Winter/Spring 2013 (Model Output Discussion)

shootie · 01-07-2012 11:45PM

It really shows how bad summer is when the winter thread is 3 pages in July...

Iceball · 02-07-2012 07:11AM

Hey folks. I'm new here but get used to the name quick cos winter will hit with a bang this year. By the way Joe Bastardi was spot on with last years winter forecast as well

Some good news for those disheartened by the last Winters disgustingly appalling mild slop. Did y'all know cold winters come in clusters but some of the mildest ones can get caught up in the middle !!
Check out this guy hes brilliant at Winter forecasts. http://www.facebook.com/raysweather.pageireland

mcriot29 · 02-07-2012 09:38AM

Iceball wrote: »

Hey folks. I'm new here but get used to the name quick cos winter will hit with a bang this year. By the way Joe Bastardi was spot on with last years winter forecast as well

Some good news for those disheartened by the last Winters disgustingly appalling mild slop. Did y'all know cold winters come in clusters but some of the mildest ones can get caught up in the middle !!
Check out this guy hes brilliant at Winter forecasts. http://www.facebook.com/raysweather.pageireland

I remember this page last year, clusters of winters indeed more like next 40 years of cold winters neg pdo low sunspots

ZX7R · 02-07-2012 12:00PM

Iceball wrote: »

Hey folks. I'm new here but get used to the name quick cos winter will hit with a bang this year. By the way Joe Bastardi was spot on with last years winter forecast as well

Some good news for those disheartened by the last Winters disgustingly appalling mild slop. Did y'all know cold winters come in clusters but some of the mildest ones can get caught up in the middle !!
Check out this guy hes brilliant at Winter forecasts. http://www.facebook.com/raysweather.pageireland

You should check out the long range weather charts from jamstec it looks pritty cold for winter.

leahyl · 02-07-2012 01:13PM

shootie wrote: »

It really shows how bad summer is when the winter thread is 3 pages in July...

I know, isn't it great?!:pac:

mcriot29 · 02-07-2012 01:32PM

leahyl wrote: »

shootie wrote: »

It really shows how bad summer is when the winter thread is 3 pages in July...

I know, isn't it great?!:pac:

Them jap long range change a lot
http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frsgc/research/d1/iod/e/seasonal/outlook.html

ZX7R · 02-07-2012 06:24PM

mcriot29 wrote: »

Them jap long range change a lot
http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frsgc/research/d1/iod/e/seasonal/outlook.html

There long range has been keeping very constent for the last couple of runs,the chinese met office has pined there flag to the mast they are going for a neutral winter, has anyone paid for james maddens winter forcast looks like he going the way of vogan :rolleyes:

Iceball · 02-07-2012 08:11PM

ZX7R wrote: »

There long range has been keeping very constent for the last couple of runs,the chinese met office has pined there flag to the mast they are going for a neutral winter, has anyone paid for james maddens winter forcast looks like he going the way of vogan :rolleyes:

Haha tidy.

at least mark admits he only blogs dont know an much about forecasting but madden beats all with his icemagedden winter forecast n then tries to use a bit of wet snow on the scotish highlands to justify it :rolleyes: didnt bother looking at his forecast this year yet

ZX7R · 02-07-2012 08:25PM

Iceball wrote: »

Haha tidy. at least mark admits he only blogs and knows fck all but forecasting but madden beats all with his icemagedden winter forecast n then tries to use a bit of wet snow on the scotish highlands to justify it :rolleyes: didnt bother looking at his forecast this year yet

Have a look at sioman keelings web site he is not to bad and he also as some good charts on his video page:)

Iceball · 02-07-2012 08:53PM

ZX7R wrote: »

Have a look at sioman keelings web site he is not to bad and he also as some good charts on his video page:)

will do buddy

you got a link ? not familar with him

mcriot29 · 02-07-2012 10:15PM

Iceball wrote: »

ZX7R wrote: »

Have a look at sioman keelings web site he is not to bad and he also as some good charts on his video page:)

will do buddy you got a link ? not familar with him

Keelings a good forecaster but he does not do longe range and is not a cold lover, i like vogan even if hes wrong he loves the cold and snow lol
I cant rem keelings website

ZX7R · 02-07-2012 11:03PM

You will get sioman keeling on www.weatherweb.net or just google weatherweb, i like vogans enthusiasm but i would not pay to use his site.

Iceball · 03-07-2012 12:49AM

mcriot29 wrote: »

Keelings a good forecaster but he does not do longe range and is not a cold lover, i like vogan even if hes wrong he loves the cold and snow lol
I cant rem keelings website

Yes i know mark personally from talking to him on facebook and hes a real nice bloke. he makes it interesting and has great time for his readers. i wish him all the best with his new site.

Iceball · 03-07-2012 12:49AM

ZX7R wrote: »

You will get sioman keeling on www.weatherweb.net or just google weatherweb, i like vogans enthusiasm but i would not pay to use his site.

Cheers bud !

Aglomerado · 03-07-2012 08:23AM

shootie wrote: »

It really shows how bad summer is when the winter thread is 3 pages in July...

True. At least in winter I can get out for a walk. Stuck indoors most days this time of year. :mad:

ZX7R · 03-07-2012 02:29PM

Aglomerado wrote: »

True. At least in winter I can get out for a walk. Stuck indoors most days this time of year. :mad:

Looking out the kitchen window and the only difference between now and last winter, is the leaves on the trees ,lets hope this winter is cold ,frosty and snowy thats the best weather for walking

Lucreto · 03-07-2012 03:16PM

ZX7R wrote: »

Looking out the kitchen window and the only difference between now and last winter, is the leaves on the trees ,lets hope this winter is cold ,frosty and snowy thats the best weather for walking

I love the cold frosty morning air. It wakes me up at I am going to work. I enjoy walking in winter, I can walked miles like during November/December 2010 just to look at the snow and how it changed the landscape.

Did anyone else notice all the yellowing leaves on the ground already from certain trees?

leahyl · 03-07-2012 03:30PM

I can't wait for all the winter/snow threads to start popping up later this year - I just have a feeling that this is going to be an exceptionally snowy winter:D:pac:

Birdnuts · 03-07-2012 03:52PM

leahyl wrote: »

I can't wait for all the winter/snow threads to start popping up later this year - I just have a feeling that this is going to be an exceptionally snowy winter:D:pac:

How did you vote in the summer prediction poll??;)

leahyl · 03-07-2012 03:54PM

Birdnuts wrote: »

How did you vote in the summer prediction poll??;)

I don't think I did vote! Can't be bothered with summer anymore:mad::P

Blizzard 2010 · 03-07-2012 04:18PM

I suppose if we were having a cracker of a summer we wouldnt be thinking of winter. cold and snowy for this year is my hope:D

mcriot29 · 03-07-2012 06:10PM

Joe B's winter thoughts are based on what he's been saying for years about the coming winter powered by a cold PDO El Nino http://bit.ly/LzC2Vt This coming winter it is 66 years since 1947 was also during solar max which we now approach.

ZX7R · 03-07-2012 06:10PM

Lucreto wrote: »

I love the cold frosty morning air. It wakes me up at I am going to work. I enjoy walking in winter, I can walked miles like during November/December 2010 just to look at the snow and how it changed the landscape.

Did anyone else notice all the yellowing leaves on the ground already from certain trees?

Yes a lot of leaves are all ready falling probably down to lack of sun shine also due to the wind burning the leaves,i think we will have an early autumn this year:)

ZX7R · 03-07-2012 06:17PM

mcriot29 wrote: »

Joe B's winter thoughts are based on what he's been saying for years about the coming winter powered by a cold PDO El Nino http://bit.ly/LzC2Vt This coming winter it is 66 years since 1947 was also during solar max which we now approach.

He is deffently sticking to his guns about this winter,a lot of other forcasters have started to follow suit and they use other methods to forcast so that is a good sing in its self ,could do with a good hard cold winter again.

mcriot29 · 03-07-2012 06:38PM

ZX7R wrote: »

mcriot29 wrote: »

Joe B's winter thoughts are based on what he's been saying for years about the coming winter powered by a cold PDO El Nino http://bit.ly/LzC2Vt This coming winter it is 66 years since 1947 was also during solar max which we now approach.

He is deffently sticking to his guns about this winter,a lot of other forcasters have started to follow suit and they use other methods to forcast so that is a good sing in its self ,could do with a good hard cold winter again.

Who else has said about the winter i have only seen joe bs views , vogan and piers has not said yet madman has said very cold bla bla he says that every winter

ZX7R · 03-07-2012 07:05PM

Quite a few of the american weather sights have started to realise there preliminary weather forcasts for us and europe most look cold , i used u.s goggle you will find more of them

Aglomerado · 04-07-2012 02:12PM

ZX7R wrote: »

Looking out the kitchen window and the only difference between now and last winter, is the leaves on the trees ,lets hope this winter is cold ,frosty and snowy thats the best weather for walking

I agree, I love walking in the woods in the frost and snow, with good hiking boots on and all wrapped up.

mcriot29 · 05-07-2012 12:42PM

ZX7R wrote: »

Quite a few of the american weather sights have started to realise there preliminary weather forcasts for us and europe most look cold , i used u.s goggle you will find more of them

Some in us say west europe will see a set up like 2010 this year for the winter , if this happens it could mean a better winter then 2010 as it may last longer , also winter could be here by nov
Weather action are predicting a very cold winter on the way with little ice age type events , this summer is very like summers of 1700s there was a lot of crop probs there i see on news farmers are havin a bad time this year , all this points to a mini ice age now .
Last summer i told my family i felt a mild winter was on way but 2012 winter will be a very cold one , reason was going by a repeat in weather of mini ice age , i feel either this winter or next will be worse then 47 and 63 and longer
In mini ice age there was winters where snow started in oct and went on till april , thats not with a volcano going off there where even worse snow in july and aug etc
A lot of people seem to think this winter will be mild met uk for one , if this weather we have now had of come in nov we would be in for it all the east winds etc and jet south of us

ZX7R · 05-07-2012 04:55PM

A lot of thoes sites pirdected our winter last year spot on ,lets hope they get this year goes as good as there pridections for this year.As far as what the uk are saying i would take with a pinch of salt as i think they dont do an offical long range winter forcast anymore as they got it rong so many times in the past.As for a mini ice age i will need to do more reading up on it ,i have read some articles about it by a russian scientist khabibullo abdusamatov they were very intresting.

mcriot29 · 05-07-2012 05:24PM

ZX7R wrote: »

A lot of thoes sites pirdected our winter last year spot on ,lets hope they get this year goes as good as there pridections for this year.As far as what the uk are saying i would take with a pinch of salt as i think they dont do an offical long range winter forcast anymore as they got it rong so many times in the past.As for a mini ice age i will need to do more reading up on it ,i have read some articles about it by a russian scientist khabibullo abdusamatov they were very intresting.

Weather action have a new page out today they say little ice age type weather this month, if this keeps up id say we have a good chance of getting some action

Winter/Spring 2013 (Model Output Discussion)

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