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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,838 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Of those at the top level I'd say it'll be just Walz if anyone…



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,893 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    The problem here is that you seem to have leaped from 1950s to today and kindof skipped the bits in the middle. Whatever may have been the US's thinking at the time of Eisenhower evidently wasn't the case in the Cold War period if one looks at the sizes of the relative militaries of Europe. How big was the Irish Defence Forces in, say 1985, compared to today?

    Belgium used to field an armored corps in Germany in the Cold War. Today it doesn't have a single tank. In the late 80s, the Netherlands had three times as many tanks as the UK does today. They dropped to zero tanks owned, and 18 leased from Germany. In 1982, the UK was able to send, on basically no notice, five nuclear submarines, two carriers, eight destroyers, and fifteen frigates. If the same thing were to happen today? One carrier (if the shaft is behaving itself), two destroyers, five frigates. The German state of affairs has been well covered. I'm sure you'll see similar rises and falls for most European countries, bar Greece and Turkey who are their own special case, and the Scandanavians.

    There has been an utterly precipitous collapse in European defense capability in the last thirty years. You will recall the Europeans ran out of ammunition against Libya after only a couple of days and needed US help.

    image.png

    Is there anything wrong in Mr Kubilus' statement? Is there anything wrong with Hegseth's statement that only the US has the capability of taking significant offensive action against Houthi assets threatening Red Sea transit? Maybe Israel, granted. There's an argument for France.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,033 ✭✭✭golfball37


    It’s both a good laugh and a but shocking to see what’s going on in America . But we need to stop looking over there and shouting not fair not fair.
    As a continent we need to take ownership of our own defense and affairs. So what if a one time ally calls us names. We aren’t gonna change them now. What can do is start a process where we are not dependent on them and start now



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,893 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Perhaps you know something I don't, since as far as I know nobody has actually released the full transcripts to know the recommended classification levels of the information. I posted a link a little earlier with examples of what is typically considered an appropriate classification level for what sort of subject, you might be surprised as to what is only 'confidential' and doesn't require a SCIF, let alone rising to the level of "Secret" which, as I just pointed out, is the same recommended level of classification as found on Clinton's server which itself did not result in criminal information. I personally would be very surprised if anything in that chat hit "Top Secret". If we fought WW3, it would be done on a "Secret" system (and not one in a SCIF).

    You are correct that if they deleted the conversation it is a violation of records laws. However, all that is required to avoid violation is if someone in the government kept the record. Note the alteration of the Federal Records Act in 2014 after the Clinton thing which specifically allowed for the use of non-government email as long as some government email address was CCd, even if everyone else in the chain deleted their copies.

    That said, I think it's also brought to more public light a problem of modern technology which the laws haven't yet been updated to consider. As the earlier-linked articles observed from before this current story broke, the use of apps like Signal result in better security at the risk of transparency: I doubt the FRA has been diligently followed by any government agency over the last couple of years because there is no server involved in the process, each individual 'phone image would have to be retained after decommissioning. The easiest solution I can think of is that the government sets up a server attached to a user ID which is made a part of every single Signal group created by government personnel. If so, though, that computer had better be the cyber-equivalent to Fort Knox combined with Alcatraz as every hacker on the planet would be going for that one IP.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 55,672 ✭✭✭✭Headshot


    Trump calls leaks a "Glitch" and attacks the "Sleazeball" journalist

    It would be laughable only for it being so dangerous.

    Good old Trump trying to take the attention away from his administration



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,362 ✭✭✭Sigma101


    In that surreal new MAGA world, I suspect the only person who will face real consequences will be the Atlantic journalist Jeff Goldberg.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,651 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Buuut… did they do the call on their personal phones? Do we doubt bad guys have all their phone numbers? Do we doubt hostile agents can, at least, detect those phones in use? Were they in public when doing this, and why not in a secure communication facility? (Apparently someone was in Moscow.)

    Rank and file military chatting over a channel to discuss distribution of MREs or whatever isn't as concerning as the VP, SecDef, National Security chief and so on discussing plans for war.

    For all we know, the open sourced Signal app has been hacked - not like, say, China would tell anyone they could intercept Signal and decode it, especially if they detect the VP's phone in use.

    Really indefensible in any way. Resignations should happen starting with Waltz.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,651 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Regarding the deletion of records - if this conversation had been done on a Pentagon secure network, which I expect exists, then the records retention laws apply.

    Trump's lackeys used Signal, because this administration hates the records law - secrecy is their thing, Trump hates anyone keeping records on his activity. So, no records kept of this war planning activity. Pretty damned nasty imo.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,765 ✭✭✭✭murpho999


    All this scandal/chaos in the space of 70 odd days. No way this administration is going to last 4 years.

    I know a president can be impeached and removed but can an entire administration?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,030 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Trump could get up of a morning and do four impeachable things before lunch, and maybe this day has occurred, but it looks like he has the lowest likelihood of impeachment of any US president in history since the Republican party has pretty much said that their loyalty is to him, not the US constitution. They'd never vote it through.

    This administration is looking to last not for four years but for perpetuity. It won't be brought down by procedure but by public revolt. It's hard for me to see the latter happening given how much the US public seem prepared to put up with. What would be the point that the frog jumps out of the pot?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,596 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Exactly. Nothing is an impeachable scandal when after an impeachable scandal you just walk out, say "There's no scandal here, everything's fine", have your party acolytes go on all the news shows saying "They said there's no scandal here and everything's fine, so forget about it", and then just use the numbers game to knock down anything raised in the House/Senate.

    Not to mention that some of the Dem leaders walk around saying "Well, we think it's an impeachable scandal, but if we impeach them over every impeachable scandal, we water down the real scandals. Donate to us so we can eventually decide to do something."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,687 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    I'm sure someone said the same thing about 8 years ago, and some how they survived the first term. Although arguably Covid helped a bit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,778 ✭✭✭Patrick2010


    Its a major fcuk up but given that US has already been compromised with Trump storing top secret documents in Mar A Lago, copies of which are certainly in Moscow now and the head of national security a fan of Russia. I doubt too many countries will be sharing information with the US now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,911 ✭✭✭eire4


    Reality is when you put people into powerful positions based pretty much on their subservience and obedience to the boss rather then based on their experience and or competence to do the job then this kind of monumental screw up is going to happen and given that this regime is filled with extremists and sycophants like the fox news, alcoholic sexual predator then I think we are going to see a fair few more screw ups like this in the coming months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,366 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Precisely- forewarned is forearmed- and boy has the world been forewarned



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,124 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Anytime he is faced with a question he can’t answer or who shows up his lies he just discredits the news channel or reporter by saying they are a failing company or has never heard of them.


    Unbelievable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,032 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Same way that when the pressure comes on in the media he challenges the journalist or their organisation seeking to dismiss them.

    He's such a weak, vacuous leader, how did he fool so many to think he is strong and capable?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,928 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Heh my own employer even has its own in-house chat, voice, video application for desktop and mobile

    It’s mad to think we have more secure in house capabilities than US government/ military



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,527 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    BREAKING: Atlantic Editor Jeffrey Goldberg Weighs Releasing Trump War Planning Texts

    Here's another one for @Manic Moran . An interview with Goldberg himself and describing the kinds of information that he was privvy to in the chat. Including the name of an undercover CIA operative. You still think that it's just a wee snafu?

    The White House seems doesn't at all seem to be in "lesson learning" mode. So far all I've seen them do is denigrate Goldberg and tell obvious lies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,527 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    I mean its worse than that. The US government, and I'm not an expert here, almost certainly has the most sophisticated encrypted areas/channels(SCIF), security protocols and technologies available.

    But the morons at the top of the chain, the ones who should be espousing and enforcing these protocols are actively flouting them. And then lying or deflecting to distract people from the fact that noone will be held responsible.

    And they're putting everyone who relies on western intelligence at risk while they're at it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,928 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    The absolute nightmare they imposed on my team in last few years to be able to run our platform on the US gov cloud especially around encryption, auditing, access control

    And then to read they themselves are so cavalier with security at the very highest level

    Graah me mad now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,765 ✭✭✭✭murpho999


    Y

    Yes I'm aware how impeachment works and how unlikely it us but my point is that if a president is removed from power for any reason he's normally replaced by the VP but this person is also malignant and a threat to US democracy.

    So does the US constitution have a tool to remove both?

    I think next year's mid terms will be very important with both house may swing Democrat and make Trump a lame duck and vulnerable.

    There must be another way to remove an administration rather than pubic revolt or a military coup?

    Prefer our parliamentary system where a government can be brought down by a parliamentary vote and new election called.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,327 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Yeah, think it is a form of corruption basically, so they can have their "secret" little chats (secret in the sense of holding private meetings and discussions among themselves, and perhaps also with their special friends of the admin. like Musky and god knows who else, that are kept completely off the record and leave no trace).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,472 ✭✭✭Lewis_Benson


    Nevwrmind impeachment, imprisonment is where this should be going.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,032 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Hey, the US Military only had a budget of 13.6T in the 20 years between 2002 and 2022, how could they be expected to fund or source their own secure communication platform. Go easy on them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,943 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I'm pretty familiar with classification levels. The journalist demonstrating more consideration and care than the officials involved with sensitive information precludes us from knowing the exact details. I would wager that if the information alluded to by Goldberg is correct, it would meet the level of TS. Anything that touches electronic collection systems is almost always at the TS level, and this sort of coordinated operation would absolutely involve collection and EW assets. Sequencing, assets involved, locations of forces. That's some of the most critical of information, subordinate only to technical or intelligence assets information.

    Whether precise details of the attack would rise to that level would depend. Regardless, even transmitting SIPR level information would be illegal, and given it's related to an active operation, not one that can be dismissed as a minor IO violation. You or I would be likely be prosecuted and jailed for such actions



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,687 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    In 2014 (Jesus was it really 11 years ago??), the shellshock vulnerability was released and I spent the day and subsequent days on the phone with worried clients telling them either they were not vulnerable and they didn't need to worry or, they were vulnerable but we were patching stuff as quickly as we could. That first day I went home, super stressed and decided to watch a movie so I booted up my Raspberry Pi which was the server for my entertainment system and I got a blue screen saying "Please wait as we patch for the Shell Shock vulnerability". It brought a smile to my face as now my 30 euro Raspberry Pi was more secure than some of the Enterprise grade network devices I had been talking about all day long.

    In this case it wasn't a software bug in a piece of commonly used software(for a change), it was improper use of a well secured application. It was akin to adding Dave the IT intern to the administrator group.

    I bet Piers Morgan is sick today. In his day as an investigative journalist(hehe), he had to actually hack into celebs voicemails. All Jeff Goldberg had to do to get this scoop was have his number in the chief of staffs phone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,454 ✭✭✭jobeenfitz


    This is a really big problem. Giving top secret info to the likes of Trump, Vance and Hegseth and other trump officials could be very dangerous. It could have serious consequences especially for Ukraine. Only a fool or a person with bad intentions would want to share some of their most sensitive security information with these people.

    We saw Vance and Hegseth at that security conference in Germany, just weeks ago. They dislike European democracy. They show that they are more complimentary towards and comfortable with right wing neo Nazis than to their allies.

    Europe also need to keep the Americans onside to aid Ukraine's and Europes goal of survival against Russia. It's a tight line they are walking. Europe has let itself down by outsourcing our security to America for decades but that's another whole day's work.

    The old and overused saying " We are where we are ", is very apt here.

    I'm sure Europe and there allies need to have a lot of discussions but even having these discussions would be very difficult to organise. Who should be privy to these discussions? Who can we trust?

    Europe and our allies have got themselves into a very dangerous place and time. We now need some brave leaders and a willingness to spend loads of money on defence and preparation for a possible war which hopefully doesn't arrive.

    The problem with democracies is we the people, like our government to spend our taxes on the good stuff which does not encourage bravery from our leaders.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,454 ✭✭✭jobeenfitz


    When you say this is a mistake by Hegseth that can't just be waved away, I agree. Then we think about who's boss, big Ol' Donnie, shur he sent his mob to attack Congress and here he is again.

    Congress could now take up this recent F**CK up but alas the republicans have the numbers to block.

    Most of the norms don't matter with Trump. I know Roberts gave Trump a little rap on his knuckles recently but the American supreme court gave him status close to a king. The norms have changed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,454 ✭✭✭jobeenfitz


    I definitely agree that many of Trump people are clowns but it would be a mistake to take these clowns lightly. These people could cause a lot of deaths especially Ukrainians and also the alliance of the willing who may end up in Ukraine in the near to mid future.



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