FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer 2025 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

pauldry

Yes this Summer has been mainly like Summer should be. Nothing out of the ordinary bar the fast heat spikes and drier than Winter with quite a few warm days. As ever NW duller.

sryanbruen

GFS and ECM 12z taking the piss for the August Bank Holiday with a fairly deep low bringing widespread rain and strong winds (especially the ECM on the 5th with the latter) before a build of pressure from the Azores. Great

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123678309#Comment_123678309

Yep weather alerts Ireland have already published something stupid about this "storm" and probably Galway beo will follow suit. Love the way media only looks at 1 model run and it has to be the worst outcome, still a week away anything can happen, if models where still showing the same thing by Friday then I'll take it into consideration and see how bad it will be . Sorry some media outlets just really grind my gears

beggars_bush

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123678309#Comment_123678309

Met Eireann also mentioned this on the nine o clock forecast

sryanbruen

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123678995#Comment_123678995

ECM was a particular worst case scenario that I hope does not happen. Rain is whatever though preferably dry. Cool temps is whatever. But I can't be bothered putting up with wind at this time of year.

It does become a cracker after that though. Maybe we'll have to experience an awful Bank Holiday to then get the gold. The August Bank Holiday 2022 was poor for many too though the morning was beautiful in the east but we know what happened after that.

esposito

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123679002#Comment_123679002

With you on the wind. Ain’t nobody got time for that! Sweet Brown voice, especially at this time of year.

Ros4Sam24

Weather whiplash on Gfs Tonight

Monday 6am 😱🤬

Tuesday 12pm ☀️🤗

pauldry

There won't be an awful storm these always get moderated bar the notable one last Winter and even that could have been worse.

Maybe heavy falls of rain but August is a tempermental month anyways. Augtumn

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123679002#Comment_123679002

Absolutely 💯 hopefully we do strike gold afterwards fingers crossed 🤞

Gonzo

that warming trend for the first week of August that I posted a few days ago looks to be almost erased at this point and the Atlantic has it's way with us for another 1 to 2 weeks perhaps at the very least. Any attempts at high pressure is very flimpsy and ususally gone on the next run and keeps getting pushed back further into FI day by day. Both the ECM and GFS look fairly crap this morning up to mid August. August being August. If August ends up being yet another annual turd at least I got a week in Spain booked for September.

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123679545#Comment_123679545

The way things are going I'll be booking a week in Spain myself for probably mid September, I mustn't leave it to long to book either, in the middle of getting a new passport, hopefully maybe from August 10th onwards it will pick up

ascophyllum

GFS and ECM both similar showing a very windy system just moving on the typical path north of Donegal and on to Scotland. Most of it stays out to sea but parts of the Northwest could see gusts around 100km which is a shock to the system in August, especially for holidaymakers and people in mobile homes etc. GEM keeps it further north which is where they often track. Unpleasant start to August!

Elmer Blooker

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123679545#Comment_123679545

the charts are a joke at the moment, ludicrous.

don’t know how half of August can be written off just yet.

Gonzo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123681089#Comment_123681089

past 2 weeks or more charts have been all over the place trying to settle things down and give us a break from the Atlantic but we're not getting very far. August has such a poor track record here that it's all too easy to write it off based upon most Augusts living in Ireland. Yet early September usually has a lovely spell of weather.

Meteorite58

Still very much in the unreliable time frame but ECMWF showing the strong winds to cross the centre of the country on latest run for Monday but tracks are all over the place, very low reliability atm, just to keep an eye on for now .

dominatinMC

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123679545#Comment_123679545

Great. There goes Summer 2025 😥

Gonzo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123682575#Comment_123682575

I wouldn't say that just yet, however it doesn't look great, the unsettled charts keep winning out over preference of the settled and warmer charts. A week ago it looked like this bank holiday weekend would be warm and high pressure dominated, that fell through, then it looked like next week, that fell through and now any sign of proper high pressure is pushed back to mid August.

Bank holiday looks unsettled particularly Sunday into Monday. We may get 2 pet days at some stage next week but generally a pancake westerly first 10 days of August. Not a whole lot of rain apart from showers aside from Sunday into Monday, not a washout but not great either.

Ros4Sam24

No point glossing over the wobbles that the models have had regarding next week, high pressure looks to be pushed back until day 7 or 8.
Despite this, Ecm Gfs and Ecm ai all find high pressure after an unsettled sart to next week on the 12z runs.

It is disappointing to see this pushback from the models no doubt, but as long as those reds and oranges stay away from Greenland we might not be far off some summery weather

Gonzo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123684418#Comment_123684418

It's bound to happen sometime within the next 4 weeks but keeps getting pushed back, Maybe second half of August or early September and hopefully longer than 2 to 3 days which is all we've gotten from good spells this summer. Summer is closing in fast now so hopefully we will get one more decent spell of nationwide warmth and dryness for more than 3 days where the Atlantic isn't nipping away at us.

JanuarySnowstor

The trend continues really with proper Summer remaining at 216hrs +.

Constantly promising yet not delivering at this point August being written off is not far away.

Of course it's been a reasonable Summer, just that I've already forgotten it!!

squarecircles

it’s been a reasonable summer nationally, locally, ie west/northwest it has been complete horse dung. 2 warm sunny days in June and 2 warm sunny days in July.

Ros4Sam24

Well you certainly don’t have to look too far to find very nice charts this morning… just 120h

Elmer Blooker

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123699679#Comment_123699679

think so? This chart shouldn’t even be in this thread as it’s only +96.

It’s normal for the east to get better weather in summer, that’s the way it is. I can think of only three very wet days in my parts so far this summer - June 12, June 14 and July 21. There were other rainfall amounts that were so insignificant I’ve forgotten about them.

Gonzo

The next week does look like a bit of an improvement in the weather with low 20s possible most days, nothing overly hot for us and sunshine amounts not nailed down but looks a mostly dry scene apart from the odd shower here and there. Considering this is August this isn't a bad outlook.

squarecircles

asfaras

pad199207

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123701794#Comment_123701794

Move to the east

squarecircles

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123702014#Comment_123702014

wa re to ent c and no th, it’s j as vi, if nw, for dif re

pad199207

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123702081#Comment_123702081

Your earlier description of the weather up there does not match the weather we have been having here in Leinster.

cudsy1

South Coast has been , imo, roasting for all but three or so weeks since the very start of April

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123701794#Comment_123701794

I'm in the northwest/north Midlands and it hasn't been a bad summer , got some nice warm days in June, some hot days in July and some rain and all but hasn't been bad , ground here despite rain last week is dry have to water the plants tonight and I see towards this weekend and early days of next week is warm enough may not be wall to wall sunshine but I'd take that , there's still fairly strong sunshine if it does pop out