Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Irish birth rate falls below 1.4 - far below replacement level

  • 27-02-2025 05:55AM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,105 ✭✭✭✭


    To maintain the population the birth rate has to be 2.3.

    We face a very challenging problem. What should we do?

    How do we encourage Irish women to have more children?

    Within this newest generation they are facing population collapse.

    Post edited by Kermit.de.frog on


«13456

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,556 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    The population is in no danger of collapse.

    Ireland is, for many reasons a Goldilock country. It's not too hot, it's not too cold. Not too hard(right), which is why people flock here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,589 ✭✭✭✭Cookie_Monster


    why would you want to maintain the population at unsustainably high levels though? Both in Ireland and globally.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 725 ✭✭✭Hungry Burger




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 318 ✭✭keithb93


    why tackle the causes of this (lack of housing/ cost of living) when it’s easier to bring in thousands more asylum seekers every year. We will bring them in from countries like Nigeria with very high fertility rates too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 851 ✭✭✭French Toast


    In my parents generation people were married with children by their late 20’s or early 30’s and went on to have a family of 3-4 kids. Now people are more inclined to delay starting a family in favour of travel and experience. “30 is the new 20”, so to speak. Whether that’s better or worse is subjective of course.


    The challenges regarding cost/availability of everything doesn’t make having a family easy. Housing and childcare are huge issues.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,077 ✭✭✭Large bottle small glass


    Because a world without young people isn't a world you want to live in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,602 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Irish society makes life very difficult for young parents, and for mothers in particular. It’s no surprise that fewer of them are having children.

    You can either (try to) bring back the ban on contraception and divorce or you could try to fix issues like housing, childcare and work discrimination.

    But it may already be too late: the near-complete failure of China’s removal of the one child ban to raise their birth rates suggests that once people’s mindset has adapted to not having/wanting babies, it’s very hard to change that back.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,773 ✭✭✭smokingman


    This "replacement" theory of yours…

    Do tell us more and by the way, what's your favourite colour?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭BrianD3


    Of the people in my work circle, the majority who had children had them in their late 30s or older. Some of the men were in their 50s and women early-mid forties. When you start having children at this age, you'll be having one or two. As someone who was born into this scenario, the upside is that your parents will tend to be relatively financially comfortable but there are big downsides too. You can easily end up dealing with illness and death of parents before you've come close to establishing a career and life for yourself. This affects your own ability to have children.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,589 ✭✭✭Mr. teddywinkles


    Only here for procreation as a species. If ya don't you die out.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,243 ✭✭✭✭Pherekydes


    The population is increasing. Check the census figures for the last few.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,674 ✭✭✭wench


    Did your previous proposal to keep women back in the home, barefoot and pregnant, not catch on?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 707 ✭✭✭Confused11811


    We should encourage the right people to have children... that being workers, young working couples before they need IVF

    But that would take a major shift in several policies, the big issue is House prices. House prices are unsustainable, many working couple living with parents. They earn too much to get council properties or affordable property but have to save well into their 30's to get a house by which time fertility rates drops

    Recently in Dublin 2300 applied for 46 apartment's in Dublin for "key" workers. I'd love to see how many people who never contributed to society in a meaningful way got council property in Dublin areas that would be ideal for workers to live in.

    Young workers commute 100's of KM a day because they can only barely afford homes in Carlow and are stressed to bit saving to cover costs while planning for kids they can't afford. Or they are living in mum and dads box-room before taking on the lifetime commute.

    Young working people are screwed in this county, unfortunately they are not in a position to screw each other and make more future workers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,787 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    To maintain the population the birth rate has to be 2.3.

    We face a very challenging problem. What should we do?

    Invite Elon Musk here if he ever falls out with Trump. He'd have half the women of Ireland up the duff in jig time. Plus he could sort this out in his spare time



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,251 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    It's increasing but artifically so through the wholesale importing of refugees and asylum seekers who then (once they stay long enough and get citizenship - because that's all you need to do in this country!) bring the rest of the family with them.

    That's fine except that evidence elsewhere suggests that these refugees will be generally less productive than the locals and more likely to be a drain on the public purse than a benefit, and so while they may have more kids (as historically our own welfare class do), the natives who are paying for all this and struggling to provide for themselves never mind (potential) offspring are left behind.

    None of this matters of course if you are a globalist or see nationality and identity as a "bad thing" to be diluted in favour of the multiculturalism idea(l)/ideology, but even though this country is changing rapidly in the last 5/6 years in particular, it's not particularly for the better.

    Not all of that is the fault of inward migration of course, but the pressure it's putting on a society that was already unable (for various reasons) to deal with long-standing social, economic and infrastructural issues has been immense and the negative effects - division, polarisation, stretched resources and favouritism/bypassing of rules others must abide by, out-of-touch politicians playing to this demographic for kudos internationally rather than dealing with the aforementioned existing problems, etc etc - mean that the natives are even further discouraged to start families or even remain in the country in some/many cases.

    The problem now is that this shift is irrevesible and gathering pace thanks to short-sightedness, greed and inertia. In anoher decade or two many of us won't recognise the country we grew up in because of all of the above mentioned issues and problem that will be exacerbated as time goes on and the failure to properly address it when we had the chance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,387 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    We heard the same thing when the Polish started to arrive 25 odd years. It was nonsense then and remains so.

    The largest cohort of our Immigrants are Irish returning our 2nd are from the UK.

    Many of them 2nd and 3rd generation Irish.

    Our birth rate is above the EU average which is lower than historical primarily driven because women don't want to be treated like cattle anymore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 937 ✭✭✭JPCN1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,364 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    I know many people who would have loved to have a 3rd kid or more,

    But the expense of it

    Crèche can be more than a mortgage!

    Lack of parental sick days to cover the kids getting sick

    The price of just surviving, nevermind living is through the rough.

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,387 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    TBF to the past government they have invested a lot in subsidies for children, increasing children's allowance, pre school subsidies, free meals and books, etc. We also have pretty generous maternity and paternity leave. The pay rates maybe need to be looked at.

    We also have a work culture that is pretty sympathetic to time off in the main.

    More needs to be done, but that will probably require cuts elsewhere or a rise in taxation.

    There was always going to be a changeover from banning women from the Civil Service once they got married to where we are now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,056 ✭✭✭prunudo


    On the money as always.

    Young people need hope, they need to believe in having a future in the country. They need to believe home ownership or even long term affordable rentals are attainable. They need to see having a family isn't a burden. It's all about messaging and having achievable goals. Also the importance of family and roots in a community also need to be nutured.

    Personally think Ireland is lost, people have lost sight of what is important, family and health. Solve these issues and people will have more children.



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 7,410 Mod ✭✭✭✭cdeb


    Agree with this.

    The government's housing policy is a form of cultural genocide. If young people can't afford - or even find - a house, they're going to have fewer (if any) children. It mightn't lift the rate up to 2.1 (which is replacement, not 2.3) but it would certainly help.

    It's a quiet national scandal really. Killing culture in the name of multi-culturalism. You couldn't really make it up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,387 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The governments current housing policy is a direct result of a policy that helped bankrupt the state.

    It wasn't very long ago we were bulldozing housing estates.

    Now the main quick solution is to dismantle some of the guardrails that were put to place to prevent another bubble.

    And in some ways this is catered for in the current programme for government with more ambitious housing targets, to achieve these we will need workers from abroad willing to come here.

    But to call it "cultural genocide" is alarmist hyperbole.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,951 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    …patience op, just wait till a sh1te load of us start retiring, and we then end up with too many retirees in the country, compared to workers, then the fun will begin!

    …we re not gonna encourage people to have more kids, that ship has sank, the only real solution is immigration, but shur best of luck encouraging that one now!



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 7,410 Mod ✭✭✭✭cdeb


    But to call it "cultural genocide" is alarmist hyperbole.

    I don't agree. A policy which actively hinders people having kids and contributes to a culture dying out - what else would you describe it as?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,063 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    People point to housing, cost of childcare etc for a falling birthrate but while important I think it misses the main reason. Children are work, very hard work and to add to that massive expectations and requirements are placed on modern parents. It's not like years ago when parents could let children essentially rear themselves.

    Couples know that children place a massive burden and limitation on their own freedom. Even if the state provided completely free childcare, the birthrate would be much the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,773 ✭✭✭✭Grayson


    So what you're saying is that there will be no young people.

    Whereas what will really happen is that there will be slightly less young people. Because this isn't an extinction level event.

    BTW, for over a hundred years our population dropped until the 90's. And (un)surprisingly, we're still here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,056 ✭✭✭prunudo


    This is the messaging I'm talking about. We should embrace the positives children bring, not paint them as hard word and a negative. Our children and youth literally are our future, and we need to encourage that mindset.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,387 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Huh?

    The last policy saw mass emigration and mass unemployment, negative equity and bull dozing of housing estates.

    Also what culture?

    The only "Irish Culture" that seems to decreasing is drinking.

    What specific culture are you suggesting is dying?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,377 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    It is most definitely hyperbole. Claiming government policy is cause the drop in the birth rate is laughable. The birth rate has been falling for decades. How many kids do you have? you parents? Grandparents? For the vast majority, there's a significantly decline across those generations.

    Not only that, but a large part of the population growth is immigration. So you'd need to know rate among those the irish population to make and claims of irish cultural specifically.

     They need to see having a family isn't a burden.

    Or, and this might blow you mind, you need to see that having children is not an obligation.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 432 ✭✭CuriousCucumber


    I dont get this at all.

    My wife and I both work permanent jobs.

    We dont have any relations close by, that can help us on a regular basis

    We have 2 kids - 1 in creche and the other in afterschool.

    Both of these are massively subsidised by the government. Every year they seem to get cheaper. You just need to be organised when looking to get your child a slot.

    If the kids are sick, we take turns taking a day off of work.



Advertisement