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GFS Promises Christmas Heatwave

  • 12-12-2011 11:23am
    #1
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭


    A simply Lovely looking model run promising balmy weather all next week and for the Grimbo.

    No wind, no frost, no snow and :cool::cool: HEAT! :cool::cool: I'll be having some of that I will.

    On Sunday the Azores High pokes northwards...normal service means that them pesky fronts all head off to the North Atlantic somewhere .....or to Norway which needs the rain to fill its Hydro reservoirs.

    The rest of the week then starts to look like this, mmmmmmmmmmmmm .

    A very warm and merry Christmas to all from a delighted Sponge Bob. We may well see the higher end of the winter competition forecast ranges coming under some sustained pressure. :)

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    'Unless', of course, high pressure to our southwest links with the HP over Greenland (green arrow) and HP over Russia continues to build westward toward northern Europe (brown arrow). This would increase the possibility of colder weather from the Continent extending toward the UK and Ireland or alternatively a plunge of cold air from the north. The latter is preferable as the cold over Europe will not have been in place long enough to merit a severe easterly to develop.

    Yes, I did say 'unless' ;)
    184866.png


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    None of that is shown in the model run....and supporting graphics....so Nyah Boo to all that negativity and perishing cold. A heatwave is what most of us want.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,017 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    None of that is shown in the model run....and supporting graphics....so Nyah Boo to all that negativity and perishing cold. A heatwave is what most of us want.

    A "heatwave" in the middle of december is the last thing i'd want.

    If ya can call 12 degrees a heatwave that is. Boring weather.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    A heatwave is what most of us want.

    A heatwave this time of year is seriously unhealthy, it foretells of constant flues and Summer colds


  • Registered Users Posts: 234 ✭✭konman


    A heatwave is what most of us want.[/QUOTE]


    I think you are seriuosly wrong sponge bob. Almost as comical as the original sponge bob


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  • Registered Users Posts: 259 ✭✭Take_Her_Handy


    We have had the exact same weather day in and day out for what seems like an eternity! I'm too bored of wet and grey.

    Snow, frost, ice... this is what I want!!! This is what I was hoping to escape to from the bland weather we've suffered through all this year!!!

    I just hate wet and grey :( :mad: :(

    I want real weather that's conditional to time of year, because if OP's weather prediction for Christmas day is right, it will be the same out as some of our summer days this year!!!!!!

    WTF???


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,030 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Might have been more credible if you had waited for the most recent GFS run to complete before you started this thread :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭esposito


    Troll comes to mind:rolleyes:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Weatheronline.co.uk video update for today has been posted


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    t|nt|n wrote: »
    Might have been more credible if you had waited for the most recent GFS run to complete before you started this thread :rolleyes:
    Not much change in the 06z. Still builds Sunday and stays in place for the next 10 days. None of that cold muck in sight anywhere. :) Lets see what happens on the next MAJOR run at 3pm shall we???

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,039 ✭✭✭force eleven


    After the seismic changes in the models over Fridays events, you can hardly post Christmas day charts with any confidence at all. 12 days out, way too many variables.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,017 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Ye are such girls, Mon/Tue will be a Mehhhh! like I said days ago :D

    Feckin thread is all OMG OMG OMG crap.
    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    I'll call Tuesday Now. No weather station will break 70KT gusts and the top gust Tuesday will probably be in the 61KT-64KT range in Belmullet. A stiff breeze and that is that. :D

    I'll call Thursday on Monday some time.
    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Tuesday looks harmless enough to me, a stiff breeze and that is all. :D

    Thursday looks the same, a ta stiffer on the Irish Sea maybe

    Sponge your a pessimistic troll who just says things on here that nobody else will agree with just to get a reaction. You give out about people getting excited about a storm 5 days away and then go and quote a chart for Christmas day on the 12th of December as if it's gospel.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,564 ✭✭✭weisses


    t|nt|n wrote: »
    Might have been more credible if you had waited for the most recent GFS run to complete before you started this thread :rolleyes:

    Tell that to all the Storm/rain/snow lovers in the other "daily mail style" threads ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,564 ✭✭✭weisses


    baraca wrote: »
    Sponge your a pessimistic troll who just says things on here that nobody else will agree with just to get a reaction. You give out about people getting excited about a storm 5 days away and then go and quote a chart for Christmas day on the 12th of December as if it's gospel.

    I think everyone here is entitled to their own gospel

    How in gods name can you blame someone for trolling if he puts up charts to back it up

    What is pessimistic about hoping for a nice calm warm(ish) christmas


    BRING ON THE HEAT !!!!!!! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 861 ✭✭✭Vudgie


    While I am no expert, I think that it is interesting to take all opinions on board and to then either make your own mind up on the merits of each or most accurate of all 'wait and see!".

    The constant calls of 'troll' to anyone that deviates from a cold weather forecaset are most unbecoming of what is generally a very respectable corner of Boards.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Merry Christmas to you too Sponge Bob, this mild Christmas will give you time to prepare for the ungodly Arctic Freeze that will bestow us in January. :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,030 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    GFS 06z OP run was a mild outlier :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    May the gusts of a thousand polar lows infest your chilly bits ! ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    Love to see this coming off....I have three days work I need to get done and if I can get it done before christmas, that would be great. If this day week comes off like the above chart then I might actually have a few quid for the festive season...bloody wind and rain/snow.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Pangea wrote: »
    Merry Christmas to you too Sponge Bob, this mild Christmas will give you time to prepare for the ungodly Arctic Freeze that will bestow us in January. :pac:
    May the mice leave your house and forage the green fields of Donegal till then Pangea.!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,783 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Perfect for a few games of golf over the Christmas period, the last few weeks have been a bit miserable. Even time to plant up some of the winter flowers and get in more spring bulbs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,708 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    What kind of heat are we talking about?

    Record breaking for time of year? 16/17c??

    Christmas day swimmers might be happy if that came off


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    What kind of heat are we talking about?
    Constant 10c-12c for 10 days with very few excursions into single digits.

    Rtavn3725.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,951 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    What kind of heat are we talking about?

    Record breaking for time of year? 16/17c??

    Christmas day swimmers might be happy if that came off
    About 12c-13c if that came off


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    How would you be looking in terms of rain in that scenario...would we have high humidity and night fog?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    High Pressue setup blocks out rain fronts, night and morning fog is likely as the country is already sodden.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88,972 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    The development and settling of a chunky high pressure system has been flagged for a while now and while its still in the F1 time frame nothing (except wilful hoping by some) is strongly contradicting the trend.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,708 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    Villain wrote: »
    About 12c-13c if that came off

    So no heatwave then ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    This should really be in the White Christmas thread.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Su Campu wrote: »
    This should really be in the White Christmas thread.
    Why not lock that thread, complete waste of time now. :D:D:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    May the mice leave your house and forage the green fields of Donegal till then Pangea.!

    You obviously havent seen the blizzard forecast for tomorrow! :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    esposito wrote: »
    Troll comes to mind:rolleyes:

    Not really, if he was saying that GFS was showing snow and blizzards for Christmas his feet would be adorned on and kissed by the many!


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,017 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Not really, if he was saying that GFS was showing snow and blizzards for Christmas his feet would be adorned on and kissed by the many!

    Just to be clear my post on the first page was not because he was saying it was gong to be warm, That is also a pet hate of mine people getting onto other users because they hope for warm weather. That wasn't my reason.

    It just seemed to me that sponge bob was disagreeing with every kind of weather that was talked about here just to rile people. Maybe I was wrong I probably was, I wouldn't be the brightest bulb on the tree. :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    baraca wrote: »
    Just to be clear my post on the first page was not because he was saying it was gong to be warm, That is also a pet hate of mine people getting onto other users because they hope for warm weather. That wasn't my reason.

    It just seemed to me that sponge bob was disagreeing with every kind of weather that was talked about here just to rile people. Maybe I was wrong I probably was, I wouldn't be the brightest bulb on the tree. :)

    Hi Baraca, my post wasn't aimed at you at all! SpongeBob just has an ironic sense of humour which this thread he opened is a shinning example of.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    SpongeBob just has an ironic sense of humour
    Sponge Bob's post is "like rain on your wedding day" or "the good advice that you just didn't take".

    Ahem...
    1317380769920-4696bnaz4509-500-90-500-70.jpg


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,379 ✭✭✭snow ghost


    We'd all be dreaming of a heatwave Christmas if we were grumbling away in the leaba with only a threadbare night-cap on to keep us warm like Ebenezer Scrooge Bob there.

    The cold within him froze his old features, nipped his pointed nose, made his eyes red, his thin lips blue, and he spoke out shrewdly in his grating voice ..."GFS Promises Christmas Heatwave"


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 399 ✭✭fizzycyst


    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    Weatheronline.co.uk video update for today has been posted

    I'm with the Canadians on this one :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    snow ghost wrote: »
    We'd all be dreaming of a heatwave Christmas if we were grumbling away in the leaba with only a threadbare night-cap on to keep us warm like Ebenezer Scrooge Bob there.

    The cold within him froze his old features, nipped his pointed nose, made his eyes red, his thin lips blue, and he spoke out shrewdly in his grating voice ..."GFS Promises Christmas Heatwave"

    Are you the Snow Ghost of Christmas Past? :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,635 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Why not lock that thread, complete waste of time now. :D:D:D



    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,379 ✭✭✭snow ghost


    Are you the Snow Ghost of Christmas Past? :D

    I sure am Deep, and I'll be haunting Scrooge Bob's sorry bah humbug ass on Christmas Eve reminding him of the last two white ones. :pac:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,963 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    'Unless', of course, high pressure to our southwest links with the HP over Greenland (green arrow) and HP over Russia continues to build westward toward northern Europe (brown arrow). This would increase the possibility of colder weather from the Continent extending toward the UK and Ireland or alternatively a plunge of cold air from the north. The latter is preferable as the cold over Europe will not have been in place long enough to merit a severe easterly to develop.

    Yes, I did say 'unless' ;)
    184866.png

    it would be nice, but very unlikely to occur due to the current very cold profile of the stratosphere. Any high over Greenland would be temporary before being sunk. So no link up.

    However the stratosphere's current state is unlikely to continue, so the question is to what extent will it warm up? if there is a major warming we could be in business. Bear in mind the long range models don't factor in a ssw event. If one occurs, the models will pick up on the effects of it about two or three weeks later(that is how long the effects of a warming event takes to propagate down to the Troposhere)
    So I say let's use the mild Christmas period to prepare for the onset of the beast from the east come the middle of January!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    So I say let's use the mild Christmas period to prepare for the onset of the beast from the east come the middle of January!
    I say start your own thread when that actually shows up in the models :D ( or an ssw on a radiosonde)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,963 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    I say start your own thread when that actually shows up in the models :D ( or an ssw on a radiosonde)

    Don't worry I will. I'll expect you to be as cheerful, as you are in this thread, when I do :p


  • Registered Users Posts: 769 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    I say start your own thread when that actually shows up in the models :D ( or an ssw on a radiosonde)

    Go away heat lover,who in there rite mind could want a warm Xmas,lock up this muck :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,526 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    I wouldnt be surprised if we got a heatwave I remember being down the beach some time in november sun was out no wind and it was alot more pleasant than during that summer we had lol:pac:


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Hey, don't shoot the Sponge, he is only a messenger for the GFS supercomputer cluster.

    Shoot the computer, love the Sponge!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,708 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Hey, don't shoot the Sponge, he is only a messenger for the GFS supercomputer cluster.

    Shoot the computer, love the Sponge!

    Soak it up Bob


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,526 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Hey, don't shoot the Sponge, he is only a messenger for the GFS supercomputer cluster.

    Shoot the computer, love the Sponge!

    You get what you deserve starting thread like this shame on you:pac::D


  • Registered Users Posts: 629 ✭✭✭PurpleSt4in


    BOOOOO-URNSSSS :mad:

    IF we get this 'heat-wave' we better get some sort of apocalyptic snowfall in January Spongey


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,960 ✭✭✭DarkJager


    BOOOOO-URNSSSS :mad:

    IF we get this 'heat-wave' we better get some sort of apocalyptic snowfall in January Spongey

    Na, freaky January with 20c+ temps would suit me fine :D best winter ever so far!


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