Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

1880881883885886908

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,547 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    You missed a critical part of his post: the quotes around the word "single".

    I'm not suggesting it's true of all social welfare tenants but there are a significant number of families where (usually) the mother has a council tenancy, claims full benefits and the father who lives with them uses his parents address for all official correspondence while working or claims jobseekers as an individual (i.e. the full €244 a week instead of the dependent rate of €162).

    Yes, the councils send out rent assessment forms on an annual basis to try and determine who's actually living in the properties but they don't have anywhere near the resources to verify them with house-by-house checks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Free house and other payments for things like household bills like electricity/fuel etc. Those 2 alone rent/ESB would cost a very high % of their after tax wage and then the icing is the 244 a week plus children's allowance. Throw in medical/GP card. So if you have 2/3 kids it actually makes sense not to work as when you work you have expenses like travel, lunch, petrol, car etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Yeah but you need to look at what the average house price was, the average take home wage along with the average cost of the day to day bills was back then and compare to now. People have less disposable cash now in their 20s/early 30s than I did when I was 20 that was back in the late 90s early 00. This is forcing young people to live at home longer and/or to emigrate to a country where they can rent and live without the government fleecing their wage packet to pay for others who get things like housing handed to them for nothing. Our system is very unfair with regards to how much we get taxed and how low a rate our tax bands particular the higher tax bands kick in - Not to mention its not like they are spending it on public services or infrastructure as Ireland as this is way below where we should be when you factor in what the bog standard worker pays into the system.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    This is true.

    Taking my own parents as an example again, the house they bough in '88 was 22k. Using the CSO inflation tool, we can see that this is nowhere near the 700k price of the house today. Obviously the wages were lower too, but it is without question that housing relative to income is higher in 2025 than in the 80s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,256 ✭✭✭spillit67


    I think we are grossly exaggerating the situation for those in their 20s. It is actually those who came of age between say 2004 to 2014 that have been most screwed over.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,256 ✭✭✭spillit67


    The big difference is deposits. Interest rates made affordability narrower in the 1980s. Deposit sizes create a barrier to entry in the 2020s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,256 ✭✭✭spillit67


    This is gibberish. The State intervened with Rent Pressure Zones. Central Bank rules (who impact more than most on house buying) have the most impact on house prices outside of supply / macro demand factors. The CBI for years cheered in their briefing documents that they kept a lid on house prices when recovery was underway, juxtaposing us with international peers in terms of borrowing ability.

    I hate this sort of conspiratorial thinking. I do not think the government want a collapse in prices (and the reasons for that should be obvious, although I note lots would want it) but their key goal is to get more home ownership. That narrows the disaffected vote considerably.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    In 1990 the average price of a house was €60,000. In 1990 a new house cost 4.3 times the average industrial wage. Now median salary is roughly 45k and median house price is €350k, 7.77 times.

    https://www.independent.ie/sport/1990-the-past-is-a-different-country/31278717.html

    Yet some still say that all people have to do is knuckle down, cancel Netflix and don't go for brunch and you can get a house.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭The Student


    I am not sure you are comparing like with like. The houses nowadays are completed to a much higher standard (as a min) than they were when we purchased our homes. My first home did not have weather glaze windows, did not have a kitchen, did not have insulation, did not have central heating. Could you imagine suggesting this to people now? Remember everything that has to be paid for in the price of a new property.

    I never could afford holidays growing up, could not afford a car etc. Life is about choices very few people are in a position to have enough money to do what they want.

    if you want to purchase a property you have to make sacrifices. I remember when I was saving for a deposit I had to cut back on a lot to save my deposit. I remember friends of mine having similar sacrifices of no holiday, going out maybe once a week and a treat was a takeaway.

    Before you say things are different now both of my nieces purchased properties with their partners in the last 5 yrs and are not in very high paying jobs but made choices to save in order to purchase their properties. They lived at home until they could afford to purchase properties up to their mid 20's so it can be done, people just need to make choices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Someone on JSA of 244e a week will pay 39eur a week in rent for their social housing in DLRCOCO.

    Again, what exact sort of grand lifestyle do you think someone can live on 205euro total income a week?

    Take away even a comparatively cheap budget for bills, food, and transport and you'll have nothing left for disposable income to actually live a lifestyle on.

    An average single income earner earns a multiple of that, even after paying private rent.

    People working and stuck in their parents box room are stuck there because our government is building 30,000 housing units a year and letting our population grow at 100,000+ per year, not because a very small number of poor people are in social housing.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Thats a nice little rant but you didn't answer my question at all. You claimed "the benefit system gives you a better standard of living than working/bettering yourself does"

    So, again, how exactly do you think your quality of life would be better on an income of 244euro a week or worse than it is now?

    Because if thats the case it would suggest to me either you're earning almost nothing from your degree, masters and professional qualifications… or you were incorrect in your claim.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    if you want to purchase a property you have to make sacrifices. 

    Just as I said, some still say that all people have to do is knuckle down, cancel Netflix and don't go for brunch and you can get a house.

    As was stated in 1990 it was just over 4 times the median salary to buy a house, now it is just under 8 times. Very different times.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    It's not like-for-like, this is true. However, comparisons with the past never are. Obviously houses today are of a higher quality, but there nothing like that in the 80s, but that wasn't available in the 80s, so we have to take the average house then as an example to compare with what we have today.

    Please, don't misunderstand me. I'm not saying that the 80s was better than today; I'm merely pointing out that it was more possible to establish oneself in life and get on with things like a family.

    Regarding your nieces, I'm happy that they did this, and I myself managed to buy a house on a single income, so it's doable for some people. However, this doesn't change the fact that housing is becoming less affordable for younger generations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭Blut2


    But in reality the long term unemployment rate in Ireland is 0.90% as of 2024Q4. And I'd wager a good percetange of those are downright unemployable - think of the literally worst 1 in 100 kids in your school, or of people you'd meet on the street, and how they likely have/had actual mental problems.

    Which would suggest that the idea that large numbers of people are deciding to not work, because its better for them to sit on benefits, is a complete myth. The data says the complete opposite: almost everyone in this country chooses to work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72,807 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    People on JSA/JSB do not get any payments towards electricity or fuel.

    GP Visit card is available to many, many working families as housing, house insurance, childcare and commute costs count towards the calculation. Couple with three kids have a level of €778/week after allowable costs to qualify.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,329 ✭✭✭The Student


    Okay I will indulge you. I choose to better myself and not rely on welfare. I could not had bettered myself and worked a menial low paying job with no chance of betterment living pay cheque to pay cheque and not taking responsibility for me.

    I sacrificed my free time to better myself, it was not handed to me, which ironically the house I purchased in a desirable area has people who avail of HAP and welfare benefits because it does not make economical sense to work. Go figure! so now you have people (me) working in a role receiving a wage commensurate with my qualification and experience with some people living in the same area etc while not working.

    If we extend your argument to its conclusion then something is not adding up!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well you can call it what you want 75% of all 25 -30 year olds are living at home with their parents. Another % have left for pastures new so the figure being hit in this age bracket is scandalously high and not an exaggeration. At 25 most people will historically be finished college and would be working in a decent job or they would of done an apprenticeship or been in say a bank the public sector for 6/7/8 years now and historically that was the age where the chicks leave the nest. So there is no exaggeration at all about it. There is also things like the uptick in divorce where people were secure as a couple financially and a breakup means your means are halved as in what you have at your disposal and half a house if you were lucky to buy one with your partner and bills to pay and it gets even more expensive when kids are involved typically one or both in this couple in this scenario will have no choice but to move back home with their parent for a stint to try and save and get back on the property ladder as a single person or wait to partner up again which is going to take time. Having said that typically the parent who takes the kids could give up work and apply for a house so the state is stepping as the baby daddy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Blut I have 2 nieces who do it. Clondalkin heads one has 4 kids 2 different daddies the daddy she is with now is not with her on paper but lives with her and she gets everything off the state and he has his wage coming on top. So to say its just that kid in the class going no where is wrong there is a litany of abuse of our welfare system going on you only have to look at how many billion we spend on it and there is no way for the welfare system to crack down on this even a visit from someone from social welfare the dad simply has to say I over visiting my kids.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    According to our welfare site they can get fuel allowance

    https://www.citizensinformation.ie/en/social-welfare/unemployed-people/jobseekers-allowance/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72,807 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    In specific circumstances that most people on JSA don't meet (and it's not given on JSB) don't meet. It's also a part time payment that doesn't come close to covering costs.

    You are basically making up a set of numbers you think people are getting in supports that they simply aren't; and using that to make your invalid comparison.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,108 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I didnt say they would live like a king, I said they were better off than an average salaried single earner; and they are.

    Someone earning 45k and paying the top rate of income tax would take home 3.1k at best, if they made no pension contributions at all.

    Once they have paid the 2.5k rent, they are left with 600 euro to live off for the month; thats less than the 800+ euro the JSA tenant will have to spend, after they have paid their rent.

    I agree that we need to build more housing and I dont begrudge the social tenant being housed on the dole at all; but I do feel sorry for the single worker on an average salary, as I said in my original post.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,256 ✭✭✭spillit67


    Those “stats” are nonsense. It is based on an E.U. survey. The CSO shows half of adults are out of home by 24. 1 in 5 of 30 year olds live at home. I can’t understand how people don’t sense check these “reports” by just looking around...it is quite clearly utter nonsense to suggest 75%.

    Similarly this stuff about the poor creatures forced to Australia. They are going for a piss up and to live with friends, same as they have ever done. Net “Irish” migration last year was less than 0.1% of the population (less than 5k) and yet we have people claiming these people are akin to those forced by the Famine and the regular recessions to the 1980s and the post GFC lot.

    Come on ffs, it isn’t “exaggeration”, it’s just gibberish. People who swallow this stuff amaze me.

    Housing has quite clearly gotten worse, but the point here is that your average 23 year old is in a far better position today than someone who was say 23 in 2010.

    In 2010 you were fortunate to have a job, with a huge percentage on enforced economic migration (and the Stats actually bear that out, with 8 to 9 times the level of net migration as of today). Having a job, let alone buying a house was a bit of a punchline back then.

    For that 23 year old, they endured either migration or significantly eroded earnings for many years. Sure there might have been some cheaper rent for a few years if they hung on, but savings were a bigger challenge as incomes were suppressed and taxes higher. They then ran straight into rapidly increasing rent in the mid 2010s, at a period in their late 20s when many are starting to look at marriage et al. And moreover, the borrowing rules were 3.5x and deposits 20%. There was no Help to Buy. Rent controls came too late.

    For a 23 year old today, sure renting might be initially a bigger challenge. But it is not insurmountable. You can rent and you can get places (economic migrants here are far worse off in terms of access to housing) after a time. There is a strong jobs market with good salaries and significantly lower taxes, allowing for higher savings rates. And you can look ahead to the option of Help to Buy. It is still not amazing and needs to he better but they are much better shape than the previous generation.

    The depressing thing really is that the 23 year old of 2010 may well still be at home now that they are nearly 40.

    Save me this weird narrative about 25 year olds that keeps getting pushed…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,256 ✭✭✭spillit67


    Ireland also has a disproportionate disability rate based on our demographics. That’s the hidden long term unemployed, those who find ways to exit the labour market.

    Agreed it is likely no more than a few % at most. Most people are not lazy.

    It is a thing though and there is no harm in it being pushed from time to time.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,665 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Save me this weird narrative about 25 year olds that keeps getting pushed…

    Well said, it's extraordinary how this has taken over.

    In the 2020 election, campaign and PFG, apart from getting building numbers up, the clear No 1 housing priority was tackling the rising homeless figures.

    By the time of the 2024 election homeless figures had surged by 50% to record highs, but a lot less discussion about it and instead everybody was talking about the scourge of young adults living with their parents.

    We've normalised homelessness and hyperbolised living with parents.

    No better example of this than Simon Harris' weird fixation with box rooms.

    In his inaugural speech as FG leader he said "And I want your parents to know we will move mountains to get the children out of the box room and into a home of their own".

    And yesterday answering questions in the Dail, he ignored the point on homelessness and instead stressed the importance on getting people "out of the box rooms in their mums' and dads' homes"

    What on earth does he think is happening? Are all these mums and dads kicking their kids out of their childhood bedrooms and sticking them in the attic?

    It's all very strange.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    If you get housed for free in social house. It's worth over a million euro, after tax. That's the reality... that would apply to many of the luxury apartments, they are currently giving out...

    You're far better off here, living off welfare here and earning cash. Unless you're a high earners and the vast majority aren't and won't be...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Can we get evidence of the reality of it being worth over a million after tax?

    Can't imagine a social house in Tullamore or majority of the country being worth that. Oh look here's evidence to prove it's not true, average price of €300k for the house, bit off your over a million theory.

    https://www.offalyexpress.ie/news/tullamore-tribune/1589666/nineteen-homes-available-in-new-offaly-social-housing-scheme.html

    If we take the median price of a house in Ireland last year, it was €330k.

    Why bother spouting this easily disproved nonsense?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    If it were me, screwed by this **** show w and family didn't have land to let me build a garden room. I'd buy a tiny bit of agricultural land and house myself or buy a total ruin of a house for a pittance and sort the issue that way



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Whatever about a million, but this ignores that most of the population have a marginal tax rate of 48.1%.

    If you were working, renting and paying tax. And your employer or a stranger decided they were going to outright buy you a €330k house. They would need to give you €635k.

    A 330k house is equivalent to €635k of additional pre tax income for most of the population.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    Presume it's the interest on most people's mortgages being included.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    This may work for some people, but not everyone. Living rural is very impractical in many ways.



Advertisement