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M20 - Cork to Limerick [preferred route chosen; in design - phase 3]

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Road works on the N20 this week north of O Rourkes Cross, looks like they are resurfacing the road, expect long delays over the coming weeks.

    The fact they are resurfacing the old national road suggests to me that the motorway plans have been scrapped



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    I wouldn't be so negative straight away, the surface will be needed for a few years even if they start construction right now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Surely they would be better off opening the new motorway before resurfacing the N20 though, unless they've scrapped the M20 plans of course



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 13,212 Mod ✭✭✭✭Cookiemunster


    Christ almighty, they have not scrapped the M20.🤦‍♂️ The road needs resurfacing now. The motorway hasn't even gone for planning yet and is years away from construction. By the time the motorway is open the old N20 will probably be due for another resurfacing.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 5,535 Mod ✭✭✭✭spacetweek


    Sorry but that is laughable!
    The old road has to be maintained whether there’s a new road or not. The M20 isn’t due to be completed until into the 2030s and the existing road needs repair right now.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    That part of the N20 didn't need a resurface just yet though, I'd call it the first sign that the motorway is scrapped



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,962 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    N20 seems to have a very high incidence of head-on collisions. I think people take big risks on the “good” stretches because because there are so many long stretches later on where overtaking is impossible.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,381 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    The M20s definitely happening.

    It's the last large stretch of motorway to be developed here anyway.

    The rest will just be ring roads and bypasses like Galway Ring road.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    You can't say with any confidence that it's DEFINITELY happening though, can you? It hasn't even gone for planning permission yet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,381 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    The political will is there. The money is there.

    It's a terrible stretch of road between our 2nd 3rd city. Lots of big towns also in between. Big ports and airports also there.

    Also completes the motorway from Cork to Galway.

    It's a no brainer really.

    It's the last stretch of motorway needed really.

    After that it's just ring roads, bypasses, distributor roads etc...

    The thing is that by the time it's completed, self driving cars and trucks will be everywhere.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,405 ✭✭✭riddlinrussell


    And they will take up the exact same amount of space as all the current cars, and only really function well on mororways

    Boards is in danger of closing very soon, if it's yer thing, go here (use your boards.ie email!)

    👇️ 👇️



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    The political will and money has been there for the last 30 years. Sometimes I wonder about the political will, Kieran O Donnell and Willie O Dea have been going on about it for years. Is it better to promise than to deliver I wonder?

    From the point of view of the economy and road safety improvements it's a complete no brainer. But once it's built what will the politicians be able to promise the voters?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 115 ✭✭Pale Red


    The money was not there for almost 10 years from 2008. The road would have been built years ago had the financial crisis not happened. It had progressed through many of the required steps when it was stopped due to lack of money. I don't think it's politicians on a slow bicycle race to keep voters with them for another few years. I also think that unless you are minister for Public Expenditure or Transport then your influence on project selection and approval is minimal. Those ministers are going to use their position, where possible, to help their constituency and they will let the bureaucrats get on with the rest.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,000 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Willie O'Dea is one of the biggest spoofers in Ireland.

    Minister for funerals and social welfare claims.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    It's reasonable that you see this road as maybe never being done, because we've had so many false dawns. But some of what you've written is demonstrably incorrect.

    The money was not available when Varadkar was compelled to shelve the scheme in 2011. He made a difficult decision and I'm not criticising it, but the decision was both financial and political. If this scheme were the most important piece of expenditure in the state then there would have been enough political will to find enough money to keep it moving. So specifically in 2011 there was neither enough money nor political will. That was 14 years ago.

    Following that - and the full history can be read in this thread - the scheme was restarted from the very start unfortunately.

    Today - and again I apologise for going into politics - we have a government far more politically aligned with road-building than the previous one. There are no signs that the current government will shy away from road-building, quite the opposite. In comparison with the previous government, the infrastructure nerds on here are monitoring the sustainable infrastructure schemes more closely.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,381 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    It was shelved due to the financial crash.

    Eamon Ryan and the Green Party (who I actually like) held it up more recently.

    It'll definitely happen. Just be patient.

    It's actually vital infrastructure if you think about the logistics and all the goods being transported and on top of that just general safety of drivers.

    Also in theory it should be great for the towns along the route which are choked in traffic.

    It makes living in these towns and commuting far more pleasant.

    It'll be interesting to see what affect the bypass will have on Macroom.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    The money was not available when Varadkar was compelled to shelve the scheme in 2011.

    Without trying to delve too much into politics this road would have cost a fraction of the bank and bondholder bailouts at the time, and would have generated some income if it was tolled properly. The money was there, it just wasn't used wisely. There was money for the upgrade of newlands cross which opened in 2014 for example but not for the M20? Doesn't really add up

    Yes, they decided to completely restart the process, rather than pick it up from where it left off. Restarting means it will take longer and cost more. The last major news announcement I recall was around the time of the GE back in November

    This all leads me to believe they would rather continually announce it than build it. All in the name of keeping the votes pedaling in

    Eamon Ryan and the Green Party allegedly wanted the road to be built with a greenway parallel to the route. Now I don't fully believe what they say but I wasn't against such an idea to be honest, if somebody wants to cycle this route they should be accommodated, especially if it means we get the motorway built at the same time.

    To be fair, nobody who voted green was expecting them to build roads so they were appealing to their voter base and I think that's fair enough.

    It's been vital infrastructure for a very long time and the towns on the route would see a huge benefit, no doubt. The Macroom bypass has been opened for some time now and I've only heard good things from the very small amount of people I know who live there



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    I don't mean to be overly critical but it sounds like you may be incorrectly informed on a couple of minor items.

    The greens aren't really part of the picture in the way you're describing: the new proposed design absolutely does include a greenway, but it's not really directly related to the green party interfering with this road, rather it's how most new roads will go through in future. This effort of assessing and providing for all modes allowed the business case for the road to be justified and is realistically a required part of the process. The assessment included rail too but IÉ were apparently satisfied that the existing alignment via LJ was enough for them. Having the assessment as a requirement can possibly be attributed to the greens, but not really the greenway directly.

    We will likely see an equivalent assessment on major roads projects in future. For comparison/contrast, the Macroom road was not an in-line upgrade and it's not M status. Probably a much older scheme too, started much earlier than the M20.

    Also, with relation to the generation of income via tolling: no, that's really not a valid argument. Revenue generation is a second-order effect of tolling, rather than its purpose. It would be a very bad reason to build a road. Safety and economic impacts would be the primary reasons for the road build. The road would have provided revenue by boosting the manufacturing economy for sure though.

    Finally, the last major announcement was at the end of June, they say the hope to present the project business case to government later this year. So let's see where we are in the next 12-16 weeks or so.

    Similar with the poster previous to you, there's no evidence that the greens directly held up the NM20 project. We've been through this a number of times now on this thread. They did indirectly hold it up by getting overall rules around road building changed for instance, but no direct interference in this one as far as I'm aware.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    Just a side note, this thread is pretty good, there's been a lot of informed input and good discussion down through the years:

    • why the road was shelved in 2011, even though M18/M17 continued
    • why cycle infrastructure was added to the design
    • why direct rail was not included in the design
    • impact of Greens in government on the project
    • route selection (why Buttevant corridor rather than Mitchelstown)

    I know it's a long thread with a lot of pages, but definitely worthy of a read IMO. If this road were in danger of being shelved you'd likely read it on this thread from informed sources very quickly.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,794 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Eamon Ryan did not single out this project for stonewalling. There are many projects you could point the finger at him for holding them up but this is not one of them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭hans aus dtschl


    Yep, he made a big public song and dance about many roads, but this one seems to have been largely spared.

    The biggest negative thing I can think of him doing was perhaps inflating the predicted price in the media. But even that may have just been ass-covering (inflation, securing budgets etc) rather than an interference effort. What people typically pointed out as his interference efforts in other projects were failures to sign-off or allocate budgets in a timely fashion etc. And of course a few very public statements of "I would prefer a bypass" etc

    But the NM20 project team were so careful in assessing all modes etc, I think they really safeguarded the road from "green" pushback. I'd like to think it will sail through business justification. I just wish they had an N40 North to accompany it!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    We have all seen this dance before and it always ends with the M20 getting to a certain stage and then being shelved or cancelled followed by a delayed restart, rinse, repeat etc.

    While all that I've read here certainly seems to suggest that it'll be different this time I don't think it will. It is just a hunch though as I have no informed sources and I am happy to be proven wrong



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,794 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Re: price of it. At the time it came across as hyperbolic but between actual inflation in the sector in Ireland and the time to take it through planning by the time construction comes around the 3bn price tag may have been prescient

    And as you say he did a lot of throwing his toys out of his pram re: bypasses and what not, but this project largely proceeded unscathed. Unlike approx 10-15 other projects around the country where stonewalling efforts were more blatent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,255 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    For the first one

    • The M17/18 was originally two schemes, they got CPOed a few years prior to 2011 so construction could be tendered out to the PPP (shadow toll) contractor at little cost to the government at the time. The M20, on the other hand, was not as far advanced, and the scheme got approved yet Varadkar said the government could not afford the CPOs, which came due for payment/purchase just after the collapse. So he cancelled the CPOs and thus the entire project. Poorest decision of his career, IMO, and I liked the man.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,962 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    It wasn't just the CPOs. The planning has an expiry date (10 years?), so starting the CPOs on this project would also tie the government into building the road, and it could not afford to do that.

    As it happened, the whole Adare bypass design was revisited as part of the N21/Foynes scheme, but that would not have been possible if the spur had been built in to the M20 project.

    Regarding the "3 billion", I put that down to another example of politicians using P95 estimates out of caution or ignorance. It's actually the right thing to do from their point of view as it reduces chances of being accused of "cost overrun" if they talk up the P50 estimate, but the project then hits an unforeseen problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 39,738 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    There was money for the upgrade of newlands cross which opened in 2014 for example but not for the M20? Doesn't really add up

    You are seriously comparing upgrading one junction with nearly 100km of new motorway?

    Now that doesn't add up.

    I'm partial to your abracadabra
    I'm raptured by the joy of it all



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 820 ✭✭✭Jayuu


    The decision in 2011, disappointing as it was, was inevitable both from a financial and political perspective. People have short memories here as to how the country was back then.

    In 2011 it would have been impossible to approve spending hundreds of millions of euro on a road at a time when thousands of people were losing their jobs, taxes were increasing, services were being cut and the country had to be bailed out because it couldn't borrow funds on the open market. Yes, I get that infrastructure brings long-term benefits but we were in a hole and there was just no way it could have continued at the time.

    As for today, the M20 is a key part of the NDP which has only just been reviewed. It would hugely politically embarassing for the government to withdraw or cancel it at this stage. Currently it's moving towards planning 2026 and I see no reason that anything has changed here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 528 ✭✭✭Limerick74


    Just a correction to the above post that the 2010 M20 scheme was never approved by An Bord Pleanála. The scheme was withdrawn from planning after the public hearing but before any decision from the board.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,667 ✭✭✭cjpm


    Does anyone know why a large portion of the N20 Mallow to Blarney was completely closed for a few nights during the past week.

    Lots of facebook posts from people that got lost trying to take backroads to avoid it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,399 ✭✭✭✭Mushy


    That not the resurfacing works previously mentioned?



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