If we do not hit our goal we will be forced to close the site.
Current status: https://keepboardsalive.com/
Annual subs are best for most impact. If you are still undecided on going Ad Free - you can also donate using the Paypal Donate option. All contribution helps. Thank you.
FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer 2025 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST
Comments
-
-
-
-
-
A decent GFS ensemble considering this is August, looks mostly dry and warm up to mid month. Maybe a hint towards a more unsettled trend for second half of the month but staying reasonably warm perhaps.
Most of my August memories is of the Atlantic unleashed so thankfully that's not the case this year.
15 -
Advertisement
-
-
Something to watch for the middle of next week, warm air over the continent could collide with was is left of tropical storm Dexter.
Gfs and Ecm are showing the possibility of some very lively thunderstorms.
The models are showing some very decent potential, however it won’t be till the hi resolution models come into view until there can be much confidence. It has been a very poor year for convective weather so this would be nice to reel in ⚡️ ⛈️
7 -
-
-
Outlook still trending dry. ECM chart initially looks like a good bit of rain but this is a 16 day total chart so these totals are actually low for August which is by far the wettest summer month on average and some very low totals in parts of the east.
GFS is exceptionally dry, less than 10mm for many of us over 15-16 days but look at England! A lot of places not even a single mm over this period projected where it has been bone dry for some so far this month.
A sustained warm and dry ensemble. Certainly could be worse.
Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/
18 -
Advertisement
-
-
-
-
Signs of a cool down and some more unsettled weather later in August, likely due to the remains of hurricane Erin joining in the mix but a long way off. Up until day 10, basically warm and dry continuation with possibility of localised storms or showers can never be ruled out.
Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/
19 -
-
-
A cool down by 22nd August is very apparent, we normally see a cooler period later in August anyway so not unexpected I guess. There's the chance we may hold on to warmer conditions though still cooler than now if high pressure stays close enough to Ireland which it could well do.
By Tuesday next week, models are bringing the anticyclone that's been advecting the warm air to Ireland to Greenland and Iceland but keeping some kind of influence to Ireland with gradually decreasing temperatures as the wind veers more north of east rather than south. There is more and more ensembles going unsettled, the ones that do either have not much of a Griceland ridge and have a westerly flow courtesy of what would be ex-hurricane Erin by that stage or the high going too far north enough to allow low pressure systems to undercut.
There is no certainty on how unsettled it would get. Just look at this morning's runs in their different precipitation distribution. GFS is very dry almost throughout before it starts to bring more of a westerly at the very end with a sudden build up in totals though this still isn't a wet total accumulated precipitation chart by any means for 16 days away.
ECM is generally dry but has a few shallow lows running along the south leading to some very wet conditions whilst north is exceptionally dry. ECM builds a strong persistent wave-breaking pattern of Greenland blocking so not surprised to see this.
GEM is the most unsettled of the 3 in terms of countrywide conditions with a series of Atlantic lows undercutting high latitude blocking on a southerly tracking jet stream - ECM is obviously wettest for the south.
All to play for.
Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/
14 -
Model’s continuing to show an unsettled end to August.
Next week will see a reduce in temps and fairly benign conditions setting in with maxes in the low 20s. Will feel a bit chillier on the East coast towards the start of the week with an Easterly breeze, but they will veer more Northerly albeit not significant winds at all. There won’t be much sun to start the week especially in the South but better as the week goes on.The real change looks to be towards the end of the week and early next week with the afternoon Gfs, Ecm and Ecm ai showing stormy weather. Lp in the Atlantic (will be ex -hurricane Erin) is showing up on the models for Monday week.
Erin is already not complying with the models, and as of today is significantly deeper than expected as looks to be slightly further southwest, so I would expect some chopping and changing.
Going to be interesting to see how the models handle Erin in the next few days as it will certainly have some impacts to our own end to a nice Summer.
9 -
