Lightning,Torrential Rain & Gale Force Winds for Wednesday Night/Thursday Morning

Met Eireann's take on the week ahead updated at 1613-

The weather this week will be very unsettled with some very wet and very windy spells and some disruptive conditions possible.

Monday night: Windy and cloudy with scattered outbreaks of rain. Lowest temperatures 4 to 9 degrees.

Tuesday: A spell of heavy rain will clear to sunny spells and some passing showers. Highest temperatures 10 to 13 degrees. A very windy day with a possibility of gales and storm force damaging gusts in the west and northwest as a deepening storm depression in the Atlantic tracks close to the northwest of Ireland. More heavy rain will develop over the southwest, west and north with sleet over high ground.

Wednesday: Some sunny spells and overall although cloudy with some showery outbreaks of rain, many areas will have a good deal of dry weather. A very windy day with strong southerly winds gusting to gale force. Relatively mild with temperatures of 10 to 13 degrees.

Thursday: Another wet and windy day with spells of heavy rain. Continuing relatively mild and windy with temperatures again 10 to 13 degrees in strong to gale force southerly winds.

Friday & next weekend: A high possibility of cold weather with a mixture of sunny intervals and heavy showers of rain and hail.

Gusty in exposed areas/open locations at them moment:

Johnstown Castle-Gust 23 Knots
Connaught-Gust 28 Knots
Mace Head-Gust 36 Knots
Roaches Point Gust 38 Knots
Sherkin Islands-Gust 40 Knots
Valentia-31 Knots.
Pressure ranging from 999 to 1009 across the country.

Wind varying quite a bit down there Su.

Update on previous model roundup, GEM now at 60h and UKMO generally agree with GME, I would say, in developing at least equal strength winds to the incoming event, and peak winds on Tuesday evening towards midnight, Not sure how many versions of Hirlam can be accessed, the one that I use is also similar to the above. So far, model consensus is probably in the range of near to equal wind event, somewhat colder, squally front embedded rather than the long-duration warm frontal rainfall we are seeing with the current system.

However, "king Euro" has yet to speak and after Sandy, I regard the rest of the ensemble as a way to pass the time until he doeth.

A Gust of 44 Knots at Sherkin Islands. 997hpa at Belmullet and Mace Head.

ECM has downgraded for now, however with so much model confusion evident, would suggest that 00z run might restore the system. For now, we can say that there is no overwhelming evidence for strong winds on Tuesday evening or overnight into Wednesday morning. Today's system somewhat slower on ECM which is perhaps why the Tuesday system is downgraded, not enough room for development in the wake of slowly filling low north of Scotland. Situation looks volatile to me and there's a lot of potential energy to work with mid-week to Friday. Something could explode out of this mess sooner or later. Needs a better "kicker" than we see on upper air panels of models. Would compare to the usual Barcelona buildup, you never know when they will stop passing it around and Messi or Iniesta will get open.

Extremely windy here in West Wicklow

Very windy here in kildare and has been for the last hour. Rain has eased off.

Su Campu wrote: »

There's an amazing difference in windspeeds between Dublin Airport and Casement, only 11 miles apart, at 2100.

DUBLIN 16013KT
CASEMENT 18031G47KT

Probably some Fohn effect.

Very windy here for the past hour with very strong gusts. Bins and garden furniture getting thrown around. Closer to Casement than Dublin Airport here in D.16.