take between 6-9 months minimum so there's still plenty of yolo investing going on and speculative behavior over the next few months I think!

Oh I am not saying that there is not money to be made but as well as buying a speculative stock that is going to increase in price, you also need to be sure you are not holding when the music stops.

I am old enough to have been investing during the Dotcom bubble and if it is like that, you will only know the music has stopped after it has stopped.

bob mcbob · 07-01-2021 1:13pm

RedRochey wrote: »

Came across this as well: https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2021/01/05/one-of-the-great-bubbles-of-financial-history/

"Grantham is famous for calling the Japanese, tech, and housing bubbles. So when he speaks on this topic, investors pay attention. You can’t mention his prescient calls without mentioning the ones that didn’t come to fruition. It’s only fair to point out that he has been bearish for much of the recent bull market.

2010 - Have Cash, Wait for Stocks to Fall
2011 - Grantham sees most global equities as ranging from “unattractive” to “very unattractive” – valuing the S&P 500 at “no more than 950.”
2012 - Jeremy Grantham Warns 2013 Will Be A Dangerous Year For Stocks
2013 - Much of everything else is once again brutally overpriced
2014 - Big stock bubble will end badly in 2016
2015 - GMO founder Grantham says markets ‘ripe for major decline’ in 2016"

Maybe he's 100% right this time but broken clock and all that

Oh I am not disagreeing - some people are famous for calling 10 the last 3 crashes.

However it is not just him - type "who predicted Dotcom crash" into google.
Here is one example

https://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2020/07/16/stock-market-crash-2020-welcome-to-the-end-game/?sh=6db1e4605782

DutchYurt · 07-01-2021 1:14pm

bob mcbob wrote: »

Oh I am not saying that there is not money to be made but as well as buying a speculative stock that is going to increase in price, you also need to be sure you are not holding when the music stops.

I am old enough to have been investing during the Dotcom bubble and if it is like that, you will only know the music has stopped after it has stopped.

I made alot of money on a stock and thought to be clever and spread the profits across 6 stocks on a Friday. On Monday whole market crashed (this was march) there wasn't any music then and I hope to never repeat the feeling. My Spotify is on all the time now :P

Shedite27 · 07-01-2021 1:49pm

Magno_DT wrote: »

Did anyone else throw money into this? I put a bit into it on the back of Rigolo's post. It was just blind trust really, I don't know anything about it. It was 33 at the time and it has continued to rocket now to almost 80. Up 140 percent. But I don't know what to do now. Sell or hold.. Is there a Rigolo Bat sign we can shine towards the sky when we need to make contact with him?

Edit: My Degiro graph for it is showing 80 but in fact I think it's even higher than that now.

HOLD!

It made an investor release recently, hence the surge. It's producing more and more bitcoins, with only 6 employees. It's got 60% margins, which is goign to grow with the extra machines, which it's got on order and due to be operational in Feb, so will bump to more output again then. It's still undervalued compared to other miners. It's just been listed in the US which will attract more attention and continue to grow. I bought it on the UK exchange, it's over the counter in US

DutchYurt · 07-01-2021 1:58pm

I'm not liking 4D Pharmas retrace. If it keeps this rate up it'll go back to 1 and float around there for a while like before.

Might have to do some profit taking..

bob mcbob · 07-01-2021 1:59pm

DutchYurt wrote: »

I made alot of money on a stock and thought to be clever and spread the profits across 6 stocks on a Friday. On Monday whole market crashed (this was march) there wasn't any music then and I hope to never repeat the feeling. My Spotify is on all the time now :P

What I meant was

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble#/media/File:Nasdaq_Composite_dot-com_bubble.svg

This graph shows the Nasdaq during the Dotcom crash. You can see that there was a major crash when it reached 5000 and it fell 1700 points. It then clawed back some of the decline (buy the dips and all that) before falling a further 2000 points. A further clawback (buy the bottom of the market and all that) then another 1000 point fall. Rinse and repeat 2 more times. The market then bottoms at around 1200 points around 2 years later.

The Dotcom music stopped when the market reached 5000 - it is only with hindsight that we know it now.

DutchYurt · 07-01-2021 2:04pm

bob mcbob wrote: »

What I meant was

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble#/media/File:Nasdaq_Composite_dot-com_bubble.svg

This graph shows the Nasdaq during the Dotcom crash. You can see that there was a major crash when it reached 5000 and it fell 1700 points. It then clawed back some of the decline (buy the dips and all that) before falling a further 2000 points. A further clawback (buy the bottom of the market and all that) then another 1000 point fall. Rinse and repeat 2 more times. The market then bottoms at around 1200 points around 2 years later.

The Dotcom music stopped when the market reached 5000 - it is only with hindsight that we know it now.

As my grandfather told me if hindsight married foresight presence of mind wouldn't be such a bastard

Treppen · 07-01-2021 2:26pm

UsBus wrote: »

I'm in on Aphria for a while. Dropped off a good bit from the highs of a year ago but seems to be steady enough and coming back gradually.

Aurora was a basket case with the gains and drops it had the past few months.

Aphria 2020 Q2 Earnings are coming up on Jan 14th , so there will be a bit more gas in the tank before the inevitable sell off. Really a positive vibe around Aphria.
I'm tempted to dump and buy back in later after Jan 14th ..but alas I'll hold as I'm in at $6.90.

Gamma1 · 07-01-2021 3:04pm

Treppen wrote: »

Aphria 2020 Q2 Earnings are coming up on Jan 14th , so there will be a bit more gas in the tank before the inevitable sell off. Really a positive vibe around Aphria.
I'm tempted to dump and buy back in later after Jan 14th ..but alas I'll hold as I'm in at $6.90.

Got into Aphria too - got rid of Aurora, Canopy. Aphria financial look OK compared to others.

Gamma1 · 07-01-2021 3:10pm

Shedite27 wrote: »

If you're watching from afar, thanks Rigolo, 10 bagger in a month.

9c on 9th Dec
£1.06 on 7th Jan

I think Rigolo mentioned Hive too. I got in and then promptly out - 100%+ - sorry did not go with Argo though.

Posh Boy · 07-01-2021 3:20pm

Folks, apologies if this is the wrong thread but I'm thinking of dipping my toes in the share world. As for an account I note than many of you are using DeGiro.

I was considering this but wanted to know your thoughts on using the likes of etoro as there is zero commission with them and I can buy US stocks and also they do a bit of cryptocurrency too.

Any information would be helpful. Ultimately, I want something easy to use with low charges since it's not going to be large volume for the moment.

Thanks.

weemcd · 07-01-2021 4:04pm

Posh Boy wrote: »

Folks, apologies if this is the wrong thread but I'm thinking of dipping my toes in the share world. As for an account I note than many of you are using DeGiro.

I was considering this but wanted to know your thoughts on using the likes of etoro as there is zero commission with them and I can buy US stocks and also they do a bit of cryptocurrency too.

Any information would be helpful. Ultimately, I want something easy to use with low charges since it's not going to be large volume for the moment.

Thanks.

I much preferred the layout and usability compared to etoro, always found Degiro fees were nominal. I'm sure other users here would have more input. Though you can't purchase bitcoin through Degiro so...

Atlas_IRL · 07-01-2021 4:07pm

Posh Boy wrote: »

Folks, apologies if this is the wrong thread but I'm thinking of dipping my toes in the share world. As for an account I note than many of you are using DeGiro.

I was considering this but wanted to know your thoughts on using the likes of etoro as there is zero commission with them and I can buy US stocks and also they do a bit of cryptocurrency too.

Any information would be helpful. Ultimately, I want something easy to use with low charges since it's not going to be large volume for the moment.

Thanks.

Its fine to use, but don't use the copy features, they look amazing but the fees are bad. It was only that someone pointed it out to me here that I noticed what I was getting back was way less than what I should have.

For stocks its grand but it wont have a lot of stocks you may want to invest in the future when your knowledge gets better, It will have the big stocks but spac's pennies etc it wont have.

I think Degiro/Coinbase would be better.

Wombatman · 07-01-2021 4:43pm

WFC on the up and should reach $45 in no time.

Shedite27 · 07-01-2021 4:43pm

Magno_DT wrote: »

Did anyone else throw money into this? I put a bit into it on the back of Rigolo's post. It was just blind trust really, I don't know anything about it. It was 33 at the time and it has continued to rocket now to almost 80. Up 140 percent. But I don't know what to do now. Sell or hold.. Is there a Rigolo Bat sign we can shine towards the sky when we need to make contact with him?

Edit: My Degiro graph for it is showing 80 but in fact I think it's even higher than that now.

One other note on this, did some digging here comparing to other miners
RIOT - mined 1,000 bitcoin in 2020 - market cap 1.5bn
ARB - mined 2,500 bitcoins in 2020 - market cap 350m

Not sure how that makes sense, RIOT is probably overvalued but ARB is definitely still undervalued.

DutchYurt wrote: »

It's tied to BTC right? I think BTC could go to 50k but there has to be a drop at some point.

Some of the valuations are saying it will run to 100k-300k this year, but with everything its crystal ball territory and all that. But if you look at the previous halvings and the hash rate of mining it could be right. If BTC gets to 50k I'll do some profit taking and reassess from there.

I'm just watching it with fascination like Tesla to be honest.

I wouldn't be too concerned about the Bitcoin price, it could drop 90% again, but not likely with the institutional ownership. The biggest threat to the miners (ARB/RIOT) is that with future halvings, it'll get more expensive to make a bitcoin. At some point it could become uneconomical, but that's not likely with the price going up with less availability.

pitrn · 07-01-2021 5:24pm

Any thoughts on Gevo. Will it go beyond 5 dollar? I have few shares wondering if I should sell or hold.

DutchYurt · 07-01-2021 5:24pm

Shedite27 wrote: »

One other note on this, did some digging here comparing to other miners
RIOT - mined 1,000 bitcoin in 2020 - market cap 1.5bn
ARB - mined 2,500 bitcoins in 2020 - market cap 350m

Gonna see if ARB comes back down again and jump in. Should have listened to Rigolo more.

RIGOLO COME BACK PLEASE!

cronos · 07-01-2021 5:35pm

DutchYurt wrote: »

Gonna see if ARB comes back down again and jump in. Should have listened to Rigolo more.

RIGOLO COME BACK PLEASE!

I'm sure a new user let's call him "BIGALOW" will create a new account soon

Wombatman · 07-01-2021 5:43pm

What did ye's do to poor RIGOLO this time?

voodoo · 07-01-2021 5:49pm

Wombatman wrote: »

What did ye's do to poor RIGOLO this time?

Banned for something he said on another forum on Boards

Supercell · 07-01-2021 5:59pm

Shedite27 wrote: »

One other note on this, did some digging here comparing to other miners
RIOT - mined 1,000 bitcoin in 2020 - market cap 1.5bn
ARB - mined 2,500 bitcoins in 2020 - market cap 350m

Not sure how that makes sense, RIOT is probably overvalued but ARB is definitely still undervalued.

I wouldn't be too concerned about the Bitcoin price, it could drop 90% again, but not likely with the institutional ownership. The biggest threat to the miners (ARB/RIOT) is that with future halvings, it'll get more expensive to make a bitcoin. At some point it could become uneconomical, but that's not likely with the price going up with less availability.

Another miner well worth a look is MARA, getting a shed load of new equipment this year, if bitcoin holds its price they should be churning them out = big price appreciation.

Stablelad123 · 07-01-2021 6:05pm

TSLA just hit Crathie Woods' most bullish target of 4,000. I honestly don't think I have seen frenzied speculation like this and I traded during the dotcom hysteria. Simply incredible.

ADZAM · 07-01-2021 6:23pm

Reinvent Technology Partners - RTP is now available on Degiro - I bought a good wedge @ $11.25
I've been waiting and waiting for this one, it is a SPAC led by Reid Hoffman (LinkedIn) and Mark Pincus (Zynga)
It is a SPAC so carries it's own risks, no target names yet. I feel confident backing these two to find a good growth technology company and enjoy the upside of getting in fairly early.

I'm also getting on the Genome / Cathie Woods ARKG train and have bought a few names such as Invitate, Beam, Morphic, Maravai, Regeneron, Novartis and JNJ

Obviously do your own diligence and research. Best of luck!

cronos · 07-01-2021 6:43pm

ADZAM wrote: »

Reinvent Technology Partners - RTP is now available on Degiro - I bought a good wedge @ $11.25
I've been waiting and waiting for this one, it is a SPAC led by Reid Hoffman (LinkedIn) and Mark Pincus (Zynga)
It is a SPAC so carries it's own risks, no target names yet. I feel confident backing these two to find a good growth technology company and enjoy the upside of getting in fairly early.

I'm also getting on the Genome / Cathie Woods ARKG train and have bought a few names such as Invitate, Beam, Morphic, Maravai, Regeneron, Novartis and JNJ

Obviously do your own diligence and research. Best of luck!

Is ARKG on Degiro? Don't see it.

omerin · 07-01-2021 6:45pm

Sold my tesla shares at 800, bought at 415, watch now them hit 1000, but happy with the decision, only pity is the $ is so low

cronos · 07-01-2021 6:54pm

ADZAM wrote: »

Reinvent Technology Partners - RTP is now available on Degiro - I bought a good wedge @ $11.25
I've been waiting and waiting for this one, it is a SPAC led by Reid Hoffman (LinkedIn) and Mark Pincus (Zynga)
It is a SPAC so carries it's own risks, no target names yet. I feel confident backing these two to find a good growth technology company and enjoy the upside of getting in fairly early.

I'm also getting on the Genome / Cathie Woods ARKG train and have bought a few names such as Invitate, Beam, Morphic, Maravai, Regeneron, Novartis and JNJ

Obviously do your own diligence and research. Best of luck!

I've joined you on RTP at the same price. Are you in PSTH also? It's a bit further along but still not gone too far I think.

cronos · 07-01-2021 7:06pm

omerin wrote: »

Sold my tesla shares at 800, bought at 415, watch now them hit 1000, but happy with the decision, only pity is the $ is so low

Nice work. Congratulations!!

patsy_mccabe · 07-01-2021 7:10pm

omerin wrote: »

Sold my tesla shares at 800, bought at 415, watch now them hit 1000, but happy with the decision, only pity is the $ is so low

Tesla has 1% of global car sales, yet a market capitalization equal to all the other car companies put together. You did right to sell.

Tesla - € 755 B
Toyota - 210 B
Volkswagon - 98 B
BYD - 87 B

https://companiesmarketcap.com/automakers/largest-automakers-by-market-cap/

crushproof · 07-01-2021 7:16pm

patsy_mccabe wrote: »

Tesla has 1% of global car sales, yet a market capitalization equal to all the other car companies put together. You did right to sell.

Tesla - € 755 B
Toyota - 210 B
Volkswagon - 98 B
BYD - 87 B

https://companiesmarketcap.com/automakers/largest-automakers-by-market-cap/

This argument has been made time and time again, yet the stock still continues to skyrocket.

I'm of the same belief as you and don't hold any shares but christ its insane watching from the sidelines.

Cpfm · 07-01-2021 7:24pm

DutchYurt wrote: »

Gonna see if ARB comes back down again and jump in. Should have listened to Rigolo more.

RIGOLO COME BACK PLEASE!

I was checking out ARB when I read this and thought I'd missed the boat - up 34% today already. Just checked it again ....57% and climbing :pac:

not complaining though - good day today...beating the market...took a small position in RTP also - thank u for the tip..

Timmaay · 07-01-2021 7:52pm

Anyone else temped to cash out fully? Sitting at an overall gain of 136% for the cash I put in across the last 12 months, this just can't continue.

DutchYurt · 07-01-2021 7:54pm

Cpfm wrote: »

I was checking out ARB when I read this and thought I'd missed the boat - up 34% today already. Just checked it again ....57% and climbing :pac:

not complaining though - good day today...beating the market...took a small position in RTP also - thank u for the tip..

All thanks to Rigolo it was his tip. I'll take a big position tomorrow and DCA over the next few months

Hope my curse no longer holds through!

Daz_ · 07-01-2021 7:59pm

Cpfm wrote: »

I was checking out ARB when I read this and thought I'd missed the boat - up 34% today already. Just checked it again ....57% and climbing :pac:

not complaining though - good day today...beating the market...took a small position in RTP also - thank u for the tip..

Hi what’s the full name for ARB ? Finding a few with ARB in title ! Thanks

patsy_mccabe · 07-01-2021 8:11pm

Timmaay wrote: »

Anyone else temped to cash out fully? Sitting at an overall gain of 136% for the cash I put in across the last 12 months, this just can't continue.

I'm thinking the same, especially for the airline stocks.

duefrine · 07-01-2021 8:12pm

Daz_ wrote: »

Hi what’s the full name for ARB ? Finding a few with ARB in title ! Thanks

ARGO BLOCKCHAI

Think this is the one...

Magno_DT · 07-01-2021 8:36pm

duefrine wrote: »

ARGO BLOCKCHAI

Think this is the one...

Yep it is.

80s Child · 07-01-2021 8:41pm

Rigolo tipped Hut8 and Bitfarm at the start of December.

Hut8 was 1.17, now 4.98

Bitfarm was .49, now 3.06

And no.. I dont hold either of them.

Free the Share Picks one!

Cpfm · 07-01-2021 8:41pm

Daz_ wrote: »

Hi what’s the full name for ARB ? Finding a few with ARB in title ! Thanks

Argo Blockchain
..sorry ..didn't see previous replies...

Kilboor · 07-01-2021 8:46pm

80s Child wrote: »

Rigolo tipped Hut8 and Bitfarm at the start of December.

Hut8 was 1.17, now 4.98

Bitfarm was .49, now 3.06

And no.. I dont hold either of them.

Free the Share Picks one!

Some returns, shame I never really looked into his stock picks! Can he be unbanned for this thread only.

Cpfm · 07-01-2021 8:50pm

DutchYurt wrote: »

All thanks to Rigolo it was his tip. I'll take a big position tomorrow and DCA over the next few months

Hope my curse no longer holds through!

I'm wondering if its got more to run though - also looking at MARA that supercell mentioned...

hottipper · 07-01-2021 8:58pm

DutchYurt wrote: »

All thanks to Rigolo it was his tip. I'll take a big position tomorrow and DCA over the next few months

Hope my curse no longer holds through!

big position? Its gone 30x in 60days and 10x in 21 days its super high risk now.
wait for a pull back before you end up bankrupt.
look at bntx its saving the planet from extinction and it still dumped 40%

Dartkerry · 07-01-2021 9:06pm

crushproof wrote: »

This argument has been made time and time again, yet the stock still continues to skyrocket.

I'm of the same belief as you and don't hold any shares but christ its insane watching from the sidelines.

I was watching on the sideline too and jumped on the Tesla train this week. Up 10% now!

Shedite27 · 07-01-2021 9:09pm

patsy_mccabe wrote: »

Tesla has 1% of global car sales, yet a market capitalization equal to all the other car companies put together. You did right to sell.

Tesla - € 755 B
Toyota - 210 B
Volkswagon - 98 B
BYD - 87 B

https://companiesmarketcap.com/automakers/largest-automakers-by-market-cap/

You're not paying for car production, you're paying for the technology.

Shedite27 · 07-01-2021 9:09pm

Timmaay wrote: »

Anyone else temped to cash out fully? Sitting at an overall gain of 136% for the cash I put in across the last 12 months, this just can't continue.

Nope

80s Child · 07-01-2021 9:32pm

Kilboor wrote: »

Some returns, shame I never really looked into his stock picks! Can he be unbanned for this thread only.

This was while I was having bother lodging money with Degiro, hence my no show also.

I will admit.. I had set up a Google Sheet of his picks.

shennymulligan · 07-01-2021 9:47pm

Does anyone know how I can short Tesla ? E.g buy €1k worth of puts or something... can’t find any on Degiro ..

SmokyMo · 07-01-2021 9:50pm

shennymulligan wrote: »

Does anyone know how I can short Tesla ? E.g buy €1k worth of puts or something... can’t find any on Degiro ..

Try trading212

SmokyMo · 07-01-2021 9:53pm

Shedite27 wrote: »

You're not paying for car production, you're paying for the technology.

All Teslas patents are free to use by anyone

Bob Harris · 07-01-2021 9:54pm

shennymulligan wrote: »

Does anyone know how I can short Tesla ? E.g buy €1k worth of puts or something... can’t find any on Degiro ..

try www.Iwanttogobankrupt.com

GoldFour4 · 07-01-2021 10:04pm

Motley fool picks lemonade as its stock of the month and it’s up 26% today. Can’t see anything else about the company today so don’t think there’s anything else to explain it.

A stock going up that much off a stock tipping site is mad (and a bit scary!)

Share Picks 2021 - Thread banned users post #1

Comments