Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Boards Weather Forecast Contest - November 2024

  • 30-10-2024 6:23pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭


    1. Predict the IMT (average mean temp for five locations, Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park and Shannon) for November 2024. The 1981-2010 average is 7.2.
    2. Predict the MAX temp at any of the 25 official locations listed daily on the met-ie website.
    3. Predict the MIN (details same as above)
    4. Predict the PRC (percentage of normal rainfall at eleven locations including the five in part one above and also Malin, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown, Cork and Valentia.)
    5. Predict the SUN (percentage of normal at six locations around Ireland).
    6. BONUS _ Predict the lowest daily maximum temperature in Nov 2024 at any of the 25 regular reporting sites on the met-ie website. No date or location needed.

    M.T. Cranium _________8.8 _ 17.6 _ -3.2 _ 042 _ 105 __ 6.2

    NormaL _____________ 7.2 _ 17.5 _ -4.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 4.5

    The deadline as always is 0300h on 1st of month with late penalties of one point per four hours or portion, increasing to one point per hour after 1500h 2nd.

    Post edited by DOCARCH on


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,738 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    sryanbruen _________8.4 _ 18.1 _ -4.8 _ 060 _ 095 __ 3.9

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,444 ✭✭✭esposito


    Esposito _________9.0_ 19.2 _ -2.1_ 050 _ 095 __ 7.1



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Gonzo _________9.1_ 18.6 _ -3.2_ 063 _ 094 __ 4.6



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,297 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Pauldry________10.1_ 17.8 _ -1.8_ 075 _ 090__ 7.1



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 579 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29 _________8.5_ 17.0 _ -3.5_ 095 _ 090 __ 8.5



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,780 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal _____________ 7.5 _ 16.0 _ -3.0 _ 110 _ 095 __ 5.0



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 350 ✭✭kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 8.2 ___ 16.8 ___ -3.6 ___ 115 ___ 90 ___ 6.8



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 50 ✭✭Cornerstonelad


    Cornerstonelad ____8.8_____17.5_____-3.0____82___110____5.0



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 196 ✭✭sunflower3


    Sunflower3_____8.4___17.9___-4.0___75___80___6.0



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,034 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Artane2002 _____________ 8.7 _ 18.3 _ -1.5 _ 055 _ 090 __ 5.7



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 382 ✭✭waterways


    waterways _________8.3 _ 18.9 _ -5.1 _ 070 _ 098 __ 2.5



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,965 ✭✭✭mr.stonewall


    Mr Stonewall______8.1___17.9___-3.8__88__100__5.8



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH _________7.4 _ 17.6 _ -3.2 _ 069 _ 105 __ 4.2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,200 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Appledrop ___8.4___18.2___-3.3___66__110___4.8



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,788 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public_________8.1 _ 16.9 _ -3.9 _ 069 _ 105 __ 2.3



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,490 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn _________9.1 _ 17.8 _ -2.7 _ 070 _ 90 __ 5.2



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,140 ✭✭✭John mac


    john mac_____________ 8.2 _ 17.5 _ -4.6 _ 102 _ 105 __ 6.0



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 743 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir _________ 9.2 _ 18.4 _ -4.0 _ 47 _ 88 __ 6.8



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 400 ✭✭mrskinner


    MrSkinner____8.1___17.3___-3.3___88___99___4.7



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,032 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    WolfeEire_________8.9 _ 18 _ -4.2 _ 080 _ 100 __ 5c

    www.x.com/wolfeeire



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,845 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Dacogawa ___8.6___18.4___-3.3___55__110___5.5



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,241 ✭✭✭rameire


    Rameire _________8.9_ 18.2 _ -2.6_ 070 _ 090 __ 6.1

    🌞 3.8kwp, 🌞 Clonee, Dub.🌞



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 843 ✭✭✭adam240610


    Adam240610________8.9_ 18.1 _ -4.0 _ 070 _ 095 __ 4.9



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Table of forecasts for Nov 2024

    FORECASTER __________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ Sun __ low max

    Pauldry_______________10.1 _ 17.8 _-1.8 _ 075 _ 090 ___ 7.1

    Tae laidir ______________9.2 _ 18.4 _-4.0 _ 047 _ 088 ___ 6.8

    Gonzo ________________9.1 _ 18.6 _-3.2 _ 063 _ 094 ___ 4.6

    Jpmarn _______________9.1 _ 17.8 _-2.7 _ 070 _ 090 ___ 5.2

    Esposito ______________ 9.0 _ 19.2 _-2.1 _ 050 _ 095 ___ 7.1

    Rameire _______(-2) ___ 8.9 _ 18.2 _-2.6 _ 070 _ 090 ___ 6.1

    Adam240610 ___(-2) ___ 8.9 _ 18.1 _-4.0 _ 070 _ 095 ___ 4.9

    WolfeEire _____________ 8.9 _ 18.0 _-4.2 _ 080 _ 100 ___ 5.0

    M.T. Cranium __________ 8.8 _ 17.6 _-3.2 _ 042 _ 105 ___ 6.2

    Cornerstonelad _________8.8 _ 17.5 _-3.0 _ 082 _ 110 ___ 5.0

    Artane2002 ___________ 8.7 _ 18.3 _-1.5 _ 055 _ 090 ___ 5.7

    Dacogawa _____(-2)____ 8.6 _ 18.4 _-3.3 _ 055 _ 110 ___ 5.5

    ___Con Sensus ________ 8.6 _ 17.9 _-3.3 _ 070 _ 095 ___ 5.1

    Dasa29 _______________8.5 _ 17.0 _-3.5 _ 095 _ 090 ___ 8.5

    Appledrop _____________8.4 _ 18.2 _-3.3 _ 066 _ 110 ___ 4.8

    sryanbruen ____________8.4 _ 18.1 _-4.8 _ 060 _ 095 ___ 3.9

    Sunflower3 ____________8.4 _ 17.9 _-4.0 _ 075 _ 080 ___ 6.0

    waterways ____________ 8.3 _ 18.9 _-5.1 _ 070 _ 098 ___ 2.5

    john mac _____________ 8.2 _ 17.5 _-4.6 _ 102 _ 105 ___ 6.0

    Kindred Spirit __________8.2 _ 16.8 _-3.6 _ 115 _ 090 ___ 6.8

    Mr Stonewall __________ 8.1 _ 17.9 _-3.8 _ 088 _ 100 ___ 5.8

    MrSkinner ____________ 8.1 _ 17.3 _-3.3 _ 088 _ 099 ___ 4.7

    Joe Public _____________8.1 _ 16.9 _-3.9 _ 069 _ 105 ___ 2.3

    Bsal _________________ 7.5 _ 16.0 _-3.0 _ 110 _ 095 ___ 5.0

    DOCARCH _____________7.4 _ 17.6 _-3.2 _ 069 _ 105 ___ 4.2

    ___NormaL ___________ 7.2 _ 17.5 _-4.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 4.5

    ========== [] ==========

    As a group we are expecting a very mild, dry NOV, sun a little below average …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Title of thread needs word "contest" to be added if possible … thanks …



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 743 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Valentia Max 14.8 yesterday.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,032 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    15.1c max at Belmullet yesterday

    www.x.com/wolfeeire



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Max of 16.8c at Shannon AP yesterday.

    Min of 1.8c at Mount Dillon yesterday.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,297 ✭✭✭pauldry


    18c today at 11pm. JULvember



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,032 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    Provisionally, Phoenix Park recorded 19c at 1pm today. We await Mét Éireann's official confirmation of same later.

    www.x.com/wolfeeire



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,297 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Also 19.1c on Ogemet for Finner.

    Felt very warm in the NW today. Warmer than June anyways.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,738 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    19.1C confirmed for both Phoenix Park and Finner Camp on the Met Twitter.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Met E, on 'Yesterday's Weather', have Phoenix Park at 19.2c. May be edited later?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,738 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    And just 18.1C at Finner Camp.

    It's one thing to make a mistake from time to time, we're only human after all. But this keeps happening far too often with the Met I swear.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,297 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Ah well forgive them for the 0.1 mistake Sryan. Maybe they should do 2 decimal points like the UK.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After first week …

    IMT _ 11.9 C (3.5 above normal) __ 6 Nov avg was 15.4 !

    MAX _ 19.2

    MIN _ 1.8

    PRC _ 9% of normal

    Sun _ 21.3% of normal

    low max _ to come

    ______________

    Esposito 19.2, waterways 18.9, Gonzo 18.6 top forecasts



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Low of 0.2c at Mount Dillon yesterday.

    Low max of 7.7c at Oak Park yesterday.

    No Ballyhaise data for yesterday (yet) which is always a good candidate for low max.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Ballyhaise was 11.1 C after all. Will be posting a new low min from 12 Nov and possibly a new low max also.

    (to avoid confusion, DOC posted on Nov 12, it shows as Nov 11 because of my time zone, so quoted values were for 11 Nov. Perhaps I need to set my boards time stamp to IST.)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,297 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Only 5c or 6c max at some stations on Nov 12 MT.



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Low of -0.3c at Gurteen yesterday (12th).

    Low max of 5.6c at Mount Dillon yesterday (12th).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After two weeks …

    IMT _ 10.3 C (2.2 above normal) _ second week average 8.8 C (0.8 above)

    MAX _ 19.2

    MIN _ -0.3

    PRC _ 12% of normal _ second week average 16%

    Sun _ 52.9% of normal _ second week average 84.3%

    low max _ 5.6

    ______________



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    In anticipation of cold spell, a table of low max forecasts in order:

    Joe Public ___________2.3

    waterways __________2.5

    sryanbruen _________ 3.9

    DOCARCH __________ 4.2

    ___NormaL __________4.5

    Gonzo _____________ 4.6

    MrSkinner __________ 4.7

    Appledrop __________ 4.8

    Adam240610 ________4.9

    WolfeEire ___________5.0

    Bsal _______________5.0

    Cornerstonelad ______ 5.0

    ___Con Sensus _______5.1

    Jpmarn ____________ 5.2

    Dacogawa __________5.5

    Artane2002 _________5.7

    Mr Stonewall ________5.8

    john mac ___________6.0

    Sunflower3 _________ 6.0

    Rameire ____________6.1

    M.T. Cranium ________6.2

    Tae laidir ___________6.8

    Kindred Spirit _______ 6.8

    Esposito ____________7.1

    Pauldry_____________7.1

    Dasa29 ____________ 8.5

    (as of now, 5.6 C is low max, likely to go lower soon)



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Low max of 4.8c at Markree Castle yesterday (18th).



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Low of -3.0c at Athenry yesterday (19th).

    Low max of 2.2c at Knock AP yesterday (19th).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    /Low max of 2.2 allows for scoring of bonus (as lowest forecast was 2.3) …

    Joe Public ___________2.3 __ 10

    waterways __________2.5 __ 10

    sryanbruen _________ 3.9 ___ 9

    DOCARCH __________ 4.2 ___ 9

    ___NormaL __________4.5 ___ 8

    Gonzo _____________ 4.6 ___ 8

    MrSkinner __________ 4.7 ___ 8

    Appledrop __________ 4.8 ___ 8

    Adam240610 ________4.9 ___ 7

    WolfeEire ___________5.0 ___ 7

    Bsal _______________5.0 ___ 7

    Cornerstonelad ______ 5.0 ___ 7

    ___Con Sensus _______5.1 ___ 6

    Jpmarn ____________ 5.2 ___ 6

    Dacogawa __________5.5 ___ 5

    Artane2002 _________5.7 ___ 4

    Mr Stonewall ________5.8 ___ 4

    john mac ___________6.0 ___ 3

    Sunflower3 _________ 6.0 ___ 3

    Rameire ____________6.1 ___ 3

    M.T. Cranium ________6.2 ___ 3

    Tae laidir ___________6.8 ___ 2

    Kindred Spirit _______ 6.8 ___ 2

    Esposito ____________7.1 ___ 2

    Pauldry_____________7.1 ___ 2

    Dasa29 ____________ 8.5 ___ 1



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Low of -3.7c at Athenry yesterday (20th).

    Low max of 1.8c at Claremorris yesterday (20th).



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Low max of 1.1c at Knock AP yesterday (21st).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    after three weeks ,,,

    IMT _ 8.8 C (1.0 above normal) _ second week average 5.7 C (1.5 below)

    MAX _ 19.2

    MIN _ -3.7

    PRC _ 47% of normal _ third week average 118%

    Sun _ 58.3% of normal _ third week average 69.2%

    low max _ 1.1 (already scored above as lowest forecast 2.3)

    ______________

    A grid average of 80 mm is needed to bring PRC to 100%.

    Will report on PRC new percentages after expected rainfalls Sat, and into 25 Nov

    Expect PRC to be 70-75 after Bert's visit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,741 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday's rainfalls brought Nov PRC from 50% (1-22 Nov) to 95% (1-23 Nov) and that represents 72% of end of month values (if no more rain fell, some will, so PRC is going to end at least 80%.)

    IMT after 22 days was 8.5 C and will be 8.6 after 23 days (large range yesterday so very high maxima will not give a big increase, rest of week will likely stay in a range of 8.6 to 9.0 and end near 8.7 C.)



  • Advertisement
Advertisement