Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

Tuesday, 3 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Some sunny intervals this morning in eastern counties, as cloud and then showers develop further west. There could be one or two heavy showers or thunderstorms by early afternoon in western counties, some of this activity could survive to early evening across the east, but it looks rather disorganized and hit or miss in terms of probability of any given location seeing more than about 5-10 mm. Highs will be generally around 16-17 C. Sometimes a little breezy from the west with gusts near some heavier showers reaching 50-60 km/hr.

TONIGHT ... Further showers but a slow clearing trend, becoming misty in coastal areas, lows 7-10 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud with some heavy showers and possible thunderstorms with hail, most likely in Connacht, west Munster and midlands, but again quite variable in rainfalls, 3-15 mm range. Highs only 13-16 C and feeling rather chilly especially in occasional strong wind gusts to 70 km/hr from a westerly direction.

THURSDAY ... Some early morning clearing could allow temperatures to drop as low as 4-7 C then increasing cloud during the day, scattered light rain may develop near Munster coasts by evening. Highs 13-16 C.

FRIDAY ... Cloudy, intervals of heavy rain developing, moving north across all regions, with some embedded thunderstorms. Lows 7-9 C and highs 13-16 C except 16-19 C in west Munster. Rainfall potential 20-30 mm. Strong winds may develop especially around Cork, Waterford, Wexford, Wicklow and Dublin coastal regions, E-SE 50-80 km/hr. Other regions will see winds about 40-60 km/hr.

SATURDAY ... Warmer and quite humid with showers and risk of thunder, moderate southerly winds, coastal fog in south. Lows 10-12 C and highs about 17-19 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, warm and humid, lows 11-13 C and highs about 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... Next week is currently looking a bit warmer at first and possibly a lot warmer towards the end of the week with a drying trend after some rather persistent showers at first. Highs could reach the low or even mid 20s eventually but could be held down by somewhat stubborn lower cloud in some regions.

Forecasts for Britain

The trend will be similar in most respects, but the warmer push this weekend will bring hot, unstable air into play for southeast England and some heavy storms are possible at times in the Midlands and south central, southeast England. Further west it will be more similar to Ireland with persistent but less severe showers. Next week appears likely to be quite warm but with some very unsettled conditions at times.

Forecasts for North America

Continued warm but unsettled over much of the east, as a strong outbreak of severe storms develops in Kansas and Nebraska, as near 40 C heat pushes out of Texas into parts of Oklahoma. Storm chase reports should be quite active by late in the afternoon (evening Irish or U.K. times). ... My local weather continues quite pleasant with sunshine and around 20 C in a moderate sea breeze regime on Monday.

Thursday, 5 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


ADVANCE ALERT for heavy rainfalls on Friday in parts of Munster, 25-40 mm rain possible around Cork and Limerick. Spot flooding may develop by late afternoon or evening. Heavy thunderstorms are possible Friday night and Saturday in east-central regions.


TODAY ... Some sunshine at first, then mid-level cloud becoming fairly widespread, highs only reaching 13-16 C at best.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy but remaining dry except for some light rain near south and west coasts. Lows 6-9 C.

FRIDAY ... Cloudy, intervals of heavy rain developing, moving north across all regions, with some embedded thunderstorms, with highs 13-16 C except by late afternoon 16-19 C in west Munster. Rainfall potential 20-30 mm and possibly a bit higher in the Cork and Limerick regions, local flooding possible there, some embedded thunderstorms possible. Strong winds may develop especially around Cork, Waterford, Wexford, Wicklow and Dublin coastal regions, E-SE 50-80 km/hr. Other regions will see winds about 40-60 km/hr.

SATURDAY ... Warmer and quite humid with showers and risk of thunder, moderate southerly winds, coastal fog in south. Lows 10-12 C and highs about 17-19 C. Some risk of severe storms for portions of Ulster, Leinster and nearby portions of Connacht, east Munster (the risk is considerably greater however in Britain).

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, and risk of locally heavy thunderstorms, warm and humid, lows 11-13 C and highs about 18 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Further showers or thunderstorms, warm and very humid, highs near 20 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The mid-week outlook has shifted to a less volatile if slightly unsettled southwesterly flow that would see temperatures near normal or slightly above, 18-21 C.

Will update the forecasts for Britain and North America on Friday, still watching the potential for severe storms in parts of England on Saturday and again during the week. The latest guidance is probably not quite as warm as the main core of heat stays to the east of the North Sea most of the week but as this guidance keeps changing I think the most likely outcome is for one or two incursions of heat setting off heavy storms at times. Meanwhile, my local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy to sunny with highs 18-20 C in a strong sea breeze.

Saturday, 7 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland

TODAY ... Further outbreaks of thundery rain will drift north into Ulster where some locally heavy falls are likely, in particular during late morning hours. Some hazy sunshine will follow but this will give way to another interval of showers and isolated thunderstorms reaching Leinster during the mid-day to afternoon hours. Highs 18-20 C.

TONIGHT ... Muggy with showers or thunderstorms developing, lows near 13.

SUNDAY ... Warm and humid, scattered thunderstorms likely. Morning lows about 13 C and afternoon highs 18-20 C. Winds southerly 30-50 km/hr.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, warm and humid, scattered showers and risk of a thunderstorm, lows near 13 C and highs near 19 or 20 C.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers more isolated and some places remaining dry, but risk of coastal fog or low cloud. Lows near 11 C and highs near 21 C inland.

OUTLOOK ... Some sunny intervals inland, low cloud and fog prevalent near some coasts, warm with highs reaching 21-23 C later in the week. Some guidance suggests a fairly prolonged dry spell with temperatures fairly warm in most regions, although likely to be held down in some coastal areas by sea breezes and/or drifting fog banks.

The comments from yesterday's forecasts (Britain and North America) remain generally valid, expect some heavy showers or even severe storms if travelling to England or Wales today, tomorrow or early next week. My local weather on Friday was another sunny and fairly warm day (21 C).

Monday, 9 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, warm and humid, occasional showers with some thunder, more frequent in west. Rainfalls 10-15 mm west, 5-10 mm east. Highs 17-20 C. Moderate southerly winds becoming quite gusty at times by late afternoon in Munster.

TONIGHT ... Breezy (windy south coast) and very humid, remaining quite warm, with frequent showers or periods of rain and some embedded thunder, lows 12-15 C. Winds gusting to 70 km/hr at times near south coast. A further 10-15 mm rain likely.

TUESDAY ... Morning showers, thunderstorms, followed by gradual clearing from southwest. About 10-15 mm rain likely, accumulations over 24-36h could lead to high stream levels and some flooding. Sunshine may spread into parts of Munster by late afternoon, evening. Highs 17-19 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, quite warm, lows 9-13 C and highs 18-22 C. Showers likely near west coast by late afternoon or evening.

THURSDAY ... Sunny with cloudy periods in some eastern and southern counties while showers or periods of light rain spread across the north. Warm especially in the inland southeast, highs 21-24 C there, otherwise 17-20 C.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers becoming more frequent by late in the day as southerly winds shift more westerly, lows 8-11 C and highs about 18-22 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Partly cloudy, near normal temperatures with highs about 18-20 C. Slight chance of showers near Donegal Bay and other northwest coasts.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The model guidance for the second half of June is generally quite encouraging in terms of settled weather, warmth and at least some sunshine. It looks a little closer to 20 C than 25 C for daytime highs during most of the period but seems likely to fluctuate in that range (would say 18-25 C more likely) most of the time. Not necessarily bone dry but high pressure prevails much of the time.

Forecasts for Britain will follow a very similar agenda although later today southeast England could import some hefty thunderstorms from France. There may be some relatively cool days in Britain after mid-month as more of a surface northerly flow develops there, with Ireland closer to an Atlantic ridge. In North America, the general theme is relatively warm with a distinct (and wet) frontal boundary across the inland southeast and part of the mid-Atlantic states. Turning very hot in the plains states ahead of strong low pressure over the northern Rockies near the Canadian border, so some heavy storms likely up that way. My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy and about 20 C with more of a sea breeze than previous days.

Wednesday, 11 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Hazy sunshine for many eastern and southern parts of Ireland, turning quite warm with highs 18-21 C. More cloud likely west and north, fog or mist slower to clear but also some sunny intervals by afternoon, coastal drizzle in some places, highs 16-19 C.

TONIGHT ... Hazy clear skies at first, then cloudy or misty, lows 6-10 C.

THURSDAY ... Hazy sunshine, warm inland (20-24 C) again in most eastern and southern counties although may remain overcast near south coast (17C), cloudy at times in west and north, occasional light rain (16-19 C).

FRIDAY ... After another misty but otherwise clear night with lows 7-11C, the day will become partly cloudy, warm, light rain in parts of north, sunshine elsewhere with highs 20-24 C.

SATURDAY to MIDWEEK will bring a period of settled and generally warm weather with better chances for very warm sunshine in east and south, but some intervals of warmth near west and north coasts too, despite more frequent low cloud and sea fog in places. Highs as a result will range from near 17 C in west and north coast locations to 22-24 C in some parts of the inland south and east. Saturday may not be quite that warm as a very slight infusion of cooler air will accompany the higher pressure but this will quickly be modified by warmer air mixing down.

LONGER TERM OUTLOOK calls for this warm and dry spell to change very slowly due to more of an easterly wind flow later in the week, which will have the effect of making the east coast relatively cool and the rest of the country warm. Highest temperatures could edge up to mid 20s and possibly 27 C in favoured locations. Eventually a more normal and slightly unsettled pattern will return but possibly not for two weeks or longer.

More details on Britain and North America will follow tomorrow, for now just note that similar trends will develop in Britain although with a somewhat deeper cooling influence at times from the colder (and larger) North Sea, especially when winds turn more northerly on Saturday and from then on -- meanwhile in North America, rain is moving slowly further east and will affect the cities on the east coast later today and tonight, with some heavy falls expected today in the Ohio valley and parts of the lower Great Lakes. My local weather turned cloudy for a change on Tuesday and there was even a bit of rain (for the first time in two weeks or so), with highs held down to about 19 C.


(advance note -- full moon takes place on Thursday night, the exact time is 0511h (IST) Friday 13th).

Friday, 13 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Mostly cloudy aside from some brief sunny intervals in parts of the south, with occasional showers in northern counties, sometimes rather heavy near Donegal Bay this morning then across Ulster mid-day and afternoon. Some parts of the south will remain dry and in between just a few sprinkles of light rain that might not interfere with most outdoor activities. Quite warm with highs 18-22 C. Rainfalls of 3-7 mm on average in the north.

TONIGHT ... A few more rather light showers becoming increasingly confined to east Ulster and north Leinster, otherwise, cloudy with a few clear intervals, and lows 8-12 C.

SATURDAY ... Cloud may be a bit slow to break in east Ulster and north Leinster but showers will be very isolated then will likely evaporate, as sunshine becomes more prevalent everywhere, with the possible exception of a few coastal spots in the far north under low cloud. For most then it should be a warm day with a cooling sea breeze within 5-10 km of the coasts. Otherwise winds will be quite light but generally northerly. Highs 18-22 C.

SUNDAY ... Sunny with just a few isolated cloudy intervals near some coasts, quite possible that the whole day will be sunny in most areas. Morning lows about 7-10 C but that will be long before most people get up, so around 17 C for your morning activities and 20-24 C by mid-day and afternoon.

MONDAY to THURSDAY ... Continuing very pleasant, sunny and warm, with sea breezes becoming a little stronger during the period especially near the Irish Sea coasts, but their cooling effects will be quite localized. Highs for central and western counties, apart from some outer coastal headlands and islands, will be 21-25 C. Closer to the sea, expect 18-22 C. Overnight lows will range from 7 to 11 C mostly, and will vary more by urban-rural location than by region. Light to moderate east winds will develop. One or two thunderstorms could be found in parts of west Munster and south Connacht towards the end of the week, but they might be rather isolated.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The warm dry spell could last well beyond this coming week as guidance is rather inconclusive about any really well-defined changes in the location of this rather persistent high. The possibilities for the last third of June range from a return to somewhat more average conditions to an even warmer heat wave set-up. It may be a case of this high weakening slightly and reinforcing after a very subtle cooling trend. (I said it would improve in the summer outlook, but this is probably more rapid improvement, hope it doesn't overdo itself).

Britain will enjoy very similar trends with the usual larger variations near the North Sea and more frequent rain in Scotland. I doubt that water shortages would become an issue for quite some time given the above normal rainfall during the past winter and spring. However there is some chance of a scorching period that might affect parts of Ireland too.

In North America, the east remains close to normal while the west is very warm but active weather is developing in Montana and Idaho, as well as nearby parts of western Canada, with severe storm potential later today in central Montana and northwest Wyoming, eastern Idaho. My local weather was partly sunny and pleasant with a high of 21 C on Thursday.

The weather across Brazil seems fairly placid in most locations, by southern hemisphere winter standards, the far south of the country is rather mild but there's a cold front approaching. I learned during the coverage today that it snowed in 1930 during the first World Cup held in Uruguay. If they were playing there tomorrow it would be raining and about 10-15 C. But only the very far south of Brazil will see anything like that, otherwise a strong high out in the Atlantic is pulling in warm, dry air from the northwest. There's a few tropical thunderstorms moving west each day through the Amazon basin but even there most places are hot and dry.

Sunday, 15 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Sunny and warm in most parts, but some stubborn cloud may persist for at least the morning in north Leinster, parts of Ulster. Isolated showers are possible mid-day near Donegal Bay. It will feel rather humid with highs 21-24 C (except 18-21 C in a few places near east or north coasts), and light winds that could become moderate N-NE in some coastal areas.

TONIGHT ... Generally clear and warm but some patchy sea fog or low cloud, drizzle near north and east coasts. Lows 10-13 C.

MONDAY ... Little change with very warm sunshine for most, isolated low cloud or sea fog near east and north coasts, conditions rather variable within a few kilometres of the coast. Highs generally 22-26 C but 18-21 C in parts of Leinster and Ulster.

TUESDAY to THURSDAY ... Hazy sunshine and very warm with isolated mid-day showers possible inland west. Lows 9-13 C and highs 22-26 C for most, 17-21 C near east and north coasts.

FRIDAY to SUNDAY ... Turning gradually cooler from north to south, highs generally near 20 C at first then 15-18 C by Sunday, fresh northwest to north winds developing, skies partly cloudy to overcast at times, and a few isolated showers although remaining dry for many.

Britain will have similar trends although the influence of the North Sea will be much more extensive with the eastern half of Britain cooled by northeast breezes and considerable cloud drifting inland, so the best weather in Britain is likely to be in parts of Wales, western Scotland and northwest England, also parts of the Severn valley and around Somerset. London will generally remain in near normal temperatures and partly to mostly cloudy skies with one or two days a bit cloudier. Meanwhile, today in ITALY there will be an outbreak of severe storms with Rome and Tuscany most at risk. ... In North America the east coast is warm and dry, the central plains states will have another outbreak of severe storms, and less severe but widespread thunderstorms will move gradually northeast from the lower Mississippi valley. The U.S. Open golf event should have mostly dry conditions but could see the onset of this unsettled weather towards the end of the day, but if a playoff were needed on Monday that could have weather problems. ... My local weather on Saturday was damp and rather cool with a low cloud base, highs near 15 C.

Tuesday, 17 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Most places will enjoy sunny and very warm weather with light to moderate northeast breezes. The far north may see more cloud and some fog close to outer headlands. Highs for most locations 22-26 C but 18-22 C within 5-10 km of the Irish Sea and 14-17 C near north coasts.

TONIGHT ... Clear although rather hazy at times, mild. Lows 12-15 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will continue very similar with the slight increase in risk of an isolated thunderstorm in west Munster and possibly south Connacht. Even there, the chances will be slight, and highs will remain in the mid 20s for most, although 18-22 C east coast. Breezes may increase from northeast which may allow the cooling effects of the sea breeze to reach somewhat further inland especially to the north of Dublin (to the south, topography inhibits the sea breeze, and some parts of the city repel sea breezes by urban heating). Nights will remain mostly clear and mild, 11-14 C.

FRIDAY to SUNDAY are currently looking just a little cooler for most, as the offshore high will not be entirely removed but typical highs will come down a few degrees into the 18-22 C range, with some coastal areas 16-18 C in moderate northeast winds. There will continue to be a few isolated showers and a general increase in onshore low cloud and light showers in parts of Ulster and later in north Leinster.

Britain is dealing with more cloud thanks to the cooler North Sea and temperatures are generally in the 17-20 C range with the warmest spots in Wales and western England. This trend will continue although cloud amounts will be variable and one or two showers could come and go during mid-week.

My local weather on Monday was partly cloudy in the morning and sunny by afternoon with highs near 20 C. Heavy rain has developed inland and into Alberta and this will continue today and possibly tomorrow. Severe storms continue further east into the upper Midwest.

Wednesday, 18 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Very warm or even hot sunny weather will be widespread across the south and central counties, with some slight cooling near the east coast and also spreading into Mayo and western Galway as winds will be somewhat more northerly allowing a sea breeze to set in. The south coast on the other hand will probably be almost the hottest area as the sea breeze will be suppressed there (noticeable perhaps on outer headlands and islands). So, highs could be very close to 30 C in the sun, and definitely well into the high 20s for many, trending to about 22-25 C east coast. However, cloud and considerably cooler temperatures could push into some parts of Ulster, and remnants could spill out into north Leinster and some parts of north Connacht at times, with quite a drop in temperature where the cloud arrives (to 18-22 C). One or two thunderstorms may develop along a sea breeze boundary likely to set up north-south near Galway and Shannon into parts of Cork. Watch for updates.

TONIGHT ... Clear and very mild to warm for most, cloudy and mild in parts of Ulster and in a few isolated coastal spots, foggy. Lows 12-16 C.

THURSDAY ... Little if any change although this northern cloud is probably going to reposition slightly further south, so that one or two locations around Westmeath and Roscommon could cool off a bit, otherwise most places will probably repeat their highs from today within 2-3 deg, so generally 25-30 C for most, 18-23 C north, 22-26 C east coast and some parts of outer west coast. Once again, there could be an isolated but potentially heavy thunderstorm or two in Cork, Limerick, Clare, Galway, Mayo and nearby portions of other counties. These would be brief and quite isolated.

FRIDAY ... Only a slight cooling trend is likely, confined to about 2-3 deg at most, so still quite warm and sunny for most, cloudy intervals in the north, highs ranging from 27-29 C south and central to 21-24 C north and east. Slight risk of a thunderstorm continues although likely more for west Munster than parts of Connacht.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Some models are showing very slight cooling now, and could support 23-26 C highs but the European model continues to bring in a more significant cooling to about 21-23 C, which would probably imply about an equal mixture of cloud and sunshine for most, and cooler cloudy conditions in parts of Ulster (15-19 C) with the risk of a few showers there. Once again, the average of these model depictions might be the best call (22-24 C with about ten hours of sunshine each day for most, cloudy in the north, isolated showers).

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... If it does cool off a bit over the weekend, it now looks likely to warm up to about 25-27 C on Monday, but some scenarios would just say continuing around that level into Monday ... then after that, a slow cooling trend is indicated, whether this gets pushed back or not remains to be seen. I expect a much more active regime near the end of the month, then perhaps a reset of these warm to hot conditions in July.

Forecasts for Britain would be generally somewhat cooler and cloudier although settled and in some western regions quite warm (22-25 C), and there will probably be one or two days where enough sunshine breaks through to produce 25-27 C highs in places. But as with the early June warm spell last summer, Ireland looks set to do better with this first hot spell of the summer.

In North America the severe storm outbreak has spread east, in fact there was a rather strong tornado north of Toronto on Tuesday. Today, these storms will redevelop along a now stationary front in Ohio, PA and NY. Further severe storms will erupt as a new front spills over the Rockies. It was very cool behind that front on Tuesday, in fact, Salt Lake City Utah had a high of only 10 deg (the normal there is 29 C) with rain most of the day. Further south they endured very strong southwest winds in tinder dry conditions over the plateau regions north of Phoenix and around the Grand Canyon, so near hurricane force gusts in places and 30-35 C elevating the fire risk. My local weather (in the cooler air mass) was sunny and near 17 C. We did not have much wind at any point during the changeover past two days but very heavy rains are falling to the east of the Rockies in southern Alberta.

Friday, 20 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Some areas of east and south will have warm sunshine at times, with cloud more widespread in west and north. Highs generally 19-23 C with warmest readings likely inland west Munster. Sea breezes may be stronger today and make larger inroads into parts of north Connacht and Leinster. Ulster could have some areas of low cloud and drizzle with highs only 15-18 C.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, with areas of low cloud or mist, lows generally close to 10 C but could fall lower where skies remain clear (6-8 C) while staying higher near coasts (12-14 C).

SATURDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, generally not as warm as today but some places could reach 21-22 C with enough sunshine, but figure on most places being rather cloudy at least through the morning, holding highs in the range of 17-20 C. Some coastal low cloud and drizzle likely.

SUNDAY ... Possibly a slightly warmer day as more sunshine in the mix, but generally similar to Saturday, highs 18-23 C although one or two places could reach mid 20s.

MONDAY and TUESDAY will likely remain fairly warm and dry despite a mix of cloud and sunshine, highs will remain in the 18-22 C range for most.

LATER NEXT WEEK looks more unsettled and could become a bit breezy at times with the flow returning to more of a westerly pattern again, highs will generally be close to normal values 18-21 C.

The trends in Britain will be similar although now the distribution of cloud and sea breeze regimes will allow temperatures to rise a bit higher in parts of Britain over the weekend, 24-26 C is possible especially west-central. Across North America, most regions are rather unsettled with outbreaks of heavy rain in the eastern states and also in the northern plains states and parts of western Canada. My local weather on Thursday was partly cloudy at first, then overcast with light rain by afternoon and evening. The highs were near 17 C.

Sunday, 22 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Widespread warm sunshine with just the very slight risk of showers developing across the inland north (Leitrim-Cavan-Fermanagh most at risk), highs 20-23 C for most, 18 C in some sea breeze zones.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, mild to warm, lows 9-13 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, warm, slight chance of afternoon showers in parts of the central and southern inland counties especially near higher terrain. Highs 20-23 C.

TUESDAY ... Hazy sunshine with increasing cloud west and north, very warm away from coastal sea breezes. Highs 21-24 C but near 18 C north, some other coastal regions.

WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy for most, after some morning sunshine east, light rain may develop near west coast, highs near 20 C.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy, showers, slight chance of a thunderstorm, becoming breezy (S-SW 40-70 km/hr) with highs about 18 C.

FRIDAY ... Breezy to windy (W 40-70 km/hr), showers in a partly cloudy regime, highs near 17 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The following weekend looks slightly unsettled although there could be some sunny intervals too, highs 18-22 C.

My local weather on Saturday was sunny and warm with a high of 21 C.

Tuesday, 24 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Sunny intervals except for more widespread cloud in north, continued warm, risk of isolated showers mainly to north of Dublin-Galway, highs generally 20-23 C but near 18 C in north.

TONIGHT ... Increasing cloud, mild to warm, lows 10-13 C. A few showers in west and north.

WEDNESDAY ... Mostly cloudy, although some morning sunny intervals keeping temperatures rather warm in east. Showers developing across west and north. Highs 18-23 C warmest inland southeast.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy, frequent showers and risk of a thunderstorm, about 5 to 10 mm rain likely, lows 10-13 C and highs 18-20 C.

FRIDAY ... Rain at times for central and southern counties, some persistent downpours and 15-20 mm rainfalls possible, winds becoming moderate east to northeast at 40-60 km/hr. Ulster and north Connacht may have a few sunny intervals and only isolated showers. Lows 7-9 C and highs generally 16-18 C.

SATURDAY ... Continued overcast with showers at times in south, winds backing to northeast then north 30-50 km/hr. Variable cloud, cool, showers possible further north. Lows 7-9 C and highs 15-18 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, a bit warmer. Highs near 20 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Warm, humid, but becoming unsettled again after perhaps one or two dry days near the end of June. Highs generally near 20 C or into the low 20s.

My local weather on Monday was overcast and light rain began this evening. The high was about 18 C.

Thursday, 26 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Periods of rain across most of the south this morning will spread further north, accompanied by moderate east to southeast winds 40-60 km/hr and a somewhat clammy feeling 15-17 C temperature ... meanwhile rain over Ulster will continue to drift further north, in between the two bands is a mostly cloudy but relatively dry slot that will also continue to move north, lasting a few more hours where it's now in force. Highs could reach 18 C within this zone in north central counties later on, around mid-day. Rainfalls will eventually reach 10-20 mm for many (by late evening in parts of the north).

TONIGHT ... Rain continuing, sometimes rather heavy, and chance of some thunder, 10-20 mm and lows near 13 C.

FRIDAY ... Rain becoming more showery as winds back to northeast 40-60 km/hr by afternoon or evening. Highs 15-17 C. Additional rainfall 5-15 mm heaviest in south.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, showers mostly across inland south, winds north backing at times to northwest 30-50 km/hr. Lows 9-12 C and highs 14-17 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, longer sunny intervals likely in Connacht, west Munster, isolated showers, lows 8-11 C and highs 16-20 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer. Lows 8-12 C and highs 20-23 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... It appears that a somewhat cloudy east to northeast regime will return next week, some rain may occur at times but it should be reasonably dry overall with temperatures possibly a degree or two above normal in the low 20s daytime, 10-14 C overnight.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with a few areas of towering cumulus off to the north over higher terrain, and quite warm at 24 C.

Saturday, 28 June, 2014

Forecasts for Ireland


TODAY ... Partly cloudy, most places dry but unfortunately this may not include most people, as rain appears to be developing north of Dublin this morning, could turn rather showery in the capital region before mid-day (5-10 mm potential). The inland south is also more likely to see scattered showers later on, and eventually some showers could develop in north Connacht. Despite all this, a few locations will have long sunny intervals and a dry day. Highs 16-18 C.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, showers ending in most regions. Rather cool before sunrise with lows 6-9 C but expect 12-15 C as your morning temperatures (sunrise being a lot earlier than most people start their day especially on a Sunday).

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy with just isolated showers, most places dry. Highs around 18 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... These should be mainly dry, if rather cloudy days, with best chances for sunshine in counties around Donegal Bay and Galway. There is some chance of rain at times near the south coast, a lot of the guidance keeps this offshore but some models bring it onto land. Highs for most places will be 19 or 20 C, 21-22 possible in parts of Connacht.

OUTLOOK ... Increasing cloud in most places on Wednesday followed by showers or periods of rain, stronger westerly winds than we've seen for some time (at least a month) gusting to 70 km/hr and turning a bit cooler by end of the week (16-17 C). A long dry interval may follow this disturbance as guidance shows high pressure building over the eastern Atlantic. This pattern could be fairly warm too although so far no indications of unusual heat.

Will update other forecasts tomorrow, meanwhile my local weather on Friday was cloudy with light rain, highs near 18 C.