Longshot Value, 100 bets

Scouser · 20-03-2010 08:17PM

had kennell hill e/w at 66/1!!

aidankkk, any outsiders for cork or curragh etc tmorow?

longshotvalue · 20-03-2010 11:30PM

Story So Far after 37 bets

BSP + 83.475
Advised + 115.75

longshotvalue · 20-03-2010 11:31PM

thesandeman wrote: »

Balthazar King is worth watching out for next time. He was backed into 10s before the off. I didnt see any of the main tipsters mentioning him so it must have been the connections backing it.

Think your right, probably up for something in aintree..

longshotvalue · 22-03-2010 03:06PM

38. ORMELLO , Kelso 3:40, back chasing, has some decent course & Distance form, back from hurdling, looks overpiced, a lot of the other runners have questions about them in this race.. Betfair 19.5 Win 7.2 Place

1 Point win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue · 22-03-2010 04:47PM

aidankkk wrote: »

38. ORMELLO , Kelso 3:40, back chasing, has some decent course & Distance form, back from hurdling, looks overpiced, a lot of the other runners have questions about them in this race.. Betfair 19.5 Win 7.2 Place

1 Point win 1 Point Place

3rd

dam these 7 runner races...

TheMilkyPirate · 22-03-2010 04:50PM

aidankkk wrote: »

3rd dam these 7 runner races...

Ran and jumped well though just got outpaced in the end, Jockey looked like he didn't want to win!

longshotvalue · 22-03-2010 04:54PM

baraca wrote: »

Ran and jumped well though just got outpaced in the end, Jockey looked like he didn't want to win!

No minimum of effort id say, just let them get away and then finished well, one for next time hopefully at a decent price

Nulty · 22-03-2010 05:15PM

aidankkk wrote: »

3rd dam these 7 runner races...

Is it not still 3 places on Betfair?

longshotvalue · 22-03-2010 05:21PM

Nulty wrote: »

Is it not still 3 places on Betfair?

no thats only when there are 8 declaired and there is a non runner after..

Nulty · 22-03-2010 06:04PM

I don't know why but I assumed that was the situation - a nonner

longshotvalue · 23-03-2010 01:17PM

39 Tuskar Rock, South 1:50, looks the right combination of ground and trip. last run was probably on ground too heavy, other runs put it in with a chance. Betfair 10.5 win 3 place

1 Point win 1 Point Place

smelltheglove · 23-03-2010 03:11PM

got 3rd stuck a few quid e/w on him great ride on the winner by joey cornwall! good stuff again aidan!

floydmoon1 · 24-03-2010 12:45AM

Have been following you for the last week but keep reading the posts two late.
Is there specific times you post and specific days you bet or just when you see something you fancy.

longshotvalue · 24-03-2010 01:24AM

floydmoon1 wrote: »

Have been following you for the last week but keep reading the posts two late.
Is there specific times you post and specific days you bet or just when you see something you fancy.

Only when i fancy something, usually only when there is decent racing on.. ususally dont really look during the week.

longshotvalue · 24-03-2010 10:18AM

40 King's Revenge Hay 4:25. Last race was big improvement with very good claimer aboard. Looks of a decent mark considering he might be coming back to form. Betfair 9.6win 3.1 place

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

floydmoon1 · 24-03-2010 10:23AM

Another thing can you explain what BSP and advised mean?

longshotvalue · 24-03-2010 10:28AM

floydmoon1 wrote: »

Another thing can you explain what BSP and advised mean?

Sorry Betfair Starting Price, and price advised at time of tip..

Longshots are almost always better value on betfair than bookies..

longshotvalue · 24-03-2010 05:45PM

aidankkk wrote: »

40 King's Revenge Hay 4:25. Last race was big improvement with very good claimer aboard. Looks of a decent mark considering he might be coming back to form. Betfair 9.6win 3.1 place

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

Fell Early:(

thesandeman · 24-03-2010 06:04PM

Ya. Thought we had that, especially with the fav doing a lap of honour before the start.

longshotvalue · 25-03-2010 02:21PM

41 Cannon Fire 3:00 Lud . Good early season form on decent ground, last run was not as good as expected, but same jock back up from last few decent runs. Ground good. Betfair 20 win 5.1 Place. Really low mark..

1 Point win 1 Point place

longshotvalue · 25-03-2010 02:27PM

Story So Far after 40 bets

BSP + 80.115
Advised + 112.75

POINTBREAK · 25-03-2010 02:35PM

aidankkk wrote: »

Story So Far after 40 bets

BSP + 80.115
Advised + 112.75

That is different class. Keep it up.

longshotvalue · 25-03-2010 02:36PM

42 Gio Ponti, Mayden World Cup, Best form in the race decent draw i recon he is overpriced at 7.6 on Betfair or better still 7/1 with Coral, should be about 4.5 - 5 about..

2 Points Win

longshotvalue · 25-03-2010 02:43PM

43 Da Re Mi, Meyden Sheema Classic, Looks the best horse in the race, huge fan so maybe my opinion is coloured here, but bad draw has resulted in price going out to 11 on Betfair which cant be ignored, even with the draw, which shouldn't make as much of a differance over 1m4f.

2 Points win

longshotvalue · 26-03-2010 06:50PM

44. Courageous Cat Meyden 15:55 looks to have a decent draw, with the fav drawn wide, and 12.0 on betfair seems to big.

1 Point win..

14/1 With Coral

longshotvalue · 26-03-2010 06:54PM

45 Wings Of Dawn Dund 7:00, has had a run already this year which was decent, won this time last year , looks overpriced at 21win 5.5 place

1 Point win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue · 27-03-2010 10:51AM

46 Lang Shining, Donc 3:10, has run well fresh in the past in a similiar race, has a decent draw, will like the softer going unlike a lot of these, looks good value to stay onto a place . Betfair 38win 7.4 pl

1 Point win 1 Point Place.

longshotvalue · 27-03-2010 10:55AM

Previously Advised running today

44. Courageous Cat Meyden 15:55 looks to have a decent draw, with the fav drawn wide, and 12.0 on betfair seems to big.

1 Point win..

14/1 With coral, Now 15.0 Betfair

43 Da Re Mi, Meyden Sheema Classic, Looks the best horse in the race, huge fan so maybe my opinion is coloured here, but bad draw has resulted in price going out to 11 on Betfair which cant be ignored, even with the draw, which shouldn't make as much of a differance over 1m4f.

2 Points win, Now 10.0 Betfair

42 Gio Ponti, Mayden World Cup, Best form in the race decent draw i recon he is overpriced at 7.6 on Betfair or better still 7/1 with Coral, should be about 4.5 - 5 about..

2 Points Win , Now 8.0 Betfair

thesandeman · 27-03-2010 05:47PM

Nice one again Aidan.

awhir · 27-03-2010 05:52PM

thesandeman wrote: »

Nice one again Aidan.

great pick

Longshot Value, 100 bets

Comments