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Cheltenham 2021 Antepost

1246730

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭RivetingRoger


    Envoi being money against is simply betting on the horse getting there


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    Envoi being money against is simply betting on the horse getting there

    Still 7/4 on PP which I have availed of, won't last long.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Slattsy wrote: »
    General question; my guess is a lot of trainers will want to avoid Envoi Allen in the Marsh. So, what price is EV likely to go off on the day if he make it there fit and well?

    I'll say 4/6 :eek:
    Into 6/4 now. Wins his next race and he goes to Cheltenham as the Irish banker and they'll steam into him.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    I said posts ago, the horse is no longer a betting prospect.

    Anyone backing even money shots Antepost needs to give it up, I mean that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 823 ✭✭✭Coneygree


    Yorkhill and Vautour were both 6/4 on the day they won the JLT. You'd have to go back to Dynaste to find any horse shorter than that on the day. The race is bound to cut up hugely as nobody will want a piece of him if he hacks up the next day too, he's already a dodged horse. Could be a very short price in March.

    Saying that, I think 6/4 isn't a bad price for him at all at this stage. Put it this way, if I have to back Epatante or Envoi at 6/4 it's Envoi every time!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Still 7/4 on PP which I have availed of, won't last long.

    11/10 now, I'd say they got hammered when they were a standout 7/4.


  • Registered Users Posts: 823 ✭✭✭Coneygree


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    11/10 now, I'd say they got hammered when they were a standout 7/4.

    Jesus don't mind what I said, he'll be evens by Christmas.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Most of the horses in the betting won't be running lads. He goes off odds on. Easy.

    Biggest price I have I 5/2 but could look huge.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭RivetingRoger


    Have Envoi in a few AP doubles at 2/1 and 9/4


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Some lads have short memories, he'll be available at bigger than evens on the day. Save your money until then, his chance of not getting there is far more significant that the difference between the price he is now and the price he will be in march.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 823 ✭✭✭Coneygree


    https://twitter.com/kris1179/status/1333169858079584256?s=20

    https://twitter.com/Raceolly/status/1333170849894043648?s=20

    Did a fair bit of laughing at the above. What's daft is that you know some poor sod has backed her for the national. I guess fools and their money and all that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,429 ✭✭✭Morgans


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Some lads have short memories, he'll be available at bigger than evens on the day. Save your money until then, his chance of not getting there is far more significant that the difference between the price he is now and the price he will be in march.

    I don't believe he will be bigger than evens if getting there on the day. My short memory saw him going off at 4/7 last march. It will be something similar on the day. He will scare off most opposition.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Some lads have short memories, he'll be available at bigger than evens on the day. Save your money until then, his chance of not getting there is far more significant that the difference between the price he is now and the price he will be in march.

    I very much doubt your statement, can't see what or who could force him to go off odds against, not a hope. Five horses went off at odds on last year, four the previous year.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    If he gets there in one piece he goes off 1/2ish. People will fook everything on him and the bookies liabilities could be huge as he'll be in every double/treble too, if those other well fancies animals win before the Marsh - they wont be taking chances.

    He was backed into 4/7 last year on the day, in what looked a stronger race on paper than the Marsh looks now, and bookies wont take that chance again.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    How come he is not going for the RSA?

    If he is all that good?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,429 ✭✭✭Morgans


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    How come he is not going for the RSA?

    If he is all that good?

    Because the RSA can potentially be a brutal race and has a history of destroying younger horses. The aim for EA is the 2022 Gold Cup, not the RSA and there is no point risking bottoming him this year.

    Im not sure its a more prestigious race than the Marsh at this stage (more historic definitely) but if you are a classier horse rather than out and out stayer, go for the Marsh.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Morgans wrote: »
    Because the RSA can potentially be a brutal race and has a history of destroying younger horses. The aim for EA is the 2022 Gold Cup, not the RSA and there is no point risking bottoming him this year.

    Im not sure its a more prestigious race than the Marsh at this stage (more historic definitely) but if you are a classier horse rather than out and out stayer, go for the Marsh.

    So in other words connections are chicken shight ?

    I am glad I asked now.

    What race did Arkle, Denman, Best Mate, Al Boum Photo, Don Cossack , Lord Windermere, Bobs Worth etc etc all run in?

    I thought this thing was a superstar?

    Coneygree won the Gold Cup as a novice, why don't they go straight there in March?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,429 ✭✭✭Morgans


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    So in other words connections are chicken shight ?

    I am glad I asked now.

    What race did Arkle, Denman, Best Mate, Al Boum Photo, Don Cossack , Lord Windermere, Bobs Worth etc etc all run in?

    I thought this thing was a superstar?

    Coneygree won the Gold Cup as a novice, why don't they go straight there in March?

    You don't know enough on this to troll.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    So in other words connections are chicken shight ?

    I am glad I asked now.

    What race did Arkle, Denman, Best Mate, Al Boum Photo, Don Cossack , Lord Windermere, Bobs Worth etc etc all run in?

    I thought this thing was a superstar?

    Coneygree won the Gold Cup as a novice, why don't they go straight there in March?

    Jaysus, your Monday morning trolling is actually worse than your normal levels, maybe you need the run before showing your best form ;)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    The Marsh Chase role of honour,

    2011 Noble Prince
    2012 Sir Des Champs
    2013 Benefficient
    2014 Taquin du Seuil
    2015 Vautour
    2016 Black Hercules
    2017 Yorkhill
    2018 Shattered Love
    2019 Defi du Seuil
    2020 Samcro

    I am not seeing many Gold Cup winners lads and Lassies ? Looks like a list of also rans and overhyped flops to me?


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Jaysus, your Monday morning trolling is actually worse than your normal levels, maybe you need the run before showing your best form ;)

    Be nice.

    I always tell the truth... even when I lie.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,135 ✭✭✭akelly02


    run him in the arkle and we get a proper clash

    people on a whatsapp group saying this thing will never be bet etc its getting annoying


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Disagreeing with a consensus is not trolling either.

    I have seen good ones tinkered with before, to their detriment.

    If he is all that why not skip the RSA and go straight for the Gold Cup?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭piplip87


    Lads been looking at the Ballyadam race again. Surely that's the Supreme winner there.

    Although I have taken a look at Ngolo. What's the general feeling there ? He wasn't stopping at the line, the Ballymore ? Albert Bartlett?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    piplip87 wrote: »
    Lads been looking at the Ballyadam race again. Surely that's the Supreme winner there.

    Although I have taken a look at Ngolo. What's the general feeling there ? He wasn't stopping at the line, the Ballymore ? Albert Bartlett?

    Flew home. I'd guess Ballymore but hard to know with Willie bingo.

    Think Ballyadam wins where ever he goes.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    piplip87 wrote: »

    Although I have taken a look at Ngolo. What's the general feeling there ? He wasn't stopping at the line, the Ballymore ? Albert Bartlett?

    He should have been ridden closer up to the pace, the run in was short yesterday, I thought Townend should have had him closer to the pace.

    He looks useful, but I would like to see him win next time out before getting excited. At this stage last year Monkfish, Asterion Forlonge and the Big Getaway hadn't jumped a hurdle in anger.

    Don't listen to me though, I am just a troll who knows nothing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,429 ✭✭✭Morgans


    akelly02 wrote: »
    run him in the arkle and we get a proper clash

    people on a whatsapp group saying this thing will never be bet etc its getting annoying

    I think he would win the Arkle. It's a shame that the Marsh exists now and its unlikely that him and Shiskin will ever meet. His aim is Gold Cup 2022. Until then, its all just prep to get him right for then. Why not run Shiskin in the Marsh? There is no need to go out of your way to find a harder race than you need to, whether its Shiskin or Envoi Allen. To satisfy lads on whatsapp and the internet???

    If you are getting annoyed at it, so be it.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Morgans wrote: »
    I think he would win the Arkle. It's a shame that the Marsh exists now and its unlikely that him and Shiskin will ever meet. His aim is Gold Cup 2022. Until then, its all just prep to get him right for then. Why not run Shiskin in the Marsh? There is no need to go out of your way to find a harder race than you need to, whether its Shiskin or Envoi Allen. To satisfy lads on whatsapp and the internet???

    If you are getting annoyed at it, so be it.

    Neither of them would have a hope against Mt Leinster, different gravy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    Disagreeing with a consensus is not trolling either.

    I have seen good ones tinkered with before, to their detriment.

    If he is all that why not skip the RSA and go straight for the Gold Cup?

    Ok, so you are not trolling, I possibly gave you too much credit.

    You are however talking through your hat! Sometimes it is ok to agree with the consensus, you don't always have to be the cool kid who can see something that everyone else cant see!

    Mentioning Arkle, Denman, Don Cossack and Best Mate when trying to big up the RSA as a more worthy race that the March/JLT is one of your finer moments though :D:D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    piplip87 wrote: »
    Lads been looking at the Ballyadam race again. Surely that's the Supreme winner there.

    Although I have taken a look at Ngolo. What's the general feeling there ? He wasn't stopping at the line, the Ballymore ? Albert Bartlett?

    Ngolo wasn't suited by the pace or the small field, will be much more suited to a big field and an end to end gallop.

    Mullins. I am told, has at least three novices that are held in higher regard for the Supreme that Ngolo which is very worrying for anyone that has taken the 6/1 on Ballyadam.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Ok, so you are not trolling, I possibly gave you too much credit.

    You are however talking through your hat! Sometimes it is ok to agree with the consensus, you don't always have to be the cool kid who can see something that everyone else cant see!

    Mentioning Arkle, Denman, Don Cossack and Best Mate when trying to big up the RSA as a more worthy race that the March/JLT is one of your finer moments though :D:D

    As it stands he has taken the following names ...

    Assemble ( who?)
    January Jets ( is that a Caribbean airline ? )
    Easywork
    Elixirr D'ainay
    AbaCadabras ( by a length )
    Front View
    Blue Sari
    I am not arsed naming others atm.

    1/2 my eye.

    Everyone of ye need your heads examined, the winter is only starting.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭RivetingRoger


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Some lads have short memories, he'll be available at bigger than evens on the day. Save your money until then, his chance of not getting there is far more significant that the difference between the price he is now and the price he will be in march.

    No way Aidan. Not a hope in hell that horse goes off odds against of he gets there
    Absolutely nailed on to be 8/11 or so
    Absolute banker of the week


  • Registered Users Posts: 823 ✭✭✭Coneygree


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Ngolo wasn't suited by the pace or the small field, will be much more suited to a big field and an end to end gallop.

    Mullins. I am told, has at least three novices that are held in higher regard for the Supreme that Ngolo which is very worrying for anyone that has taken the 6/1 on Ballyadam.

    Ferny, Appreciate It and Shewearsitwell? Sure at least two of them won't end up in the Supreme.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Ngolo wasn't suited by the pace or the small field, will be much more suited to a big field and an end to end gallop.

    Mullins. I am told, has at least three novices that are held in higher regard for the Supreme that Ngolo which is very worrying for anyone that has taken the 6/1 on Ballyadam.

    I have Ballyadam for both races, but i do hope he goes Ballymore. Always said he looks like a stayer. Cant see them running Ferny Hollow in both races, but who knows.


  • Registered Users Posts: 823 ✭✭✭Coneygree


    Slattsy wrote: »
    I have Ballyadam for both races, but i do hope he goes Ballymore. Always said he looks like a stayer. Cant see them running Ferny Hollow in both races, but who knows.

    Gordon said Supreme definitely yesterday in an interview after the race. I backed him for the Ballymore yesterday as a cover just in case but I'm all in for the Supreme.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    As it stands he has taken the following names ...

    Assemble ( who?)
    January Jets ( is that a Caribbean airline ? )
    Easywork
    Elixirr D'ainay
    AbaCadabras ( by a length )
    Front View
    Blue Sari
    I am not arsed naming others atm.

    1/2 my eye.

    Everyone of ye need your heads examined, the winter is only starting.

    10 from 10, 5 Grade ones and two festival wins at 6 years old.

    Go one so tell us all what horse is out there that is going to prevent the horse going off odds on in March?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭RivetingRoger


    There is a very real possibility of a chevely 5 timer at the festival!!!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    There is a very real possibility of a chevely 5 timer at the festival!!!

    That sounds like a bet in fairness, Even do trebles, quads and the 5 timer.

    That would be a nice enjoyable bet to have on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    Coneygree wrote: »
    Ferny, Appreciate It and Shewearsitwell? Sure at least two of them won't end up in the Supreme.

    I assume its those, was simply told after yesterday's race that they were delighted with yesterday as Ngolo was considered their fourth string at best for the Supreme.


  • Registered Users Posts: 823 ✭✭✭Coneygree


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    I assume its those, was simply told after yesterday's race that they were delighted with yesterday as Ngolo was considered their fourth string at best for the Supreme.

    I really wish he'd have ran SWIW yesterday. If she lost then all well and good, go to the Mares Novice but if she won then jesus you're a right yoke for the Supreme.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    Coneygree wrote: »
    I really wish he'd have ran SWIW yesterday. If she lost then all well and good, go to the Mares Novice but if she won then jesus you're a right yoke for the Supreme.

    Yeah, she picked up what is hoped to be a very minor injury in her prep run in the curragh. She is entered in the Grade one in Leopardstown over Christmas so hopefully she is back in rude health for that.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    10 from 10, 5 Grade ones and two festival wins at 6 years old.

    Go one so tell us all what horse is out there that is going to prevent the horse going off odds on in March?

    I never said he was a bad horse, in fairness.

    But he is starting to get overhyped and I am genuine about dissing the Marsh Chase, who the phuck wins that anyway?

    You need to strike when the iron is hot, if he is all that he should be getting aimed at the best races.

    Just saying.

    There are lots of good horses out there that can beat other good horses, this is racing, there are no sure things, believe.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    I never said he was a bad horse, in fairness.

    But he is starting to get overhyped and I am genuine about dissing the Marsh Chase, who the phuck wins that anyway?

    You need to strike when the iron is hot, if he is all that he should be getting aimed at the best races.

    Just saying.

    There are lots of good horses out there that can beat other good horses, this is racing, there are no sure things, believe.

    Of course he is not a sure thing, if he was he would be 1/10.

    Who wants to win the Marsh? Loads of people, exactly as many as want to win the RSA I would say. The Marsh is only 10 years old, the most impressive winner of either race in that time was unquestionably Vatour.

    100% if I had a Gold Cup horse with the gears that this lad has I would be running him in the Marsh this year, you called it a cowardly route which is silly in the extreme, any other route would be foolhardy.

    Bumper- Ballymore - Marsh - Gold Cup its a pretty standard template for a horse with his credentials.


  • Registered Users Posts: 858 ✭✭✭Plasandrunt


    Hearing that Micro Manage is Willie's main Supreme hopeful, waiting to see him entered before I back him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 627 ✭✭✭zpehtsfd


    Coneygree wrote: »
    Gordon said Supreme definitely yesterday in an interview after the race. I backed him for the Ballymore yesterday as a cover just in case but I'm all in for the Supreme.

    When did he say this? I was watching the RTE coverage and the interviewer mentioned the Supreme but GE made no remark and went on to mention his next run over 2m at Christmas.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    Hearing that Micro Manage is Willie's main Supreme hopeful, waiting to see him entered before I back him.

    Will certainly be one of interest, considering his last win on the flat and at the time Mullins said that he had schooled over hurldes and was a sound jumper.

    That was nearly two years ago though, was there a problem?


  • Registered Users Posts: 858 ✭✭✭Plasandrunt


    zpehtsfd wrote: »
    When did he say this? I was watching the RTE coverage and the interviewer mentioned the Supreme but GE made no remark and went on to mention his next run over 2m at Christmas.


    https://www.racingtv.com/videos/watch/ondemand/98076

    1.40 on


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Of course he is not a sure thing, if he was he would be 1/10.

    Who wants to win the Marsh? Loads of people, exactly as many as want to win the RSA I would say. The Marsh is only 10 years old, the most impressive winner of either race in that time was unquestionably Vatour.

    100% if I had a Gold Cup horse with the gears that this lad has I would be running him in the Marsh this year, you called it a cowardly route which is silly in the extreme, any other route would be foolhardy.

    Bumper- Ballymore - Marsh - Gold Cup its a pretty standard template for a horse with his credentials.

    As i said the Marsh Chase roll of honour is there for all to see.

    Mickey Mouse Plate race, I said it first.

    Not many bumper winners turn out to be much either it needs to be said.

    What has he beaten?


  • Registered Users Posts: 858 ✭✭✭Plasandrunt


    Pogue eile wrote: »
    Will certainly be one of interest, considering his last win on the flat and at the time Mullins said that he had schooled over hurldes and was a sound jumper.

    That was nearly two years ago though, was there a problem?

    I think it was a case of he was only a 2 year old and they wanted to get some experience into him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭Pogue eile


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    As i said the Marsh Chase roll of honour is there for all to see.

    Mickey Mouse Plate race, I said it first.

    Not many bumper winners turn out to be much either it needs to be said.

    What has he beaten?

    Every single horse that has been put in front of him.

    Let me turn the question around, I already have but you have ignored it, what beats it??


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