After Time Ansell Thread

yaboya1 · 15-11-2019 6:30pm

aidankkk wrote: »

All i meant there was that over a 3 years period and over a 1000 selections, i only picked 14-15 4/1 or less shots and they all won. ( the vast majority of mine at over 25/1. So i only picked those at a rate of 1 every 3 months or so.

Which is exactly what he's saying?

Disregard the horses above 4/1.
That's 100% strike rate on selections priced to win 50% (if you assume they were all evens) of the time. So according to the prices, only 7/8 of those should win (less than that if you're claiming they were bigger than evens) and you're claiming you backed 15/15.
I think he has a point, but I don't think it matters because nobody else seems to follow so you're getting off lightly.

Btw you said the brits had no chance of winning any of the novice chases at Cheltenham last March. I'm certain they were below 4/1 for that and you were spectacularly wrong there.

Fanny Wank · 15-11-2019 9:06pm

Predicting the future in job interviews by the f*cling throat

https://twitter.com/StateOfLinkedIn/status/1195428415060492288?s=19

mickey1979 · 16-11-2019 12:45am

yaboya1 wrote: »

Which is exactly what he's saying?

Disregard the horses above 4/1.
That's 100% strike rate on selections priced to win 50% (if you assume they were all evens) of the time. So according to the prices, only 7/8 of those should win (less than that if you're claiming they were bigger than evens) and you're claiming you backed 15/15.
I think he has a point, but I don't think it matters because nobody else seems to follow so you're getting off lightly.

Btw you said the brits had no chance of winning any of the novice chases at Cheltenham last March. I'm certain they were below 4/1 for that and you were spectacularly wrong there.

I don’t remember how many Aidan had in a row but I backed a fair few of his horses over the years and I remember that run of 4/1 shots Sprint Sacre was one for sure.

Labhras OMurchu · 16-11-2019 12:36pm

Note to everyone, whether it (this or other aftertimes) happened or not its still aftertiming

Shemale wrote: »

Of course it is €1 on each selection is quite a way from a €1 accumulator in a three year period. You were calculating huge odds and prattling on about the lotto

I'd strongly suggest you give up gambling tbh

aidankkk wrote: »

All i meant there was that over a 3 years period and over a 1000 selections, i only picked 14-15 4/1 or less shots and they all won. ( the vast majority of mine at over 25/1. So i only picked those at a rate of 1 every 3 months or so.

Still a colossal aftertime, and the chances of it happening are still as I posted.

yaboya1 wrote: »

Which is exactly what he's saying?

Disregard the horses above 4/1.
That's 100% strike rate on selections priced to win 50% (if you assume they were all evens) of the time. So according to the prices, only 7/8 of those should win (less than that if you're claiming they were bigger than evens) and you're claiming you backed 15/15.
I think he has a point, but I don't think it matters because nobody else seems to follow so you're getting off lightly.

Btw you said the brits had no chance of winning any of the novice chases at Cheltenham last March. I'm certain they were below 4/1 for that and you were spectacularly wrong there.

A sensible comment on this topic, surprising

mickey1979 wrote: »

I don’t remember how many Aidan had in a row but I backed a fair few of his horses over the years and I remember that run of 4/1 shots Sprint Sacre was one for sure.

Still aftertiming

Probably worth noting how many people abused Goat for not giving up gambling after some horse lost yet again nobody (bar me) pulls Clueless Aidan up for the same thing. He just can't stop seeking attention. Probably wasn't hugged enough as a child, or was hugged too much

IAMAMORON · 16-11-2019 12:40pm

Thanks Goat for reminding us all , any coinflips for today?

Labhras OMurchu · 17-11-2019 10:58am

IAMAMORON wrote: »

Thanks Goat for reminding us all , any coinflips for today?

Username checks out. Yet still nobody can actually rebut what I post, they just sling mud in solidarity with Clueless/Aftertiming Aidan

Yesterday's effort

aidankkk wrote: »

‪2.25‬

‪I’ve looked at this a few time and settled on Eamon on Cnoic as the value . He is weighted to turn around the firm on the fav here on his festival run and 20 on Betfair is certainly value . He also has form on heavy ‬

Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:

longshotvalue · 17-11-2019 11:11am

Labhras OMurchu wrote: »

Username checks out. Yet still nobody can actually rebut what I post, they just sling mud in solidarity with Clueless/Aftertiming Aidan

Yesterday's effort

Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:

I’m only in this for the crack mate . It’s not like I’m being paid for tips . Shock horror I tipped a 20-1 looser, that fell at the second .

Why doing you just lay all my tips . Easy money .

Francie Barrett · 17-11-2019 11:52am

Labhras OMurchu wrote: »

Username checks out. Yet still nobody can actually rebut what I post, they just sling mud in solidarity with Clueless/Aftertiming Aidan

Yesterday's effort

Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:

Would you ever just piss off - your contribution here is less than nothing.

Labhras OMurchu · 17-11-2019 12:02pm

Clueless Aidan I'm not sure if you're trying to deflect (away from your cluelessness) or you're illiterate (repeat after me it's "lose" not "loose". "LOSE" this is basic primary school stuff) but the point I was making wasn't around the fact your tip won/lost

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Would you ever just piss off - your contribution here is less than nothing.

For the zillionth time, why is it ok for the forum to constantly pull up one clueless spoofing charlatan (Goat) but not another (Aidan)? At least everyone recognises Goat is a clown

IAMAMORON · 17-11-2019 1:49pm

When the fun stops.

Shemale · 17-11-2019 2:21pm

aidankkk wrote: »

All i meant there was that over a 3 years period and over a 1000 selections, i only picked 14-15 4/1 or less shots and they all won. ( the vast majority of mine at over 25/1. So i only picked those at a rate of 1 every 3 months or so.

I understood you, I dont know how many thread you have had with tons of long priced winners, its clear you rarely back shorties.

Shemale · 17-11-2019 2:31pm

Labhras OMurchu wrote: »

Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:

Ruby gave the same horse a chance before the race, but sure he knows nothing :rolleyes:

Peintre Celebre · 17-11-2019 3:34pm

Shemale wrote: »

Ruby gave the same horse a chance before the race, but sure he knows nothing :rolleyes:

Former jockeys not known for their punting prowess in fairness. Nor would they be let near a trading room

BumperD · 21-11-2019 4:01am

Neil knew

https://www.independent.ie/sport/columnists/neil-francis-munster-should-have-thought-outside-the-box-instead-of-defending-with-their-lives-38711418.html

“Neil Francis: 'Munster should have thought outside the box instead of defending with their lives'”

Fanny Wank · 22-11-2019 1:05am

Logistic regression by the bollox

https://twitter.com/RufusPeabody/status/1197658028608241667?s=19

https://twitter.com/MesutOatesil/status/1197659883480453120?s=19

mickey1979 · 23-11-2019 3:28pm

He Knew

Itziger · 23-11-2019 7:10pm

Lad calling himself HumtyDumpty on the Guardian Racing page....

I had £1,106.29 on Cyrname @ 5/2 which constituted my entire accumulated winnings from Chris Froome's 2016 and 2017 Tour de France victories; I'd been impatiently waiting for the right opportunity.

Chris Froome!!!!!!

BoldReason · 23-11-2019 7:13pm

Mother of christ they are 2 absolute crackers

IAMAMORON · 23-11-2019 7:55pm

Itziger wrote: »

Lad calling himself HumtyDumpty on the Guardian Racing page....

I had £1,106.29 on Cyrname @ 5/2 which constituted my entire accumulated winnings from Chris Froome's 2016 and 2017 Tour de France victories; I'd been impatiently waiting for the right opportunity.

Chris Froome!!!!!!

Long grass sniping by the L'Alpe d'Huez 's.

BoldReason · 23-11-2019 11:48pm

https://twitter.com/TipsterFollow/status/1198360894838673408?s=19

Fanny Wank · 01-12-2019 2:47pm

https://twitter.com/Billy5plus2/status/1201126878024785920?s=19

Fanny Wank · 01-12-2019 2:48pm

Must throw up Stings latest whopper next time I'm on my laptop

BoldReason · 29-01-2020 11:34pm

Kauto wrote: »

Had 100E/W on Rightdownthemiddle when trained by Mulvanny at 20/1 on Friday night in Ladbrokes for a race in Fairyhouse next day. Woman put price on docket for me no bother. Horse won at 5/1 I think. Went to collect they offered me SP.
Got in contact with Hayley o'Connor who worked for them at the time and she sorted payment. Any threat of bad publicity they pay immediately.

Game by the Rightdownthemiddle's

Fanny Wank · 22-02-2020 10:40pm

Paul Carberry repeatedly saving your festival by the bollox

https://twitter.com/david_brayshaw/status/1231332169341075456?s=19

Fanny Wank · 22-02-2020 10:45pm

Good few on the same conversation FFS

https://twitter.com/weatherpunter/status/1231333384565252097?s=19

https://twitter.com/Iamyoz/status/1231331092487114753?s=19

Peintre Celebre · 23-02-2020 1:56am

BoldReason wrote: »

https://twitter.com/TipsterFollow/status/1198360894838673408?s=19

Sting is that you?

Fanny Wank · 23-02-2020 11:15am

Too much after timing on that Frenchman's Creek conversation to post them all FFS

IAMAMORON · 23-02-2020 11:58am

Are you all set for Cheltenham Fanny ****?

Do you fancy anything at a price or has anything caught your eye over the last 6 months?

Clique · 23-02-2020 6:36pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

Are you all set for Cheltenham Fanny ****?

Do you fancy anything at a price or has anything caught your eye over the last 6 months?

Could you at least wait until some races are over before spouting out winners :pac:

Gavin "shels" · 11-03-2020 9:58am

Damon has the game by the absolute bollox

https://twitter.com/MoffattDamon/status/1237499544423841794

BoldReason · 11-03-2020 10:15am

Imagine backing the winner of every race indluding 33/1 a few 16/1 shots and 12/1 and making 1500 quid. I'd consider that a losing day.

The Tetrarch · 11-03-2020 11:19am

BoldReason wrote: »

Imagine backing the winner of every race indluding 33/1 a few 16/1 shots and 12/1 and making 1500 quid. I'd consider that a losing day.

What a player.
If he would just put up his day 2 selections we could all be billionaires this evening.

Gavin "shels" · 11-03-2020 12:00pm

BoldReason wrote: »

Imagine backing the winner of every race indluding 33/1 a few 16/1 shots and 12/1 and making 1500 quid. I'd consider that a losing day.

He forgot to mention he had the Super Heniz backed too...

Gregk961 · 16-04-2020 10:17pm

thefiestaguy
Incredible. Reminds me of a recent race I backed, early this year. Can’t remember the horse or jockey but it was a 2 mile 4 furlong race... towards the start of the race the horse in question was being severely ridden along and probably about 15-20 lengths behind the leader, it went off at about 9/2 and shot up in price to 25/1, so I backed it with a £5 punt in race, (I’d seen a 25/1 win a race followed by a 40/1 win the next race a few weeks prior and thought why the hell not, anything can happen!).

Fast forward about 40 seconds and suddenly the horse I punted, fully expecting it to fade and be pulled up, started getting a second wind and caught up, not only that but in the final half mile it stayed on very well and shot past the leader in the final furlong or so. Netting me a cool £130 from £5.

Not the biggest win, of course, I once had £4,700 from a £10 accumulator, back in summer 2017, but still a nice profit on a single race, especially from what looked like a hopeless position.

Just looking at a few old clips on YouTube and spotted this clinker underneath.

Global pandemics do not deter aftertimers

Itziger · 17-04-2020 7:24am

Gregk961 wrote: »

Just looking at a few old clips on YouTube and spotted this clinker underneath.

Global pandemics do not deter aftertimers

Can't remember the horse or jockey!!

Gregk961 · 17-04-2020 8:25am

Itziger wrote: »

Can't remember the horse or jockey!!

Gave us the distance though to narrow it down

Francie Barrett · 16-03-2021 6:35pm

It's that time of the year again

https://twitter.com/Adams_gg_bets/status/1371835027974197250

Coneygree · 16-03-2021 7:01pm

Francie Barrett wrote: »

It's that time of the year again

https://twitter.com/Adams_gg_bets/status/1371835027974197250

I'll give him a small bit of credit that he at least posted a slip as proof.

Game by the absolute vintage misclicks.

After Time Ansell Thread

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