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Storm Henry - February 1st, 2016

  • 29-01-2016 7:36pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,970 ✭✭✭


    Mods move if you wish, Gérard Fleming just now on the 6 News said we are in for another stormy period on Sunday and most of Monday, any of our weather gurus here have any more info


«1345

Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    No weather guru but heres my tuppence worth :).

    Similar Orange warnings for the Northern half of the country and yellow warnings for other counties probable. The Storm is well offshore to the NW but massive and powerfull wind and a huge windfield. This wind event looks more prolonged beginning early Monday morning 01.00 - 02.00 approx in the W and NW and continuing till late Monday night in the NW and N and slowly clearing those coasts into Tues am. Similar wind speeds perhaps from a similar track to Gertrude on this Island and Scotland looks to get a right battering again. Doesent look like a lot of rain at this stage on Monday. Temperatures starting off mild after Sun will decrease throughout the day and no doubt feel very cold in the wind.Those Shetland Webcams will come in handy again. Just my opinion, open to others :)

    PvunA2f.gif?1

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    XNjooFO.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,254 ✭✭✭✭km79


    I don't mind a good storm with little rain
    I liked Gertrude
    She was a good girl


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Chart of the developing storm on Sunday evening after the front goes through

    rJGDiyx.png?1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Has the storm been named yet?
    I think it also needs orange status to be named. Don't be naming them premature, the other day in the weather the presenter said America's storm Jonas would probably become a named storm here, but it didn't.


  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭eastmayo


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Has the storm been named yet?
    I think it also needs orange status to be named. Don't be naming them premature, the other day in the weather the presenter said America's storm Jonas would probably become a named storm here, but it didn't.

    Has not been named yet.prob would be tomorrow before it would be named if it is at all.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Why is Storm Henry in the OP?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,101 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Storm Henry arrives on Monday
    Then, into next week we have another deep low arriving onto the scene for Monday, and it's expected to take a very similar track to Gertrude, very close to the north of Scotland.

    Netweather


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Why is Storm Henry in the OP?

    Good question! Sounds like a pop star!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,034 ✭✭✭goz83


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Why is Storm Henry in the OP?

    It would be the next storm after Gertrude, needing to be starting with "H", but naming is premature at this point.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    goz83 wrote: »
    It would be the next storm after Gertrude, needing to be starting with "H", but naming is premature at this point.

    I understand that the next named storm will be Henry (then Imogene I think), but as it hasn't been named officially I was wondering.

    Netweather seem certain it will be named.
    So this looks to be another overnight event?


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  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,150 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    The storm was named this morning by the UKMO.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    To me it looks more powerfull then Gertrude judging by this run at this stage with possibly higher winds on the coasts of coastal counties in the W /NW / N. Winds look to be penetrating more inland with this storm.Looks like plenty of gusts over 100 kph and possibly getting up to 130+ kph om coasts. Massive sea swell.

    VpykyGS.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    The storm was named this morning by the UKMO.

    And not even a statement by Met Eireann?
    That's fairly poor.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Gfs not as strong on the 06z will be interesting to see the next run

    zVPVytQ.gif

    WRF showing further strong winds in the North early Tues morning

    tT2amSV.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Latest NOAA showing a central low pressure of 955 hPA ( Looks much further to the NW in this run )


    xPAkYe9.gif?1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Met Eireann STATUS YELLOW


    Weather Advisory for Ireland
    A deep Atlantic depression, which has been named Storm Henry, will track eastwards to the north of Scotland on Monday evening and night. It will generate very strong winds over Ireland, especially in coastal counties of Connacht and Ulster. More detailed wind forecasts to follow on Sunday and Monday.

    Issued:Saturday 30 January 2016 16:00
    Valid:Monday 01 February 2016 09:01 to Tuesday 02 February 2016 09:00


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    XpzZtSC.png?1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭power pants


    snow for dublin?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    snow for dublin?

    Am no....
    No snow for anywhere


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭power pants


    how depressing :(


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,432 ✭✭✭sideswipe


    snow for dublin?

    Yes, but you'll have to pay by the gram:cool:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Generally (or all the time) with Atlantic weather fronts (and storms) they bring mild temps, so snow is a big not gonna happen.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Latest NOAA chart showing wind speeds out to sea at 65 Kts, hurrricane force winds, shipping would want to give that a wide berth.

    i87SC5j.gif?1


  • Registered Users Posts: 272 ✭✭Padster90s


    I know it is early days for an accurate forecast but what do the broadsie experts think? Naming it this early and saying extremely windy isn't MEs usual style. Gives the impression to expect more than the usual 110km/h inland and 120km/h coastal winds. I know the name came more from the UK but it still seems early days for names and advisories.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,589 ✭✭✭kingshankly


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    The storm was named this morning by the UKMO.

    Have the Storm names not been out this six months?
    Imogen jake and Katie the next three


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,101 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Padster90s wrote: »
    I know it is early days for an accurate forecast but what do the broadsie experts think? Naming it this early and saying extremely windy isn't MEs usual style. Gives the impression to expect more than the usual 110km/h inland and 120km/h coastal winds. I know the name came more from the UK but it still seems early days for names and advisories.

    It's quite a potent low pressure system with hurricane force winds out to sea, with a rather large wind field,any change in track could potentially bring very severe winds to ireland,therefor they want to bring it to people's attention now,without being alarming,my opinion anyways.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,991 ✭✭✭sword1


    Padster90s wrote: »
    I know it is early days for an accurate forecast but what do the broadsie experts think? Naming it this early and saying extremely windy isn't MEs usual style. Gives the impression to expect more than the usual 110km/h inland and 120km/h coastal winds. I know the name came more from the UK but it still seems early days for names and advisories.

    Storm is going to hit Scotland strong,met eireann had to follow uk lead,with a bit of luck it will move more north and miss Donegal also


  • Registered Users Posts: 272 ✭✭Padster90s


    Ah I see, I was more in the thinking they were covering all bases preparing for a nasty one, you know "You can't say we didn't warn you" sort of thing! Hopefully it'll budge well north.
    I don't think I've seen a storm advisory before on its on without a warning on Met.ie. Probably something to do with joint naming. I'd imagine there'll be a yellow alert tomorrow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Gave the Storm names not been out this six months?
    Imogen hake and Katie the next three

    Hake?

    What DOCARCH meant was that it was officially named. The names are pre decided, but they then have to decide which low pressure systems make the cut of a name and which don't.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 272 ✭✭Padster90s


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    They names are pre decided, but they then have to decide which low pressure systems make the cut of a name and which don't.

    That criteria is an entire other thread!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 253 ✭✭littlema




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    3 Models in fair agreement for around the same time mid afternoon on Monday

    WQgJchJ.png

    ExhyTAf.gif

    79hNz2O.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,752 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    This storm will have orange and yellow warnings.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    RobertKK wrote: »
    This storm will have orange and yellow warnings.

    Storm Henry and the Rainstorms? ( pop group) Stopped being able to react to the weather.. Need out tomorrow so may just get out early before the worst hits?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭power pants


    nothing happening in Dublin, may as well call any rainy day a name


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 126 ✭✭Manitoban


    nothing happening in Dublin, may as well call any rainy day a name

    The wind warning is for Monday the 1st, not for today.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,483 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    nothing happening in Dublin, may as well call any rainy day a name
    A message from the future!, wow, thanks for that.

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Orange warning issued for the following -Galway leitrim sligo mayo donegal clare cork kerry and limerick, winds peaking tomorrow afternoon and evening, as usual in these situations, worst winds along the coast / high ground.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    A yellow warning for strong winds also issued covering all of leinster, roscommon, cavan, monaghan, tipperary and Waterford. A windy episode ahead , nothing to serious, just peaking during the afternoon and evening rather than at night


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Can't see why cork is on orange alert.
    Looks to me to be more a northwest event


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    1136 met update
    Monday will be very windy countrywide and likely to turn stormy in the north and northwest. Strong to gale force and gusty west to southwest winds will bring damaging gusts with the brunt of the winds felt along Atlantic coasts. There'll be occasional rain or showers with some bright or sunny spells. Temperatures will fall steadily through the day to between 5 and 8 degrees by mid afternoon.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    10am warnings
    STATUS ORANGE

    Wind Warning for Donegal, Galway, Leitrim, Mayo, Sligo, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick
    Southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds between 65 and 80 km/h with gusts between 110 and 130 km/h during Sunday night and through Monday. Winds will peak during Monday afternoon and evening and will be at their strongest along the coasts.
    Issued:Sunday 31 January 2016 10:00
    Valid:Sunday 31 January 2016 22:00 to Monday 01 February 2016 23:59


    STATUS YELLOW

    Wind Warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan, Roscommon, Tipperary and Waterford
    Southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds between 45 and 65 km/h with gusts between 90 and 110 km/h during Sunday night and through Monday. Winds will peak during Monday afternoon and evening.
    Issued:Sunday 31 January 2016 11:00
    Valid:Sunday 31 January 2016 22:00 to Monday 01 February 2016 23:59


    STATUS YELLOW

    Weather Advisory for Donegal, Galway, Leitrim, Mayo, Sligo, Clare, Cork and Kerry
    Exceptional wave heights, possibly reaching 12 to 15 meters, during Monday along Atlantic coasts.
    Issued:Sunday 31 January 2016 12:00
    Valid:Monday 01 February 2016 12:00 to Monday 01 February 2016 23:59


    What strikes me about this event is the high waves and length of the warning. Having a storm with a warning valid for more than 12 hours is very rare.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,284 ✭✭✭StewartGriffin


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Having a storm with a warning valid for more than 12 hours is very rare.

    Yes, for a genuine storm, but don't be fooled by the new "Storm" label. It's not technically a storm, more a wind event.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Yes, for a genuine storm, but don't be fooled by the new "Storm" label. It's not technically a storm, more a wind event.

    Will the coasts not experience Storm Force winds?
    Did ME and UKMO not decide to name any storm reaching Orange warning Criteria?

    Seriously, some of ye are just complaining now due to lack of something else to give out about.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,284 ✭✭✭StewartGriffin


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Will the coasts not experience Storm Force winds?
    Did ME and UKMO not decide to name any storm reaching Orange warning Criteria?

    Seriously, some of ye are just complaining now due to lack of something else to give out about.

    Ah now, look back at your own posts here, 90% of them are "giving out" about other posters.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Ah now, look back at your own posts here, 90% of them are "giving out" about other posters.


    Really? News to me!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 470 ✭✭P.lane78


    With the impending arrival of Henry, has this winter had more storm/Wind events :D or has the naming system highlighted it more.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    well I guess that puts paid to my shopping trip; how though does tomorrow compare with Clodagh?


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,506 ✭✭✭✭Xenji


    It is already gusting over 70km/hr in Castlebar, looks like it is going to be a fun 34 hours, it will be more noticeable than Gertrude due to the peak wind time being in the afternoon/evening and not in the the early hours in the morning.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,254 ✭✭✭✭km79


    Xenji wrote: »
    It is already gusting over 70km/hr in Castlebar, looks like it is going to be a fun 34 hours, it will be more noticeable than Gertrude due to the peak wind time being in the afternoon/evening and not in the the early hours in the morning.

    Yes it's very windy in east Galway too


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