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USA 2024 presidential election

17173757677

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,399 ✭✭✭lukin


    I think a lot of people in Ireland support Trump because they actually believe him when he says he will end the Ukraine war single-handedly and then all the Ukrainians living here will go home and free up accommodation for Irish people .

    He will do no such thing of course, no more than Harris would if she had won.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Each other they are trying to impress, not the voters.

    Post edited by Danzy on


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,656 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    That depends on your definition on 'respect and compassion'. If it's "you be you and I won't think less of you for it", that's one thing. But when people are reading things like "California bans schools from telling parents if their kids want to be addressed by different pronouns", that is going to raise eyebrows for a lot of otherwise pretty tolerant people who don't think the State should be overriding parental concerns. "The government should know more about your kids than you" isn't a good look in a lot of circles.

    The issue of the practical effect is something else. For better or worse, we have had a global culture for a few thousand years of segregation of the sexes. No mixed bathrooms and showers. Men's vs Womens' disciplines in sport, even in competitions where there is nothing physical like chess, though chess does have an 'open' category which doesn't discriminate. Suddenly this is being upturned over a couple of years by legislative fiat concerning an ethereal concept , and some people expect that to go well with the voters?

    That's before you get to the philosophical issues. We're being told that sex and gender aren't the same thing, yet there is a great level of overlap. What do the sports federation use as their determinant? Why do we separate the sexes in sport anyway? If everything is fluid, just abandon the categories. Some women are naturally born with genetics, even if somewhat masculine, which make them more competitive than other women. Is that not the same as a person born male courtesy of the genetics even if they are 'in identity' female? Sucks to be the woman born in a woman's body without good physical genes if your dream is to be a world-class-swimmer, no? But there is no 'natural right' to be competitive. If your genes just came out 'wrong', find a different activity to do.

    Maybe these are troglodytal, uncompassionate things to wonder, but that people are wondering it is a fact, and their concerns have not been addressed. Some of the concerns are physical. "Why have a girls' competition when born males are allowed?" Some are more privacy based. "Sorry, I don't want a born male to share the shower with my daughter on the basis of nothing more than 'I identify as…'" And the response is "you're transphobic. TERF" without even validating that they may have some concerns? That's not going to go well. Or more accurately, it hasn't gone well.

    I would submit that there is a distinction between 'calling out' fascists and racists, and 'opposing' fascists and racists. One is useful, the other is not. I don't know if you ever watched the "Jonathan Pie" rant from eight years ago when Trump won the first time, but his statement "throwing insults doesn't work any more" is every bit as valid then as it is now.

    "He's a fascist". "OK, but he's still going to get the trains to run on time." "But he's a fascist" "You said that. I need a reliable public transportation system to get to work, and it's not bloody working right now as it is. He's at least validating my concerns". "But fascist". "I heard you. He's talking about what I think is important." "Not being fascist is important!" "Yes. But I still need to get to work on time… Give me a non-fascist option which is going to fix it."

    The bottom line is that if you want to stop a fascist from being in control, you need to give people a reason to vote for the person who isn't fascist, and saying "I'm not a fascist" isn't good enough. Should it be? Maybe, but the reality is it isn't.

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/10/politics/democrats-election-party-future-voters/index.html

    Pick one word to describe Republicans and Donald Trump, the focus group moderator asked, and one word to describe Democrats and Kamala Harris.

    “Crazy,” said the White woman in her 40s, who hadn’t gone to college. Then: “Preachy.”

    The focus group organized by Harris supporters in western Pennsylvania, not long after the presidential debate in September, was made up of a dozen people who voted for Trump in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020 but who were undecided this time, except for being sure that they’d vote.

    Sure. Let's vote for the "Preachy" one because they're preaching the sins of fascism. Not because they provide a better practical outcome for my family, because they're not talking about it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,013 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I'd counter that the perceived issues with respect to trans rights are entirely out of whack with any real world impact. Which side speaks on the issue relentlessly? Is the trans community out agitating constantly for favorable treatment, or is it the right media demonizing them. The bill you reference in California is in direct response to fears that LGBT kids would be targeted or felt unsafe because state governments or their conservative families looking to intrude into their life. If a parent doesn't know that their kid wants to be called by a different name, or a different gender, I think that says a lot more about their failings as a parent.

    To your second point, I disagree that the left is making a mistake by insulting Trump supporters. Why is there an onus on them to maintain some higher form of conduct and discourse when the whole zeitgeist of the right is denigration in the most vile terms? If someone doesn't like being called a Nazi, maybe they ought to stop being one. I don't see a distinction between different types of Trump voters. I'm not going to let folks dissemble by turning a blind eye to the racism and violence that he pushes, by claiming some other anondyne reason for supporting him like the economy.

    If someone being a fascist, racist, criminal and rapist isn't enough to dissuade a person from voting for Trump, it's not really worth wasting time on a conversation. Judge a person by the company they choose to keep, as they say in the service. I choose not to keep company with fascists.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,656 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    It's all very well having your standards and imploring voters not to associate with fascists but now the people (I presume) you are supporting have the moral high ground while the people you do not support have the White House, Senate and quite possibly the House of Representatives. One is slightly more impactful on all our futures than the other. A refusal to engage voters on their terms (regardless of your personal preferences) concedes a large part of the fight to the opposition.



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  • Posts: 248 ✭✭ [Deleted User]


    What you call "Christian Nationalism" is the Catholicism that sustained generations of your ancestors until the Land of Saints and Scholars unfortunately became the hell we now live in in modern Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,880 ✭✭✭Dick phelan


    I expect very little in my own or the vast majority of Irish people's lives will change. The sky didn't fall down when he was in for 4 years, it didn't drastically if at all improve in Bidens years and it probably won't change much in the next 4. Honestly people worry too much about this buffoon worried he will do X, Y and Z, why didn't he do it 4 years ago then?.

    Maybe we should take a leaf out of the American book and worry more about ourselves and what direction our country is going on. As for complaining about him bringing back the multinationals to America, I doubt it happens on any large scale, but if it did he would only be doing what every US president has said they'd do in my lifetime.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,220 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    So when they go low, go lower?

    Not sure, dropping standards expected would benefit society in the short or long run.

    And that aside, if they did that, and lost, the narrative would be they shouldn't have changed their principles.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,656 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    No, you are completely missing my point.

    People who want to vote for a fascist, racist, misogynist or whatever because the person they are voting for is a fascist, racist, misogynist or whatever are a lost cause. There is no point in even trying to compete for them, and there is no need to worry about a "race to the bottom" or for Democrats to compromise their values. Fortunately, I think it is generally accepted that the amount of people who will vote for a person on that basis are neither swingable nor particularly numerous.

    However, expecting the opposite, for people to not vote for the fascist, rapist, misogynist or whatever just because the person they might vote for is a fascist,rapist, misogynist or whatever, doesn't work. Very evidently it doesn't work, we just had conclusive evidence of this a few days ago. Voters obviously have more important criteria to worry about.

    Engage on those criteria. Have a bit of empathy (not necessarily sympathy) for them. Make them feel validated. "OK, I understand where you are getting this idea on (insert topic here), but here is why our proposal is actually better". Or at least "OK, we may never meet on this issue, but here's this other more important issue perhaps you might have missed and let me explain why it is important".

    "They are bad and you are bad for considering voting for them" is not going to convince anyone. When has anyone ever been convinced by being talked down to?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,322 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    That is electioneering.

    True, many say tariffs and the like will increase inflation, but that is after the fact, that many blame Biden for the existing cost of living issues, while under Trump they were better off.

    I am just telling you why he won.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,322 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    If this is true, why did the working class turn out to vote for him, given he was already president?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,462 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    They voted for him in their droves because they were better Off under trump V1.0. Despite all the fancy left leaning economists in the public sector telling them otherwise. It’s fairly simple really- record inflation has decimated spending power and living standards. Harris/Biden presided over this and were made own it by the electorate



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,220 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    They were better off under Trump V1.0 because of Obama's economy, or tell us in as specific a way that you can, what Trump did to create the positive environment.

    Here's something else for you to consider, without looking at the timeline, see if you can guess when the last 2 GOP Presidents left office.

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,013 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    One of the main failures Harris made was chasing Republican voters. I don't think the Democrats should expend any energy chasing their support. I would agree, however, that she ought to have ran on a more progressive platform. Sanders showed that there's huge support for populist social policies, which the DNC of course, absolutely hate



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,220 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I'm kind of frustrated that a defeat for the Democrats is met with calls for them to change to meet the lost voters but in 2020, when Biden won, the call was for Biden to cross the aisle so to speak to appeal to GOP members and supporters. (Which he did, for what it was worth).

    I've said it on here that I feel Trump won because sufficient people who were sexist, racist or ignorant voted for him. And I stand by that. What I'm not saying is that all supporters are all of these things. I'm not saying that at all. And even of the number who do fall in to this category, I'm still not saying that all these people are all these things.

    And of this group, whatever size it actually is, the biggest number of people who hold a particular trait is those who are ignorant. And again, to qualify, I'm not saying stupid, I'm saying ignorant. And by that I mean those that incorrectly blame Biden/Harris for things that are simply not their fault. Inflation can be influenced by Presidential decisions in some ways, but the US inflation experience of the last 4 years matched all major economies worldwide and in fact performed better than those. That is a message that never was taken on by Trump supporters who may have crossed the line, but the information was there. Biden was, and was seen as a strong Union supporter. His administration provided college debt relief to 5M people. One of Harris' policies was a commitment to build millions of promises (campaign trail promise maybe, of course but it was there). US oil production is greater now than under Trump. Trump did a photo-op at a McDonalds but when asked if he would support raising the minimum wage, he didn't answer. He joked with Musk about banning unions and how he liked to not pay overtime.

    This was the reality of this cycle (I feel obviously) so it is frustrating for me to see so many people remain ignorant (or ambivalent) of these realities. We saw Joe Rogan joke with a guest about Biden saying something stupid and how ridiculous he was for doing it. When Joe asked his producer to pull up the video, it was actually Trump that had said it, they both just laughed it off and moved off the topic immediately.

    If the Democrats had ignored Trumps record, or attitude or ideals, and Harris had still lost, we'd be here tonight saying they vindicated his candidacy by not shining a light on his indiscretions. Harris did lose, and the Democratic party does need to examine why, I don't think it as simple as them having been wrong though, the electorate itself is an entity, although harder to assess in its entirety obviously. Whatever about polls before the event, I'd like to see some of the companies do detailed interviews with people now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,462 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    These were the biggest mistakes of her campaign- not chasing voters outside her base and an overly progressive agenda and record. The voters just don’t want that and roundly rejected it. But do carry on



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,462 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Young males went for trump which indicates the democrats have a problem there and they’re not interested in the so called progressive agenda



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I would think it indicates that USA males do not want a female as president.

    Also, not all USA females want one either, although many do.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I would think it indicates that USA males do not want a female as president.

    Also, not all USA females want one either, although many do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Sanders did well enough in primaries in States that were near all white and Middle class.

    As Soon as he went to ones where African Americans or Hispanics were important he fell away in the primaries.

    Sanders used have a lot of views that were nearer to Trump, ie in trade, especially immigration, etc. He changed to meet the needs of rich progressives in the party



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,006 ✭✭✭✭volchitsa


    I'd counter that the perceived issues with respect to trans rights are entirely out of whack with any real world impact.

    In response to this claim made by another poster, I've given three examples of real world impact on women. Nobody has responded to them.

    Is that because three examples aren't enough? How many do you want? Or is it because by "real world effects" you actually mean effects on men?

    Because it's noticeable that trans rights demands rarely if ever seem to require men to cede rights, but always women. Yet men are very quick to tell women that they are bigots if they hesitate to cede their rights.

    It's hard to avoid the conclusion that the trans rights movement is in fact a men's rights movement.

    Alastair Campbell and Rory Stewart were on their podcast the other day wondering about how on earth Trump could have won, and why they and other UK talking heads had missed it. They were bemused as to how/why transgender issues had become so controversial in the US.

    And yet… Rory Stewart used to know this:

    So how has something that Rory Stewart knew in 2020 so completely slipped his mind in 2024?

    TBH I'm sceptical of people who claim to follow current events claiming, in 2024, not to understand why women have a problem with trans demands.

    It really takes wilful blindness, post the Cass report, Maya Forstater, Allison Bailey, Lia Thomas etc etc - for anyone still to be feigning incredulity at the idea that this affects women's lives negatively, and that there is a genuine conflict there which is not about mere bigotry.

    It is a weapon that the left has handed to demagogues like Trump. Sadly that doesn't make Trump wrong on this subject - instead, when people see that politicians on the left are so ready to lie about one thing, it simply discredits them on anything else they wish to claim.

    And that, I think, is never going to be fixed by calling women bigots, as below:

    To your second point, I disagree that the left is making a mistake by insulting Trump supporters. Why is there an onus on them to maintain some higher form of conduct and discourse when the whole zeitgeist of the right is denigration in the most vile terms? If someone doesn't like being called a Nazi, maybe they ought to stop being one. I don't see a distinction between different types of Trump voters. I'm not going to let folks dissemble by turning a blind eye to the racism and violence that he pushes, by claiming some other anondyne reason for supporting him like the economy.
    If someone being a fascist, racist, criminal and rapist isn't enough to dissuade a person from voting for Trump, it's not really worth wasting time on a conversation. Judge a person by the company they choose to keep, as they say in the service. I choose not to keep company with fascists.

    But if you call someone a fascist for holding a perfectly reasonable opinion (eg that women should always be allowed to undress without men being present if they wish to, or that male bodies have advantages in many sports and that suspending a girl from her sport merely for asking whether someone on the opposing team with a beard is a man is inappropriate, never mind forcing her team to forfeit their game if they refuse to play) then it's your fault if the term becomes meaningless so that people no longer feel that it's a big scary word that they don't want to be associated with.

    "If a woman cannot stand in a public space and say, without fear of consequences, that men cannot be women, then women have no rights at all." Helen Joyce



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,335 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Trump to be fair targeted them over the last few years and the podcast tour was a very good idea.

    Schultz and others said they reached out to Harris, but their team had no interest sadly.

    When Rogan defended Harris on the Trump pod, she should have committed to it instantly, but obviously she didn't.

    No matter what you think of him, Rogan is today's version of Oprah so what an own goal that was, but heh this was the lass who campaigned with Liz **** Cheney on the final stretch.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    And yet when Harris made suggestions to try and address it by trying to limit price gougung , they all screamed "SOCIALISM!!!!!"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,009 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    Possibly the biggest problem Trump has is that in the US, higher skilled workers won't get out of bed for less than $50 an hour.

    If he expects the Googles and Apples to come back to the US with their head between their legs, he is in for a shock. Reducing the corporate tax is not going to do it. Wage expectations are too high.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,216 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    Them companies you mention have circa 350k employees in the US between them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 597 ✭✭✭Piskin


    How many males voted for H Clinton & K Harris?



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I have no idea. However, Trump got similar votes in 2020 and 2024, but Biden got significantly more than Trump in 2020 than Harris got in 2024.

    Reports are that Black males and Latino males did not vote for her in numbers. Not sure how true that is, but Trump was able to tell multiple lies and stumbles that were allowed to pass uncorrected and unnoticed, but any slight misstep by Biden was blown out of all reason.

    It is hard not to be backed by the right wing media who shout out the loudest. Why, they are eating the DAWGS.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 597 ✭✭✭Piskin


    It was the Dem's 4 years in Office that won it for President Trump. This was a resounding victory on all levels.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,220 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    • Covid Recoevery
    • Less severe and earlier recovery from Post Pandemic inflation that impacted all major economies
    • Infrastructure Bill
    • Chips and Science Act
    • Supported Israel (big time)
    • Supported Ukraine
    • Student Debt Relief
    • Introduced Insulin Price Cap and medication negotiations with Pharma Companies.
    • Statistically close to zero unemployment
    • Record Stock Market.

    Which of these outcomes from the Dems 4 years in office do you think was so bad it gave Trump a resounding victory?



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I suspect at least 2 years in office of Dems telling voters that an octogenarian President's age was not catching up with him contributed to a resounding victory for Trump.



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