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Is Elon Musk hurting Tesla? (Mod Note Post #1)

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Comments

  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Regional East Moderators Posts: 8,262 Mod ✭✭✭✭liamog


    Mod Note: Posts brought in from online reaction to some of the reviews of Model Y refresh, keep the model threads clean



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,729 ✭✭✭CMOTDibbler


    I haven't seen any talk of tariffs being walked back. He's been threatening the EU and China as recently as a few days ago.

    I really hope he does though. It's very much a case of be careful what you wish for. The income from them is derisory, but the internal effects can be massive. The law of unexpected consequences loves tariffs.

    Not sure how it will affect Tesla though. I would imagine there's a fair amount of imported content in their cars.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,658 ✭✭✭yagan


    I never paid much attention to the guy until the whole Twitter fiasco. When I read up about it it really was him being forced to buy it because he had a brainfart. The fact that he used his ownership to unblock himself from his ex wife account tells all I need to know, he's not well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Well it was a day 1 promise which didn't happen, so apparently that counts as a walk back

    Folks in his administration are saying that it's more of a threat to get other nations to play ball. Of course they're only really guessing because who knows what will happen next

    I wonder what would happen to Tesla if the US goes ahead and puts tariffs on EU made cars. Presumably the EU will retaliate in kind

    Tesla have the factory in Germany but could face retaliatory tariffs in some other way

    Or maybe the EU will just make everyone's lives better and ban Twitter and Facebook

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Oh yeah, I can't see how anyone looks at him nowadays and says "that's a perfectly sane and well adjusted person"

    At Trump's rallies he looks like he's been awake for 4 days and running about two 8 balls of coke an hour the whole time

    Definitely the kind of person you'd trust with several multi billion dollar companies as well as a whole government department 😏

    If he was working in McDonald's, he'd be on cleanup the whole time because no-one would trust him to use the fryer or grill without melting someone's face off

    Luckily for him, he's managed to unlock the cheat code (being rich and famous) that let's you do anything you want in life

    So yeah, the rest of us get to be the NPCs in a game of GTA V 😬

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,658 ✭✭✭yagan


    I like that Tesla made evs cool looking considering the Nissan leaf and Chevy bolt were the mass market ev leaders, but even atheistically his Cybertruck was as much a sign of his mental unravelling.

    I don't know exactly why but when I saw pics of the ex army guy who killed himself in his Cybertruck outside a Trump hotel it just seemed prophetic. I believe that he was a Trump supporter too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,001 ✭✭✭sk8board


    Looking at the comments flooding Jupiter reviews, It feels like the initial online vitriol/anger against musk has now moved to comedy - which is actually worse, as it means people don’t care any more, and buyers not caring anymore can really hurt a brand.

    “I’ve paid €45k for a maga hat” 😬 🤦‍♂️



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,192 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    I wouldn’t really call them “reviews”. None of them have actually drive the car, have they? Even Carwow just got to sit in it.

    I’d hold judgement until a drive and wouldn’t take the reviews from internet idiots that post the same stuff on the VW, Cupra, BYD, Hyundai pages anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,763 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    The thing about Tesla is, much like VW and Ford, the car brand will likely be around for a lot longer than their nutjob CEO will be.

    Investors are fickle and as soon as Musk crosses a line, and there is a line, and he will eventually cross it, they'll pull out, share prices will tumble and he will be given his marching orders.

    So, long term, I think that Musk will be gone from Tesla. It could take a long while, but it will happen. When it does happen, Tesla will be like any other car brand whose current CEO's name the vast majority of people won't know and won't care about



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,729 ✭✭✭CMOTDibbler


    The other thing that could affect share price is if the market decides that Tesla is a car company and not a tech company. There are good reasons for it being considered the latter, mainly because its early share price growth most resembled a tech company's and it was being valued highly despite not making profits.

    On the flip side, the share price growth has stalled and even reversed at some stages, but those reversals were halted and turned around by factors that weren't related to its products and more to do with what Musk has announced or (more recently) his involvement with Trump. But there's only so much vapourware announcements he can make before the market decides to realign its price with reality.

    It won't change anytime soon though. His involvement in the government puts him in a unique position to manipulate the market in his favour.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,763 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    I believe the market 100% considers Tesla to be a car company. The only car company to actually make a profit from its electric car sales would make its share price go nuts.

    There is a belief that when the government incentives for EVs end Tesla will be the only one left standing as none of the others can sell at a profit

    But putting all that to one side, Musk will eventually cross a line, Tesla shareholders will force him out, share price will be fluid for a few months before leveling out and the new CEO will be a largely unheard of figurehead.

    As it currently stands he has very little to do with the day-to-day running of the company so the company will survive long after that event



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,729 ✭✭✭CMOTDibbler


    But for a long time it wasn't making a profit from its car sales. It's well documented that it was carbon credits and subsidies that made up the profits. And the share valuation is way above that of a normal car company. Tesla's market valuation after the election was equal to half the global car industry. That's a nuts valuation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    I'm not sure Tesla is the only car company making a profit from their EVs anymore

    VW said back in 2019 they'd be making a profit off every ID car sold and that has likely held true through the years. Battery costs have come down a lot so even with price cuts they're probably still making moncosts

    Chinese brands are likely making money, but they get huge government subsidies anyway. It's easier to turn a profit when your factory is free of charge

    I suspect a few US based models are losing money, like the F150 Lightning. That's probably as much down to getting their demand forecast wrong than actual EV costs

    If anything, it'll probably make the mainstream manufacturers focus on ICE more and slow their EV plans. This could seriously harm Tesla overall with a combination of possibly cheaper petrol and a general perception that EVs aren't growing in market share

    Elon is either thinking that there'll be some demand pickup for Tesla, or he doesn't care anymore

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    I definitely agree that without Tesla we'd still be looking at the Gen 1 Leaf as the pinnacle of EV technology

    Elon was no doubt instrumental to this, giving EVs the image of being cool

    Nowadays he's giving the image of someone who gives a Nazi salute at a US presidents inauguration. Arguably not the best image except to the most hardline MAGA supporters

    I know that a lot of folks don't let politics enter into their buying decisions, but that position is probably getting stretched to the breaking point now for a few folks

    He's outlived his usefulness to Tesla IMO

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Written back in 2023 when battery prices were through the roof. Now they've come down a lot, I'm not sure that's true anymore

    VW's profit margin has always been on the low end but the company survived regardless. Like I said the effect would be to slow EV investment and rollout more profitable ICE cars

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,192 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    Agree, but well passed the 2019 figure you quoted and they were still just about making it.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/sep/04/volkswagen-has-a-year-maybe-two-to-turn-around-financial-chief-warns

    https://www.carscoops.com/2024/10/vw-profits-drop-42-as-company-notes-industry-wide-buyer-reluctance-to-evs/

    There's no doubt they'll survive, in what guise, i don't know and to what extent of government support if any. Thy buried their heads at the start and then made a slight mess of the ID4, especially the early models. They should have been well established by now, but in fairness they have the legacy Irish support, dealer network that a generation likes (although it can take months to get an appointment). They are still No. 1 or fighting for No. 1 in Ireland and i cant see that changing anytime soon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,001 ✭✭✭sk8board


    ah come on gumbo, this is completely different.

    I’ve never seen such a ratio of views to comments - but no one seems to be angry any more; all of them are mocking and comedic in their nature. It’s brand kryptonite.

    Richard Simon’s covered it a week or so ago too and had 1500-2000 comments, and most of his viewers are fans and owners, but 99% was negative sentiment, most comments were measured, not raving lunatics.

    At the end of the day, European deliveries of Tesla this year will be a simple measure of how much he’s affecting Tesla’s business.

    In 2024, Tesla Europe deliveries were down 11% versus 2023, and market share was down from 18% to 16%.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,192 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    Quote the comments on BYD, VW, BMW EV videos too. All the same crap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,729 ✭✭✭CMOTDibbler


    I don't think that's relevant here. We're comparing Tesla with Tesla and how opinion seems to have shifted. Whether that translates into sales figures or not remains to be seen.



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,192 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    I was replying to another poster that brought the other brands into the conversation. So all good.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,729 ✭✭✭CMOTDibbler


    I think that was you, to whom he replied without mentioning those other brands that I can see?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,658 ✭✭✭yagan


    I can appreciate that Tesla could well carry on without musk, but the way he's engendering far right fascism in the US and afar makes me very weary of the Tesla logo being adapted by fascists as a new swastika.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Regional East Moderators Posts: 8,262 Mod ✭✭✭✭liamog


    I'd be very surprised if that happened to be honest, the spaces Tesla operate in do not alighn with a lot of the apparent values that most those groups seemingly support. I think Tesla becomes sidelined for Musk instead of his primary brand.

    I can imagine X becoming the symbology, as both the social network formally known as Twitter and SpaceX are more palatable.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,192 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    The problem there is if he ruins SpaceX. SpaceX has potential.

    X is a cess pool. Just flick the switch on that now and get rid of it!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,003 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Couldn't agree more, he can keep the fake content generator and brain chip animal cruelty companies as well

    Regarding X, I would go a step further and say that closed source recommendation algorithms should just be outright made illegal. It's been shown that Facebook has always biased towards more right wing content and Youtube isn't much better, X is probably just the most blatant of them (except perhaps TikTok)

    It isn't a surprise, these platforms survive off clickbait and nothing baits better than outrage, and nobody does outrage better and alt right trolls

    It's high time that when users are presented with something "based on their preferences" they should be easily able to see why the platform came to that conclusion

    Or just opt out of the recommendations entirely like Mastodon

    Of course the platforms would never agree to that because it would expose their biases

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,658 ✭✭✭yagan


    It is fair to say that a lot of his fan base from ten years ago will not be following him towards fascism, but I can imagine there's a lot of highly functioning types being taken in with his fascist role playing.

    A century ago household names like Lindburgh and Kellogg became big fans of eugenics.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,192 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    Hard to tell. Impossible to tell.

    But many people like the cars, don't care enough about him or what he does. So may not follow him anywhere.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,658 ✭✭✭yagan


    Plus Tesla isn't unique anymore, there's loads more competition so more reason to go elsewhere, especially existing Tesla owners.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,729 ✭✭✭CMOTDibbler


    This for me would be the biggest danger he's exposing Tesla to.



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