Autumn 2018 - General discussion

MJohnston · 06-11-2018 4:04pm

Some good precipitations totals in Dublin over the last few days, which we desperately need if we aren't going to fall further behind in rainfall deficit for the year. It's miserable out, but if that's the price we have to pay for the brilliant weather of the last half a year, I'll take it.

Artane2002 · 06-11-2018 4:12pm

VERY dark here in Dublin 5 but with light rain.

Gonzo · 06-11-2018 4:32pm

absolutely awful dark, damp muck here. Lights on since lunch time. Unfortunately the Atlantic muck looks like it's here to stay for the majority of November at least.

SleetAndSnow · 06-11-2018 6:08pm

Manky weather in Cork City. Heavy rain all morning till about 11am, since then its been very heavy showers every hour or so, hard to do much

Got soaked walking home from school.

Gaoth Laidir · 06-11-2018 7:50pm

This month's looking like a repeat of November 2009.

highdef · 06-11-2018 8:06pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

This month's looking like a repeat of November 2009.

That might not be such a bad thing as that was a pretty good winter.

km79 · 06-11-2018 8:34pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

This month's looking like a repeat of November 2009.

Please god no

km79 · 06-11-2018 8:35pm

highdef wrote: »

That might not be such a bad thing as that was a pretty good winter.

It was a pretty bad thing for all the people whose homes flooded this side of the Shannon

giveitholly · 06-11-2018 8:44pm

Hard to see flooding this winter when water levels are so low at the moment

dublinman1990 · 06-11-2018 9:19pm

It was a very wet day with high winds in Dublin today.

Also; the Intreo office in Dun Laoghaire located beside D.L.F.E.I. was closed today due to flooding.

I came down on the 7A bus this afternoon from Temple Hill in Monkstown to do the monthly signing. I walked up to the front door before 3pm today & a saw a security guard there telling people it was closed because of health & safety rules. He told a 3 people outside including myself that this SW office is only having limited opening hours from 9:15am until 2pm tomorrow. Anyone in for the monthly signing today will have to go in tomorrow morning.

I was completely soaked in the rain going around Blackrock today. I arrived home after 4pm & the rain dried up afterwards.

esposito · 06-11-2018 9:37pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

This month's looking like a repeat of November 2009.

I’d settle for a very wet November if it meant a settled December with increasingly colder weather like late December 2009 into Jan 2010

MJohnston · 06-11-2018 9:53pm

giveitholly wrote: »

Hard to see flooding this winter when water levels are so low at the moment

That doesn't really have an effect on whether it will flood or not. An extreme amount of rain could still cause a completely dry river to flood - once it reaches a point where discharge rate isn't fast enough to shift the incoming volume downstream.

giveitholly · 06-11-2018 10:39pm

MJohnston wrote: »

That doesn't really have an effect on whether it will flood or not. An extreme amount of rain could still cause a completely dry river to flood - once it reaches a point where discharge rate isn't fast enough to shift the incoming volume downstream.

Well hard to see flooding on the scale of 2009 is what I meant

highdef · 06-11-2018 10:42pm

dublinman1990 wrote: »

It was a very wet day with high winds in Dublin today.

QUOTE]

I was working in Dublin all day today (D8) and there were no high winds at all. The highest winds reported (non gusting) in any of the hourly reports today at Dublin Airport did not exceed 35km/h. I know Dun Laoghaire is closer to the sea than the airport but I really do doubt that there were high winds there at any stage today considering I experienced nothing more than a moderate breeze in D8, strongest from late morning till lunchtime or so.

Gonzo · 06-11-2018 10:43pm

today was one of the darkest and wettest days of the past year, several very heavy downpours throughout the day spaced apart with periods of drizzle and light rain. House lights on nearly all day.

The next 2 to 3 weeks looks often mild and unsettled indeed with low pressures always near or over Ireland, the Atlantic is back showing who is boss. This Friday looks like a total washout followed by a slightly cooler and showery weekend.

MJohnston · 06-11-2018 10:49pm

giveitholly wrote: »

Well hard to see flooding on the scale of 2009 is what I meant

Maybe, although it doesn't seem like there are many rivers running below normal levels on https://waterlevel.ie/ in the south-west

Gaoth Laidir · 07-11-2018 12:34am

November 2009 would not be one anyone would want repeated. Here is some aerial footage of the Shannon floods taken on December 3rd that year. Not the best quality but the photos at the end are better.

https://youtu.be/3JGZEiwkmgc

Gonzo · 07-11-2018 4:25am

heavy rain here for past while yet again, gutters overflowing. The past 24 hours here has been very wet.

Rock Lesnar · 07-11-2018 6:49am

Bucketing down here this morning and most of the night, ah how i miss those clear sunny mornings - days from last week

DOCARCH · 07-11-2018 7:31am

highdef wrote: »

dublinman1990 wrote: »

It was a very wet day with high winds in Dublin today.

QUOTE]

I was working in Dublin all day today (D8) and there were no high winds at all.

It was very windy/gusty here in Dublin 16 yesterday morning!

Graces7 · 07-11-2018 8:41am

wild, wet and noisy out here in the Atlantic. A day to stay home...Feel for those of you who have to be out in it....stay dry

Artane2002 · 07-11-2018 9:44am

Very wet morning in Dublin.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 07-11-2018 10:24am

22 hours of non stop rain in Drogheda. Miserable weather.

Graces7 · 07-11-2018 2:36pm

Sudden bright sunshine out here.... West Mayo, offshore island.

Harry Palmr · 07-11-2018 2:55pm

Now I know what's it's like to live on the Atlantic coast

Gonzo · 07-11-2018 3:09pm

just stopped raining here a short while ago after another miserable morning, got close to 24 hours of continuous rainfall.

Graces7 · 07-11-2018 7:30pm

Lovely calm, quiet, dry evening.

DOCARCH · 07-11-2018 7:56pm

Graces7 wrote: »

Lovely calm, quiet, dry evening.

Give it an hour or two....normal service will resume! :P

Meteorite58 · 07-11-2018 9:32pm

DOCARCH wrote: »

Give it an hour or two....normal service will resume! :P

You drew it on us DOCARACH, pouring here in Kerry now!

But was a really great day with good sunshine and deep blue skies for a lot of it after the early morning rain cleared even though it just got up to 10.4C but with nice crisp clean air with low humidity. Feeling much cooler now this evening at 6.3C

EDIT: Lashing!

Netweather

SleetAndSnow · 07-11-2018 10:05pm

Light rain has started in cork city.

Edit: Lashing

errlloyd · 07-11-2018 10:28pm

Read a probably bull**** article predicting Big wind on Friday. I'm flying in from Portugal in the early evening and my OH is landing from USA an hour or two later. She doesn't have keys to my place. Anyone with an eye for models (not me) able to assess the chances of either or both our flights being cancelled. (with a particular note for her USA flight being okay, and my flight being cancelled as worst case scenario)

errlloyd · 07-11-2018 10:29pm

Double post ooops

MJohnston · 08-11-2018 12:31am

errlloyd wrote: »

Read a probably bull**** article predicting Big wind on Friday. I'm flying in from Portugal in the early evening and my OH is landing from USA an hour or two later. She doesn't have keys to my place. Anyone with an eye for models (not me) able to assess the chances of either or both our flights being cancelled. (with a particular note for her USA flight being okay, and my flight being cancelled as worst case scenario)

Presuming you're talking about Dublin Airport, disruption seems likeliest between 3pm and 6pm. How much is uncertain at this stage.

Graces7 · 08-11-2018 8:51am

Tempestuous deluges and icy storms.... Typical volatile autumn weather.. west mayo offshore

sryanbruen · 08-11-2018 12:34pm

Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Dublin, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Louth, Wexford, Wicklow, Galway, Mayo, Cork, Kerry, Tipperary and Waterford

Heavy rain will lead to accumulations of around 25 to 40mm but may exceed these limits in mountainous areas.

Issued: Thursday 08 November 2018 10:00

Updated: Thursday 08 November 2018 10:00

Valid from Friday 09 November 2018 06:00 to Friday 09 November 2018 18:00

Meteorologist commentary:

Information to follow was included by Meteorologist Liz Walsh on Wednesday 7th November

It’s been a rather unsettled week of weather so far with spells of wet and windy weather. Excess water has occurred on the roads at times, with spot flooding compounded by autumn leaves blocking drains.

Our weather will remain unsettled through the rest of this week, and Met Éireann forecasters have been monitoring developments for this Friday 9th November particularly closely. There are a number of low pressure systems or depressions dotted around the North Atlantic at present, but the one we are particularly interested in is an area of low pressure over Newfoundland in Canada which is expected to move out into the Labrador Sea tonight, Wednesday night.

This low pressure system will travel eastwards across the Atlantic by Friday, helped by a strong jet stream which will serve to deepen the low significantly by the time it comes close to our shores. The (by then) deep low will travel northwards to the west of Ireland during Friday, and the associated fronts will track in over Ireland during Friday morning and afternoon bringing strong winds and heavy rain and there is potential for severe and damaging gusts, especially on coasts. There is also a risk of coastal damage due to wave overtopping, with the timing of the strongest winds coinciding with high tide on some coasts.

We’ll be closely monitoring forecast data from our 54-hour high resolution model, HARMONIE over the next 12 to 24 hours with further updates to follow.

See the first hourly wind and rain projections for Friday morning 9th Nov from HARMONIE below:

DOCARCH · 08-11-2018 12:54pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

Valid from Friday 09 November 2018 06:00 to Friday 09 November 2018 18:00

Before that (tomorrow), looks like a wet/vary wet afternoon in store for the east coast! Rain incoming.

Oscar Bravo · 08-11-2018 1:09pm

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Munster and Connacht

Southeasterly winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110km/hr. Gusts will exceed these values in exposed coastal areas and on higher ground, especially in the southwest.

Issued: Thursday 08 November 2018 11:00
Updated: Thursday 08 November 2018 11:00
Valid from Friday 09 November 2018 04:00 to Friday 09 November 2018 15:00

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan and Donegal

Southeasterly winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110km/hr. Gusts will exceed these values in exposed coastal areas and on higher ground, especially in the southeast.
Issued: Thursday 08 November 2018 11:00
Updated: Thursday 08 November 2018 11:00

Oscar Bravo · 08-11-2018 3:46pm

Forecasters commentary update

The area of low pressure we have been watching is now about 1200km west-northwest of Newfoundland in the Atlantic . It will soon begin to deepen rapidly over the next 24 hours as it swings eastwards across the Atlantic before it makes a turn northwards on Friday morning around 500km off the west coast of Ireland. Rain and wind associated with this vigorous system will begin to affect the west and southwest of the country between 4 and 6am on Friday.

The rainfall warning covers a number of counties including Mayo, Galway, Cork, Kerry, Tipperary, Waterford, Wexford, Wicklow, Kilkenny, Kildare, Carlow, Dublin and Louth and is valid from 6am to 6pm. Rain will become widespread on Friday with some intense bursts of rain occurring over a relatively short time period which will lead to spot flooding. The heaviest of the rain will occur in the west and southwest during the morning and early afternoon. The focus of the heaviest rain will then transfer eastwards through the early and late afternoon, with the rain giving way to scattered showers in the west and southwest.

As the wind is coming from a rapidly deepened low, the atmosphere will be unstable which means that gusts will feature prominently in many areas. Most of the gusts will be within the limits of our yellow warning criteria – up to 110km/hr – but exposed coastal regions and areas of higher ground inland, especially in the southwest, south and southeast, will experience gusts greater than this – possibly up to 125km/hr. Winds of this speed can cause significant damage and caution is advised

Graces7 · 08-11-2018 4:04pm

Glad of the warning out here and all in readiness. Thank you. Stay safe.. west mayo offshore island

m17 · 08-11-2018 7:03pm

Athlone 08/11/18 17.31 temperature 7°C

m17 · 08-11-2018 7:16pm

Ballinasloe co galway 08/11/18 8.16 temperature 5°C

Captain Snow · 08-11-2018 10:32pm

What is overtopping as mentioned in tonight s rte1 weather forecast?

highdef · 08-11-2018 10:34pm

Captain Snow wrote: »

What is overtopping as mentioned in tonight s rte1 weather forecast?

Waves overtopping sea defences and coming onto the land, in short.

spookwoman · 08-11-2018 11:01pm

Captain Snow wrote: »

What is overtopping as mentioned in tonight s rte1 weather forecast?

Parents and I were saying same thing what the hell is over topping and when I googled it it was waved coming over barriers. Why could they not just have said that very high waves breaching. It's like the 200% increase in rain the other day.

Gaoth Laidir · 09-11-2018 1:00am

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Forecasters commentary update

The area of low pressure we have been watching is now about 1200km west-northwest of Newfoundland in the Atlantic...

I think she meant east northeast.

m17 · 09-11-2018 10:03am

Roscommon 09/11/18 8.22 temperature 7°C

SleetAndSnow · 09-11-2018 11:20am

Lashing here in cork city. Heaviest rain I’ve seen in a while. Edit: Here comes the gusts of wind.
It’s a day for movies and a blanket I think!

Cork Boy 53 · 09-11-2018 12:45pm

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Lashing here in cork city. Heaviest rain I’ve seen in a while. Edit: Here comes the gusts of wind.
It’s a day for movies and a blanket I think!

Indeed. This rainfall will certainly go a long way in reducing the soil moisture deficits which are still high in many areas of the south.

Gonzo · 09-11-2018 1:21pm

thankfully the rain has held off here up to now, at least I was able to get the shopping done before the rain arrives. Looks to be alot of rain heading this way.

Graces7 · 09-11-2018 1:22pm

spookwoman wrote: »

Parents and I were saying same thing what the hell is over topping and when I googled it it was waved coming over barriers. Why could they not just have said that very high waves breaching. It's like the 200% increase in rain the other day.

overtopping is a wonderfully expressive word. Love it!

Autumn 2018 - General discussion

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