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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,039 ✭✭✭✭briany


    The 2020 vote for Biden was the highest vote count in US history. Setting that as the bar of victory is like saying that Chelsea would need to beat Man U 7 nil like last season. If that's the criteria of success, something has gone wrong for that to even be a necessity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,733 ✭✭✭yagan


    The only problem there is institutions and foreign governments who hold US debt don't want to collapse the bond tent too quickly. It's far better to simply reduce exposure by not rolling over purchases.

    However domestic hedge funds could bring down the tent too in a race for the exit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,590 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    Yes, drip drip is the key. And that's what they are doing.

    China, Japan, the UK. etc.

    Even Ireland did some last month, Cashing in $40 billion.

    Also if the USA defaults on bonds, it will never again be the World's reserve currency.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,799 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    It's not hard to believe that Trump (or rather his owner) wants the bond market to collapse. Floating all those ideas of default, extending term etc. - via easily deniable proxies, of course.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,033 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    America did want Donald Trump, absolutely. He won two elections but also lost one. And he lost the popular vote 2 out of 3 times but to be fair he did win it last time out. His cumulative vote across the 3 elections is over 7.6M votes less than his Democratic opponents.

    He won the last election, so obviously that is most relevant and I'm not for a second disputing his victory. But look at what has happened since then. Look at the videos we saw from town hall after town hall of Republican members of congress and the pushback demonstrated there for how he has started his administration.

    To say that America want's Trump now in April 2025 when he won a close election and has clearly p*ssed off so many people in so many ways since he assumed the office this time round is using semantics. And I get it, Trump and his crew are still talking about a mandate from the American people, and that's how politics goes, but to ignore the impact of Trump's actions until there is another election with respect to public sentiment is being very selective to the point of nearly having your head stuck in the sand.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,852 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    And the 2020 vote for Trump was the 2nd highest ever in US History

    More people are now voting. Before 2020 no candidate had reached 70 million votes, not even Obama in 2008

    Kamala was not popular, certainly not more than Obama, but she easily surpassed his votes in each of his elections and she got the 3rd highest vote in US History

    The bar changes each cycle. Way more people vote now. Still not enough, but more



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,162 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    Nvidia exports to China being limited, the chips they had developed to meet the old regulations about selling to China.

    The West are blowing their load so early. Biden was part of this as well limiting exports there, and it just forces China to become self-reliant.

    I'd put any money I have on China being capable of solving these problems over the next decade, than them falling behind because they can't buy Western tech.

    Now, they will just make their own way in semiconductor tech and then the west will have no cards. Isn't there something like more engineers graduating in China every year than rest of the world combined? Their hard skills and education are so good, it's wild than America who values MBAs over everything thinks they can win the science victory.

    Maintaining the lead and selling to them to keep them in line was the only logical way forward. Trump has thrown that away because of ideas of what a trade deficit means. Of all things to try and get China in line over, it was a stupid trade deficit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 188 ✭✭Champagne Sally


    MTG really is a piece of s**t, the arrogance is astounding. Article from CNN below on her town hall yesterday.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2025/04/16/politics/town-halls-congress-tempers-flare/index.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    There’s a number of aspects to this though- there’s internal America DT and there’s world DT.

    What he’s doing to the rest of the world right now - tariffs, threatening UK to repeal lgbtq legislation if they want to do business etc - is bad on the world certainly, but just right now, Americans won’t see much impact. And a lot of the “noise” is directed outwards not inwards towards America

    It’s his internal dismantling of domestic checks and balances along with massive fraud on the stock market and the depletion of their 401k accounts and job losses and sackings - that’s what America needs to worry about - but they’re still asleep in the main so they don’t actually realise just how fcked up their country is about to become. And it will get worse - a lot worse.

    Make no mistake -America asked for this- white Christian America especially asked for this. And many will remain happy and many more republican voters will just shut up and keep quiet. It’s the democrats that need to grow a pair- but as I’ve said, they’re still asleep



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,071 ✭✭✭Suckler


    it's wild than America who values MBAs over everything thinks they can win the science victory.

    It's increasingly crept in here as well - there's increased reliance on management companies. Never be the one executing; be on the evaluating side. Retrospective execution is so much easier.

    I love the Roosevelt quote "It's not the critic who counts.." but it's no good to you when the Government are looking for targets.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,338 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    There is a hardcore MAGA crowd of perhaps 40m or something - these would be your hardcore conservatives, reactionaries, racists etc that you normally see at Trump rallies. But there are tens of millions of more moderate Republicans and conservatives with a small 'c' who are not on the 'Trump is the Messiah' train. He is by no means guaranteed support from this latter grouping.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭Field east


    Said that he would act as a DICAToR for ONE DAY ONLY - and I think that it was to be his first day in office. Please do not expand , dramatise, spin , misinterpret, dis respect, etc, etc, etc, etc, etc, etc, what President Trump said on this matter or on any other matter !!!!!!!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,056 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    A president saying he will be a dictator for one day is more egregious than someone online saying he said it would be for more than one day.

    Interesting to see which one you are more upset about.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “He is by no means guaranteed support from this latter grouping.”

    Ok so strictly speaking I agree - but put out a female person of colour with views very far away from the republican right- and it’s as good as a guarantee - what I learned about the last election is, if the Democrat right now, is just that bit too far away from centre, Republicans will win- no matter how appalling or repulsive their candidate is- fight “right” with “left” doesn’t work in America right now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭Field east


    if Trump is ‘removed’ for whatever reason and Vance takes over and follows the same strategies/policies/ behaviour will he BE THEN SUBJECT TO THESAME PrESSUREs and ‘ got rid of also’?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭Field east


    Aeroplanes still exist

    Aeroplanes still exist!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,322 ✭✭✭dinorebel


    What is it with MAGA and capital letters? can you only type angry? or maybe you get off on copying the dear leader.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 414 ✭✭poop emoji


    You can guarantee Trump will sell these chips to Russia who in turn a sell em to China



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 414 ✭✭poop emoji


    There is a tariff on braincells and caps lock keys



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,033 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Actions speak louder than words. He has repeatedly looked to use the machinations of the state to target people he sees as his enemies. He is ignoring the directions of the courts, as we speak.

    Ignoring this is this is the dramatization, the spin, the misinterpretation of reality that I think you are referring to.



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  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 18,042 Mod ✭✭✭✭ixoy


    I think America is far more conservative than a lot of Western Europe. What we consider left of centre they often see as far left, using it almost like a bizarre curse. If they want to get those centrists then yeah, they'll need to strike the balance whilst still not betraying the things that differ them from Republicans.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,033 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Alas, these are the people we hoped would save us from him at the last election.

    And that wasn't the case. But, I still maintain he is fundamentally unpopular at this point. There are some who love him more than they did because of his blatant disregard for the due process of immigrants and what they perceive as "sticking it to Chy-na". But there's very little positives for the American people out of much of what he has done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,367 ✭✭✭SaoPaulo41




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,033 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    The impact of Trump's actions in this administration might not be fully revealed or identified for years or decades.

    China is clearly looking to capitalize on the vacuum it is leaving on the world stage and the impact of that could be very significant.

    I think the biggest impact of the administration on domestic affairs could have many layers. The undermining of the judicial system by the executive will surely be something that will be looked to utilize by future administrations in a country where judicial experience sets precedent. The tax breaks for the wealthy and the suggestion that low cost manufacturing could return to the US will only serve to weaken the working class further in terms of them holding their own versus corporate culture. Again, these things will not be clearly defined by the end of Trump's term but his actions have definitely increased the likelihood that they will come to pass.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,237 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    I think there may well have been a big amount of 'Cambridge analytica' going on with Trump support.

    The social media machine that promoted him, showed a different version of Trump to people depending on who they are.

    They showed the racist trump to the racists, they showed the 'Drain the swamp' trump to the people sick of 'the establishment' and they showed the 'I'll bring back jobs' Trump to the people who were feeling economically marginalised

    We assume that US voters are well informed about politics. A lot of them are ridiculously uninformed about even the most basic facts and are very easy to manipulate if you have the ability to control what news and disinformation pops up on their phones when they're scrolling through facebook for hours every night.

    Loads of Trump voters actually believed that there were invasive hoards of immigrants banging on the border wall waiting to be let in, they actually believed that they are 'eating the cats, and eating the dogs' they actually believed that the democrats mismanage the economy and caused the massive debt and the loss of jobs to China, and they believed that Trump, whatever about his flaws, had a plan to fix all of these problems.

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Someone on the news yesterday (I think it might have been someone from Harvard but I just can’t recall) urged institutions and bodies (such as lawyers for example) to stick together- I think that’s really good advice but so far, I’ve seen very little evidence of this - there needs to be an institutional body response to what Trump is doing - be it employer and employee representatives or lawyers or doctors or scientists or whatever - people will get picked off individually, we know that - it’s the representative bodies that hold the stronger hand- but so far nadda of note



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    My experience of boards is that it would be viewed very liberal - so “far left” in American terms by Americans - yes you’re correct.
    Challenge of course is, if you move too far back towards centre, your marginal voters just won’t vote - or as we’ve seen, will get swept up in some religious crap and vote according to their stance on abortion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,071 ✭✭✭Suckler


    And I think we should remember this when people talk about Russians standing up to Putin; look how quickly institutions were rolled over with less of a threat. When the public see this, it becomes less likely of collective individual revolt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,237 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The turnout figure only includes votes that were certified and counted. Not the number of people who actually turned out to vote.

    Millions of voters were disenfranchised in the last election, and the GOP spent years laying the framework so that the vast majority of disenfranchised voters, were likely democrat voters especially in swing states.


    According to Greg Palast
    https://hartmannreport.com/p/trump-lost-vote-suppression-won-c6f

    — 

    4,776,706 

    voters were wrongly purged from voter rolls according to US Elections Assistance Commission data.

    — By August of 2024, for the first time since 1946, self-proclaimed “vigilante” voter-fraud hunters 

    challenged the rights of 317,886 voters. 

    The NAACP of Georgia estimates that by Election Day, the challenges exceeded 200,000 in Georgia alone.

    — No fewer 

    than 2,121,000 mail

    -

    in ballots were disqualified

     for minor clerical errors (e.g. postage due).

    — 

    At least 585,000 ballots cast in-precinct were also disqualified.

     

    1,216,000

     “provisional” ballots were rejected, not counted.

    — 

    3.24 million new registrations were rejected

     or not entered on the rolls in time to vote.

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 176 ✭✭BP_RS3813


    I said that was told that using trump tactics was 'admitting defeat'. Apparantly no one understands that to defeat a Trump, you need an even bigger trump who will do the wrong things for the right reasons.



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