Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

current open bets


France for 6 Nations @ 12/1 (currently 7/1)

Bristol for Premiership @ 28/1 (currently 14/1)

D Kearney Pro 14 top try scorer @ 15/2


for the weekend coming
Leinster -6
Munster -1
connacht +8
quins +12

all @ 10/11

and small acca @ 12 /1

franglan wrote: »

Connacht plus 15 handicap @4/9. This will be close, Gloucester on a terrible run. May just edge it but not by much.

If you think it's going to be close, why would you bet longer than the spread?

Stockdale anytime @13/10

Two or more @5/1

the connacht one was always the dodgy one for me.. id have liked about another 3 points on it.

Gloucester have a formidable back row, but connacht have a better back line. If connacht can get parity up front i think they should cover the spread... gloucester would be happy to take it 4-1

Early spreads out for this weekends games

ulster scratch v quins over there.
Quins practically out already, and ulster in a great position to top the group if they can get at least 4 here and take at least 1 away in clermont.
i think ulster werent as good as they could be last weekend, and quins threw the sink at them to keep their euro hopes alive.
Ulsters lack of BPs could end up hurting them so this really is a must win game for them, or they could be looking at an away fixture against a poll winner in the QFs

Leinster -19 is probably about 2 points too strong IMHO, though saints are still in with a good 2nd place qf hope. Lyons interest in this comp is isnt great so saints will be hoping for 4 away there in round 6. If saints are within 10 by the 60th min they will fight to the end.... if not leinster could open up to put 50 on them.

munster +10 v saracens is generous i think. i was expecting about +15. Sarries will bring the big guns back and munster will be without botha, and will have a tiring murray trying to run the show. This could end up being very sore for munster. i dont expect the spread to change much as munster will go all out and the only question is what team will sarries put out.

connacht -3 is about right. they will be disappointed not to take anything last weeknd, and if they dont win this weekend they are completely out.

so my nap currently is sarries -10, but i might wait until further into the week to put anything on..... until selection rumours start to flow

Leinstertomas wrote: »

Have a feeling Ulster will beat that Quins side fairly easily, possibly aiming for a BP.

Ulster -9 @7/4
Ulster - 3 @10/11
Ulster and Toulouse double @2/1
And wee bet on Ulster by 21-30 @8/1

:D:D:D

thats a very sweet list !!

sydthebeat wrote: »

leinster gone from -25 to -28 after teams named.

ulster at one stage were as narrow as -1 but are now -4

so theres some value in the pro14 this weekend, with 4 of the 7 games having a spread of less than -4 and one other at -7


im on:
leinster -25 @ evens
ulster -3 @ evens

and a double on
dragons -4:D, blues -1 :mad: @ 2.6/1

good enough return last weekend, disappointed the blues couldnt get over the line.

sydthebeat wrote: »

The money is following sarries, gone to -14 now.

I have absolutely no idea how this game will go.

I think I'll go for under 50.5 points @10/11 and under 6.5 tries @10/11

I'll definitely take one of those two, after that first half!

Leinstertomas wrote: »

Double on Ireland and Crusaders HT/FT @EVENS
Double on Ireland and Crusaders both to score first try and lead HT @2/1

I like the second bet, but I also wouldn't be surprised to see the tahs maul over in the first five minutes