Football Betting Thread

D3PO · 25-09-2010 03:12PM

Archimedes wrote: »

TCU won by 17 - it doesn't get any closer than that! Seriously not good for my health with SMU going 4 and out in the red zone with 45 seconds remaining. Delighted I went with the custom spread of -16.5 rather than the bookies -17.5. That 1 points difference won it for me. Delighted to have called the spread so accurately here. Phew!

There'll be a lot of unhappy punters who took the line of TCU by -17.5 considering they missed the PAT on the last score of the game.

well done nice start for ya. Like I said I wasnt gone on that play I figured they had got the spread bang on and it would be a coin flip as it proved to be.

Game turned big time on the kick return after SMU took the lead right at the beginning of the 3rd. Great game to watch some nice big hits including a great block by Dalton almost pancaking the SMU middle linebacker when the run reversed back his way

That SMU kicker looks handy aswell. Serious pace both on the first down run after the botched punt and chasing down the kick return and good smarts aswell to adjust his pursuit angle to make that tackle. I reckon the SMU coaching staff should be looking at turning him into a Corner back.

Peyton Manning · 25-09-2010 03:18PM

D3PO wrote: »

well done nice start for ya. Like I said I wasnt gone on that play I figured they had got the spread bang on and it would be a coin flip as it proved to be.

Game turned big time on the kick return after SMU took the lead right at the beginning of the 3rd. Great game to watch some nice big hits including a great block by Dalton almost pancaking the SMU middle linebacker when the run reversed back his way

That SMU kicker looks handy aswell. Serious pace both on the first down run after the botched punt and chasing down the kick return and good smarts aswell to adjust his pursuit angle to make that tackle. I reckon the SMU coaching staff should be looking at turning him into a Corner back.

SMU quarterback Padron is one tough bastard. He took a shocking amount of hits. The commentators kept talking about the illegal hit after he had dived down, but the one where he fumbled the ball looked awful - the tacklers helmet looked like it mangled his arm. They kept pointing out how ridiculous it was that he went to the sideline to talk to the coach before every play too, and too right. He looked out on his feet in the 4th quarter, felt sorrry for the guy.

D3PO · 25-09-2010 05:29PM

yep Padron has to take a lot of blame himself though held the ball far too long almost every time.

Dalton was dissapointing aswell good college wb but wont be playing in the pros. Lots of throws behind his recievers. He definatly wont be playing in the NFL his arm strength on intermediate and deep throws is really bad

Peyton Manning · 25-09-2010 11:22PM

Bama failed to make the spread, but not too bothered. Stanford came good. That spread should have been 10 at least. People continue to sleep on Andrew Luck and his boys

eagle eye · 25-09-2010 11:27PM

Archimedes wrote: »

Bama failed to make the spread, but not too bothered. Stanford came good. That spread should have been 10 at least. People continue to sleep on Andrew Luck and his boys

Irish OL was horrendous today.

I was really impressed by Luck I have to say.

Peyton Manning · 26-09-2010 12:05AM

eagle eye wrote: »

Irish OL was horrendous today.

I was really impressed by Luck I have to say.

There's a very, very realistic possibility he could be the number 1 overall pick next year if the Bills have it, especially with Locker sliding down the board.

thomond2006 · 26-09-2010 03:43PM

Any tips for Altanta vs Saints?
I don't have Sky Sports normally so I don't see any football outside the Superbowl so I fancy a small flutter today.

eagle eye · 26-09-2010 03:51PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Any tips for Altanta vs Saints?
I don't have Sky Sports normally so I don't see any football outside the Superbowl so I fancy a small flutter today.

Have a look in the NFL week 3 thread and you will see what people think.

Fr Tierney · 26-09-2010 04:22PM

Just done Saints minus 3 at evens and Colts minus 6 at evens too.
both games on the tele. The patriots are minus 14.5 which should be covered too. Its too early in the season to say they are certainitys.
Am a 49ers man from a long time ago and seen the Saints beat them the other nite, I think they will win some games this year that they shouldnt and lose games too that they shouldnt, but thats the problems with being a 49ers fan.
The 49ers are minus 3 tonite @ the bookies and it looks good, but the Chiefs arent easy beat. Very hard to call this one.
Roll on 6 o' clock and game time

Peyton Manning · 26-09-2010 08:20PM

Archimedes wrote:

Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
1 pts - Winner - Dallas Cowboys (+3.0) @ 4/5 (Bet365)

I think this is the week Tony Romo gets it together. It might not be pretty, but I think he can pull it off all the same. The Texans have been impressive so far, but their secondary gave up a huge 850 yards in their opening two games combined. They'll also be exhausted after their overtime battle with the Redskins in Washington last week. I guess what this comes down to is whether I actually believe a team with the Cowboys' talent would start this season 0-3, and I just don't see it happening. This is where they get their first win imo, although a spread-beating loss wouldn't break my heart!

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings
3 pts - Winner - Minnesota Vikings (-10.5) @ 11/10 (Bet365)

This is exactly the match-up Brett Favre needs coming off a poor performance in losing to the Dolphins. The Lions secondary is scandalously bad - heck they even let Michael Vick have his way with them through the air last week. Favre should beat up on them this week, and with Adrian Peterson in the backfield, forget about it. They need this win, because a 0-3 start would be almost impossible to claw back from the winner of the Packers - Bears game. Last week's loss to the Dolphins also tips the spread in our favour here, so I really like this one.

Saaa-weeeeet

Eire-Dearg · 26-09-2010 08:39PM

Philly - In Progress
Ravens -

Titants -

Steelers -

Saints -

Never felt so sick. Looks like it'll be 4/5.

trionz · 26-09-2010 11:57PM

trionz wrote: »

Last Week:
€10 Accum: 49ers, Texans, Atlanta, Cleveland, Jags -€10
€60: Fins (-3) €50
€10 Double: SD (-4.5), Ravens -€10
€10 Double: Mark Sanchez Under (165.5 YDS), Matt Cassel Under (210.5 YDS) €23.61

Total Week 1 Profit/Loss = €53.61

This Week:
€15 Accum: Baltimore Ravens @ 4/5, Kansas City Chiefs @ Evens, Detroit Lions (+6.0) @ 10/11
€0.80 Accum (For the Craic): Saints @ 5/12, Colts @ 5/12, San Diego Chargers @ 10/37, New England Patriots @ 8/11, Houston Texans @ 20/29, Seattle Seahawks @ 6/4, Oakland Raiders @ 5/11, Carolina Panthers @ 1/2, Baltimore Ravens @ 4/5, Kansas City Chiefs @ Evens, Minnesota Vikings @ 5/12, Atlanta Falcons @ 1/3, Dallas Cowboys @ 10/39, Philadelphia Eagles @ 5/13, Tennessee Titans @ 5/12, Green Bay Packers @ 1/7

Last Week down €15.80. Bringing my season total to €37.81 profit. This week I had €5 Accum on Titans +3 , Bengals -3, Pittsburgh -3, Jags +3 and Raiders +4.5. Lost that bet but also had a €10 Accum on Raiders +4.5, Titans and Pittsburgh that won me €64.77. That means I am up €59.77 this week and €97.58 this season.

mikemac · 27-09-2010 12:03AM

Eire-Dearg wrote: »

Having a look at

Eagles win @ 1.66
Packers win @ 1.64
Steelers win @ 1.66
Chiefs win @ 2.25
Titans win @ 2.35

Thoughts? I've never done an AF accum before! A fiver returns a nice €120.

THis was your bet, looks good

Eire-Dearg wrote: »

Philly - In Progress
Ravens -
Titants -
Steelers -
Saints -

Never felt so sick. Looks like it'll be 4/5.

What happened? :eek:

D3PO · 27-09-2010 12:06AM

2 losing weeks in a row after a great start.

just popped €100 on the Jets @ 11/10 so heres hoping it comes in to make it 3-4 this week and a non event pretty much

eagle eye · 27-09-2010 12:15AM

D3PO wrote: »

2 losing weeks in a row after a great start.

just popped €100 on the Jets @ 11/10 so heres hoping it comes in to make it 3-4 this week and a non event pretty much

I was tempted to have another bet on this one, seen Brandon Marshall at 21/10 for anytime touchdown scorer which looks very tempting with Revis out. I'll leave it though, I'm on the under for a double in this one.

Eire-Dearg · 27-09-2010 12:18AM

feelingstressed wrote: »

THis was your bet, looks good

What happened? :eek:

Saints lost in OT, while Hartley missed a kickable field goal to win it.

4/5.

Had €8 which returned just over €99

Peyton Manning · 27-09-2010 12:19AM

I had a very good week

Always that temptation to try win more, but I'll avoid this one. Might take a look at some of the player performance bets tomorrow, haven't decided yet.

El Horseboxo · 27-09-2010 12:26AM

Might try the unders in the Jets game. Both teams like to run the ball and eat a lot of clock time. Looking at the scores both teams have kept opponents too have been low and looks like this one could follow suit.

DonkeyPokerTour · 27-09-2010 02:28AM

Did 7 bets amounting to a 10er, end result won 3 lost 4 net result + 0.01euro or 1cent! Totally worth it

Peyton Manning · 27-09-2010 02:40AM

Glad I avoided the the unders in this game. Was considering it at one stage, but decided not to. Phew.

Chardee MacDennis · 27-09-2010 07:40AM

Eire-Dearg wrote: »

Having a look at

Eagles win @ 1.66
Packers win @ 1.64
Steelers win @ 1.66
Chiefs win @ 2.25
Titans win @ 2.35

Thoughts? I've never done an AF accum before! A fiver returns a nice €120.

liked the look of this accumulator, so threw a fiver on it

come on packers!!

D3PO · 27-09-2010 08:47AM

Archimedes wrote: »

I had a very good week

Always that temptation to try win more, but I'll avoid this one. Might take a look at some of the player performance bets tomorrow, haven't decided yet.

yep best to avoid just as chasing isnt a good idea getting gready is the same.

losing week for me but minimal losses thanks to the extra wager on the Jets. I wont be chasing to turn it around in MNF. Take the loss and move on to a new week.

D3PO · 27-09-2010 08:55AM

Alabama minus 7 versus Arkansas Lost - €100
Texas minus 16 versus UCLA Lost - €100
Over 56.5 points Boise v Oregon State Won €91.91
Arizona - 7 v Cal Lost - €100
Eagles - 3 v Jags @ Evens Won €100.00
Redskins - 3.5 V Rams Lost - €100
Jets V Miami Won €110

Wk 1 Profit €1081.81
Wk 2 Profit €166.64
Wk 3 Loss €316.18
Wk 4 Loss €98.09

Season to date Profit €834.18

DonkeyPokerTour · 27-09-2010 10:34AM

D3PO wrote: »

Alabama minus 7 versus Arkansas Lost - €100
Texas minus 16 versus UCLA Lost - €100
Over 56.5 points Boise v Oregon State Won €91.91
Arizona - 7 v Cal Lost - €100
Eagles - 3 v Jags @ Evens Won €100.00
Redskins - 3.5 V Rams Lost - €100
Jets V Miami Won €110

Wk 1 Profit €1081.81
Wk 2 Profit €166.64
Wk 3 Loss €316.18
Wk 4 Loss €98.09

Season to date Profit €834.18

Its quite interesting to see how different people bet. Some people on an 10/11 shot will put on the 100 and accept the 91.91 back, some will put on the 110 and take the 100 back. Me on the other hand I'll put on 104.76 which returns an even 200. I always found this weird!

D3PO · 27-09-2010 10:37AM

DonkeyPokerTour wrote: »

Its quite interesting to see how different people bet. Some people on an 10/11 shot will put on the 100 and accept the 91.91 back, some will put on the 110 and take the 100 back. Me on the other hand I'll put on 104.76 which returns an even 200. I always found this weird!

Once ya win its all good

Fr Tierney · 29-09-2010 08:54PM

Whats your fancy for this weekend D3PO ?

Peyton Manning · 29-09-2010 09:40PM

College bets this weekend...

Penn State @ Iowa
3 pts - Winner - Iowa (-7.0) @ 20/23 (Bet365)

I like this bet for a number of reasons. First off, Iowa traditionally get the better of Penn State, having beat them in 7 of their last 8 meetings. Iowa just know how to get the better of their opponents - their last 2 defeats of Penn State came when PSU were a top 5 ranked team. I also like how Iowa rebounded from their loss in Arizona - Ricky Stanzi looked back to his best last week so hopefully he does the business. He's a top QB. But what tips this bet in my favour more than anything is the QB situation over at Penn State. Do I see a true freshman QB leading his team to victory over a Ricky Stanzi led Iowa in Iowa? No, no I don't. Iowa are heavy favourites in front of their own fans for a reason.

Georgia @ Colorado
1.5 pts - Winner - Georgia (-4.0) @ 5/6 (Bet365)

Coaches, lock up your corner backs, because AJ Green is back. Georgia's superstar receiver is, pound for pound, one of the very best elite players in the nation. They say the only sure things in life are death and taxes. Well you can add Green being a top 5 pick in the 2011 NFL draft to that list. He's that good, trust me. His return is a big boost to a Georgia side who have struggled this year. Not only does he give Aaron Murray a blue chip receiver to throw to, but he will also open up the running game which has flattered to deceive this year. Of course Georgia's main strength is their defence, particularly in stopping the run, which will be useful against Colorado given their preference to attack with an emphasis on their ground game.

Virginia Tech @ North Carolina State
2 pts - Winner - Virginia Tech (-4.0) @ 11/10 (Bet365)

Virginia Tech's shock loss to James Madison a couple weeks leaves us with a favourable points spread for the rest of the season, which I won't complain about. Let's not forget this is still a very good team. They came within 3 points of a seemingly unstoppable Boise State - no mean feat - and shut out Boston College last week in a 19-0 win against one of the better defences in the nation. NCS are on a high right now, but might be too cocky coming into this game. VT will be pissed right now, and crushing an NCS team who are a bit too confident will go a long way towards making them feel better. It'll be interesting to see how NCS quarterback Russell Wilson does. He's winning a lot of plaudits right now, but this is the toughest defence he'll have faced so far. Plus, Ryan Williams is reportedly set to start for VT, which is a huge boost for their offence.

Haven't decided about any NFL bets yet. Very little value bets that I like the look of this week. Jags at +8.0 is probably the most tempting, or maybe the Lions to cover the spread against the Packers but aside from those two, I just haven't decided yet.

D3PO · 30-09-2010 09:15AM

Fr Tierney wrote: »

Whats your fancy for this weekend D3PO ?

In agreement with Archimides that theres not a lot jumping out this week. Gotta stick to your own guidelines on how you stake but if its not there dont force it is my motto.

So its a few singles and probably an as of yet undecided a speculative acca for me.

its the usual €100 stake with the acca probably being €20

Virginia Tech - 4 @ North Carolina State @ 11/10

Couldnt be arsed typing a new reasoning because I agree 110% with Archimedies

Virginia Tech's shock loss to James Madison a couple weeks leaves us with a favourable points spread for the rest of the season, which I won't complain about. Let's not forget this is still a very good team. They came within 3 points of a seemingly unstoppable Boise State - no mean feat - and shut out Boston College last week in a 19-0 win against one of the better defences in the nation. NCS are on a high right now, but might be too cocky coming into this game. VT will be pissed right now, and crushing an NCS team who are a bit too confident will go a long way towards making them feel better. It'll be interesting to see how NCS quarterback Russell Wilson does. He's winning a lot of plaudits right now, but this is the toughest defence he'll have faced so far. Plus, Ryan Williams is reportedly set to start for VT, which is a huge boost for their offence.

Georgia - 4 Versus @ Colorado 5/6

This is one of the weaker Georgia teams for the past couple of seasons. Certainly a lot weaker than the team that destroyed my Rainbow Warrios in the Sugar Bowl

but that said its a pretty poor program in Colorado. They might be 2-1 but ultimatly had Hawaii not travelled over 5,000 mils for back to back away games they would probably have lost that game trailing at the half before the Hawaii players literally collapsed with exhaustion in the second half.

Add an NFL calibre recieiver like AJ Green into the conversation and things liik very good for Georgia. I think the spread is particularly generous to Georgia and I make them 11 point favourites (if Colorado didnt have a tendancy to chew clock id fancy the bulldogs by even more.)

Ravens scratch @ Steelers 11/10

The Steelers have held up really well in big bens absense leaning heavily on their defensive game to held them eek out a few close ones before Batch went off on one last weekend. I think the confidence levels in Pitt are probably a big overinflated on the back of that. They are facing a team that can do it in all 3 aspects of the game. Flacco is the complete signal caller to me and the run game, recieving corps and defense of the Ravens will have the edge I believe.

Seattle - 2.5 Versus Rams @ 10/11

Pete Carroll is doing a great job in Seattle so far but lest not forget they are in a weak division and arent close to the finished article yet. I did tip them to be the surprise team this season during the summer and so far they have matched my expectations. They will face an ever improving Rams team who in Bradford seem to be a heck of a lot better than in previous years. This will be a close game but the lack of an elite running back like Stephen Jackson will ultimatly put too much on the recieving corp and Bradfords shoulders so I believe the Seahawks pull this off.

eagle eye · 30-09-2010 07:19PM

I really like a lot of games from a betting standpoint this week. I like so many that I'm not sure what way to go about it actually. I think I gotta start a bank here, I'm up for the year so far with 3 doubles up out of 5 so far. But I'll start fresh here with a 100 point bank.

I've picked out what I think are the best two and I'll double them.

Chicago Bears +4 looks really, really good to me. I worked this out with the Bears as 4 point favourites and I think they will win by more than that. But even just going by the math which is including them having a short week after playing Monday night we are getting over a touchdown here.

The New Orleans Saints -13.5 coming off an overtime loss. The Saints have not been like the team that won the Superbowl last year and I think its that Superbowl hangover thats been the problem. That loss though is what they needed, I wouldn't be taking this handicap had they won last week. The Panthers are really, really poor and even Jimmy Clausen who I think will be a success in the league is not going to change that. I just see the Saints running wild here and putting up huge numbers on the back of that loss.

5 point double Chicago Bears +4 and New Orleans Saints -13.5

Then I like all these as well.

4 x .5 pt fourfolds and 1 x .5pt accum.

Tennessee Titans -6.5
Cincinnati Bengals -3
Seattle Seahawks -1
Green Bay Packers -15
San Diego Chargers -8

Then there are the under/overs

5pt double

Steelers/Ravens under 34pts
Texans/Raiders over 43pts

Peyton Manning · 30-09-2010 08:03PM

From zee log.

Archimedes wrote: »

Going to add a couple more college football bets in the absence of anything tasty in the NFL.

Florida @ Alabama
3 pts - Winner - Alabama (-7.0) @ 5/6 (Bet365)

These two teams last met in 2009 in the SEC Championship Game, with Florida ranked number 1 in the country and Alabama at 2. Needless to say, we all know what happened. Alabama crushed them, making a mockery of the 4.5 point spread, eventually winning 32-17. Not too much has changed since then for the Crimson Tide. They still have Greg McElroy, Julio Junes, Trent Richardson and Mark Ingram. Florida meanwhile have lost an abundance of superstars - Tim Tebow, Joe Haden, Jermain Cunningham, Maurkice Pouncey, Brandon Spikes and Carlos Dunlap being the most prominent. Bama are currently ranked ahead of Florida in the 4 main statistics categories - passing yards (28th vs 90th), rushing yards (13th vs 48th), points for (15th vs 19th) and points against (1st vs 15th) - this despite Alabama having a tougher schedule (games against ranked Penn State and Arkansas). Alabama have too many superstars for the Gators to cope with, who despite their 4-0 record, have not blown anybody away just yet. Throw in Alabama's fabled home field advantage, and my money is all over the Tide.

Stanford @ Oregon
1 pts - Winner - Stanford (+7.0) @ 10/11 (Bet365)

It's no secret that I love Stanford. Andrew Luck is a lethal QB, one of the best around and a sure fire top 5/top 10 pick in the 2011 draft, but what I like most about Stanford is their power. They're a very physical team, very powerful, and Oregon will not be comfortable with this. Oregon may have scored more points than anyone in the country, but 72-0 and 69-0 blowouts against New Mexico and Portland make that stat look more impressive than it is. They just haven't faced a decent team yet. Stanford, meanwhile, are on a roll of their own, and are also 4-0 so far. But unlike Oregon, they've had some tough encounters. They made a mockery of UCLA, shutting them out in a 35-0 win on the road, and also a 37-14 win at Notre Dame last week. Andrew Luck has put up practically the same yards per game average as Darron Thomas despite his tougher schedule, and I expect Luck to put up a good show in Oregon. It would not surprise me if Stanford came away from this game 5-0, but I definitely fancy them to at least cover the spread.

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