Election to be called Fri - predict outcome

That list shows how easy it could be to exclude the FFG axis and gain 4 non FFG seats.
Time to show them that many people have had enough of the FFG stranglehold on the levers of power. . The days of Repeating the same mix and expecting a different result need to end.
But only voters can change things.

While it's by no means impossible to see 4 TDs returned here from neither FF/FG, it would be a major surprise if PD were to lose out, hilariously funny and welcome but highly unlikely!

And probably the smartest person in the Dail. Well regarded at home and abroad. We are lucky to have him.

Really looking bad for the greens based on the latest opinion poll, which is all of their own doing.

Meanwhile, Sinn Féin has seen another drop in popularity. 8.02am, 27 Oct 2024 9.2k106

SUPPORT FOR FIANNA Fáil and Fine Gael is almost equal ahead of the next General Election, according to the latest opinion poll. 

The Business Post/Red C poll shows that with the country set to head to the polls in the coming weeks, Fianna Fáil is up three percentage points to 21% while Fine Gael has dropped by a point to 22%.

Meanwhile, Sinn Féin dropped by one point in the last month to 17%. This is down ten percentage points from where the party was six months ago. 

Among the smaller parties, support for the Social Democrats has dropped by one point to 5% while the Green Party has also dropped one point to 3%. Labour remains unchanged on 4%.
Support for independents remains unchanged at 15%, with support for Independent Ireland increasing one point to 5%.

People Before Profit-Solidarity remains on 3%, while Aontú has dropped one point to 3%.

Taoiseach Simon Harris has confirmed that the election will take place on a Friday and that the possible dates are within a “pretty narrow window”.

The likeliest date for the country to go to the polls is 29 November, the date Green Party leader Roderic O’Gorman has already stated is his preferred date. It’s also understood this date is favoured by other senior government ministers.

Here is the full state of the parties: 

• Fine Gael 22 (-1)
• Fianna Fáil 21 (+3)
• Sinn Féin 17 (-1)
• Independents 15 (=)
• Social Democrats 5 (-1)
• Independent Ireland 5 (+1)
• Labour 4 (=)
• People Before Profit-Solidarity 3 (=)
• Green Party 3 (-1)
• Aontú 2 (-2)

The poll was conducted between 18 and 23 October 2024 and is based on online interviews with a random sample of 1,003 adults. The margin of error is 3%

Taken from The Journal.

Plus it's very hard to know how many seats 3,4,5 % of FPV translates into for those parties: Aontu were on 4% in the previous issue of that poll, unlikely to produce more than one seat, whereas PBP could easily win 4 or 5 seats on their current 3%…

Exactly, when we look back on this Dail, we will be able to say that the Greens achieved a lot, while SF and the others achieved nothing.

What are people in politics for? To achieve things.

I lost all faith in the Social Democrats when they turned down the opportunity to be in the present government and have the Health portfolio when their co-founder Roisin Shorthall had been chair of the All-Party Committee on the Future of Healthcare which produced the Slaintecare reform plan for the Irish health service where she could have implemented those reforms.

She was also former Minister of State at the Department of Health so knowing how toxic the Health portfolio is, to me they just became another party happy to shout from the sidelines rather than getting involved and attempting to make a difference.

You'll forgive me if you will for saying that Murphy is the greatest political charlatan to have ever graced the Dail. He's a spoofer, a chancer and has fcuk all regards for the people he represents.

Brid Smith? Mouthpiece who only ever saw the side of her own argument.

RBB, In fairness, he's the only one of that lot coherent enough occasionally to debate a point, but is a dail show pony

Gino Kenny……………………

But listen, that's just my opinion

No, talking "bollox" isn't the sole preserve of PBP, however it is the only thing they do, whereas all other parties do other stuff.

Sounds like an indirect compliment to SF Blanch, fair play 🤣

PBP are a whole party of Pearse Dohertys, only have shouting mode, only have protesting mode, not a single positive contribution to Irish society can be attributed to PBP.

Compare that to Labour - same sex referendum etc. - or the Greens - childcare, Local Link etc. - who both have real tangible positive contributions to Irish society that they can reference over the last decade.