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Ireland Team Talk XII: Farrell's First Fifteen

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Comments

  • Moderators, Arts Moderators Posts: 36,073 Mod ✭✭✭✭pickarooney


    You can compare players directly here, if stats are of interest to you. For the 2025 6N so far

    https://www.rugbypass.com/six-nations/stats/

    VDM has made 15 tackles with an 88% completion rate (1 dominant) compared to Lowe's 11 with a 52% completion rate (0 dominant). VDM makes more tackles per minute also.
    Lowe's rucking is better with 1 turnover to VDM's 0

    In terms of carries they're pretty much equal but VDM has beaten 14 defenders to Lowe's 6. VDM has 2 tries to Lowe's 1. Lowe beats VDM 4-1 in direct assists.

    Lowe is clearly the better player as regards kicking. 13 kicks from him so far and not a single kick from the Scot.

    Van der Merwe has been coming into the line, beating defenders and offloading (4, same as Lowe).

    in 2024 the two players had similar stats in defence. VFM 17 tackles, 61% success, Lowe 15 with 65% success.
    Similar story as 2025 in terms of carries. Roughly the same number and distance, with VDM beating 50% more defenders.

    43 kicks from Lowe to just 2 from VDM last year.

    Keenan v Kinghorn is a live debate for the 15 shirt. Kinghorn absolutely wipes the floor with Keenan in attacking stats (line breaks, carries, metres made, defenders beaten are all way higher), for a similar defense.

    Scotland carry the ball a lot more than Ireland (when you have a winger who can't kick it's kind of inevitable) so stats don't tell the full story but Keenan is absolutely not nailed on.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,651 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    MOD: ok, this is not a Lions thread, while I'm not going to shut down everything tangentially related to it when it comes to Irish players, let's keep that in mind.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,039 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Wouldn't have Ramos anywhere near the team. Keenan is miles as a FB, and I feel Ramos is anonymous at 10 at international level.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭HanShotFirst


    Ramos is their kicker and 15. Otherwise I would agree, Keenan is the better 15.

    Also agree Ramos at 10 is not in the same league as Ntamack but will be interesting if the French go all French and start Ramos at 10 and Leo Barre at 15 against us.

    6-2 with Ntamack and Le Garrec.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,039 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Barre is class, think he could be 15 for France for a long time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭HanShotFirst


    And Gailleton and Depoortère in the centres. Théo Attissogbé
    and Louis Bielle-Biarrey on the wings.
    Jegou and Auradou in the pack. Its scary how talented that vintage are.

    Nolann Le Garrec to help out if Dupont needs a rest.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,039 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    It's actually ridiculous that they don't run away with the 6Ns every year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,054 ✭✭✭ersatz


    It's extraordinary that they've won absolutely nothing with this team, shocking. In any other country the coaches would be toast.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭HanShotFirst


    Yet! Because our time is going to come to an end sooner rather than later. Look at the age profile of the squad. Allot of guys blooded by Joe Schmidt with Healy, Murray and O'Mahony from the stone age.

    Ireland is Dads army in comparison to the French. I think Ireland will win the Grand Slam but this is a purple patch.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,651 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Allot of guys blooded by Joe Schmidt

    It's about half the starting team and less of the bench

    Keenan, Nash/Hansen, Lowe, Prendergast/Crowley, Gibson-Park, Kelleher/Sheehan, Doris, McCarthy/Baird have all come in under Farrell. Basically the entire spine of the team.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭HanShotFirst


    Well they did win the Grand Slam in 2022!

    its the next generation that are truly special.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,054 ✭✭✭ersatz


    Right, one championship in 15 years. Thye've had the players to win most years during that period.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭HanShotFirst


    I know what it is.

    Bundee Aki

    Centre

    7 April 1990 (aged 34)

    62

    Ireland Connacht

    Rob Herring

    Hooker

    27 April 1990 (aged 34)

    42

    Ireland Ulster

    Finlay Bealham

    Prop

    9 October 1991 (aged 33)

    48

    Ireland Connacht

    Tadhg Beirne

    Lock

    8 January 1992 (aged 33)

    58

    Ireland Munster

    Iain Henderson

    Lock

    21 February 1992 (aged 33)

    85

    Ireland Ulster

    Jamison Gibson-Park

    Scrum-half

    23 February 1992 (aged 33)

    40

    Ireland Leinster

    James Lowe

    Wing

    8 July 1992 (aged 32)

    38

    Ireland Leinster

    Jack Conan

    Back row

    29 July 1992 (aged 32)

    48

    Ireland Leinster

    Tadhg Furlong

    Prop

    14 November 1992 (aged 32)

    78

    Ireland Leinster

    Josh van der Flier

    Back row

    25 April 1993 (aged 31)

    70

    Ireland Leinster

    Robbie Henshaw

    Centre

    12 June 1993 (aged 31)

    79

    Ireland Leinster

    Caolin Blade

    Scrum-half

    29 April 1994 (aged 30)

    3

    Ireland Connacht

    Garry Ringrose

    Centre

    26 January 1995 (aged 30)

    65

    Ireland Leinster

    Andrew Porter

    Prop

    16 January 1996 (aged 29)

    72

    Ireland Leinster

    James Ryan

    Count them (incl Healy, Murray and O'Mahony) and compare it to the French.

    Old by comparison.

    Which is the point I was making.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭HanShotFirst


    but it is more than "absolutely nothing"

    which is why the coach is not "toast"



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,651 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It is older yes, but the spine of the team isn't really that bad. Probably centre is the real issue, particularly outside centre, but Ringrose is the youngest of the "old" bunch there. There is quite a few young props who are on the precipice of coming through with Clarkon, Boyle, TOT etc.

    Also France keep losing, so it is hardly surprising that they bring in younger players more.



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭ [Deleted User]


    We'll be fine at outside centre…

    Hugh Gavin (21) has the promise to be a great outside centre. He needs a couple of seasons there to round out his game but he's already a huge attacking threat against good defenders.

    James Hume (25) was looking like an international centre before the injury problems. If Ulster can get him fully fit he'll be right back in contention.

    Jude Postlethwaite (22) shows a lot of promise and seems comfortable in either centre role.

    Tom Farrell (31) has probably missed his chance but I'm sure he'd do a solid job at international level if we had an injury crisis.

    Jimmy O'Brien (28) always looked like he could develop as an outside centre if needed even if he's played most of his rugby in the back three.

    Hugh Cooney (21) has lots of time to develop too.

    That's without digging down into the academies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,039 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    The player profile that produces backrow and centres seems to be one that we always have coming through in quality. Wingers and 2nd row are bit more scarce



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,570 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Are you talking about starting 15? VDF, Aki and Keenan are certainties to be there. Furlong hasn't been playing and if he doesn't then Bealham will be there. Henshaw is ahead of Ringrose in my opinion because he can play both 12 and 13 at a high level.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    @AbusesToilets Because they aren't as good as Ireland are, which has categorically been proven the last 2 times they've played.

    @Ersatz Not really, they are the second-best team in the tournament so have finished 2nd the last to years as expected.

    While good talent there, the vast majority still have ALOT to prove before they can be classified as "Scary"

    Keenan is a nailed-on starter, granted that doesnt necessarily mean he'll start at 15. Whatever the fans/media think about him, he's a coaches wet dream and cant see him ever being left out on form. If Kinghorn is seen as the better 15 I'm certain they'll stick Keenan in the 14 shirt or vice versa, Kinghorn has been playing on the wing for Toulouse a lot this season. The Right-wing position isn't the strongest position so could see a situation that both are put in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    Not sure I agree on 2nd row, granted the 2nd row is hard to predict for Ireland as many seem to be SR/6 hybrids these days.

    The wing I wonder could that also be an issue in regards to physical development. I just notice that for whatever reason a large portion of back three players we produce tend to have very bad injury records…compared to other positions at least and what we are seeing compared to the same players from other countries.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    Potentially 3 6N in a row (if we beat France) is a pretty long purple patch…the ironic part is it's clearly France who are going backwards…possibly the negative side of being early specializers that French/English players tend to be in rugby, i.e Better than average at a young age…but eventually it catches up with them and they end up being burnt out and past it by the time they reach their late 20s.

    No offence, but we've been hearing this for about 5 years now…nothing has happened…this was also said about the 2018/2019 generation and right now with most of those players between 25-27 i've yet to see what any of that is based on.

    I suspect its the same guff about the next generation also.

    Post edited by CalmaftertheGav on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 601 ✭✭✭johnh6767


    there are many from the 22 slam prospering already or have I got my year wrong?


    Sam Prendergast

    Gus McCarthy

    Brian Gleeson

    Diarmuid Mangan

    Fintan Gunne

    Hugh Gavin

    Hugh cooney

    Add in Henry McErlean who has been unlucky through injury I assume but clear talent, conor o tierneigh etc


    also France in retreat ???



  • Moderators, Arts Moderators Posts: 36,073 Mod ✭✭✭✭pickarooney


    Has anyone got anything to back up 'Keenan is nailed on' apart from him being Irish? I'm not saying he won't be picked or that I wouldn't pick him but you need reasons to pick player A over player B and, for all the tens of tedious pages of 'reasoning' people come up with for choosing a particular fly half, when it comes to Keenan and Lowe it's just not even worth discussing, they have to start?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    I was referring to France's 2018/2019 u20s. World Champions both times and were supposed to dominate World Rugby…it's been 5 years since we were told this and I'm still waiting…

    And yes, just look at France's results and performances…it's been a clear downward trend since 2022, a win over NZL last autumn has papered over ALOT of cracks that have been there since the RWC.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 343 ✭✭CalmaftertheGav


    He is nailed on; it's a pointless discussion.

    I have a great reason, he's the FB in the NH. Anyone who was in any doubt just watch the Scotland v Ireland game from a few weeks ago.

    Like I said in a previous post, if Kinghorn is selected it's almost certain that it's WITH Keenan rather than INSTEAD of Keenan as none of the RWC options are on the same level for me.



  • Moderators, Arts Moderators Posts: 36,073 Mod ✭✭✭✭pickarooney


    OK, if you don't want to discuss it, don't discuss it. Not sure of the point of responding just to say you don't want to respond.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,562 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    Two years ago, I’d have said Keenan was nailed on, now I’d rate him as “probable”. Kinghorn, M Smith could run him close.

    I don’t think anyone is in Lowe’s class, especially if Feyi Waboso is still out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,284 ✭✭✭Ben Bailey


    Yeah, I'd be interested in hearing why people declare him to be 'nailed on'. Arguably, his prominence derives mainly from playing with the best team in the 6N. Also arguably, Kinghorn's prominence derives mainly from his playing with the best team in European club rugby. For me, Keenan's form at Leinster + Ireland > Kinghorn for Toulouse + Scotland. But if I could have both in the same 15, I'd be tempted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,925 ✭✭✭Paul Smeenus


    I realise it would never even occur to you but there's also some Ulster players doing pretty well. One was a development player with the senior squad a few weeks ago.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,491 ✭✭✭All_in_Flynn


    Smith? At fullback? Whatever about Kinghorn being a possible challenger but what has Smith done to even be in the conversation at fullback?



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