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WINTER WEATHER 2013/2014 - See Mod Note First Post

12357…60

Comments

  • #202
    jaffusmax
    Registered Users Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭jaffusmax


    Blizzard 2010 wrote: »
    that was back last July, things have twisted and turned since then.

    Exactly! It will be interesting to see how MT's forecast will take these developments into account!


  • #203
    Kippure
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    Whats out on the web at the moment....the MADNESS BEGINS AGAIN...


    Meteorologists Point To Signs Of Another Upcoming “Nasty Winter For Europe” – Would Be Spectacular Sixth In A Row! - See more at

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/09/meteorologists-point-to-signs-of-another-upcoming-nasty-winter-for-europe-would-be-spectacular-sixth-in-a-row/

    Bastardi’s / Jung’s Initial Winter Speculation Morphs Into “A Killer 2014-Winter Forecast” – Fear Spreads Across Europe! - See more at:

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/26/bastardis-jungs-initial-winter-speculation-morphs-into-a-killer-2014-winter-forecast-fear-spreads-across-europe/

    Another brutal winter for Europe?

    http://iceagenow.info/2013/09/brutal-winter-europe/


  • #204
    jaffusmax
    Registered Users Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭jaffusmax


    Kippure wrote: »
    Whats out on the web at the moment....the MADNESS BEGINS AGAIN...


    Meteorologists Point To Signs Of Another Upcoming “Nasty Winter For Europe” – Would Be Spectacular Sixth In A Row! - See more at

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/09/meteorologists-point-to-signs-of-another-upcoming-nasty-winter-for-europe-would-be-spectacular-sixth-in-a-row/

    Bastardi’s / Jung’s Initial Winter Speculation Morphs Into “A Killer 2014-Winter Forecast” – Fear Spreads Across Europe! - See more at:

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/26/bastardis-jungs-initial-winter-speculation-morphs-into-a-killer-2014-winter-forecast-fear-spreads-across-europe/

    Another brutal winter for Europe?

    http://iceagenow.info/2013/09/brutal-winter-europe/

    Can't wait to feel that cold on my face

    [IMG][/img]nicolas-cage-feel-good-man-eccbc87e4b5ce2fe28308fd9f2a7baf3-188.gif


  • #205
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Kippure wrote: »
    Whats out on the web at the moment....the MADNESS BEGINS AGAIN...


    Meteorologists Point To Signs Of Another Upcoming “Nasty Winter For Europe” – Would Be Spectacular Sixth In A Row! - See more at

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/09/meteorologists-point-to-signs-of-another-upcoming-nasty-winter-for-europe-would-be-spectacular-sixth-in-a-row/

    Bastardi’s / Jung’s Initial Winter Speculation Morphs Into “A Killer 2014-Winter Forecast” – Fear Spreads Across Europe! - See more at:

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/26/bastardis-jungs-initial-winter-speculation-morphs-into-a-killer-2014-winter-forecast-fear-spreads-across-europe/

    Another brutal winter for Europe?

    http://iceagenow.info/2013/09/brutal-winter-europe/

    "Fear Spreads Across Europe!" .... "iceagenow.info"

    Ah lads... :rolleyes:


  • #206
    Kippure
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    maquiladora wrote: »
    "Fear Spreads Across Europe!" .... "iceagenow.info"

    Ah lads... :rolleyes:

    Its the "Smell of Fear Really"......:D


  • #207
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    Kippure wrote: »
    Whats out on the web at the moment....the MADNESS BEGINS AGAIN...


    Meteorologists Point To Signs Of Another Upcoming “Nasty Winter For Europe” – Would Be Spectacular Sixth In A Row! - See more at

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/09/meteorologists-point-to-signs-of-another-upcoming-nasty-winter-for-europe-would-be-spectacular-sixth-in-a-row/

    Bastardi’s / Jung’s Initial Winter Speculation Morphs Into “A Killer 2014-Winter Forecast” – Fear Spreads Across Europe! - See more at:

    http://notrickszone.com/2013/09/26/bastardis-jungs-initial-winter-speculation-morphs-into-a-killer-2014-winter-forecast-fear-spreads-across-europe/

    Another brutal winter for Europe?

    http://iceagenow.info/2013/09/brutal-winter-europe/

    It may still be t-shirt weather but let the silly season begin and why not?


  • #208
    Kippure
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    Joe bastardy has been going on for a couple of years that 2013 and 2014 winter would be the big one for Europe., even when he was at weatheronline and his weekly monthly videos would mention it.

    Been looking for what he has been saying presently for this winter, cant find much.

    Has anyone else found out much about what he is saying for this winter?


  • #209
    Stella Virgo
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 478 ✭✭Stella Virgo


    A white December, but no snow on Christmas Day
    Monday, September 16, 2013
    It’ll be a white December, but no snow on Christmas Day, according to long-range weather guru Ken Ring.

    By Lynn Kelliher
    The New Zealander, who predicted the deadly Christchurch earthquake and Ireland’s arctic winter in 2010, also forecast the country’s record-breaking July heat wave with uncanny accuracy back in January.

    The TV forecaster, who uses the moon, sun and tidal activity to make his forecasts, expects snow in Ireland in December but we may just miss out on a white Christmas.

    “Some southern areas may get isolated heavier falls but these are not expected to be widespread. There will be a sudden downward plunge into sub-zeros in the last few days of November. The first serious cold spell is in the last few days of November with the possibility of widespread snow on or near the last day.

    “December precipitation comes mostly in the first 12 days and after Boxing Day, so it should be mostly dry but cold across the country between the Dec 13 to Dec 25.

    “There may be chances of snow in the last days of the year and the first few days of January, in the third week of February and in the first week of March.”

    But the forecaster, who has penned his 450-page Irish weather almanac for 2014, is not expecting the arctic conditions of 2010 to return.

    He forecast quite a balmy run-in to the winter with a mild autumn expected from his charts.

    “Autumn may be looked back on as a mild one as regards temperatures. Despite one or two frost days, this year they may be less likely in either September or October.”

    He said he’s expecting the first crisp frosts to arrive later than usual.

    “October frosts are not unusual in Ireland around the last week, but probably not this year. Instead, widespread frosts are to be expected Nov 4 to Nov 8 and then Nov 18 to Nov 21.

    “October is likely to be generally wet and windy, with no useful dry spells.”

    He also expects a west-of-Ireland storm towards the end of October.
    © Irish Examiner Ltd. All rights reserved


  • #210
    Blizzard 2010
    Registered Users Posts: 245 ✭✭Blizzard 2010


    The British Met Office used to give a preliminary Winter around the 5th of October up until a few years ago.I remember the excitement and speculation it used to cause. I am still going for a mild changeable winter but another cold one cannot be ruled out. Next month is important and exciting:D


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  • #211
    Pigeon Reaper
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,294 ✭✭✭Pigeon Reaper


    Blizzard 2010 wrote: »
    The British Met Office used to give a preliminary Winter around the 5th of October up until a few years ago.I remember the excitement and speculation it used to cause. I am still going for a mild changeable winter but another cold one cannot be ruled out. Next month is important and exciting:D

    They stopped doing as it was at the limits of scientific forecasting. People didn't understand this and took all it said as a normal forecast as complained if it didn't pan out according to the long range trends. Despite improvements in the Models we only get shorter term forecasts.


  • #212
    Lumi
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,466 ✭✭✭Lumi


    Kippure wrote: »
    Joe bastardy has been going on for a couple of years that 2013 and 2014 winter would be the big one for Europe., even when he was at weatheronline and his weekly monthly videos would mention it.

    Been looking for what he has been saying presently for this winter, cant find much.

    Has anyone else found out much about what he is saying for this winter?

    If you want to keep an eye on Joe Bastardi's winter thoughts/forecasts the one week free trial to Weather Bell Premium I posted about previously is still working - but for how much longer I don't know. Details here
    The last update on Winter 2013/14 was in late August where he suggests severe cold during early to mid winter for Europe


  • #213
    jaffusmax
    Registered Users Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭jaffusmax




    Mild? @ 1:56


  • #214
    Clav
    Registered Users Posts: 27 ✭Clav


    Lads, we may all forget about thunder snow, broken F5 buttons and lamp post watching. :mad:

    I just passed a bright orange 132-D NRA snow plough on the M50. Pretty much confirms not a flake of snow is going to fall on the road network for at least 5 years I reckon.

    Looked like a proper job too - not just a flat back truck with a muck spreader stuck to it....


  • #215
    Blizzard 2010
    Registered Users Posts: 245 ✭✭Blizzard 2010


    Clav wrote: »
    Lads, we may all forget about thunder snow, broken F5 buttons and lamp post watching. :mad:

    I just passed a bright orange 132-D NRA snow plough on the M50. Pretty much confirms not a flake of snow is going to fall on the road network for at least 5 years I reckon.

    Looked like a proper job too - not just a flat back truck with a muck spreader stuck to it....
    Maybe they know something we dont. Preparation is the ticket:D


  • #216
    jaffusmax
    Registered Users Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭jaffusmax


    Clav wrote: »
    I just passed a bright orange 132-D NRA snow plough on the M50. .


    That will be used by Mods to Plough through Snow Bunnies who throw toys out of their prams this winter on here!


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  • #217
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 769 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October :(


  • #218
    dopolahpec
    Closed Accounts Posts: 510 ✭✭✭dopolahpec


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October :(

    Aaaand it's October. It's not uncommon for October to be mild and muggy. I quite like it. The Atlantic still hibernates.


  • #219
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October :(


    October has been mild for the last 5-6 years i say


  • #220
    Tindie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,259 ✭✭✭Tindie


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    I hate this mild weather and it's nearly October :(

    Don't forget 2 years ago today, there was heatwave up to 28 in places, I clad that didn't happen this year!.


  • #221
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,150 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    average_runner wrote: »
    October has been mild for the last 5-6 years i say

    Yes, certainly can be mild but also the potential for cold too. :)

    A couple of years ago there was lying snow in October...2009 IIRC (at the end of the month/27th).

    So...let the fun begin! :D Time to dust down those model links!!!


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  • #222
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,030 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Yes, certainly can be mild but also the potential for cold too. :)

    A couple of years ago there was lying snow in October...2009 IIRC (at the end of the month/27th).

    So...let the fun begin! :D Time to dust down those model links!!!

    Models bookmarked...check

    Netweather Extra Radar purchased...check

    Sanity ready to be lost...Check


  • #223
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,167 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Yes, certainly can be mild but also the potential for cold too. :)

    A couple of years ago there was lying snow in October...2009 IIRC (at the end of the month/27th).

    So...let the fun begin! :D Time to dust down those model links!!!

    I remember it was -5 on halloween night in 2008. That was the first frost in Cork in about 2 years but ushered in a very frosty (but not snowy) winter 08/09. The fun began then in winter 09/10.....


  • #224
    Iancar29
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    484.jpg

    :D:D:D


    274043.png


  • #225
    jaffusmax
    Registered Users Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭jaffusmax


    Iancar29 wrote: »

    274043.png


    47ab7eb8698a67db.gif


  • #226
    Frank Garrett
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 226 ✭✭Frank Garrett


    There was a dumping of snow on the east coast in October 2008. According to the Met Eireann website, it was sometime between 27th and 31st (didn't give it a proper read, just remember it was October 2008).


  • #227
    Blizzard 2010
    Registered Users Posts: 245 ✭✭Blizzard 2010


    Frank Garrett wrote: »
    There was a dumping of snow on the east coast in October 2008. According to the Met Eireann website, it was sometime between 27th and 31st (didn't give it a proper read, just remember it was October 2008).
    It was the 28th of October, it didnt last very long.


  • #228
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,428 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    Blizzard 2010 wrote: »
    It was the 28th of October, it didnt last very long.
    I remember that quite well ,i was plastering outside up near hollywood,headed home early to suncroft to cold wet rain.


  • #229
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 769 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    Ok did someone not say mt was do do his winter predictions in September?


  • #230
    Lucreto
    Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    Ok did someone not say mt was do do his winter predictions in September?

    The last few years it was the middle of October before he did his winter prediction.

    I am looking forward to seeing it whatever it brings.


  • #231
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    I feel an early winter this year. Think November will be COLD. :D


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  • #232
    Kippure
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    Blizzard 2010 wrote: »
    It was the 28th of October, it didnt last very long.

    October can be an interesting month.

    http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/33065-x-treme-irish-weather-october-2003/


  • #233
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,167 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    484.jpg

    :D:D:D


    274043.png


    Can I ask how you access the CFS on Meteociel?


  • #234
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,030 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Rebelbrowser wrote: »
    Can I ask how you access the CFS on Meteociel?

    Here ya go

    http://meteociel.fr/modeles/cfse_cartes.php


  • #235
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,752 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    average_runner wrote: »
    October has been mild for the last 5-6 years i say

    The mean temperature for where I live was 8.5C last year and 11.1C in 2011.
    So last October was cool.


  • #236
    patneve2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Frank Garrett wrote: »
    There was a dumping of snow on the east coast in October 2008. According to the Met Eireann website, it was sometime between 27th and 31st (didn't give it a proper read, just remember it was October 2008).

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055407835&page=10

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055408502

    Nice pics in second thread


  • #237
    patneve2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Kippure wrote: »
    October can be an interesting month.

    http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/33065-x-treme-irish-weather-october-2003/

    October 2003 is a perfect example of the instability and convection that is possible when the the sea is still relatively warm...Over 60mm of precipitation recorded at Dublin Airport between the 22nd and 23rd, similar amounts in Casement.


  • #238
    mick145
    Registered Users Posts: 85 ✭✭mick145


    Anyone have any kind of clue what weather the winter will be like?


  • #239
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,150 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    .....this way http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057012575 :)


  • #240
    jaffusmax
    Registered Users Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭jaffusmax


    Dramatic Increase in Snow Cover over Siberia



    Blocked COLD Winter



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  • #241
    dopolahpec
    Closed Accounts Posts: 510 ✭✭✭dopolahpec


    The hype is starting to build on the Netweather forum. Greenland Blocking a feature in FI. Extensive early snow cover in northern eurasia and a quiet Atlantic.

    Far too early for it to amount to anything substantial for predicting what will happen in December say. If people are just looking north and east, they may miss what comes from south and west if ya catch my (snow)drift.


  • #242
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Unfortunately looks like we are going to have some synoptics that we would be gasping at in winter in the next few weeks. Lets hope it's a long term trend and won't be wasted on.

    Really i want to see these synoptics from November 20th onwards!

    Nothing would beat some -10c 850hPa's over a +12c Irish sea in late November :D


  • #243
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,030 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Unfortunately looks like we are going to have some synoptics that we would be gasping at in winter in the next few weeks. Lets hope it's a long term trend and won't be wasted on.

    Really i want to see these synoptics from November 20th onwards!

    Nothing would beat some -10c 850hPa's over a +12c Irish sea in late November :D

    Ah could you imagine !

    This better lock in good and proper !!!!


  • #244
    Larbre34
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,355 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    We don't have to imagine, we caught the live show in Nov 2010! Although I imagine the sea temps will be higher still this year, unless we get a persistent cooling between now and then


  • #245
    Kenring
    Registered Users Posts: 515 ✭✭✭Kenring


    mick145 wrote: »
    Anyone have any kind of clue what weather the winter will be like?
    Winter not expected to be severe.
    A white Xmas is unlikely except in some isolated areas, but the last two days of the year may bring brief snow.
    Winter may serve some very cold spells and with rain, but not much snow is on the cards until the second half of February.
    Frosts may keep revisiting Ireland well into May.

    LIKELIHOOD OF SNOW
    November, last week
    December, last couple of days
    January, around 8th-9th
    Feb, third week
    March, first week and after 19th


  • #246
    Larbre34
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,355 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    'give hostage to fortune'

    defn. (idiomatic) To take an action or make a statement that is risky because it could cause you trouble later.


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  • #247
    Red Pepper
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,567 ✭✭✭Red Pepper


    Kenring wrote: »
    Winter not expected to be severe.
    A white Xmas is unlikely except in some isolated areas, but the last two days of the year may bring brief snow.
    Winter may serve some very cold spells and with rain, but not much snow is on the cards until the second half of February.
    Frosts may keep revisiting Ireland well into May.

    LIKELIHOOD OF SNOW
    November, last week
    December, last couple of days
    January, around 8th-9th
    Feb, third week
    March, first week and after 19th

    Hi Ken, by your reckoning, "higher ground" should get a few decent dumps of snow with cold/wet? I do love my winter hiking.


  • #248
    relaxed
    Closed Accounts Posts: 572 ✭✭✭relaxed


    Kenring wrote: »
    Winter not expected to be severe.
    A white Xmas is unlikely except in some isolated areas, but the last two days of the year may bring brief snow.
    Winter may serve some very cold spells and with rain, but not much snow is on the cards until the second half of February.
    Frosts may keep revisiting Ireland well into May.

    LIKELIHOOD OF SNOW
    November, last week
    December, last couple of days
    January, around 8th-9th
    Feb, third week
    March, first week and after 19th

    We are probably going to get a severe winter with lots of snow so:D


  • #249
    tylercollins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 845 ✭✭✭tylercollins


    relaxed wrote: »
    We are probably going to get a severe winter with lots of snow so:D

    ed7.jpg


  • #250
    average_runner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,855 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    Larbre34 wrote: »
    We don't have to imagine, we caught the live show in Nov 2010! Although I imagine the sea temps will be higher still this year, unless we get a persistent cooling between now and then


    2010 October was mild, remember it from the marathon trianing


  • #251
    whitebriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭whitebriar


    I know its changing tomorrow,but its been un naturally warm of late (something Ken said we'd not see anymore a few weeks ago...).
    Have I a wierd feeling that usually after such a long spell like this one ,a completely contrasting weather type may happen down the tracks to equalise things?


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