Election to be called Fri - predict outcome

Yes, but even without this problematic state construction company, the current government's house building output is actually falling this year. Why are they not being challenged on this and their unrealistic future building forecast figures?

This is great, thanks for sharing. What does IEP stand for?

Remember before betting any money on these (if that's the plan) the creator of these admits they are just a bit of fun and our system makes it almost impossible to predict with any accuracy.

Irish Election Projections. guy on X who uses a model he's developed, more projections based on polling data rather than predictions as such.

It always amazes me that SF need to prove something to voters while the civil war parties can get away with much less baked plans

Fixing the 80,000 deficit and building 60k homes a year are 2 forks of the same issue. An issue caused by FFG let's not forget

Harris was being fact checked live during the debate on his bluff and spin. Here he is being fact checked again on this. A bewildering neglect by a government that claims to care, at a time when we have never been wealthier.
As has been said, it is all about the choices you make, and this is a scandalous and heartless choice.

Not immediately like next year? I think they want to incrementally build towards that figure by 2030

I have to say it’s a tall order if there’s a trump shock but it’s only an increase of 12k houses per year if 40k are hit next year

Back when SF were riding high in the polls,they were saying it was going to take 2 terms to implement stuff

That’s back when they thought they had no way out of being the government this election

We don’t hear as much or any of that lately for obvious reasons

I'm so undecided, thinking now of giving sf a vote, the place is a joke any way. That's ffg fault... if sf bring it crashing down, it could have positive outcomes…

Often times, things have to get worse, before they can get better ....

SF are the only ones who have based their plans on getting banks to lend as far as im aware.

This is true, mainly because no other party, large or small, has a plan

SF, FF and FG have promised the same target, an average of 60,000 a year over the next 5 years. Whoever forms the next govt they won't be getting 60,000 next year

With a 12-18 month lead time on average at best we are looking at 40,000 next year in 2025, which means (back of a fag box calculation) we would need 50k in 2026, 60k in 2027, 70k in 2028 and 80k in 2029

It's an absolute mountain for any govt to achieve because of the situation FFG created

Simon is right now on the canvass in Louth and says he 'hasn't decided yet' if he will canvass with McGahon.

Had ample opportunity to get ahead of this debacle but hasn't a clue how to, decisive leadership?

The banks have not said either way. Therefore it is a porkie to claim they have said they won't. The Journal ran a fact check on this:

The facts: The verdict here is something of a mixture: McDonald is right to say the BPFI has never said it wouldn’t lend to people, but it has never said it would either.

To muddy things further, the BPFI has expressed some reservations about the idea (without saying what they are), but also said it would be open minded about any ideas to ramp up homeownership with a future Government. 

For context, Sinn Féin’s plan proposes that the State would continue to own the land a house is built on, while there would be conditions on the sale and rent of the property.

Fianna Fáil in particular has repeatedly claimed that banks and the BPFI have expressed scepticism about the plan, though Sinn Féin has retorted that the BPFI have told the party there are no major issues with it.

The claim and counterclaim came up early in the campaign, when The Journal sought a statement from the BPFI.

The federation said that the BPFI met with Sinn Féin for a “preliminary discussion” about the plan and “identified a number of issues that would require further consultation in order to enable lenders to provide mortgage finance”.

It said this only related to “some elements of their plan” but they did not say which, adding that the BPFI was committed to working with “any future government to improve the supply of housing in Ireland”.

It isn't the banks role to underwrite or criticise political plans and I reckon they won't say anything on it until it is an actual proposal from a govenment.

The plot thickens as they say.
If true, it's exactly what you would say if trying to get a story pulled.

a Part 8 is planning permission.

The poster appeared to be suggesting that because SF will not be relying on Part 8s, they won't have the same problem building houses.