Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

daramike · 15-01-2015 05:24PM

Leinster cap was on PP as -14 earlier in the week, I got on. I didn't check yesterday was it still there.

thomond2006 · 15-01-2015 08:14PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 45.04 units

- 2 units (0.69/1) Clermont, Toulouse, Bordeaux, Bayonne, Toulon & Stade Francais to win

New Balance: 43.04 units

Old Balance: 46.41 units

- 5 units (2/1) Munster to win
- 3 units (10/11) Castres +22

New Balance: 38.41 units

langer91 · 15-01-2015 08:37PM

Double of

Castres +24.5
Munster +6.5

2.42/1

5 units

typhoony · 16-01-2015 12:12PM

Sneaky Bookmakers are not offering much in the way of odds for Ulster v Toulon, a Flu in the Toulon camp could have a big impact on the result of this game

gflann · 16-01-2015 12:15PM

They normally don't open the full book until the teams are named.

matthew8 · 16-01-2015 01:21PM

Good thing I waited on Murray. Can't be having Munster now. 1 unit Connacht win 2.6.

sydthebeat · 16-01-2015 01:21PM

i see munster have been pushed out to +7 with PP

without murray this could go longer

matthew8 · 16-01-2015 01:26PM

Yeah it really should be going longer, I might take them at +7 actually.

sydthebeat · 16-01-2015 01:28PM

matthew8 wrote: »

Yeah it really should be going longer, I might take them at +7 actually.

i should have waited :mad:

heres hoping for another "miracle game"

matthew8 · 16-01-2015 01:46PM

Toulon -15 1.91 1 unit.

LostArt · 16-01-2015 01:47PM

Toulon -15 is too low to overlook

skippymac6 · 16-01-2015 01:52PM

Agree on Toulon. Ulster have looked awful this year, especially away from home. Toulon havent really fired at home against Scarlets or Leicester and I'd say this is the day that they do it.

Leicester -15 is a bit too steep. I think they will win by 10+ but I'm annoyed at I didnt get on at the -11s and -12s. I'm going to play Leicester to win by 11-20 points and 21-30 at 9/4 and 7/2 respectively.

daramike · 16-01-2015 02:04PM

Toulon -15 for me as well Ulster could get destroyed. Clermont -6 is a great bet as well, they should have way too much for Sale. I can see Leicester covering the -14 as well. Scarlets are destroyed with injuries and won't be up for this game. Leicester need 4 tries and they will get them too.

matthew8 · 16-01-2015 02:13PM

Sale +8.5 1 unit 2.0 888. Munster +7 1 unit 2.0 365.

sydthebeat · 16-01-2015 02:17PM

Toulon
CA
Saracens
Castres

All to beat spread

Accumulator @ 13/1

matthew8 · 16-01-2015 05:25PM

Zebre to beat Brive 1.75 888 1 unit, looks very good to me. Brive have sent the seconds and it looks like Zebre want a confidence boost after the fiasco of the last 3 weeks. Edinburgh win 2.3 1 unit.

18-01-2015 04:51PM

Deleted User wrote: »

Leinster -16/18 would be my line tbh

http://www.leinsterrugby.ie/team/results/results_and_fixtures_leinster.php

Big wins this season
-30 v Scarlets (h)
-14 v Cardiff Blues (h)
-17 v Zebre (a)
-25 v Edinburgh (h)

Haven't been putting teams to the sword really, and two of those were in the opening weeks of the league..
In fact, we've only scored 24 points 6 times this season (24 exactly twice). Are we expected to keep Castres almost scoreless?

Castres big losses this season (more than 24 point losses)
+29 v Tolouse (a)
+33 v La Rochelle (a)
+52 v Bordeaux-Begles (a)
+27 v Wasps (a)
+33 v Stade Francais (a)

So their away record is pants. That Bordeaux-Begles result sticks out obviously (11/10/14). They appear to have been improving since then (domestically) until last weekend when they were trounced again.

happy enough to lose this one tbh

matthew8 · 18-01-2015 06:09PM

matthew8 wrote: »

112 staked, +12.38. Still can't believe what Ulster did to me.

119 staked, +9.04. Disaster, fourth week in a row of losses. However Leinster Northampton and Bath all look like potentially winning the pool which would be worth 4, 5 and 25 units each but my unit has got a bit bigger since then.

matthew8 · 18-01-2015 10:08PM

Northampton 8 point favourites, that handicap is plenty low to have a bet. Don't see them giving Racing a chance to win it in the last minute.

matthew8 · 19-01-2015 12:47AM

1 unit Northampton -8 1.91, 1 unit Leinster win 2.0.

sydthebeat · 19-01-2015 12:22PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

Toulon
CA
Saracens
Castres

All to beat spread

Accumulator @ 13/1

thats what i get for betting against my team

matthew8 · 20-01-2015 06:44PM

888 Glasgow +17.5 1 unit 1.85.

thomond2006 · 20-01-2015 11:44PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 46.41 units

- 5 units (2/1) Munster to win
- 3 units (10/11) Castres +22

New Balance: 38.41 units

:(:(:(:(:(:(

daramike · 21-01-2015 12:52AM

daramike wrote: »

Toulon -15 for me as well Ulster could get destroyed. Clermont -6 is a great bet as well, they should have way too much for Sale. I can see Leicester covering the -14 as well. Scarlets are destroyed with injuries and won't be up for this game. Leicester need 4 tries and they will get them too.

I cleaned up with the 3 above bets coming in.

matthew8 · 22-01-2015 09:22PM

Edinburgh -16 4.33 1 unit William Hill. -6 standard handicap is fair for me given Bordeaux have a mix of the first and second string but it's a good alternate handicap game for me because I think Bordeaux will keep it close or lose badly, don't think there'll be much in between.

matthew8 · 23-01-2015 07:40PM

1 unit Ulster win 2.37.

thomond2006 · 24-01-2015 04:10AM

Old Balance: 38.41 units

- 5 units (11/10) Leinster to win

New Balance: 33.41 units

thomond2006 · 24-01-2015 04:00PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 38.41 units

- 5 units (11/10) Leinster to win

New Balance: 33.41 units

**** **** **** **** ****

sydthebeat · 24-01-2015 04:02PM

Had Leinster to score first, win the first half and win over all for 7/2

sydthebeat · 24-01-2015 04:08PM

Actually checked and forgot I had a double of less than 42.5 points and quins to beat spread.

So not so bad.

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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