UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

Robert Whittaker vs. Kelvin Gastelum

Whittaker decision. Kelvin Gastellum broke his three-fight losing streak with a decision win over Ian Heinisch. He went back to his wrestling game for that fight. Whittaker has beaten Darren Till and Jared Cannonier since losing the belt to Izzy. Whittaker's fight IQ is top notch as is his striking and takedown defense. I don't see any way Gastelum can win this.

Jeremy Stephens vs. Drakkar Klose

Klose ko. Klose should have won.his last fight but got careless after hitting Dariush with a monster strike and lost.
Stephens has power too but he's careless and Klose is smarter than him and can stay away from his power until he lands another big shot.




Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Jacob Malkoun

Alhassan round 1. Alhassan needs this to revitalize his career. He's an excellent striker and is very good with his leg kicks. I see him finishing this one quickly.

Luis Pena vs. Alex Munoz

Pena decision. Striker vs wrestler matchup. Munoz has a great wrestling background with most of his wins coming via decision. He will have to close the distance against the tall and long Pena.
Pena will be the better and more accurate striker. He sets up his combos with push kicks from the outside. . Pena also has excellent takedown defense and he's very good at ju jitsu off his back. I think Pena maintains distance control enough to stay off the floor and get the win.



Tracy Cortez vs. Justine Kish

Cortez decision. Tracy Cortez is a fantastic wrestler who has incredible cardio. Kish has always struggled against good wrestlers. I expect most of this fight to take place on the floor.

Alexander Romanov vs. Juan Espino

Romanov inside the distance. Alexander Romanov will be entering this fight with an undefeated record of 13-0. Out of those 13 wins, five have come by TKO and the remaining eight by submission. His cardio is a slight concern but I don't think it'll go more than two rounds. Both know how to finish fights. Romanov is a good striker, very fast hands and good on the floor too. I expect him to use his speed to set up takedowns.

Lupita Godinez vs. Jessica Penne Godinez

Godinez inside the distsnce. Godinez is a top prospect and Penne has no hope. Godinez can win this however she wants.



Josiane Nunes vs. Zarah Fairn

Josiane Nunes by ko. Nunes is a much better striker and Fairn gets reckless when she's behind, only a matter of time before she's out to sleep.

I fancy Espino even though romanov is a beast

Think he mght get it done on pts at around 9/2 though wouldn't even rule out a sub and I think these two might
cancel out each other out and I think Espino will be stronger the
longer the fight goes on
Romanov goes in reckless against lesser opponents and takes them down but Espino is every bit as good a grappler

I said to myself after his last win I'd back him no matter who he fought but didn't expect to see these two match up just yet

Gone for Sherman and Klose.
Think both should be favs.

Hope Ben beats that other muppet but not having a bet.

mdwexford wrote: »

Hope Ben beats that other muppet but not having a bet.

I'd never be happier to lose a bet

rob pts 7/5
al hassan round one 7/5

singles/double at 4.75/1 betway

Juan espino pts 5/1 paddy
espino round 3 20/1 betv


espino pts
rob pts
al hassan round one
30/1


espino sub
rob pts
al hassan round one
20/1

mailburner wrote:

That enough to keep me entertained.....the first 5/6 fights are dire on paper.

Yeah I'm going to bed for a couple of hours. Nothing there before Alex Oliveira to interest me.

Treble (x1)
Jessica Andrade to Win in Round 1
14/1

Weili Zhang to Win in Round 3
12/1

Kamaru Usman to Win in Round 3
14/1

Stake
€0.10
Potential Returns
€292.50

Underdog clean sweep :pac:

Jiri Prochazka 8/11 now to beat Reyes...been watching this price for over a week and he's shortening all the time
My head says to lump on him?

How good is he?

Reyes was very disappointing v Jan and I think based on that alone he's there for the taking?
Has the jones fight left his mark?

Santos hasn't won a fight since but that's probably not a fair comparision after the injuries he suffered.


I've gotten burnt before with guys like Jiri where they blow some guy away (ok oezdemir is pretty good) and I lost money when they fought one of the elite of the division (johnnie walker comes to mind)
Jiri has been ko'd twice before earlier in his career (walker had two earlier ko losses too before his ufc stint)

He's getting a bit short so maybe the double with strickland at around 13/8 is what I'm thinking

mailburner wrote: »

I've gotten burnt before with guys like Jiri where they blow some guy away (ok oezdemir is pretty good) and I lost money when they fought one of the elite of the division (johnnie walker comes to mind)
Jiri has been ko'd twice before earlier in his career (walker had two earlier ko losses too before his ufc stint)

He's getting a bit short so maybe the double with strickland at around 13/8 is what I'm thinking

I'm getting a whiff of hypetrain about Jiri, he could be very good but the thing about all hypetrains is their price is bad. Reyes was robbed against Jones IMO, 2.1 seems a great price for him

BTW I was also fully on board the Johnny Walker hypetrain, at peak hype choo choo b4 the Corey Anderson fight I watched some fights on YouTube including the Henrique de silva one where Walker was ko'ed in 17 secs. It was crystal clear he had a glass jaw but I decided the best course of action was to go completely into denial about it and back Walker :pac:

Skimmed the rest of tonight's card, 3 low quality women's fights but it means the WMMA decision oddsbooster comes into play for my value picks:

Luana Carolina missed weight by 3.5lbs, so for that reason points at around 4.5

Randa Markos is pretty poor so Pinheiro at 2.75 on pts

Thought Cody Stamann was value at 3.0

Likewise Rothko at 3.0

I backed Cutelaba at 1.8 even though I love nothing more than watching him act all vicious and intmidating pre fight, including getting in his opponent's face when he is being introduced and doing the throat slit gesture, and then getting starched in round 1

tinpib wrote: »

Exciting times here with my big priced picks for tonight.(odds from Hills, not necessarily the best price)

I have my first "Lock of the Week", 5 of Mo-reese Green's 9 wins have come by sub, interestingly 5 of De Lima's 7 defeats have come by sub. Green by sub is 5/1, fill yer boots.

Think Magny can do it tonight, and if he does it will be by decision, 5/2

Alex Morono has a poor record, but I really do think Cowboy is totally past it so Morono is worth a bet at 8/5

I recall having a decent bet on romanov to sub lima

Those are decent odds, goes past the first and I'd be confident too but definitely overpriced

Moreno is pretty tough, think he'll go after cowboy early but whether he's got the tools to put him away I'm not sure

been robbed many times backing against magny and I think neal might get a ko so that's where I'm at now 2/1

ribas hill fight is off

mailburner wrote: »

Neal ko 9/4
greene sub 7/1
morono pts 10/3

That's about as far out as one can be and yet again I lose backing against Magny

pp enhanced morono ko to 9s which was big but I still didn't think
he had a ko in him and whilst I thought Cerrone had a few good fights left in him I certainly don't think that anymore.

Who'd have thought de lima would lay on greene for three rounds though

mailburner wrote: »

if Darisuh beats Tony then we'll know for sure if Tony is washed up which will increase confidence for me anyway.

This is a big indicator for me. I'll wait until that fight is nearly do before pulling the trigger on the main event

Tony folded very easily lady time out, gotta think Dariush wins it early.

eagle eye wrote: »

Tony folded very easily lady time out, gotta think Dariush wins it early.

Tony lost. But given he appeared willing to let his arm be broken, I don't know if I'd say he folded.

Mellor wrote: »

Tony lost. But given he appeared willing to let his arm be broken, I don't know if I'd say he folded.

who do you fancy for the main event?

I'm confident in chandler but saying that I'm expecting him to
get it done in the first or second

After that I'm not sure how it goes.

I'm going Dariush round 1 and Chandler by ko.

Was almost counting my money on the chandler ko but couldn't be
happier for oliveira

Just took Hermansson sub 5/1 with paddy power surely a bit of value with some as short as 2/1


Shahbazyan had a nightmare v brunson and surely can't be this bad again but it was worrying how little he had left after a round.
I don't think jack will have too much trouble getting him down and keeping him down to be honest so Shahb might need to get it done early as jack will go all day.
Shahb has serious power though and the 11/2 for a round one finish looks his best shot but only thiago santos has gotten Jack outa there in a round and that was with one second to go so it's a big ask

saver on Herm pts at 4/1 pp


https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/jack-hermansson-v-edmen-shahbazyan/method-of-victory

Early start of 9pm I believe. Lots of fighters with terrible records tonight, looks like there should be some "loser leaves town" matches on. Anyway, big priced picks for the laugh:

Ismagulov is mad short, opponent has awful record, so chanced the KO at 11/4

Medieros by decision at 12/5 in the first "loser leaves town" match, he has lost to better calibre fighters.

Yilan Sha is a newcomer which normally is a bad sign but his opponent isn't pulling up trees, Yilan is 21/10

Thought Rodriguez/Silva should be a lot closer, another "loser leaves town" match, Rodriguez at 3/1 is value.

Ricardo Ramos at evens

Felicia Spencer by decision oddsbooster 7/4

Xiaonan Yan has a good record might beat Esparza by decision 7/5

David Dvorak by decision 3.1

In main event I went for Rob Font at 10/11.

Not a great card on paper but they can often be very exciting. Odds from Hills not best odds.

fancy font to get it done and don't see this gong the distance so

font by ko 2/1

font and yan 3/1

font by ko in round two or three 5/1


paddy


I think cody at some stage will go swinging for the fences after getting frustrated and end up getting clipped