UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

broders, you always get in with your picks first so I'll nip in
ahead of you for once

Small bet on aldo by decision at 3/1 (vcbet)

I'm thinking zombie is one tough dude and will very hard to ko and
if aldo hasn't finished him by the end of the second round then I think
the aldo points win will be as good as in
The fact that its in brazil and a long lay off for kz is what's putting
me off kz for the win but you could see him nicking one or two
of the latter rounds if aldo slows down as he often does which is
probably inevitable with the amount of weight aldo cuts

Who in their wildest dreams could have seen zombie ever fighting
for a title after his first fight v garcia?
Aldo by ko is 4/7 aldo by dec 3/1
There's no way imo those prices should be that far apart when you
consider 3 of aldos 4 ufc fights have gone 5 rounds and kz has got
a fair chin on him
I think it's a once in a lifetime opportunity for kz and I actually hope
he takes it but aldo just too quick imo
Aldo may well take him apart being in brazil and all that but I think
it's worth the risk that kz survives the initial onslaught
I wasn't planning on getting involved in that one but I see that price as
a bit of value

edit, one concern I do have is that if aldo picks kz apart and kz abandons
his gameplan and starts swinging for the rafters
It'll be a short night for the zombie if he goes down the road with aldo



Going for a treble besides which works out at almost 19/10 (pp) machida, maghales and leites
I really fancy maghales and machida but the double only works out at 4/6
which is a little short for my liking so I'm throwing in leites at 4/5

Maghales is not a fighter I thought I'd ever be backing but
fighting at home against perosh who I consider to be a
weaker opponent and just don't see him winning this
Maghales did perform creditably against davis lto and with
it being in brazil I think he takes this by sub maybe
I do think he will be desperate to win this given a loss would
surely mean him being cut again
It's now or never vinnie

Machida v davis is one I see standing whether it goes one round
or three rounds
I think davis stand up is improving and he was too good for
maghales but machidas stand up is in a different league to davis
I'd fancy machida to win very comfortably on points
I don't see it being an exciting fight though

Lastly, leites to beat watson to make the odds more respectable
It wasn't that long ago leites was fighting silva for the title which
must be the worst title fight of all time with leites not willing to engage
and silva horsing around
I thought leites would have been shorter than 4/5 for this if i'm
being honest and maybe a single might be a more sensible bet.
Watson is tough and he will probably try to take the head
off leites but I could see leites subbing watson early enough as I
don't believe he will stand with watson
I see watson possibly spending most of the first round on his back.
The majority of leites wins have been by sub also with 13 subs
from his 20 wins
Leites has faced a much higher calibre of fighter of the years
than tom watson which should help also
Maybe I'm giving leites too much credit or not giving watson
enough but I had leites priced up a bit shorter myself

stumbled across this on the espn site also which makes
the pts win for machida look even better

11: Knockdowns landed for Machida in his UFC career, tied for fourth most all-time. In the light heavyweight division, Machida is second to UFC Hall of Famer Chuck Liddell, who has 14. Davis has not been knocked down in nine UFC fights.

74: Davis' significant strike defense percentage, fourth highest in UFC history. "Mr. Wonderful" is one of the most difficult fighters to hit, absorbing just 53 significant strikes in his seven UFC wins. In his loss against Rashad Evans, Davis was hit with just 38 percent of significant strikes. Machida is one of the best strikers in UFC history, landing 57 percent of his significant strikes, which is seventh best all-time.

Gonna stop looking soon

lads the only bookies with a wide range of markets on most
of the fights
Gone for this accum which works out at 52/1 for a couple of euro and
a double which work out at 44/1

Fourfold
Selection3/2 - Vinny Magalhaes - Submission
EventAnthony Perosh v Vinny Magalhaes
MarketMethod of Victory


Selection23/10 - Thales Leites - Submission
EventTom Watson v Thales Leites
MarketMethod of Victory


Selection4/5 - Lyoto Machida - Decision
EventPhil Davis v Lyoto Machida
MarketMethod of Victory


Selection13/5 - Sergio Moraes - Decision
EventNeil Magny v Sergio Moraes
MarketMethod of Victory

Double

Selection8/1 - Thales Leites - Round 2
EventTom Watson v Thales Leites
MarketRound betting


Selection4/1 - Vinny Magalhaes - Round 2
EventAnthony Perosh v Vinny Magalhaes
MarketRound betting

Gonna have a tenner on Tyrone Sprongs opponent. 8/1 is a huge price, even though I don't know the first thing about him. Sprong is awesome but his grappling might be poor.

mailburner wrote: »

only thing standing out at a price imo is harris at 11/10

Keeping my powder dry till next weekend though

on second thoughts, just doubled harris with the dubs tomorrow lol (11/10+evs)

harris does the biz, now come on the dubs

There's a very limited betting market for UFC on Fox Sports 1 on Paddypower. Anyone know where I can get more prices? I've contacted Paddypower to see if we can get more added.

From what's there, I'm going with 2 singles of Sonnen by points @ 7/5 and Travis Browne by KO @ 23/10.

I'd like to see what the odds on some of the undercard fighters are. I'll put money on Pickett v McDonald as fight of the night.

Shazbot wrote: »

There's a very limited betting market for UFC on Fox Sports 1 on Paddypower. Anyone know where I can get more prices? I've contacted Paddypower to see if we can get more added.

From what's there, I'm going with 2 singles of Sonnen by points @ 7/5 and Travis Browne by KO @ 23/10.

I'd like to see what the odds on some of the undercard fighters are. I'll put money on Pickett v McDonald as fight of the night.

All the markets should be there by friday and Ladbrokes should have a wide range of markets also
uncle chael pts for me also

broders3 wrote: »

I actually can't believe Sonnen is favoured in that fight. For me Shogun at even money is very good value. If he shows up in the kind of shape he did against Dan Henderson I think he beats the hell out of Sonnen.

5/4 with bet365

I think it'll be close if uncle chael doesnt put rua on his back but
I think he might

If its stays standing I think a pts win for either is likely but
for me rua to win on pts (ladb) is 7/1 and that is massive
in fairness

Going for a risky accum for fun on Saturday.

I have:
Sonnen
Faber
McGregor
Johnson
Pyle

€20 returns €433.


As I said its a bit risky. Probably unlikely, but not impossible! :pac:

most of the fights priced up now on pp

One price jumped out at me 7/2 howard v 1/5 uriah

I'm so confused at that price on howard
I thought hall might be a narrow favourite
what am I missing? feels like that's an insane price for
a lad as tough as they come
hall hasnt beaten anybody yet
at least howard has gone the distance with brown and pitbull and
the doctor stopped his fight in the third v ellenb so
theres nothing wrong with his chin anyway

Anyone thinking the same?
don't think I can resist that price

gastelum was 3s v uriah too which a few of us were on here

just took the 7/2, couldnt leave it
best price with stan james at 4s