Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Sinn Fein and how do they form a government dilemma

1179180182184185391

Comments

  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 11,028 Mod ✭✭✭✭squonk


    There might be a bit of boredom with FF/FG They have both been in power for a long time at this stage and an electorate wanting a general change is right and to be expected. I think the stark choice for Kane though is that, right now, there is no option B.

    It could well be that SFs success in 2020 was based in genuine dissatisfaction and the hope that acting might be better. I did hear Pele saying “give them a chance”. The difference between them and now is that in 2020 we hadn’t seen a whole lot of who SF were and Pele weren’t really paying a lot of attention to their policies at that stage. That ask changed however I’ve they started to be seen as a viable party of opposition and potential next government senior partner.

    Now people were scratching the surface and the party were getting regular exposure it was easily seen there were poor policies and there are lots of destructive aspects to the policies.

    It’s a different world now than 2020 and nobody back then even the we’d be old where we are with wars abd resulting immigration. FF/FG have performed faulty well though all this and we’re still afloat as a country and doing fairly well. Nos people still would live a change but, for now, there isn’t a viable alternative as yet. There is so much that can go wrong at the moment that there is no appetite for voting in incompetents who will highly likely make things much worse for everybody.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Not exactly a swap, the 2 parties are the exact same in terms of policy. The only reason for the rotating head is because Michael Martin didn't want to be the first FF leader to not hold the office of Taoiseach

    It's for this reason exactly that FF and their next leader would enter as a junior party to SF or any other party for that matter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,105 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The problem for Sinn Fein is that parties like PBP WILL actually rule out going into government with FF and FG. So will independents - who will have a get-out clause of supporting the government from outside in individual deals.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,105 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    It happens many times. Two days ago they were all about how the local elections don't matter, today, suddenly, all at the same time, the message does a complete about-turn and it is all about how SF "won" the local elections by getting 11%!!!!! It is curious how the message gets out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,105 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    I think you just proved the other person's point.

    Leo Varadkar took FG from 35% in the polls to 20.9% and he is gone before the next general election - normal political party

    MLMD took SF from 37% in the polls to 11.9% and not only is she still there, but not a single SF representative is making any noise about it - not a normal political party.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,105 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    To be fair to Francie, during the 1970s and 1980s, he was voting for FF and FG, for the likes of Oliver J Flanagan and Charlie Haughey, he is on record as only voting for SF in 2019 for the first time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    He hung around long enough having brought them to 20%.

    If MLMD has to go after the LE's and getting 2 maybe 3 MEPs elected what the hell was Leo doing after coming third in 2020?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    and?

    I was suckered by Charlie as I was by Enda etc. (OJF didn't stand here and FG didn't get a vote from me until Enda took the reins)

    I suppose you were voting Green back then too but passionately defending FG? 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,761 ✭✭✭standardg60


    Prior to the election the discussion was the poor polls for SF, we were told to wait for the election as that was the only valid poll. Now the poor polls have been confirmed, in fact the actual vote is way worse, suddenly there's more excuses..

    On NT this morning Boylan proclaimed it was actually a great result as SF had increased their seats over 2019, and then said they would look into what went wrong in the exact same election🤷.

    These people are spoofers, all they know is to repeat what they've been told to say by unknown internal structures. There is not an independent thought among them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Vote up and two maybe 3 MEPs compares favourably with how any party has done. And SF had a bad day.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,761 ✭✭✭standardg60


    Polls went from 36% to 24% and in the actual election which you said was the only thing that mattered went to 11%!

    The election was a disaster to anyone with an ounce of sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Where did I predict the outcome of this election?

    That is you and blanch who have said this.
    Put uo or shut up.
    I did say that a GE was a different beast to LE’s and EU elections and they are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,644 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    If you were "suckered" (your word, not mine) once for many years by FF, and suckered by FG for years, has it never occured to you you have also been suckered by SF, who are the ultimate masters of spin, deception and lying in the country? Evem their / your leader for most of the past 40 years says he was never in the IRA : almost nobody believes him.

    But you expect others to believe you never voted for SF for the vast bulk of your life, but all of a sudden you had a conversion and all of a sudden supported SF to the extent you have over 60,000 posts passionately for them?

    Incredible, because most people do not change politics like that, or if they do change they for example may go from left wing parties when they were relatively poor ( eg in third level college ) to centre parties as they get older / more affluent / better understanding of the ways of the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    On the leader - I have said before, I don't think it matters whether he was in the IRA or not. I can understand why he would not be in it - and I can see why he would be in it. I am quite well aware that some SF members were in the IRA.

    On voting for them - I am not unique. SF's vote has massively increased over the years, while the vote share of FG and FF has fallen from 86% to just over 40% and is still falling.
    So, I hate to tell you, many people are being 'converted' and are 'suddenly voting' for SF and other parties. Any informed politics watcher would know this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,105 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You make a very good point. Once a sucker, always a sucker.

    When it comes to some people, only the party fooling them changes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,644 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    A lot of the increase of the SF vote in this state from say 2 or 3% during the troubles to say 12% or whatever in recent elections is due to a higher % of young people than previously now voting for SF because of their opinions on housing, healthcare, cost of living, protest vote against the government, whatever. Usually people do not change their spots, or if they do they get slightly more right wing (compared to their youth) as they enter their sixties or old age : they do not become passionately left wing at that stage of life to the extent of posting non stop on social media?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    As I said in previous post.

     Any informed politics watcher would know this.

    They would also know where the parties are attracting support from:

    In the 18-24-year-old age group, Sinn Féin has 31.8% support, compared to Fine Gael’s 15.5% and Fianna Fáil’s 13.6% (and the Green Party’s 14.4%).

    Among 25-34-year-olds, SF has 31.7%, FG has 17.3% and FF has 15.2%.

    Among 35-49-year-olds, SF has 22%, FG has 21.1% and FF gas 21.8%.

    Among 50-64-year-olds, SF has 22.8%, FG has 22.3% and FF has 22.7%.

    In the 65+ age group, SF support drops to 12.2% – well behind FG (30.2%) and FF (29.7%).

    I would be in the company of this 22.8% of others, so I am not unique in any shape or form.

    Among 50-64-year-olds, SF has 22.8%, FG has 22.3% and FF has 22.7%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Does raise the question of why they have done so badly if this is their support. I know the turnout was below 50% could it be down to lower voting numbers in the younger age brackets? I'm sure it's a factor at least

    If SF could get younger people out voting they'd storm to victory

    Interestingly in the Limerick Mayoral elections the vote winner has effectively copied one of the SF policies of more housing as his main policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I am sure they will look hard and review why they didn't do better. It's what any political party would do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,105 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    And there was I thinking that opinion polls didn't matter.

    Those figures relate to an old opinion poll that is clearly out of date and wrong, based on what happened last Friday.

    Remember you told us before last Friday that the ballot box was the only thing that mattered.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,328 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Except SF dont have a costed plan to deliver more housing.

    If you want more housing, the current govt are far more likley to oblige than SF; with SF planning to restrict investment funds from construction projects, therefore removing the majority financing of new home schemes.

    That policy is only going to send new home builds one way. And it isn't upwards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Opinion polls are out of date almost as soon as they are conducted. That is why they are continually done blanch.

    The poster seemed to think SF only had support in one or two age groups. How wrong they were.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Based on their track record I highly doubt the current govt are more likley to solve the housing crisis than SF. The schemes you mentioned simply aren't working so new ideas are needed. Did you ever think that investment funds need to be restricted from construction projects because they are unrestricted at the moment and it isn't working



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,328 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    If you can explain where the alternative funding comes from to deliver the projects, please go ahead.

    We are all still waiting for anyone, including SF, to answer that question.

    Just because you change an approach does not mean your new alternative will be more effective.

    Remember that the current govt are upping projections towards the 50k new mark now. So although the 33k homes delivered last year is not where we need to be, it is on an upward trajectory & with further large rises planned for and expected.

    Commemcement notices for 2024 are up over 600% vs same period last year, so the proof of uptick is there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    If you can explain where the alternative funding comes from to deliver the projects, please go ahead.

    We are all still waiting for anyone, including SF, to answer that question.

    The country is currently awash with money. If corporations paid the proper amount of tax there would be more again to go around.

    Just because you change an approach does not mean your new alternative will be more effective.

    But if you don't change your approach you definitely won't get better results

    Remember that the current govt are upping projections towards the 50k new mark now. So although the 33k homes delivered last year is not where we need to be, it is on an upward trajectory & with further large rises planned for and expected.

    Commemcement notices for 2024 are up over 600% vs same period last year, so the proof of uptick is there.

    We've been hearing for years about how "next year we will build (insert big impressive figure here) new homes" and the target always gets missed. We needed 30,000 new homes per year back around 2018 and that target finally got reached 5 years later, the govt and supporters must be cracking the champagne bottles only being 5 years late!

    To be fair though, welcome if it happens



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,644 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You say "If corporations paid the proper amount of tax there would be more again to go around." The thing is, if the tax rate was higher here then a lot less tax would be collected : we are known as a tax haven of the world and the reason Apple etc pay a lot of their worldwide tax here is because tax rates are so low.

    SF and their comrades have gone to other regimes around the world for co-operation and inspiration. See how successful Venezuala, Libya, Cuba, North Korea etc are at extracting money from multi-nationals / creating wealth in their countries?

    See how quick so many of the biggest multi-nationals ( Meta, Google, Intel, Siemens, IBM, VW, Amazon etc ) moved when Paddy the CEO of the web-summit made a few lefty comments - they were not long suddenly boycotting his web-summit then, having booked to attend.

    https://www.politico.eu/article/paddy-cosgrave-web-summit-ceo-europe-tech-conference-resign-israel-hamas-comment/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    The tax rate doesn't need to be higher it just needs to be implemented properly. Apple paid the equivalent of 0.5% tax on their profits, that can't be much help to the country even if it did completely disappear tomorrow



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,644 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Apple is the largest taxpayer in the world, paying over $35 billion worldwide in corporate income taxes in the last three years. Apple pays taxes in every country where they sell their products. You are aware of transfer pricing, and the fact the commission declared that Apple owed €13.1 billion in unpaid taxes to Ireland for the period between 2003 and 2014 (when Apple changed its structures), as well as €1.2 billion in interest?

    No wonder many think of Ireland as the tax haven of the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    They paid an effective tax on their profits of 0.005%. I paid 45% taxes on my income (not my profits) last year. It's a tax haven for some but not for all



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,201 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    It's a tax haven for some but not for all

    Probably the pesky Shinners fault. 😁



Advertisement