US Sports Thread (NBA, NCAA, MBL, NHL, NFL, etc.)

kmart6 · 19-09-2011 3:57pm

Eagles cost me a treble on them, the Patriots and the Texans...not happy!

Eire-Dearg · 19-09-2011 5:01pm

CriticEyes wrote: »

Anyone have any tips on the Giants V Rams game?

Might do a few TD bets.

Ahmad Bradshaw to score a TD and go over 71.5 yards. Lance Kendricks to score anytime @ 3.50.

padraig_f · 19-09-2011 7:08pm

Bad luck with Vick going out with a concussion last night, that one was in the bag.

Wouldn't take this as a tip but tonight I'm going:
Rams +7 @ Giants
Rams ML @ Giants 13/5

Basing this mainly on the Giants last week looking pretty bad against the Redskins. Didn't watch the Rams game but they reportedly played the Eagles tough for 3 quarters. Steven Jackson is doubtful for the Rams, but the +7 still looks like a lot to me.

SantryRed · 19-09-2011 10:14pm

Anyone have anything on the MNF game tonight? Stuck a fiver on the Rams scoring over 18.5 points in the game.

Anyone else have any fancies?

3hn2givr7mx1sc · 19-09-2011 10:26pm

Backed Rams(+7). From what I've seen/read I think it'll be close enough. Although I could be very, very wrong.

Eire-Dearg · 19-09-2011 10:54pm

I can see a low scoring, run heavy game so I'm going for unders in this one (44) @ 1.90.

El Horseboxo · 19-09-2011 11:20pm

With Nicks banged up and Eli throwing an interception this week i think the Giants will be running the ball a fair amount tonight. Especially after how much rushing yards the Rams gave up against the Eagles last week. RB1, Bradshaw could have a good chance to exceed the 71.5 yards. It's 1.76 on bet365. I also think Cadillac Williams over 64.5 at 1.83 on PP could be worth a punt. Just have a feeling there's gonna be a lot of yardage on the ground.

Eire-Dearg · 20-09-2011 12:03am

Nicks is ACTIVE. That changes things a little.

CriticEyes · 20-09-2011 12:21am

Eire-Dearg wrote: »

Nicks is ACTIVE. That changes things a little.

Ok so what seems a better bet now since he starts? I already have Bradshaw over 72.5 rushing yards, under 44 and draw/draw (66/1...... just one of those crazy bets). So what seems good now since he starts and how does that affect my above bets? Cheers

Eire-Dearg · 20-09-2011 12:31am

CriticEyes wrote: »

Ok so what seems a better bet now since he starts? I already have Bradshaw over 72.5 rushing yards, under 44 and draw/draw (66/1...... just one of those crazy bets). So what seems good now since he starts and how does that affect my above bets? Cheers

Means New York have their best down field weapon on the field, which could mean more scores and a little less running then we had anticipated. Even if he's not 100%, the fact he's on the field should mean more space for the likes of Manningham.

I'm still confident about mine (and your) bets though. I expect Bradshaw to put up big yards and that overs line is still a big total to reach for this game.

============

Bets for tonight:

Under 44/NY ML @ 2.50
Ahmad Bradshaw over 72.5 yards @ 1.86
Small stakes on Bradshaw first TD scorer and Lance Kendricks anytime scorer.

Eire-Dearg · 20-09-2011 2:49am

This is just the kind of game to have bugger loads of 3 and outs and still go over the total, wait and you see!

I thought Bradshaw would cover the yardage quickly, but the well has dried up. He's half way there though. Giants need to keep pounding it, they've been brutal in the air bar the TD drive.

El Horseboxo · 20-09-2011 3:03am

Bradshaw should get over the 7o odd yard mark. He's on 46 now and if New York keep a tight lead going into the 4th they'll be just running the ball. You'd just wanna hope they don't start using Jacobs more. Also the way this game is going and how ineffective both teams are on 3rd down. I'd be very surprised if this game gets 24 points in the second. 2 of the TD's came from errors as it is. The pass interference and the backward pass.

El Horseboxo · 20-09-2011 3:08am

Ha and having said that the Giants grab a TD before the half. Some juggling for that catch.

Eire-Dearg · 20-09-2011 3:11am

The overs looks more than achievable now, can't see another 3rd and down back and forth like in the first half.

Peyton Manning · 21-09-2011 2:30pm

I really like San Diego State @ Michigan to go well over the 60 over/unders this weekend. Only problem is I refuse to use Paddy Power who have it as an active market, whereas Bet365 still have it OTB :mad:

El Horseboxo · 21-09-2011 3:32pm

Bet365 are a bit slow this week at updating their lines and spreads. That SD at Michigan line was out Monday morning.

Eire-Dearg · 21-09-2011 9:29pm

Up now boyos

On a scale of 1 to TCU -1, how hot are you on that Archi? I know absolutely nothing about San Diego State, just that Michigan can put up big scores

El Horseboxo · 22-09-2011 11:30am

SDSU have a great RB in Hillmann and a good QB in Lindley. Hillman already has 8 TD's in 3 games and Notre Dame carved through that Michigan D despite losing in a very weird ending to the game. So i expect SDSU to have a lot of success on the ground against them. Michigan haven't been up against a RB like Hillmann yet so the 167 yards they average giving up should increase come Saturday. Most of SDSU's passing comes through TE's as they don't really have any established WR's after losing them last year. Their D isn't as strong as last year but it's still ok enough. Kinda leaky though on the ground. I think Robinson can exploit it but i don't trust him passing. He's still not broke the 50% pass completion barrier. I think the 10.5 points that SDSU are getting is a bit of an overreaction to both the Aztecs close game with Army and also the way Michigan came back against Notre Dame. I expect this game a lot closer than 10 points. Something like 31-28 in favor of either team is kinda how i see this playing out. It will either well exceed the 60.5 O/U or it will come very close. Michigan have San Diego's ex coach so will be interesting if any of the plays are recognized and audibled.

Eire-Dearg · 22-09-2011 8:39pm

I know home advantage is a big thing for these Thursday night games but I'm thinking NC State +7.0 tonight against Cincinnati. It seems Cincy are most comfortable at home but in their two wins played two very poor sides. NC will be their toughest game yet, who have a decent defence and have been fantastic in the air this year, but the running game isn't all that. A 7 points lead could be great value here...

El Horseboxo · 23-09-2011 12:51am

NC State have been terrible. Their stats might suggest otherwise. Both defenses are quite bad actually. I'm leaning the over. I think Cincy could put up 40 tonight. One for me to look at in play. Hope the first drive is fruitless.

Eire-Dearg · 23-09-2011 12:57am

Terrible? The places I'm reading must be bigging them up too much then, or just going by the stats. Have you seen them this year?

I've done the +7 and a small stake on the overs.

El Horseboxo · 23-09-2011 1:08am

They got beat by a poor Wake Forest team and let Liberty (non ranked team) make a game of it. Gave up 3 touchdowns to them and won in a close game. I seen highlights of the Liberty game and watched most of the WF one. They are capable of putting up points but they will leak them quite easily. Of course these Thursday night games throw up many a surprise so you could well be on to a winner with the +7. I wouldn't be confident enough myself to touch it. Sure if you're watching the game you can always see how it goes and maybe lay it off if needs be.

El Horseboxo · 23-09-2011 1:13am

Oh yeah sorry just reread what i wrote. I meant terrible as in terrible defense in my first post. I hate taking teams with crap D's for that little point spread.

Eire-Dearg · 23-09-2011 1:14am

I don't think NC plan on running the ball at all in this game! >_>

mikemac · 23-09-2011 1:19am

Haven't bet but like NC to beat the spread

And that was a beautiful punt right there

El Horseboxo · 23-09-2011 1:29am

Hope ya didn't take it yet Mikemac. You'll probably get them +14.5 in play when betting comes back.

mikemac · 23-09-2011 1:33am

Nope, didn't bet on this one

Just up watching the game and saw the thread so posted my pick

I'll have a few bets for the college games for this weekend

Eire-Dearg · 23-09-2011 1:41am

Cincy on their way to a cricket score.

El Horseboxo · 23-09-2011 1:46am

I wouldn't worry bout cricket type score just yet. Cincy D will give up points. NC State just seem a bit too cautious so far.

mikemac · 23-09-2011 1:53am

Mike Glennon is getting great protection and time back there, should be doing better

Though there are a few times Cincy just rushes three and floods the field with defensive backs.

Away to bed for me

stingerro · 23-09-2011 8:19am

Not really a US sports, but - I backed Collingwood -23.5 to win against Hawthorn in AFL. Game starts in 2 hours. Would like to write more about this game... but I am clueless about Australian Football and I'm only doing it, because this guy went for it - http://www.sport-insight.com/userAE.php?userID=100318&lookup=1&returnPage=users.php

Eire-Dearg · 24-09-2011 8:10pm

Georgia Tech just about beat the spread, that was a close one!

As for Notre Dame, this game has been horrendous.

El Horseboxo · 24-09-2011 8:29pm

Have GT in a double. Glad i bought down half a point. Was -7 when i took it. Would've been a push but a win is better to keep the double alive.

It was ND's defense that won that for them. Looks like there's still a lot to figure out on offense for them. Easy enough schedule right up to Stanford for them now.

padraig_f · 25-09-2011 10:39am

My picks today:

6pm
Saints -4 vs. Texans
Panthers -3 vs. Jags
Lions -3 @ Vikings

9pm
Jets -3 @ Raiders
Seahawks +3 vs. Cardinals

El Horseboxo · 25-09-2011 2:45pm

Like the Jets -3 play. Might buy down to -2.5. Any reason why you fancy the Seahawks to keep it within 3 against the Cardinals? Seems like a coin flip kinda game although going by the figures and the 2 games so far Seattle look like they could struggle to score. Not breaking the 150 yard passing barrier a game, Less than 50 yards rushing a game, 10 sacks against, 25% success on 3rd down and less than 50% scoring in the red zone. Good luck anyways. Seattle can be a difficult stadium to play in.

Eire-Dearg · 25-09-2011 3:02pm

El Horseboxo wrote: »

Like the Jets -3 play. Might buy down to -2.5. Any reason why you fancy the Seahawks to keep it within 3 against the Cardinals? Seems like a coin flip kinda game although going by the figures and the 2 games so far Seattle look like they could struggle to score. Not breaking the 150 yard passing barrier a game, Less than 50 yards rushing a game, 10 sacks against, 25% success on 3rd down and less than 50% scoring in the red zone. Good luck anyways. Seattle can be a difficult stadium to play in.

This. An avoid for me. I wouldn't be surprised to see Seattle pull a game together and get the win.

Don't know about the Jets either to be honest, can see Oakland getting an upset.

El Horseboxo · 25-09-2011 3:57pm

Oakland is McFadden. Shut him down and the Raiders will get frustrated. Jets are only allowing 88 yards a game on the ground. Despite it only being 2 games we all know the Jets are a defensive team for the past few years. Good secondary and good rush defense. Just think the Raiders will find it difficult to score against them if McFadden is contained. They're also in the bottom third for allowing both passing and rushing yards against. As the Jets have become more of a passing team this year and Sanchez is growing in confidence i think the Jets will dog the low point scoring stigma they've carried. 59 points in 2 games isn't too bad for them. They're currently ranked 7th in scoring points this season.

mikemac · 25-09-2011 4:01pm

Jets missing Nick Mangold, a key loss

I like Oakland to win
I also like Miami to beat the spread against the Browns. Miami are better on the road and despite their losses have not looked bad imo in Week one or two. Browns are decent also but they don't deserve to be favorites

That's my weekend double

I hate the matchup of Cardinals in Seattle. Not going near that game, could go either way.

I also don't like Lions and Vikings. You'd think the Lions would be favourites and they are but I see a desperate Vikings putting in a performance. Avoiding

padraig_f · 25-09-2011 4:40pm

El Horseboxo wrote: »

Like the Jets -3 play. Might buy down to -2.5. Any reason why you fancy the Seahawks to keep it within 3 against the Cardinals?

More of a play against the Cardinals, lucky to win week 1 at home against the Panthers, and should've been hammered last week (Redskins dominated the game, 28 first-downs to 16). So could be 0-2 and they're a 3-point favourites on the road.

Not that I really like the Seahawks but they've had tougher games, two road games, one against Pittsburgh.

Peyton Manning · 25-09-2011 5:50pm

Can't find any Dwayne Bowe markets, but if anyone is able to it's worth noting the Chargers have kept him under 13 yards in their last three meetings.

In foul mood today, so trying to cheer myself up with some nonsense accumulators.

Chargers -14
Lions -3
Saints -3.5

Jets -2.5
Packers -4
Steelers -10.5

Pettigrew anytime
Finley anytime
Graham anytime

Newton anytime
Moore anytime
Gronkowski anytime

Newton to score first TD, Panthers to win by 13-18 points :P

skeleton_boy · 25-09-2011 5:55pm

NY Jets -2.5
DET Lions -3
SD Chargers -9.5

€50 @ 4/1

Eire-Dearg · 25-09-2011 6:00pm

All spreads:

NO and Philly
Carolina, Lions and Cincy
Patriots and Titans

Nuri Sahin · 25-09-2011 6:27pm

Packers and Chargers spread @ 2/1

Eire-Dearg · 25-09-2011 7:17pm

Lions letting the side down here, but I'm keeping faith. Vikings have let go of leads already this season. Come on Stafford!

Carolina game could get messy, pissing down rain.

skeleton_boy · 25-09-2011 7:24pm

Allen is beasting...not looking good for us Lions backers

AdrianII · 25-09-2011 7:41pm

Jets @ Oakland (under 40.5 points) 10/11 - looks a good bet

SteelyDanJalapeno · 25-09-2011 8:13pm

Took Eagles -3.5 a while back, anybody watching it? how are they looking?

skeleton_boy · 25-09-2011 8:14pm

Come on Lions! Turnover here would be nice

El Horseboxo · 25-09-2011 8:31pm

Beanie Wells is out today. As is RB2 Stephens-Howling. Chester Taylor takes over running responsibilities. He's 4/1 for anytime TD. Could be worth a punt.

AdrianII · 25-09-2011 8:47pm

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Took Eagles -3.5 a while back, anybody watching it? how are they looking?

Awful. Vicks off with a broken hand. 6 down at the mo

US Sports Thread (NBA, NCAA, MBL, NHL, NFL, etc.)

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