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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,902 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    That's the way the US has historically been. The 'nation' is a collection of states, the Union was about international relations (and wars).

    Look at the federal budget from 100 years ago. Yes, it changed after the 1930s, but there is a couple of centuries of background to set the general tone which remains today.

    image.png

    The Treasury Dept section is mainly interest payments on loans taken out to fund the military on earlier wars (like WW1 from 6 years prior). War Dept = Army. Veterans Bureau, that's the VA today, military. Navy Dept, military. The only major non-military expenses are the US Postal Service and the Dept of the Interior (Public lands, mining etc).

    Though it doesn't matter much to other nations, each State is in effect a little country. It sets and raises taxes, has an independent legislature, defined jurisdiction with its own legal system (And that jurisdiction is separate from federal jurisdiction), government departments like education, health, military, treasury, justice, etc.

    Ask the next American you meet abroad where they're from. Do you think they'll say "Texas", "California" or "USA?". We identify regionally amongst ourselves. Call us a squabbling family. We'll antagonize and jibe and insult each other all day long… but if someone from outside of the family tries to get involved, expect a unified front.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,456 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Sure our own lads abdicated and delegated total responsibility to NPHET and the attention seeking Tony Houlihan. A few grandstand speeches is all we got.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭antimatterx




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 330 ✭✭2Greyfoxes


    He pulled out, bit it was too late to remove his name from the ballet papers.

    I remember reading about a candidate who passed away winning some local election. There wasn't enough time to remove their name, and people still voted for them. Could be that word hadn't spread of the news. I wonder how much is the same here?

    People may not have been aware that he had pulled out, or did it as a protest vote?

    Clever word play may win debates, but it doesn't make it true.

    Understanding and explaining things, is not the same as justifying them, if in doubt… please re-read this statement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    Quite. Now how many votes were there between Biden and Trump again? This election will end up with about half that gap



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,678 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    I don't think we should have been too surprised in hindsight. Last two elections have showed us the polling always under-represents Trump by a good few percentage points. The fact they were both neck and neck in the polling during the last few weeks of the campaign was a good indicator that he was actually comfortably ahead as has turned out to be the case.

    I'm not sure where the positive sentiment for the Harris campaign was emanating from. She was always in deep, deep trouble given the polling figures. She needed to be a few percent ahead in the polls and she rarely ever was.

    This sort of narrative took hold that the polls had overcorrected for the 'shy Trump' effect but there was no evidence to this whatsoever. There was also little evidence for the claims made that shadowy Republican figures were flooding the media with dodgy polls. Plenty of polling companies made a point of highlighting that their methodologies had not changed all that much. The way people jumped on the Seltzer poll, which was such an outlier, was telling. A lot of people deep down were aware Harris had no hope unless she was well ahead in the polls.

    Trump campaign seemed confident into the last two weeks of the campaign and there were briefings from the Harris campaign that strategists were concerned. I'd say private targeted polling told a different story.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 330 ✭✭2Greyfoxes


    Are you sure about that?

    A casual glance on here shows people talking about that.

    Clever word play may win debates, but it doesn't make it true.

    Understanding and explaining things, is not the same as justifying them, if in doubt… please re-read this statement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,131 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    At least they’re not claiming some crazy conspiracy theories about voting fraud or some batshit crazy nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭ShagNastii


    Is it not a given now that polls mean SFA at this stage.

    So many campaigns have blown poll projections out of the water.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 672 ✭✭✭Not made with hands


    I don't believe immigrants go around killing cats and dogs to eat them.

    Injecting people with bleach to kill covid. Christ that's dumb.

    People lap it up though. That's beyond funny.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 853 ✭✭✭MilkyToast


    The 2020 election was a complete outlier with different rules and temporary laws brought in to allow much more mail-in and early voting during Covid. It's not really comparable to any election before or since.

    “Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." ~C.S. Lewis



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,657 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    what left? The edit in US politics is tiny and doesn’t contain either Harris or Biden.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,189 ✭✭✭opinionated3


    Once the result was apparent early this morning I deliberately stayed away from news websites, social media etc. I wasn't impressed with either candidate but trump is certainly the worst of a bad lot.

    I struggle with anxiety and couldn't get my head around the result or the prospects for the world for the next four years. I'm not trying to come across as dramatic or cowardly. I guess at 46 years of age I've already seen a lot. I think the world ( and I include Ireland) has become a truly horrible place. Humanity and respect are in the gutter.

    And that's not going to change any time soon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,113 ✭✭✭Large bottle small glass


    Its a similar to the civil war in the Tories in the UK which saw Labour win in a "landslide" despite Starmer getting 500,000 less votes than Corbyn



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,708 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    That's how it was rigged against Trump in 2020, Trump ,who told everyone and his dog to not to use mail in voting, while the Democrats sent millions of them out. This time round Trump told everyone use mail in votes, vote early, get your hands on as many mail in ballots as possible, and get everyone to sign it up and send it back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,999 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Ehhhh, what makes them think Canada will take them?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,708 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    You're describing the world under Biden though. I don't recall any of this under Trump in 2016. The world was booming, until covid hit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,030 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Show the class one incidence of a serious nature related to it. It's a garbage, hateful sideshow that is a useful distraction from actual problems



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Think one of the visa information sites crashed last time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,794 ✭✭✭✭cj maxx


    It could be that Trump has a bigger social media ,X profile which is where people get their news from .

    I pity @Donald Trump on Boards who'll have to re reg when The Real Donald tries to log on 😁



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,030 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    He's going to make it way, way worse. Between his ridiculous tariff proposals and giving the green light to oligarchs to further destroy the middle class, all while profiteering, we're goosed. Good luck buying a home in the future. Not going to be a lot of construction going on after Trump deports 5, 10, 20 million undesirables.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    you do know trumps first term was 2017 to 2021 not 2016 to 2020 don’t you?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,048 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Not having enough money to cover the cost of your family's weekly groceries is an existential issue and lower (in the sense of more fundamental) on the hierarchy of needs. Biological males playing in women's sports might píss lots of people off, but if Trump attempts to distract from the former by talking about the latter, it's just bad politics and service of the public. The elimination of biological males from women's sports won't fill your belly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    Which explains exactly his trump managed to get more or less tge exact same amount of votes….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Yeah the Trump camp effectively suppressed their own vote in 2020. It was obvious from an early point. There were articles about the "red mirage" in advance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,708 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    Not the same at all. Trump has never won Nevada, did last night. And the numbers he got in New York , Virginia , California, and New Mexico should teach the Democrats a lesson.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,384 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Thankfully it does appear to be scaling back in Ireland.

    The influence from the Democrats in terms of the identity politics has resulted in a culture of blandness where a lot of people are afraid to move outside of what they see as "progressive".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,673 ✭✭✭Man Vs ManUre


    Thankfully we don’t have to listen to Kamala Goose for the next 4 years. This speech is horrible, she is way too emotional. Emotional Damage,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,045 ✭✭✭✭sligeach


    Watching Harris' speech, one line stuck out to me as hypocritical. I'll quote it exactly when I get a transcript of it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 914 ✭✭✭nolivesmatter


    That speech was probably the most natural she's ever sounded.



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