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Dublin Metrolink - future routes for next Metrolink

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,960 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    Most of Europe built their motorways in the 40s,50s and 60s.

    We were decades behind.

    A motorway network is essential for attracting FDI and the basic running of a country.

    Logistics needs to be able to estimate travel times within reasonable accuracy, which you couldn't do with national roads going through numerous towns and villages.

    Now our public transport network is decades behind so that has to be tackled.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,312 ✭✭✭spillit67


    The Motorway network was absolutely essential. The reality is through that politically it was an easier sell than PT for Dublin.

    The M50 is as much about helping the country as it is Dublin.

    That was always the failure with selling DART Underground- failing to articulate that it was the M50 of rail for Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69 ✭✭khamilton


    image.png

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolution_of_motorway_construction_in_European_nations

    We were absolutely behind but there's no reason to pretend that 'most of europe built their motorways in 40s,50s and 60s'.

    I studied economics for many years and never came across anything that equated motorways with 'attracting FDI and the basic running of a country', perhaps you could provide a few references?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,297 ✭✭✭D.L.R.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 519 ✭✭✭TheSunIsShining


    I had understood that Dublin-Waterford had a very tenuous, at best, business case to be built. In fact I think Dublin-Rosslare was the one more justified in terms of a link to the South East.

    But I think everything else built was needed - in fact there's a case to be made that more is needed - Cork to Limerick, Atlantic corridor completion from Waterford to Cork and Galway to Sligo, a link from Dublin to the North West etc? Like it's not like we have thousands of KM ofmotorway so wondering which you reckon shouldn't have been built?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,510 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    Dublin-Waterford or Dublin-Rosslare were needed as motorway, but not both. If Type 2 DC was an option back then, then that’s what M9 would have been south of Carlow, I feel.

    It’s worth remembering that when these roads were planned, they were not planned as “motorway”, but rather as “High-Quality Dual Carriageway” which at the time was a step below existing motorways in terms of design parameters and land-take. It was only when the government decided to re-categorise all of these inter-urban DCs as motorways that this road-type became acceptable for new motorway builds.

    That re-categorisation was done partly for advertising purposes: everyone knows what a motorway/autoroute/etc. is, and the HQDCs were up to a standard that in other European countries would be used for motorway roads, so making these motorways instantly put lots of blue-lines on our road maps. That’s important for companies deciding whether a country has sufficient infrastructure for import and export of goods.

    Roads were the right priority: I think people forget how dangerous the road network was in the 1990s. In terms of rail, there was also a lot of backlog work that needed to be done, and that was carried out at the same time, even if, because of how tightly managed any railway is, this work wasn’t somthing that people saw. But, upgrading the rail network to continuously-welded track only happened in the mid/late 1990s; Kildare four-tracking and new Inter-city stock happened up to 2010, and then the money dried up for everything, road (M20) and rail (Metro) alike.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Busman Paddy Lasty


    Your detailed post has won me over. Please accept my apologies for not being precise with my posting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,429 ✭✭✭gjim


    I don't get your point here? 5 minutes of googling reveals any number of academic papers and articles on the correlation between transport infrastructure in general - and roads/motorways in particular - and prosperity and economic growth.

    Are you claiming a modern functioning state can operate with no inter-urban roads or motorways?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,917 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    One-way systems, closed loops to cars etc. To get public transport to SW Dublin City will require sacrificing cars.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,140 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Totally get that but what route would even be feasible?
    Anything like a bus gate or even turning one lane of a road into bud only requires enforcement which we don’t do as we don’t have ANPR cameras.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,917 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    We will have them by the time a LUAS SW is built, but it will be fun to see the people of Terenure and Templeogue rejecting a LUAS because of their precious cars.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,140 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    I don’t think it’ll be fun at all as it will fcuk up everyone else who actually wants a luas or a metro or even just an enforced bus lane built.

    But go ahead and enjoy your fun by all means.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69 ✭✭khamilton


    Why are you making a claim on my behalf instead of addressing what I actually wrote?

    Primary road network per capita is an important metric in measuring the development of a country, and it's accepted that some level of high quality road network is required for a modern economy. That doesn't mean adding even more motorways equals improving the economy. Separately, anyone who studies economics learns early on that correlation does not equal causation and that relying on correlation tends to result in mistaking a confounding variable for a causative one.

    If one looks at the Irish economy now versus 1990 when the motorway network was non-existent, it's easy to say "look! the motorways improved and so did our economy so one must follow the other!". If you actually look at the industries and areas where our economy is overwhelmingly based, not at all. Why would FDI care about a motorway network when it's overwhelmingly based on the service sector and in two large cities? Of course it wouldn't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,150 ✭✭✭prunudo


    It will be fun, because the crowd that jump up and down and who always proclaim to want to save the world, will out themselves and show themselves up for what we all know they are, nimbys. Metrolink, Luas or bus connects and all welcome until they impact on some people car use.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 249 ✭✭scrabtom


    Pharmaceuticals and medical devices are part of the services sector?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69 ✭✭khamilton


    Pharma and medical device sectors to a large extent predate our motorway network, which is evidence against the idea that "More roads magically create more growth". Separately, Pharma & Med Devices are a minority of FDI in Ireland representing somewhere around ~20% I believe.

    Lastly, I'll be happy if you can identify the causal relationship between our motorway length and FDI in Ireland: https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/IRL/ireland/foreign-direct-investment

    Is there a fourth user who wants to jump in?



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 23,740 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    Your graph here actually proves the point the others are making here!

    The European countries with the highest annual growth rates were all considered under-developed European countries in the 50/60/70/80's either because of poverty (Ireland/Greece/Portugal, the PIGS, but excluding Italy in this regard) or were behind the iron curtain during the cold war (e.g. Poland, Hungary).

    By comparison the the big rich Western countries like UK, France, Germany have much lower rates as they largely built most of their motorway networks in the 50's to 80's and since around the 70's have been more focused on public transport.

    Come the 90's with the fall of Soviet Union, and countries like Ireland and Portugal getting wealthier, all these countries went into major motorway building projects to catch up with where the likes of the UK/Germany, etc. had already been for decades.

    BTW Finland is an interesting case, many people think of it as a rich Northern European country, but it has really only become so in the last few decades like ourselves. Got invaded by Russia before ww2, was on the wrong side of ww2, so it didn't benefit from the Marshall Plan development money, neighbours with Russia, so had to stay "unaligned" until last year.

    Basically as "poor"/"underdeveloped" countries economies start improving, one of the first things they do is invest in good motorway networks, which in itself adds to the economic growth.

    Now our focus is on building out the public transport networks, which other richer countries have been building since the 70's if not earlier.

    BTW This doesn't just apply to roads, our infrastructure is/was behind in many other ways, broadband at least a decade if not more behind. Health care infrastructure, early education infrastructure etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,510 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    Your take on Finland is a little off - Finland was not in any way a “poor” country in the way that Ireland or Portugal were. Finland’s exclusion from the Marshall Plan was not due to being “on the wrong side”, but because the Soviet Union put pressure upon the country to refuse such aid: after all, Germany was on “the wrong side” of WW2 and was the third largest beneficiary of Marshall (Marshall offered money to all European nations: the communist countries refused; Finland was the only democratic nation to not receive any money - contrary to common belief, Ireland did receive a small sum from Marshall). You are correct to say that the USSR forced the country into some quite unfair trade arrangements under threat of another invasion attempt, but at the same time Finland freely traded with the world, grew a significant indigenous service and industrial economy, and experienced the same kind of economic growth as its western neighbours in the post-war decades. They certainly outperformed Ireland until the 1980s, when Finland’s economy got dragged down by those “Friendship and Brotherhood” deals with the rapidly dying USSR. While neither Ireland nor Finland was prospering by 1990, for the Finns this was a recent decline in fortunes, rather than the normal situation as it was here.

    This longer history of prosperity, combined with a different approach to resourcing and planning, shows in the way that Finland is decades ahead of us in infrastructure: the road network is mature and well-engineered - the relative lack of motorways until recently was more to do with Finland being a very sparsely populated country with well-developed urban public transport networks than any lack of money. Where it was needed, the infrastructure was built: Helsinki, slightly smaller than Dublin, has two motorway ring-roads. But generally speaking, traffic volumes are considerably lower than here, because of the longer distances between towns and cities. Over 45% of the Finnish passenger rail network is electrified (started in the early 1960s), and it already operates at running speeds that the All Ireland Rail Review aspires to achieve 20 years from now here; and Helsinki has had a metro since 1982. None of this was cheap, but the Finnish approach, like other Nordic countries, is that if something is going to be needed in future, it’s best to get started on it now, rather than getting caught out later.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,429 ✭✭✭gjim


    Why are you making a claim on my behalf instead of addressing what I actually wrote?

    What's with the attitude? I stated that I didn't understand your point and gave reasons why I found it confusing given the sources I mentioned. An invitation for you to expand on what ever point you were trying to make - specifically:

    I studied economics for many years and never came across anything that equated motorways with 'attracting FDI and the basic running of a country', perhaps you could provide a few references?

    I read this as a claim that being a prosperous ("well run") country was independent of the quality of itss roads or did I misunderstand you? If not, again I'll say: I don't understand your point?

    By the way, you're not the only person who is well educated here or is highly qualified in various fields from engineering to quantitative finance. Maybe it isn't what you intended, but the way you express yourself certainly suggests you think your background entitles you to express an opinion without challenge. That's not how discussion boards work.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 5,370 Mod ✭✭✭✭spacetweek


    This thread went way off-topic there and descended into personal sniping. I deleted the last few posts.

    This isn’t the place to talk about whether or not Ireland needed a motorway network. We’re here to talk about future routes for Metrolink.

    Back on topic!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 172 ✭✭OisinCooke


    In terms of the next Metrolink Route I’m very much an advocator of Tallaght - Coolock/Howth through the SW city and the North/NE region instead of Metro Orbital West or whatever they’re calling it these days. I would think that for what will be a mostly above ground, yet still grade separated route, a Luas Green Line (essentially a light metro) style approach is much more cost effective and useful and we should save our next Metro Line for another city-centre penetrating large commuter corridor.

    Correct me if I’m wrong, but I feel that the vast majority of the benefits of Metro West can be achieved with an orbital Luas along with the added interoperability with the rest of the network, all at a much lower price point then a metro. At the very most it should be built like the GL to semi-metro standards for a potential future upgrade if the need arises.

    This is just my thoughts on the matter, it’s in no way backed up a CBA or research but just from looking at the route, and the current price of ML. Any thoughts..?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 249 ✭✭scrabtom


    Is an above ground Metro much more expensive than a grade separated Luas?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,510 ✭✭✭KrisW1001


    Probably. Even if factors like maximum grade are the same (and I’m not sure they are - trams generally handle steeper slopes than trains), Metro is fully automated, so that may require a higher level of segregation than Luas, which means a more expensive build, and while Luas can get away with a “99% segregated” way if a small section if it would be prohibitively expensive, that option isn’t available with Metro.

    Also, each Metro train is going to be more expensive than a Luas tram. The lower operating costs of Metro, once built would even out that cost… but only if there’s enough passenger demand to fill the bigger metro trains: otherwise you’re wasting money on space that wasn’t needed.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 23,740 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    Nope, would be relatively similar costs. Though it would depend on what you mean by "grade separated Luas".

    Truly grade separated Luas, with bridge and lifts to get to the other platform rather then walking across the tracks as people do now and the cost would be pretty much the same, just some small differences like low floor versus high floor, etc.

    On the other hand, if you semi-grade separate, so junctions are separated, but you leave people cross the tracks at stations, so no need for bridges/lifts, that would probably save a bit.

    I agree though, if you are doing an orbital route that is grade separated, I'd just go Metro, specially if you do it fully automated, saves on operating costs long term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,429 ✭✭✭gjim


    Depends on what you mean but potentially much more expensive - the entire route has to be separated as a fully automated system cannot have any at-grade sharing of space with roads, footpaths, etc. Stations require platform screen doors and full separation with underpasses or overpasses, etc. to allow people and/or traffic to cross the alignment. A lot more expensive than laying tracks on existing roads and doing little more than constructing a stretch of heightened kerbs for the stops.

    The original Metrowest design wasn't metro anyway despite its name - it was more-or-less Luas - had sharp corners, on-road sections, etc. and journey times were not particularly impressive. It reflected the continuing strange fixation with putting the most expensive public transport infrastructure in the least dense places of the city. An combined bus/greenway/cycleway route linking the suburbs outside the M50 - with a new Liffey Valley bridge - would make a lot more sense, and would cost considerably less than dusting off the old Metrowest plan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,114 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    Why would you be sending anything like ML to Howth? 😵‍💫😵‍💫



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 172 ✭✭OisinCooke


    If it came to it, if the Howth Branch is being shuttelised anyway, it might make sense to convert it to high-frequency, high-capacity Metro, taking strain off the northern line with passengers changing onto a Connolly bound train at the junction, and also giving Howth residents a direct connection back to Dublin…? I know it’s not a concrete plan but I’ve heard the idea being tossed around on other subforums and honestly it doesn’t sound like the worst idea… if you’re ending the metro in Coolock, it would be worth it to extend to the DART for a connection at Howth Jnct and at that stage, I can’t see it not being worthwhile to convert the Howth Branch to Metro…?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,669 ✭✭✭✭salmocab


    I wouldn’t think they’d run a line to a physical dead end especially one not particularly densely populated. Without consulting a map heading toward balbriggan would be a better use. Even tying in with the northern line somewhere creating an alternative route for commuters than hugging the coast



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 5,370 Mod ✭✭✭✭spacetweek


    They are definitely not building the orbital west line as a Metro, they said it will be a Luas recently.

    I agree about Tallaght-Coolock or Beaumont being a good choice for Metro, optionally continuing all the way to Howth. Converting an old heavy rail line to driverless Metro might not be easy but it has been done, Sydney is doing it right now with the Bankstown line. It’s an old heavy rail alignment which I think was built in the 19th century and is being converted into a driverless Metro.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,917 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The numbers in Howth don't justify it. The shuttle is by far the best option and if the second Metro line was to terminate at Howth Junction, would be all that is required. There is no way the extra cost would meet a CBA.

    Most important thing for any second line would be interchange with other public transport.



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