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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Hang on doing the handouts like HAP, FTB etc and long term leases have done nothing but up prices for everyone who are buying and renting. What the state should be doing is scouring Europe for laborer's offering 1/2 year visas and giving them their tax back if they head off home after they have completed the work as an incentive if they don't we keep it and we need solutions that is not going to cost the tax payer a small fortune. Why are they not forcing developers who when building a new development that they must put 20/30%% modular homes on them and retrofit modular homes to any estate that has been built over the last 20/30 years. These can be built quickly and with a lot less expense. Let those on social housing lists and in social housing and refugees take these modular homes and let the houses that are freed up come on to the private market for rent and sale. This is the simplest, quickest, fairest and most cost efficient way of dealing with this and not one party is talking about it.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,673 ✭✭✭hometruths


    It's not a question of conceding a fact that I never disputed. New build numbers are up and that's great news.

    The only thing I disputed was your suggestion there was something dishonest in my opinion that the situation was worsening.

    I think it is worsening and explained why. You think it is improving and explained why.

    A difference of opinion, not a question of honesty. Let's agree to disagree and move on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Works out at 260k per unit in well located site in Limerick city suburbs.

    Meanwhile overpaid politicians and there community big wins. Is this the function of TD's



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,846 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    over paid? i wouldnt do it for 3 times the salary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,617 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The goal is to create affordable housing. The SF proposal will do that and then keep the asset in the "affordable pool", which is the policy goal in the end.

    Current state "affordable" homes are a one off subsidy to a homebuyer who can then later on sell at market value and pocket the difference.

    HTB works similarly, it's a subsidy to a homebuyer who gets an asset for below market price and then later can sell and pocket the difference.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,486 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    I'm not completely against any scheme that can aid first time buyers get on the property ladder in theory.

    However the theory doesn't always translate into reality. There are many homes on the 2nd hand market that were new builds 18 months ago. One development the 3 bed semi-d was 400k, purchasers with HTB paid 370k. House is now on the 2nd hand market for 515k, even returning 25k of the initial HTB payment back and accepting the asking price (won't happen) the owners are pocketing 120k.

    Just one major flaw with this system.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Fair point

    I suppose there are quite a few that can leverage the position and power to significantly increase income elsewhere.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Would be useful to have data on how frequently this occurs

    It looks like extremely high cost vote buying as well as pushing rents and prices to a level where a crash is inevitable



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    In my opinion, all politicians and senior public servants should have to publish all of their private investments, and no one should be allowed to invest in an area that they can influence through policy.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,673 ✭✭✭hometruths


    It does seem a lot of the opposition to the SF plan about not being free to sell the property on the open market is because this scenario of making 120k profit will no longer be possible.

    Which is pretty crazy if you think about it given the logic is supposed to be based on helping homes to be more affordable.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Its all about the narrative and that's what is going on now. FFG are in power for over 100 years. This is there skill backed up by an incredibly powerful lobby group(s). I see the minister on X this morning boasting about giving ftb's 100k of taxpayers money to buy a home (ftb grant 30k, average drawdown on first home scheme 70k)

    If you have a process that embeds affordability in sufficient stock, you only have to do this once, under FFG it's a continuous process that gets more expensive untill it crashes. Lobbyists and who they represent will be bailed out because there the "entrepreneurs" or we can't survive without banks

    Public sector workers and people who have lost there jobs will be scapegoats and shur we all went mad, who could have seen it coming and we repeat the process again



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭combat14


    just saw the 335k government bicycle shed today can't even begin to imagine what will happen if SF set up a state construction company



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    This is also why we're likely never to see a metro or a rail link to the airport.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,595 ✭✭✭tigger123


    I worked alongside the OPW for years in a state job (with similar project budgets) and I've never seen that kind of waste, or anything even close to it.

    There has to be more to that story than it appears.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    The goal is to create affordable housing. The SF proposal will do that and then keep the asset in the "affordable pool", which is the policy goal in the end.

    So why sell the house but not the land to a buyer?

    The most obvious solution is to keep the house owned by the state and get a tenant to sign a long-term lease.

    Houses remain in the affordable housing pool. That is the better solution rather this weird hybrid model that SF wants tto go with that will have all sorts of consequences for the buyer and state.

    Current state "affordable" homes are a one off subsidy to a homebuyer who can then later on sell at market value and pocket the difference.

    Which is why we should not be selling these houses off at all.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,673 ✭✭✭hometruths


    All sorts of consequences for the buyer and the state?!

    The consequences for the buyer is to own a house with a far cheaper mortgage than the rent they are currently paying and buying at a lower price also a cheaper mortgage than buying the house on the open market.

    The only downside is that they if they choose to sell the house they have to sell to somebody who is also wants these benefits rather than selling on the open market.

    If they're not happy with the downside they can buy a house on the open market. Nobody is stopping them.

    The consequences for the state is to create a pool of affordable houses to help those who earn too much to qualify for social housing but not enough to buy a house on the open market.

    And the consequences are long term as if the owner wishes to sell the state subsidy will help the next buyer as well.

    What's not to like?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,617 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Because leases long term or not are not nearly as permissive or flexible as home ownership, and don't encourage one to take care of your property nearly as much if it isn't actually yours and will get handed back at no cost in the end.

    Also no long term lease would ever work out as cost effective as home ownership unless said lease was same cost as mortgage interest only, which would never happen



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 247 ✭✭donnaille


    I'm not seeing how this is a flaw with the scheme? I also doubt somewhat the value increase is as extreme as your example - yes house prices have increased in the 18 month period, but struggling to see a buyer making 120k in this scenario.

    On the latter statement, did the original sale price include VAT - this is not included for new builds on the PPR. The house was also likely delivered close to builders finish, so the seller has likely made improvements to the home at a significant cost.

    On the former point, the seller pays back 25k on the HTB amount received (if they did receive the full HTB amount) - as per the terms of the scheme. How does the property price increase in that time have an impact here, the price could also have fallen in that period?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    So why sell the house but not the land to a buyer?

    The most obvious solution is to keep the house owned by the state and get a tenant to sign a long-term lease

    Its quite a smart solution by SF in one sense

    Upkeep and maintainence becomes the responsibility of the occupier. The ownership element reduces the risk of the estate falling into a rundown state as those that live there have greater stake in the estate



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Because leases long term or not are not nearly as permissive or flexible as home ownership,

    Renting is stricter than home ownership?

    Nonsense.

    encourage one to take care of your property nearly as much if it isn't actually yours and will get handed back at no cost in the end.

    You are now arguing against 100,000 homes that SF want to build that are social and affordable.

    The affordable purchase homes amount the 25,000. So SF is already going to do what I want them to, but for some reason, they lobbed in this weird affordable purchase scheme.

    Also no long term lease would ever work out as cost effective as home ownership unless said lease was same cost as mortgage interest only, which would never happen

    It depends on the figures, but SF are doing this anyway.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Do you realise that your argument is against the 100,000 social and affordable homes that SF are proposing?

    For that reason, do you think its a mistake to provide this number of social and affordable homes?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    No it does not, I said ownership reduces the risk of of the estate going into a run down state.

    There are multiple other methods of reducing the risk



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Exsctly.

    Earn over 90k as a couple and youre excluded from the SF homes.

    To add to the misery, the price of private homes will go up further, because the building resources are prioritising the social homes, meaning weaker supply of private homes and so increased prices.

    And to top it off, your help tp buy is gone, so good luck pulling together a deposit for your fast inflating private home.

    You'd want to be seriously thinking about asking the boss for a pay cut or demotion so you could get on the housing ladder.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Modular wont get planning permission and the state won't stigmatise social welfare claimants and asylum sekers by putting them in modular homes.

    Bringing in builders from abroad with tax incentives is a good idea, but there is nowhere for them to live, ironically.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    This is a good point in that the home "owner" will be liable for upkeep of the home. Given the "owners" are eanning below average salaries, will they be able to afford the upkeep?

    All works on the homes will be at private market rate and that aint cheap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Over what period are the 100k social and affordable homes built and where is the labour to deliver them via local authorities?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,673 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Interesting observation.

    What is the starting salary level at which you think people should be able to buy property given the cost of upkeep?

    AAnd presumably this concern regarding the unaffordable upkeep applies to any taxpayer subsidised purchase, or is just the S in fein model?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    There is a cleaner from Poland at my workplace who 6 years ago purchased a 2 bed city centre bungalow with her below median wage partner

    I'll ask her how there coping tomorrow

    Ref modular homes,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Not sure why taxpayers are being asked to fund 1 bed apartments for single adults on the housing list when most working taxpayers could never afford a 1 bed apartment to rent or buy. Offer them a house share

    Thanks for posting the breakdown



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,877 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Concert tickets, Leaving cert ordinary Level paper and the madness of multiple state institutions and systems blocking supply and critical infrastructure.

    Ask yourself the motivation of FFG in leading with demand side policies on housing while controlling multiple institutions and systems that restrict supply.

    Will housing get worse or better under these conditions?

    Your children in school know the answer



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