Election to be called Fri - predict outcome

Satisfied with the results in my cons(Kildare North). As i predicted(and voted), Farrelly, Lawless and Naoise will all take or have taken a seat. And as L10 predicted it would mean Durkan would lose his seat.

Great results for Soc Dem, but who knows if they'll be given the opportunity or indeed their members vote to go in to government.

FF will likely have a 10 seat lead over FG i believe? If so, that could mean we don't get the rolling Taoiseach nonsense, well you'd hope anyway

It was a pity he got a seat. Pity he didn't go out like all the other Greens. Useless in government. Hope they never make it back again.

If Coppinger & Currie are getting elected ahead of you, i think it says more of the quality of candidates as a whole, more than anything else.

Jack Chambers saying a new government won't be formed before Christmas. What a farce.

Nothing will be done until mid January.

He'll be the new Brid Smith, someone who appears on every panel unfortunately. I wouldn't mind if it was A N Other Green, but not this fella

McGahon eliminated. The electorate doing what Harris hadn't the balls to do and cost his party a lot of their lead in the polls in what has to be one of the worst campaigns in modern history.

To be fair Harris couldn’t win there

Alienating an organisation in Louth was not an option

'Fair' my eye.
McGahon's running mate had no such fears.
Quite clear they hoped to sneak that one in under the radar and got caught like a rabbit in the headlights. Same with the O'Brien debacle.

Hadn't the balls or the nous to get ahead of those issues and it cost them. Add the PR disasters and it was a shocking campaign and I am sure there are angry seatless FGers because of it.

Bacik sounding a bit more desperate now that it's clear FF and FG have a lot of options for forming a government unlike 2020. Still talking about a left alliance even though that would make them an even less appealing prospect for government.

While the prospect of keeping the Soc Dems and Labour out of government is nice, I'd be worried about the promises required to get some of the independents on board. Constituency bribes are unfortunately inevitable, but that won't be enough for some independents who will want to see things like limits on Dublin Airport and who want less investment in infrastructure in Dublin.

II do not have a whip on many issues - if they go in as a partner it will be a hilarious government term.

Herding cats comes to mind

Ivana bacik desperately wants to be in govt even if her labour peers don't want to after having seen the Greens get annihilated (see AORs statement over weekend). I could see Bacik dragging the party into govt and fulfilling the lifecycle of the labour party (rebuild, political mudguard, destruction, rebuild)

Independent Ireland won't get near government. Their anti abortion, immigration and vaccination stances are too much of a liability.

They seem pretty anti taxation too.

If Soc Dems aren't in the next Government they have a real opportunity over the next few years to become a force in Irish politics. A lot of the elected TD's are young and if they don't go any way radical, they could have a bright future.

They need to concentrate on giving everyone a chance to vote for them. No candidate in Cavan Monaghan for instance.

She won't need to. As it stands FFG have 79 seats, 9 more gives them a majority

Constituencies still in play

Cork North Central is gone to a recount to determine if Mick Barry (PBP) or Eoghan Kenny (LAB) will take a seat so no difference to be made

Tip North - Ryan O'Meara of FFG likely to +1

Cavan-Monaghan - Barring a disaster Brendan Smith and Niamh Smyth of FFG should take seats so likely +2

Louth unless the FFG transfers go to an indie (highly unlikely) there will be 2 FFG elected so likely +2

Kildare North - there's only 3 FFG candidates and one SF left for the remaining 4 seats. FFG is most likely +2 here as well

So that's another 7 seats, now they're just 2 short of a majority, make a deal with the Healy-Raes or even just consider their gene pool candidates and they're home

My advice - buy a health insurance plan unless you want to die in a public hospital over the next 5 years and if you've not already bought a home make sure your childhood room is decorated nicely