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Potential Stormy - Sun/Mon (Media hyped storm, never forecast by Met/Boards)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,736 ✭✭✭ch750536


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    I emailed Met Eireann and was told they never mentioned a Hurricane it was the media, they only thing I was told they issued was a small craft warning. Now I saw somewhere a press statement by them saying we were going to get the remains of hurricane Tomas but cant find it now

    Thats because it never existed.

    Was the media not only ramping but getting everything completely wrong.
    Anyway, was one of the wettest 24hrs here in the last 5 years.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    Thank God it was not a serious storm.

    btw over in Cumbria in England they are forecast to get upto 5cm of snow above 400 metres.

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/nw/nw_forecast_warnings.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    I guess the Thurs/Fri thread will be opening sometime soon :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,428 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It was going strong here in North Dublin from about 8 PM last night to 2AM this morning and then it was like someone just flipped a switch and then it was all birds chirping and blue skies.

    Hurricane?

    My ársé!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    irish1967 wrote: »
    I guess the Thurs/Fri thread will be opening sometime soon :)

    Just don't tell the media.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    irish1967 wrote: »
    I guess the Thurs/Fri thread will be opening sometime soon :)

    Met Eireann don't seem to be making anything of this though - just wind and rain. Could we be in for an 'event'?:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,710 ✭✭✭weisses


    Su Campu wrote: »
    Well you should mention it then!! :D


    I will do that

    This was mainly a reaction to the 71 pages of hype ... try to see it in context but i get your point ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    "Morning " People! :).... slept through the whole nite so i can just guess it didnt get any "better" .
    Anyone know if there is any snow on the mountain tops?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    The poor ship TBWUK35 that was reporting 49 kts off the Clare coast yesterday evening is now in Biscay, reporting 48kts and 10m waves at midday today! I'd say the boys have nothing left to give over the side at this stage!

    Just south of it, another ship A8S3G is reporting 12m seas and 32kts.

    Chart here


  • Registered Users Posts: 230 ✭✭oterra


    Just wondering if any of the expert posters could explain to me what makes a storm "great". What conditions as in pressure, windspeed.rainfall, Wind direction etc are the ideal make up of a storm with talking about!
    I find all this very interesting and want to learn slot more!
    Cheers everyone for all the very qualified input up til now!


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,503 ✭✭✭adamski8


    If you lived on this side of the country pal, you might think the opposite. There is an Ireland outside of Dublin you know. ;)
    i am aware :)
    from reading this thread earlier on I had got the impression the east coast was going to be the worst.
    should have listened to met eireann.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    adamski8 wrote: »
    should have listened to met eireann.
    yes. and if you did you would have been sorely disappointed last night to realise that Thomas was not coming to visit our shores.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,018 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    adamski8 wrote: »
    i am aware :)
    from reading this thread earlier on I had got the impression the east coast was going to be the worst.
    should have listened to met eireann.

    Sher if you think the advice here is no good then why are you here, Clearing acting the plonk. P*ss off.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    oterra wrote: »
    Just wondering if any of the expert posters could explain to me what makes a storm "great". What conditions as in pressure, windspeed.rainfall, Wind direction etc are the ideal make up of a storm with talking about!
    I find all this very interesting and want to learn slot more!
    Cheers everyone for all the very qualified input up til now!

    Deep Easterly is your man for that question. :D

    But basically for a good windstorm I'd consider it as a low pressure system, about as low as last night's would be fine, but with a more intense core and isobars packed up tightly to give much stronger winds and also it needs to track in a certain way so that we would get exposed to the strongest of those winds in the SW quadrant.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    "Morning " People! :).... slept through the whole nite so i can just guess it didnt get any "better" .
    Anyone know if there is any snow on the mountain tops?
    I believe snow fell in the Glenshane Pass in Derry's Sperrin mountains.

    Tragic story from the Midlands this morning, following on from last night's tragedy in Galway which was also weather related.

    A Brazilian man has drowned in an accident on the Offaly Westmeath border.

    It is understood the man died when the car he was driving went off the road between Rhode and Rochfortbridge, hit a bank and rolled on its roof into the water.

    The vehicle was discovered at about 8.30am this morning and his body was later recovered from the River Monagh.

    The man had been living in the Midlands region.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 626 ✭✭✭Not


    Is all over, or are we in the eye now ? Is the east coast going to get a battering this afternoon evening ?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    View from my house looking due west at 1pm.

    A beautiful sunny afternoon after a horrible night.
    134153.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Not wrote: »
    Is all over, or are we in the eye now ? Is the east coast going to get a battering this afternoon evening ?

    No not a battering at all but it will be a bit windy/gusty along the east coast from early tomorrow I'd say. Nothing to be concerned about. No gusts higher than about 60kph I'd say.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 626 ✭✭✭Not


    No not a battering at all but it will be a bit windy/gusty along the east coast from early tomorrow I'd say. Nothing to be concerned about. No gusts higher than about 60kph I'd say.

    Thanks, was just wondering was the system still over us or had the whole thing whizzed past us in one night, just used the term battering a bit too casually :o Last nights 'storm' didn't even knock over garden furniture that usually keels over when it get windy, but that may be down to the direction the wind was coming from.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Not wrote: »
    Thanks, was just wondering was the system still over us or had the whole thing whizzed past us in one night, just used the term battering a bit too casually :o Last nights 'storm' didn't even knock over garden furniture that usually keels over when it get windy, but that may be down to the direction the wind was coming from.

    Yes, it's over us, we are in the slack 'eye', its tracking down towards the southeast and once it does we'll get the weaker winds coming from the opposite direction.

    http://www.xcweather.co.uk/GB/forecast

    If you play around with the animation on that you can get a rough idea of the winds.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Some intense downpours to spread across Munster over the next 2 hrs. Showers also movinga cross Galway and Mayo.

    Some hail can be expected.

    134155.png

    UPDATE FROM MET EIREANN
    Issued at 08 November 2010 - 12:00
    Weather Advisory
    A depression of central pressure 962hPa will track southeastwards over Ireland today,Monday, 08-11-2010.
    High sea/swell on the west and southwest coast; 6 to 10 metres.
    At the times of high tides there is a slight risk of some local coastal flooding on all coasts due to varying combinations of strong winds, high waves and low pressure.

    Valid from: 12:00 Monday 8/11/2010
    Valid to: 12:00 Tuesday 9/11/2010


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,710 ✭✭✭weisses


    weisses wrote: »
    I will do that

    This was mainly a reaction to the 71 pages of hype ... try to see it in context but i get your point ;)


    Weather is much worse then yesterday ..... High winds heavy rain (hail) bitterly cold (proves my point the day after) :rolleyes: :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    Plenty of fairly heavy intense showers passing by here with lots of low hanging cloud, could cause some spot flooding in low lying areas as the day goes by

    i have a 15min clip currently uploading from the shower that passed at 1:20pm


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,056 ✭✭✭✭BostonB


    Very nice in Dublin City now. Wished I'd cycled instead of taking the car. :(


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    John2009 wrote: »
    i have a 15min clip currently uploading from the shower that passed at 1:20pm

    Look forward to seeing it ~ my weather station has stopped reporting rain again!!!!!!!!!! Fumes and wished he had bought the Davis started instead and added the rain gauge later.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,689 ✭✭✭Vain


    Huge shower awhile ago in Tralee Co kerry another on the way i think sky going black and winds picking up. Gf text me from Cork saying it was raining and she never seen a shower as bad before.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    Some photos of the heavy clouds overhead me and whats on the way looking northwest in the last photo,

    still uploading the shower from earlier, its over 1gb in size and its takings its time to finish

    P1010156.jpg
    P1010157.jpg
    P1010158.jpg
    P1010159.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    Jesus some intense shower here now :eek:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    John2009 wrote: »
    Some photos of the heavy clouds overhead me and whats on the way looking northwest in the last photo,

    still uploading the shower from earlier, its over 1gb in size and its takings its time to finish

    I think i recognise the area in those photos:D Might be wrong though


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    leahyl wrote: »
    I think i recognise the area in those photos:D Might be wrong though

    Better take them down then :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    John2009 wrote: »
    Better take them down then :)

    Haha i sound like a stalker or something!:D They are very dark though so it's hard to make out exactly where it is....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    John2009 wrote: »
    Better take them down then :)

    You haven't gone an caught a Cork DJ in the shadows, have you?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,991 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Monsoon rain here in Galway flooding all over the place


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Monsoon rain here in Galway flooding all over the place

    :pac::D Bring it on down to Cork!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    An immense shower just went by with very heavy falls of rain and sleet mixed in

    P1010162.jpg


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    John2009 wrote: »
    An immense shower just went by with very heavy falls of rain and sleet mixed in

    I can't see any of this cos i'm in work and there are no windows in my office!! Plus i'm on the southside so maybe no rain here?:)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    leahyl wrote: »
    Plus i'm on the southside so maybe no rain here?:)

    Southside too; Yup, not as bad as described, but that's to be expected given the terrain. Anytime I've to get frost pic, it's up the northside I go.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,331 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    gbee wrote: »
    Southside too; Yup, not as bad as described, but that's to be expected given the terrain. Anytime I've to get frost pic, it's up the northside I go.

    Yeah we always have the best of everything on the Northside:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    This is a clip of the shower that passed by at around 1:20pm today, sorry it took so long too upload,

    14mins long :)



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    On average, the windiest part of the country yesterday was Malin Head, on 19.5kts, closely followed by Mace Head, on 19.1 kts. The calmest was Mullingar, on 8.7kts.

    Highest gust - Malin Head, 61kts
    Lowest gust - Gurteen, Shannon, 35kts


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    John2009 wrote: »
    This is a clip of the shower that passed by at around 1:20pm today, sorry it took so long too upload,

    14mins long :)


    Hows it goin John, cool video, i just remebered, if you change the aspect ratio to 16:9 in video mode it uploads as HD 720...
    Well wit the Tz5 anyways... im pretty sure it would be the same wit the Tz3.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Hows it goin John, cool video, i just remebered, if you change the aspect ratio to 16:9 in video mode it uploads as HD 720...
    Well wit the Tz5 anyways... im pretty sure it would be the same wit the Tz3.

    Hey Ian, unfortunately on the TZ3 it only goes to 480p, still though the quality aint bad,

    just waiting on my refund from Amazon on the damaged TZ7 that i sent back i'm going to upgrade then to the TZ10 which is going for a great price now on Amazon and also Panasonic are doing a cash back offer on some of their digital camera range which includes the Lumix TZ range with €35 cash back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    John2009 wrote: »

    just waiting on my refund from Amazon on the damaged TZ7 that i sent back i'm going to upgrade then to the TZ10 which is going for a great price now on Amazon and also Panasonic are doing a cash back offer on some of their digital camera range which includes the Lumix TZ range with €35 cash back.

    Ye , i hav my tz5 up for sale at the moment on adverts.
    Wanted to get the tz10, but then i had a look at their FZ range.. and the new FZ100 just caught my eye http://panasonic.net/avc/lumix/compact/fz100/index.html
    Really looking forward to getting some weather videos in FULL HD! :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Forecast winds and timings from the 11am TAFs. Nothing special at all.

    DUBLIN
    9pm - ENE 18 gust 30kts
    6am - NE 16 gust 27kts
    Moderate showers

    SHANNON
    midnight - NE 16 gust 26kts

    CORK
    11pm - N17 gust 28kts
    Moderate showers

    CONNAUGHT
    Midnight - NE 16 gust 26kts


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    I have to say that overall, the main models (UKMO/ECMWF/GFS) over the last few days performed very well regarding the tracking and intensity of yesterday's system, so hats off to them!

    ECMWF run on the 2nd of November had locked onto this system with the center passing directly over us or beginning to:

    ECM1-144.GIF?12


    On the 3rd, the models still were showing this potential, but postitioning just a tiny bit off

    GFS 12z for forecast from the 3rd:

    gfs-2010110312-0-108.png?12


    By the 4th, the track was pretty much nailed on, showing the center of the system passing directly over Ireland.

    UKMO 12z forecast from the 4th:

    UW96-21.GIF?04-12


    Model runs on the 6th all agreed that the flabby low in the center of this system would be stuck right over us right now:

    ECMWF forecast chart for today from the 6th:

    ECM1-48.GIF?12


    I think the NWP models should be congratulated for nailing the track and intensity of this system quite earlier on. All the more so because the actually track of this depression was quite unusual in itself. Maybe if the tabloid journalists had looked at these models over the last week they might have cooled down on their 'hurricane on the way' scare mongering.


    Picture from the Irish times showing some coastal flooding in Salthill last night due to high tides:

    134165.jpg

    Exactly what the heads here on Boards predicted would happen, nothing more, nothing less!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    That new low pressure system on Thursday looks a bit more impressive on the 12Z GFS but it's too far north to bring any real stormy conditions to us.

    I've circled the area where roughly the highest winds would be. If the centre of the low was further south then those winds would impact the west coast. If it was even further south then the southwest, south and east could see fairly strong winds.

    2ish7ag.gif

    Still 3 days away so there is time for the models to change the track but it's always more likely to stay further north.

    Just thought I'd posted that for anyone still watching this thread and who had heard there was a storm coming on Thursday. :p


This discussion has been closed.
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