The Football Tips Thread IV

Madrid most likely will rest players, wouldnt surprise me

Injuries and suspensions:
AS Saint-Étienne v OGC Nice
AS Saint-Étienne: Mayi (6/0 f), Diomande (2/0 m), Coulibaly (0/0 g)
OGC Nice: Cvitanich (20/12 top scorer), Fofana (1/0 d), Genevois (17/0 d), Hennion (0/0 m), M'Bow (0/0 d), Pentecôte (2/0 f), Pied (19/0 m), Traoré (18/2 m), Dao Castellana (2/0 m), Abriel (18/1 m)
pick 1

Borussia Dortmund v Hannover 96
Borussia Dortmund: Owomoyela (0/0 d)
Hannover 96: Radlinger (0/0 g), Cherundolo (15/0 d), Eggimann (19/1 d), Felipe (3/1 d), Andreasen (4/2 m), Franca (0/0 m), Huszti (21/9 m), Stindl (14/2 m)
pick 1

Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen: Bellarabi (8/0 m)
VfB Stuttgart: Hoogland (2/0 d), Niedermeier (19/0 d), Audel (0/0 m), Bah (1/0 m), Cacau (5/1 f), Torun (9/0 m)
pick 1

FC Midtjylland v SønderjyskE
FC Midtjylland: -
SønderjyskE: Lodberg (15/1 d), Vibe (20/5 f), Hart (18/0 d), Hedinsson (11/6 m) (all doubtful)
pick 1

Piast Gliwice v Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice: Kędziora (15/5 f) (doubtful), Świerczok (1/0 f), Oleksy (14/0 d), Zganiacz (14/2 m), Izvolt (13/1 m), Cuerda (9/1 d), Adu Kwame (0/0 d), Jurado (4/0 m), Sikora (8/1 f)
Zaglebie Lubin: Cotra (0/0 d), Woźniak (13/1 f), Horvath (1/0 d), Hanzel (0/0 m), Tunczew (10/1 d)
pick X2

Paços de Ferreira v Vitória Setúbal
Paços de Ferreira: Tony (16/0 d), Duarte (0/0 f)
Vitória Setúbal: Ney (17/0 d), Nélson Pedrosa (20/0 d), Pedro Santos (20/3 m), Bruno Gallo (11/0 m), Danilo Alves (0/0 m)
pick 1

Recreativo Huelva v Elche CF
Recreativo Huelva: Ernesto (8/0 m), Morcillo (24/1 d), Arana (5/0 m), Borja Granero (8/1 m), Jesús Rubio (20/3 m) (doubtful), Dimas (26/1 m)
Elche CF: Javi Flores (0/0 m), Beranger (7/0 d), Pelayo (18/1 m)
pick X2

Sin City wrote: »

The Newcastle fans think he is brilliant, even Pardew said he was a great keeper, Krul will be no1 but this guy has fantastic reflexes and kicking distribution and is eligible for Ireland, might be worth sticking a few bob on the Magpies

I can't see too many reasons for Backing Newcastle , they've won 1 game on the road all year, Swansea only lost 2 at home all year, they've had 6 days to get over their hangover ( even I could manage that ) and I think they'll be harder to beat having won the cup.....

I see Osters are playing their first game of the season - a Swedish Cup game. Seeing as they were the betting darlings for many gamblers last season, I feel like putting a small bet on to see how they do at the start of a new campaign.

Yes, I know they are against much better teams this season, and they have not spent much money on their team since last season, and Malmo are a big team to play against, but I am giving them a go.

They are some plus points to consider though:

They have played one Club Friendly against a team in their new league - Djurgården - and they drew against them. They have won all thier other Friendlies - although that's against lesser teams.

They still have Söderberg (Osters Top Goalscorer in 2012), and they got Piñones-Arce on a Free transfer (he was Brommapojkarna Top goal scores in 2012, and the Top Goal scorer in the Superttan in 2012). If both Piñones-Arce and Söderberg play up front today, that is some serious attacking power - regardless of what division they are now in.

Malmo's Top Goal Scorer last season (Ranégie), is also no longer with them - transferred to Udinese

All things considered, Osters And Draw @ 2.10, is worth a speculative bet.

Celtic
United
Everton
Chelsea

Just under 3/1 £50

Looks ****e to me , they won't win by 3 at the bernabau no matter what team Madrid play its always going to have quality in it anyhow , they won't roll over at home

FatRat wrote: »

Paddy Power have enhanced Liverpool, United and City to win to 5/1. Crazy odds altogether but the max bet is 10 quid. I know people dont fancy Liverpool but based and their performances against Zenit and Swansea, I think they are worth trying the enhancement. I'll be backing it myself anyway.

got a link?

cant see it on site

mailburner wrote: »

got a link?

cant see it on site

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/football-accumulators-enhanced-specials/football-accums-enhanced-specials?ev_oc_grp_ids=1160237

madma wrote: »

rubbish IMO. wigan will win or draw they are great this time of year and city away to vila another team fighting for their lives. the odds were probably around 9/2 anyways but PP like to sucker people in

Ok yeah, well done. It was more like 5/2 than 9/2 but ok. If 5/1 isn't value I dont know what is. You're looking at your opinion rather than the value of the bet, which I am not doing. I get that Liverpool might draw or Villa might upset City but I think that risk is worth it given it's 5/1.

FatRat wrote: »

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/football-accumulators-enhanced-specials/football-accums-enhanced-specials?ev_oc_grp_ids=1160237



Ok yeah, well done. It was more like 5/2 than 9/2 but ok. If 5/1 isn't value I dont know what is. You're looking at your opinion rather than the value of the bet, which I am not doing. I get that Liverpool might draw or Villa might upset City but I think that risk is worth it given it's 5/1.

2 teams playing away against teams who are scrapping for points so dont see it as a good value bet, so what if the odds are slightly bumped up. time and time again teams playing away let you down ESPECIALLY liverpool. utd look a shoe-in and id fancy city to win but reckon wigan could be the upset.

mailburner wrote: »

getting 5/1 for a treble which works out at 11/4 is hardly rubbish but if
you looked it up and worked out the actual odds rather than guessing then
you might think differently
plenty will fancy all three teams and will really appreciate those odds

I agree in that wigan might win or draw but that's not the point
I feel myself that the other two will win which makes it look even better

some might come on here after doing that treble in the shop or elsewhere online
and feel rightly pissed off at missing out

i worked it out after i posted ha! very suprised at the odds on liverpool and city.. very short. dont fancy it myself but best of luck to anyone that does it. PP are a pain the way they have a limit on these bets

Anyone like Gillingham away to Aldershot today? Some thoughts on them from Betfair's daily tipping:

http://betting.betfair.com/football/daily-tipping/big-saturday-multiple-back-seagulls-to-make-more-waves-at-home-020313-34.html

Dropping to League Two for our final selection of the day - and top of the table Gillingham travel to Aldershot, looking to extend their formidable away record.

The Gills have been in incredible form away from the MEMS Priestfield Stadium, and that has played a major part in cementing their position at the summit of the division.

Martin Allen's side have won 11 of their 16 away league games this campaign (drawing four and losing one of the remaining five), and have won five of their last six in recent weeks - keeping an impressive five consecutive clean sheets.

A 1-0 home loss to Oxford last time out will have knocked the Kent side slightly - but the Gills have not lost back to back games all season, and that suggests that they will come out chomping at the bit today.

Hosts Aldershot line up for this one having won just two from 10 games, and will be desperate to pull off a shock win against the league leaders in order to put more breathing space between themselves and the relegation places.

Just two points separates the Shots from the dropzone, and three wins from their last six on their own patch indicates that a lack of consistency could play a major part in their downfall.

Andy Scott's side are big and strong, but will have their work cut out against a well-drilled Gillingham side who tend to sit back and play on the break away from their own patch.

The last time these two sides met, Gillingham ran out 4-0 winners - and though I expect it to be a narrower scoreline this time around, I can't see past the Gills for the win.

Bet 3: Gillingham @ 2.25

ShamoBuc wrote: »

All 3 to win at 5/1 is a bet I found hard not to take. With the max bet, you can't exactly lose your hole either.
Just to annoy us even more, Liverpool will win and City will only draw:pac:

I'm thinking that too,,, that Villa will be the ones to f*ck it up :pac: I only put 5 on it in the end because of my pessimism. :pac: