Spring Weather 2016

JCX BXC · 07-03-2016 9:47am

Even if it does come off on Friday, we still got hotter weather in December!

Harry Palmr · 07-03-2016 12:12pm

Carnacalla wrote: »

Even if it does come off on Friday, we still got hotter weather in December!

maybe so but the sun will have greater radiant heat so it'll feel nicer even if its actually no warmer.

Elmer Blooker · 07-03-2016 12:19pm

The Winter weather thread is closed and the FI thread is defunct so I might as well post this chart in the "Spring" thread.

JCX BXC · 07-03-2016 12:42pm

Harry Palmr wrote: »

maybe so but the sun will have greater radiant heat so it'll feel nicer even if its actually no warmer.

That's assuming the Sun will be shining, though. If the sun is shining I can see the locals coming out in their belly tops again.

The current outlook from Met Eireann for after this weekend is temps to stay normal and mild and for it to be settled.

nacho libre · 07-03-2016 1:26pm

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

The Winter weather thread is closed and the FI thread is defunct so I might as well post this chart in the "Spring" thread.

The models must finally be reacting to the sudden stratospheric warming and the mjo forcing. I'd bank that chart if it were for last month.

mickger844posts · 07-03-2016 3:13pm

Some nice sunny intervals here but the wind having a big chill factor. A mild spell would be most welcome as it seems it's been cold now since the start of the year. One bonus factor this time of year is the Suns radiance which does make it feel warmer even in sub 10c temps.

www.waterfordcityweather.com

sryanbruen · 07-03-2016 6:24pm

Carnacalla wrote: »

Even if it does come off on Friday, we still got hotter weather in December!

Yeah but the sun (looks like there won't be any....) will make it feel actually warm. In December, the absence of sunshine made it "feel" cold in my region. But at the same time, that sounds confusing and weird since sunshine in Winter normally causes colder conditions.

JCX BXC · 07-03-2016 6:37pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

Yeah but the sun (looks like there won't be any....) will make it feel actually warm. In December, the absence of sunshine made it "feel" cold in my region. But at the same time, that sounds confusing and weird since sunshine in Winter normally causes colder conditions.

Yeah I agree, assuming there's sun it will feel warmer.

The Met Eireann forecast was too vague to gauge whether there would be any Sunshine Friday last night, but now it gives this "Rest of week /Weekend: Rainfall light and often dry but cloudy, much milder with highs of in excess of 10 C."

So it was warmer in December, and unless your one of the lucky people who will get some sun, it has felt warmer too! Still, I did quite like the mild in December, especially the warm nights.

sryanbruen · 07-03-2016 6:52pm

Carnacalla wrote: »

Yeah I agree, assuming there's sun it will feel warmer.

The Met Eireann forecast was too vague to gauge whether there would be any Sunshine Friday last night, but now it gives this "Rest of week /Weekend: Rainfall light and often dry but cloudy, much milder with highs of in excess of 10 C."

So it was warmer in December, and unless your one of the lucky people who will get some sun, it has felt warmer too! Still, I did quite like the mild in December, especially the warm nights.

I despise last December though - mainly due to how wet it was. My top 10 recent favourite months weather-wise:

1. April 2011
2. March 2011
3. July 2014
4. March 2012
5. June 2010
6. June 2014
7. July 2013 / 2006
8. April 2015
9. September 2014
10. October 2010 / 2015

sryanbruen · 07-03-2016 6:55pm

I see the low pressure tomorrow into Wednesday could be a potential storm.

Meteorite58 · 07-03-2016 8:59pm

Nice High Pressure building the weekend with current projections by the GFS for temperatures getting up to around 13-14C by Fri 11th through to Thurs 17th at least ( even warmer Weds 16th -Thurs 17th possibly getting up to 14-15C ) .

nacho libre · 07-03-2016 9:43pm

Well enjoy it, because after that brief warm up, we may well be back to square one with below average temperatures and cold rain.

sryanbruen · 07-03-2016 11:12pm

nacho libre wrote: »

Well enjoy it, because after that brief warm up, we may well be back to square one with below average temperatures and cold rain.

Yeah so I'm not gettin' happy about it... I want something like March 2012 or April 2011 or April last year (without the bad Summers of course :rolleyes:)

Schadenfreudia · 08-03-2016 3:11am

nacho libre wrote: »

Well enjoy it, because after that brief warm up, we may well be back to square one with below average temperatures and cold rain.

Indeed.

After a year of below-average temperatures we got way above average from November to mid-February...and now as winter ends and the possibility of serious winter weather disappears the temperatures plunge again.

Seems God is really peed off at those who like cold winters and warm summers

Calibos · 08-03-2016 5:10am

sryanbruen wrote: »

Yeah so I'm not gettin' happy about it... I want something like March 2012 or April 2011 or April last year (without the bad Summers of course :rolleyes:)

I seem to recall pretty much the whole of April 2007 being a scorcher as Aprils go. Weeks and weeks of warm sunshine. Followed by a dreadful Summer

Schadenfreudia · 08-03-2016 9:41am

Calibos wrote: »

I seem to recall pretty much the whole of April 2007 being a scorcher as Aprils go. Weeks and weeks of warm sunshine. Followed by a dreadful Summer

First 10 days were cloudless; then..meh.

sryanbruen · 08-03-2016 5:51pm

Calibos wrote: »

I seem to recall pretty much the whole of April 2007 being a scorcher as Aprils go. Weeks and weeks of warm sunshine. Followed by a dreadful Summer

April 2015 was a scorcher! Have a look at the sunshine at Valentia Observatory, Dublin Airport and Belmullet in the attachment below during this month. It bet April 2007 as the sunniest April on record in all!

sryanbruen · 08-03-2016 5:54pm

Meanwhile, here's April 2007 in this attachment (strangely looks sunnier though than 2015, however it is not...

). These graphs by the way have been graphed by me with the help of Met Éireann's data (I rounded the values to the nearest full hour though).

flazio · 08-03-2016 7:58pm

New forecaster on RTÉ?

Smidge · 08-03-2016 8:00pm

flazio wrote: »

New forecaster on RTÉ?

I like her, very upbeat and relaxed

Harry Palmr · 08-03-2016 8:11pm

A bit too casual!

They'll be complaints to RTE

Remember the massive fuss when the "dolly birds" were parachuted in about 10-12 years ago?

Slieve Gullion · 08-03-2016 10:34pm

The new weather presenter on rte is a breath of fresh air. Someone who doesn't try on the posh accent. She's great.

ronnie3585 · 08-03-2016 10:43pm

I liked her. A bit nervous, but that's to be expected.

sryanbruen · 08-03-2016 11:48pm

BBC suggest a prolonged spell of dry weather because the pressure is high at ground level and the upper atmosphere. Looks like for the third March in a row, mid-month is looking dry. I could be wrong in thinking this was going to be a very wet month but it looks like Mother Nature has paid her debt to the society and is going to give us a dry spell which we have longed for since November!

alentejo · 09-03-2016 9:02am

Always weary of a prolonged dry March. Nature usually pays us back with a wet summer.

ytpe2r5bxkn0c1 · 09-03-2016 9:51am

alentejo wrote: »

Always weary of a prolonged dry March. Nature usually pays us back with a wet summer.

You needn't worry. There will not be a prolonged dry spell this March.

Dry this morning after heavy overnight rain. Low of 2.4c overnight and now 5.3c. Sunny and bright. A real spring morning.

nacho libre · 09-03-2016 1:06pm

Wesley Fat Stationery wrote: »

You needn't worry. There will not be a prolonged dry spell this March.

It depends what you define as prolonged, if the high meanders around the uk you could get up to two weeks of fine weather. A blocked pattern can be hard to shift.
It is interesting that M.T Cranium doesn't seem to put much emphasis on the high moving further north any time soon, allowing a trough to drop into Europe, courtesy of the sudden stratospheric warming. That could open the door to quite cold weather from the north east, but it would likely be just cold rain given the strength of the sun now

I suppose if the models were to firm up on that idea it would start appearing in his forecast.

sryanbruen · 09-03-2016 2:55pm

alentejo wrote: »

Always weary of a prolonged dry March. Nature usually pays us back with a wet summer.

Let's see about that. These Marches all consist below of a dry spell of at least 8 days long and not all them are drier than normal Marches overall.

2015 - Yes
2014 - Meh... (August was only wet but that made Summer wet overall here)
2012 - Yes!!!!
2011 - Meh... (depends on the location. 2011 wasn't a wet but cold Summer here)
2010 - No (depends on the location again because July was wet and some of the high totals made the Summer wet overall)
2009 - Yes!!!
2003 - No

And unsurprisingly, the results are mixed!

MJohnston · 09-03-2016 3:04pm

I'm hoping for a nice dry and cold March because I'm doing my honeymoon in a campervan around the country during that time! At least give me some nice clear skies while I'm in the Kerry Dark Sky Reserve

Gonzo · 09-03-2016 5:16pm

im hoping for a nice dry rest of 2016:)

sryanbruen · 09-03-2016 5:18pm

Gonzo wrote: »

im hoping for a nice dry rest of 2016:)

I want a year like 2010 all over again (without the July of course)

sryanbruen · 09-03-2016 6:34pm

Has there ever been a time where the first week of May was colder than the first week of January?

sryanbruen · 09-03-2016 10:37pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

Has there ever been a time where the first week of May was colder than the first week of January?

May 2012 might be a considered one

sryanbruen · 09-03-2016 10:38pm

Update: The BBC now say that they are very confident in this high pressure situation lasting for the whole of next week at least and maybe the start of the week after.

Chris_Bradley · 09-03-2016 11:05pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

Update: The BBC now say that they are very confident in this high pressure situation lasting for the whole of next week at least and maybe the start of the week after.

Please god they're on the button - we could all do with some sunny days

sryanbruen · 09-03-2016 11:18pm

The dry period from March 13th - 28th 2011 was great and it would be awesome if it could be repeated now (I'm also saying that because that March had the same calendar as this one... - just thought that would be a fun fact).

Harry Palmr · 10-03-2016 12:40am

Grass cutting ahoy! :pac:

sumtings · 10-03-2016 9:31am

The Thurs 00Z GFS UK Precip Chart on Netweather is showing relativly dry till Thursday next week(with the exception of Saturday) with a nice bit of rain thursday week onwards. which is a little dissapointing if it comes off as I'm off from paddy's day till the Monday.

Iancar29 · 10-03-2016 11:06am

Chris_Bradley wrote: »

Please god they're on the button - we could all do with some sunny days

High pressure doesn't necessarily mean sunny days.

ronnie3585 · 10-03-2016 1:33pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

High pressure doesn't necessarily mean sunny days.

Dry would be a good start.

Harry Palmr · 10-03-2016 2:00pm

There is always someone on these threads to try and put on damper on good news! Same people who try to magic snow out of nothing :pac:

Chris_Bradley · 10-03-2016 2:33pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

High pressure doesn't necessarily mean sunny days.

Cheers for that ya damp squid lol

Iancar29 · 10-03-2016 2:52pm

Chris_Bradley wrote: »

Cheers for that ya damp squid lol

Just stating a fact before people start coming in here wondering where the week long wall to wall sunshine is... :pac: :rolleyes:

patneve2 · 10-03-2016 4:18pm

Not a bad day here at all, feeling quite warm in the sun

JCX BXC · 10-03-2016 5:09pm

Max temperatures of 10c according to the woman on the radio, just as I glance as my weather station which reads "13.4c".

I'd be in a t-shirt if the sun was present. West Clare

nacho libre · 10-03-2016 5:28pm

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/84231-stratosphere-temperature-watch-20152016/?page=44

There could still be a late wintry blast from the arctic, according to the man in this video. It's more likely there won't be, but those of you who have turned your back on snow you have been warned!

image.png.d00eca871d9753e49c5e48a5b3fff6c1.png

image.png.d00eca871d9753e49c5e48a5b3fff6c1.png

sryanbruen · 10-03-2016 6:03pm

sumtings wrote: »

The Thurs 00Z GFS UK Precip Chart on Netweather is showing relativly dry till Thursday next week(with the exception of Saturday) with a nice bit of rain thursday week onwards. which is a little dissapointing if it comes off as I'm off from paddy's day till the Monday.

Stop :mad::(. Don't ruin this dry spell which we have longed for since November!

sryanbruen · 10-03-2016 6:04pm

Sorry Nacho Libre, I do like snow but very unlikely scenario there!

kingshankly · 10-03-2016 6:21pm

Harry Palmr wrote: »

There is always someone on these threads to try and put on damper on good news! Same people who try to magic snow out of nothing :pac:

Your right people can f(uk off with their snow at this stage
Time for the temps to go up

nacho libre · 10-03-2016 7:24pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

Sorry Nacho Libre, I do like snow but very unlikely scenario there!

Yeah it is unlikely, but not impossible to get night time snow if we get a potent northerly. By the way, i have a feeling this April is going to start off very cold. We could get some good hail showers out of it.

Spring Weather 2016

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