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Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

11920222425128

Comments

  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Weekend accumulator

    Scarlets handicapped :)
    Clermont handicapped
    Connacht
    munster
    Leinster handicapped
    Leicester


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    Exeter -4.5 1 unit 2.37.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Down to 49.46, 1 unit on Leicester -13.5 (1.76) and Harlequins to win (2.7). Not like I really rate Quins or anything, but 2.7 is too good to pass up.

    Down to 49.22. Couldn't believe Leicester covered, very annoyed Quins bottled it.


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Weekend accumulator

    Scarlets handicapped :)
    Clermont handicapped :(
    Connacht
    munster
    Leinster handicapped
    Leicester :)

    Dead in the water now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Dead in the water now

    Wasn't the handicap 2 points? Seeing as Clermont won by 3 you're still alive


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,211 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    Was yesterday when I took it, maybe it drifted out this morning.


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    P_1 wrote: »
    Wasn't the handicap 2 points? Seeing as Clermont won by 3 you're still alive

    Can't remember, hope so. I checked just before the game and it was -5


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    P_1 wrote: »
    Wasn't the handicap 2 points? Seeing as Clermont won by 3 you're still alive

    Actually just checked, I think I'm ok.

    The result is up as H which i assume is a handicap win. Same as the scarlets result.

    Here's hoping Munster and Leinster can do me a favor.


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Weekend accumulator

    Scarlets handicapped :)
    Clermont handicapped :)
    Connacht :)
    munster :)
    Leinster handicapped
    Leicester :)

    Only Leinster left but always the hardest to call. I have them -5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Only Leinster left but always the hardest to call. I have them -5

    Now's your chance to lump on Castres +5 and lob a few pennies on the handicap draw to lock in some profit assuming the line hasn't shifted ;)


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  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    P_1 wrote: »
    Now's your chance to lump on Castres +5 and lob a few pennies on the handicap draw to lock in some profit assuming the line hasn't shifted ;)

    It Comes in around 11/1 so I've put on castre +5 to Cover all bets and something small on the handicapped draw at 18/1.

    So Leinster win by the spread would still give me around 10/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Exeter -4.5 1 unit 2.37.

    Down to 48.22 with 1 unit on Ospreys +4.5 (evens).


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Leinster v castres under 37.5 @ 10/11


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Weekend accumulator

    Scarlets handicapped :)
    Clermont handicapped :)
    Connacht :)
    munster :)
    Leinster handicapped :)
    Leicester :)

    Jesus my heart for that last conversion


  • Hosted Moderators Posts: 23,379 ✭✭✭✭beertons


    Well done syd.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Down to 48.22 with 1 unit on Ospreys +4.5 (evens).

    Shocking weekend (down to 47.22), Saracens 1 unit 2.9 to win.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    Waiting on Liverpool to deliver on an accum with Toulouse, Leinster and Northampton in it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 33.05 units

    - 4.5 units (10/11) Munster -5 :)
    - 3 units (10/11) Clermont Auvergne scr :)
    - 2 units (10/11) Toulouse -5 :)
    - 2 units (10/11) Castres +5 :(
    - 1 unit (10/11) Cardiff Blues +21 :(
    - 1 unit (10/11) Racing Métro -8 :(
    - 0.5 units (11/2) Toulouse, Clermont & Castres to win :(

    New Balance: 19.05 units

    New Balance: 37.19 units

    Castres lose a 14-0 lead, had they held on it would have been an excellent weekend! Still it's a 4 unit gain.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,818 ✭✭✭Inspector Coptoor


    Accumulator of Leinster -5, Toulouse -5, man city win & Liverpool win came in at just over 10-1
    1 unit on it.
    Happy days :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 136 ✭✭No, you're a...


    Old Balance: 34.14

    Some old bets that haven't been posted
    - 2 units Edinburgh v Leinster - Leinster @ 1.90 (-3.0) :(
    - 1 unit Munster v Connacht - Keith Earls @ 2.87 :(
    - 1 unit Munster v Connacht - Munster @ 1.90 (-8.0) :(
    - 1 unit Munster v Connacht - Munster @ 2.00 (-3.0) @ halftime :)

    this weekend
    - 3 units Gloucester v Munster - Munster @ 1.90 (-6.0) :)
    - 1 unit Racing Metro v Scarlets - Racing Metro @ 2.00 (-9.0) :(
    - 1 unit Ulster v Montpellier - Montpellier @ 2.00 (+18.0) :)
    - 1 unit Castres v Leinster - Castres @ 1.90 (+5.0) :(
    - 1 unit Harlequins v Clermont Auvergne - Clermont Auvergne @ 1.90 (-2.0) :)
    - 1 unit for all four irish provinces to win @ 2.30 :)

    New Balance: 24.14

    New Balance: 35.08, an increase in units


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Connacht +25 is available, anyone think that's 4 or 5 points too generous?


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    definitely, connacht will not lie down and roll over over there


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    +25 is a lot and look its a pretty difficult task but 20/1 for the win isn't bad value to throw down a 5er

    I'd also be watching live betting and see how first 10-15 mins go


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    If anything I'd back Saracens there. They are out of this world at home (beat Leicester 49-10, Gloucester 44-12, Bath 31-17, Wasps 19-12, Newcastle 40-3, Sale 24-19, Zebre 64-3 but lost to Toulouse). They are ruthless and clinical and I can't even see it being close. If they are on their game Connacht will need to play very well to come close. And if they get a couple of scores up they could really turn the screw and run up the score, like they did in that Leicester game which was quite close at half time.

    Munster -17 (especially if they have reason to score a lot of tries, should dominate Edinburgh up front to the extent that a 2+ score win is assured) Glasgow +7 (I expect Toulon to bring the usual away attitude, which is to try and win by as little as possible) and Toulouse -23 (Zebre don't seem to care about the Heineken) are the handicaps I like right now.


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    I don't like spread betting on the last round, to many extra unknowns. Who's not going to give a Shiite, what players will restrict themselves/ be tested etc.

    Ill wait closer to the games for alternative handicaps to see if there's any value.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,001 ✭✭✭simonrooneyzaga


    Thinking of going with this:

    Ulster +3 (A) v Leicester
    Leinster -16 (H) v Hairsprays
    Toulouse -23 (A) vs Zebre
    Munster -17 (H) vs Edinburgh

    Leinster, Munster and Toulouse will all be out to secure the bonus point and potential HQF - I think Ulster will pip Leicester in a tight away game.

    20 quid makes 265 back


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 43,974 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    ok im going to go completely against what i posted above for thsi weekend, just because for an fun accumulator i suppose.

    Heineken Cup Munster v Edinburgh
    19-01-2014 12:45
    Handicap Betting
    Edinburgh (+17.0) @ 10/11

    Heineken Cup Leicester v Ulster
    18-01-2014 18:00
    Handicap Betting
    Ulster (+3.0) @ 10/11

    Heineken Cup Glasgow Warriors v Toulon
    18-01-2014 15:40
    Handicap Betting
    Toulon (-7.0) @ 10/11

    Heineken Cup Leinster v Ospreys
    17-01-2014 20:00
    Handicap Betting
    Leinster (-16.0) @ 10/11


    13/1 approx


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    With the Ospreys team released is it just me or is 16 points an absolute joke of a handicap? Defo have to back Ospreys there. I reckon Northampton will cover the 15 in their game but if Castres continue to really have a go they might not.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 204 ✭✭antogz1979


    Bath match under 47.5 pts and Mogliano + 30 for tonight.
    It is raining heavily in Bath and even with a 2nd string Begles shouldn't let the total go out of control. A practically 2nd half arsed Dragons team shouldn't be giving 30 pts to no one.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,818 ✭✭✭Inspector Coptoor


    Got a 25 euro free bet from brag bet on the Connacht Zebre game.

    They gave evens on Connacht as a special promo so now have a 50 euro free bet.

    I threw €30 on Connacht at 14-1 & €20 on them +22 @ evens.
    One can but dream.

    Connacht abú


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