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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,902 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    There are sub-details to that claim. I did an assessment of State budgets a while back, and it turned out that California is far more dependent on federal dollars as a percentage of its annual budget than Texas is. I have a vague recollection of doing the assessment for a third State, maybe Montana, but I'd have to dig back a bit for the post.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,343 ✭✭✭chooseusername




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,794 ✭✭✭yagan


    Thinking about it earlier I think the closest we've had to a bellicose windbag on this island in my living memory was Ian Paisley. He huffed and puffed but in the end he couldn't make NI a promised land again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,799 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    I don't blame Kamala. It was not her fault for losing.It was always going to be a miracle as she,was laid in.

    It was President Biden and the Democrats fault that Trump got in again. Biden never should have ran for a second term and the Democrats should not have let him. If Kamala had been there from the get go she would have won.

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,390 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    I've a relation living in the states 40 years now and they swore they'd leave if Trump won. I guess we'll see. I just find it weird someone like my relation, born and raised in Ireland getting so salty about American politics.

    She complains about uneducated white women voting for trump. Ironically if it wasn't for all the DEI programs around the country you'd have more educated white woman as these policies discriminate against them.

    The discussion naturally evolves into diversity. Diversity in a society is great but don't pick and choose sub groups to put on a pedestal. Normal people just want everyone to be seen as equal. Demonise the majority, expect voters to look the other way.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,378 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    Wonder did any of the private polling pgive any indications to what actually turned out.I am really surprised Trump won the popular vote ,never saw that coming .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Shows like the view are a huge driver of support for Trump



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,640 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    I really cannot see after this election how the country is going to stay together as one unit in the medium to long-term. The divisions and partisan hatreds are so deeply entrenched now in America, a country in deep and profound decline, that I fully expect individual states to secede (or try to) from the union and more violence in the interim from the MAGA right wing.

    Shur you could be saying exactly the same if Kamala won, only moreso...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,593 ✭✭✭Dick phelan


    Wouldn't the country have been just as divided and succession just as likely if Harris won? Just in the opposite direction and different states. Trump is not the cause of America's problems nor the solution to them. The shift in the Hispanic vote is the big story here, if the Democrats can't start appealing to them again they won't be winning many elections.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,805 ✭✭✭threeball


    Because the US was involved in supplying security guarantees for Ukraine which they reneged on. The self appointed policeman of the world wants to have their finger in every pie when it suits them. When it doesn't, they just abandon them.

    Plus they're not paying for foreign wars, they're providing obsolete stock at inflated prices and pumping money into US arms manufacturers and creating US jobs. It's not like they're dropping billions in a Ukrainian bank account and telling them to fill their boots on Amazon.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,105 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,689 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    I agree that the first finger of blame should be pointed firmly at Biden for deciding to run again. That said, I don't know if a) Kamala would have gotten the nomination if they ran full primaries, or b) she would have won if she'd been the nominee from the primaries on.

    From most of the discussion, the biggest issue was the economy, and Harris was firmly tied to Biden's policies on that. While they were dealt a bad hand with inflation post-Covid and managed it well compared to a lot of other countries, enough voters seem to have always been set to vote against them because of the effect inflation had on them. If another Dem had won the primaries, they could have separated themselves more from what Biden/Harris did and said "I support what the President has done, but if I'm elected here's what I'm going to do differently"

    That alone might have at least made the swing states properly close

    But yeah, it starts with Biden. There was no good reason for him to run again other than personal vanity and ego, and while incumbents usually have a huge advantage, his age and the economy absolutely outweighed that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,061 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    The shift in the Hispanic vote is the big story here, if the Democrats can't start appealing to them again they won't be winning many elections.

    If this is the case, why do you think Hispanics favour Trump given his rhetoric about them and pre-election promises to deport millions?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,593 ✭✭✭Dick phelan


    20% of black men and a majority of Hispanic men 54% voted for Trump. Even 37% of Hispanic women. So much for him winning because of racist white men



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 950 ✭✭✭thegame983


    The left truly are incredible at creating more conservatives.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,593 ✭✭✭Dick phelan


    Because most Hispanic people are not illegal immigrants and are actually strongly in favor of tougher immigration policies. A lot of them live in boarder states and actually don't fancy competing with new arrivals from Honduras for work. Honestly Democrats seem unable to grasp that just because someone's heritage is from a place doesn't mean they want loads of people from that place showing up unveted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,640 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    Look at the European Union, it could rightly be called the greatest country in the world, but the individual 'states' would never agree to it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,805 ✭✭✭threeball


    No, she wouldn't. She doesn't have the personality to be President. Americans are all about the show, the entertainment. Without some sort of charisma then there's no chance of getting elected. Trumps "charisma" isn't appealing but it's hard to ignore him and that is preferable to someone who appears decent or nice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,805 ✭✭✭threeball


    As ridiculous as it is that Trump will be President again, it's absolutely unfathomable that JD Vance is now the vice president. A lad you wouldn't let stack the biscuits in Supervalu unsupervised, is a heart beat away from being the most powerful man on earth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    I said I wouldn't come back but I thought I better to bookend what I said.

    The Dem implosion is in full flow. Choosing Harris was a terrible mistake.

    I did cast my oar in Buttigiegs direction but Gavin Newsome as well, would have ran it close.

    There's an awful lot of soul searching today but maybe people will pay attention to the actual state of the Union, rather than go ahead with actual loudmouths and what they say.

    DT won more of the Puerto Rican vote and that.. is on Dems.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,071 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Bookies were right yet again

    I was surprised at the amount of confidence here for Harris yet so few seemed confident of a Trump win

    It put me right off backing him.

    Always go with your gut I guess…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,637 ✭✭✭nachouser


    The concession should be "Reap the whirlwind, America. God Bless, you'll need it."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 950 ✭✭✭thegame983


    Plenty were confident for a Trump win, but couldn't be arsed posting here because it's not worth the hassle of dealing with the anti Trumpers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,061 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Well, given that many of them may have arrived as illegals themselves, or are the descendants of illegals, then I'd say a lot of Democrats probably do not grasp the 'I'm alright Jack' attitude.

    It comes across as pulling the ladder up after you yourself have used it. Pun intended.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,841 ✭✭✭✭osarusan


    Trumps vote is more or less the same as last time. Sure, within that number, certain cohorts might have increased/decreased, but overall it's much the same.

    The Democrat vote simply collapsed under Harris. They stayed home en masse. I see a lot of people saying that her race and her being a woman had a part to play, and perhaps that was a factor for some.

    But based on what I'm seeing and reading today in various places, she simply didn't energise enough, or offer much to vote for. It's very different to the 2020 movement of 'Get Trump Out' when you have to argue that people should maintain the status quo, when the status quo involves not having as much money in your pocket as you used to.

    I think that for a lot of people (and it's the same in most countries I expect), first and foremost it's a question be being sure they can pay their bills, put food on the table, be positive about their immediate personal future…and only when those worries are resolved, will they start to make decisions based on broader ideals such as defence policy, abortion, climate, etc. Or, indeed, the moral fibre of the candidate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,396 ✭✭✭Higgins5473




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,061 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    But the EU doesn't pretend to be a Country. I could nearly understand it if they wanted to be seen as a Union, but they put heavy (an understatement to say the least) in the identification of it being a country and the associated flag. But outside of the military, they don't want to act as a country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    CNN reporting that Joe Biden has made a courtesy phone call to Donald Trump.

    Classy move.

    A great public servant that was treated very badly by his party. His dignity remains.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 797 ✭✭✭reclose


    I used this thread as my source of news for the election. I don’t normally care about the US.
    I’m shocked Trump got in.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,015 ✭✭✭Jakey Rolling


    What's with Robert Kennedy getting 600,000+ votes? I thought he had dropped out, but some States left his name on the ballot?

    100412.2526@compuserve.com



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