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Ex Katia storm thread - TECHNICAL DISCUSSION, FORECASTS AND OBSERVATIONS ONLY!

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    #302
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,363 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I think the summary for 00z guidance is faster arrival, slight weakening trend due to northward track shift of about 1 deg. But NOGAPS has moved against the herd to show a stronger outcome.

    Still a dangerous storm for the northwest and who knows which way the road will turn later today ... the hurricane looks to be fighting the colder water southeast of Newfoundland but will be back over somewhat warmer water later today.

    The details on any frontal processes Sunday night may also bring in some last-minute changes in wind forecasts at least locally.


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    #303
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    The general trend seems to be now that the storm isnt going to be extremely dangerous and I see Met Eireann have put the gusts down to 120kmph. Hopefully it will steer a bit east and make it stormier for everyone.
    Harps wrote: »
    Either of you near Sliabh League? Wont get many windier spots than up there on Monday!

    I'm 20 mins from there, but I wouldn't fancy being up there with those winds incase I got blown away! :)


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    #304
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Odd the NHC website has been down for me the past day, but If I use a proxy it works fine, maybe they stopped letting people outside of USA use their site.

    o5SQL.gif


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    #305
    Winger_PL
    Registered Users Posts: 295 ✭✭Winger_PL


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    I WANNA GOOO!!! :(:(:(

    Then pick up some red bulls when leaving work Monday morning. The chase is on.


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    #306
    John mac
    Registered Users Posts: 5,112 ✭✭✭John mac


    Met Erieann have the stronger winds in the east on Monday.:eek:
    173907.jpg


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    #307
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    John mac wrote: »
    Met Erieann have the stronger winds in the east on Monday.:eek:
    They don't know their right from their left :pac:


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    #308
    sunbabe08
    Registered Users Posts: 6,316 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    seriously last night, the wind was howling, surely it can't be as bad as it was last night


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    #309
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Last night was only a small starter portion. Wait till ye see the size of the main course tomorrow night !


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    #310
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    What's the Dublin wind record ? How will this event compare ?


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    #311
    John.Icy
    Registered Users Posts: 2,013 ✭✭✭John.Icy


    Not expecting much down here....similar to last night probably....looking for a nice southward push today...its only fair you Northerns share the interesting weather :)


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    #312
    leahyl
    Registered Users Posts: 14,246 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Aaaw I really hope it changes course and we get a good storm down here :-D


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    #313
    Tactical
    Registered Users Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    Been far too long since we had a decent one :)

    Fingers crossed :):)


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    #314
    John.Icy
    Registered Users Posts: 2,013 ✭✭✭John.Icy


    John mac wrote: »
    Met Erieann have the stronger winds in the east on Monday.

    Ignoring the 62 over Ulster? :)

    The west does seem a bit off though.


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    #315
    NIALL D
    Registered Users Posts: 671 ✭✭✭NIALL D


    Tactical wrote: »
    Been far too long since we had a decent one :)

    Fingers crossed :):)

    defo , would be nice to see a decent one alright...


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    #316
    philstar
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,986 ✭✭✭philstar


    nevermind sunday night it looks like its right on our doorstep right now

    http://www.sat24.com/


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    #317
    kkontour
    Registered Users Posts: 351 ✭✭kkontour


    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html
    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/verda_animasjon.html


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    #318
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    6z slightly further south.

    We would need to see the next 3 runs continue in this vain before i became particularly worried about its impact for IMBY.

    Meanwhile the northwest is still at risk for gusts to 80 knots.

    Rtavn481.png


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    #319
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    philstar wrote: »
    nevermind sunday night it looks like its right on our doorstep right now

    http://www.sat24.com/

    Oh that's just her much smaller baby brother. He's loosening a few leaves for her.


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    #320
    gozunda
    Registered Users Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Winds getting up since last night with gusts of 50-60 km (lots of small broken branches)

    Winds coming from wsw and strenghtening....


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    #321
    je55ie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 423 ✭✭je55ie


    MTC quoted in the Irish Daily Star :
    "IWO forecaster Peter O'Donnell said "Severe Storm conditions will arrive shortly after midnight Sunday and last through most of Monday"

    Headline though - "100mph winds to batter Ireland"


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    #322
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Irish Daily Mail has same quote from M.T. And headline reads "Now we have to endure a Storm!"


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    #323
    kerrywez
    Registered Users Posts: 96 ✭✭kerrywez


    irish1967 wrote: »
    Oh that's just her much smaller baby brother. He's loosening a few leaves for her.

    And lets not forget that she is going to eat that little boy for her breakfast before she hits us right. Her little brother is blowing well here in Kerry, as he has been all night, at least the fishing should be good after she has done her worst.

    Regards Wez


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    #324
    sunbabe08
    Registered Users Posts: 6,316 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    philstar wrote: »
    nevermind sunday night it looks like its right on our doorstep right now

    http://www.sat24.com/

    grrrr @ this little bugger. youghal will have to wait another day, i'll be blown away by the looks of things.

    wouldn't mind being in tramore tomorrow or monday, 10ft swells!!!!! that would be a sweet site to see


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    #325
    zenno
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,377 ✭✭✭zenno


    The views of iWeather Online Senior Forecaster Peter O’Donnell

    An advance alert is warranted for coastal regions from Clare to Donegal. For a zone further east and south including Kerry I would suggest the frequent crossing of fingers because this will not be a non-event so much as a marginal-to-damaging wind potential situation. There will almost definitely be widespread gusts near 50 knots from this, and with trees in full leaf and somewhat saturated ground conditions, trees can rather easily come down in such winds (as demonstrated with Irene in New York state and some other places recently).
    Bottom line is this — if you live in Clare, Galway, Mayo, Sligo, Donegal, Derry, north Antrim or nearby parts of other counties, and not in some deep valley with hills off to your southwest, you should expect storm or hurricane force wind gusts between 0600 and 1500 hours on Monday. If you live in a region including most of Ulster, Leinster north and west of Dublin, or west Munster, you should be on alert for gusts between gale and storm force in a slightly later time frame. If you live in the southeast, you may be off the hook for now.


    Katia.png

    Katia.gif

    http://www.stormpulse.com/


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    #326
    200motels
    Registered Users Posts: 2,602 ✭✭✭200motels


    sunbabe08 wrote: »
    grrrr @ this little bugger. youghal will have to wait another day, i'll be blown away by the looks of things.

    wouldn't mind being in tramore tomorrow or monday, 10ft swells!!!!! that would be a sweet site to see
    I'll be out there.


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    #327
    gbee
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Is this weather traces of Irene?


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    #328
    eddiem10
    Closed Accounts Posts: 177 ✭✭eddiem10


    Any links to webcams? Heres one from Ballina.... Calm at the moment!
    http://www.ballinalive.com/index.php/The-Ridge-Pool-Live-Web-Camera.html


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    #329
    zenno
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,377 ✭✭✭zenno


    gbee wrote: »
    Is this weather traces of Irene?

    no, hurricane katia


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    #330
    Flecktarn
    Registered Users Posts: 1,916 ✭✭✭Flecktarn


    Fair enough the winds could be/will be shocking on Monday but what level of rainfall would be expectied in the West of the country?


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    #331
    sdanseo
    Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    zenno wrote: »
    no, hurricane katia

    He means the weather right now, not in 2 days' time.

    Looking forward to see what comes of this - could potentially still be a hurricane at 30-20W despite it being "impossible" as the BBC said...


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