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Increase in road deaths - questions need to be asked

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,366 ✭✭✭mikeecho


    There are commenters here advocating that phones be confiscated, cars seized and lots of harsh draconian measures.

    But in reality, the Irish psych is that the law shouldn't apply to me, only others.

    And if I am caught.. how do I get out of it, what's the loophole.

    Plenty of threads on here demonstrating that attitude.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,683 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    The funny thing is, that you're absolutely right.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,385 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    This is a typical attempt to cover over a serious problem. Those are legal limits for learner drivers and professional drivers and the latter make a significant part of the mileage on the road. However, it is also clear that there is a strong or relationship between alcohol or drugs and accidents. If you stop people on all days at all times of the day then you will not find 37% with that amount of alcohol in their blood. Many people do not drink heavily and only have that level in their blood for less than 5% of the week, some others do drink at all or very rarely. As for cocaine, only 3% of Irish adults use cocaine in the year, and for many of those that use is not every week and certainly not every day. Even if it could be detected the day after or whatever even in that 3% there would be no detection on most days for most people. So having 13% of drivers in accidents with cocaine instead of 1.3% in the population is a huge indication of a problem.

    Obviously other people in accidents did not have drugs in their blood, so there are other problems of bad driving. The diversity of these problems makes it hard to tackle, but we need checkpoints and and disqualifications and we need people found guilty of these offences to be required to use an in car breathalyser for a long period.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,848 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Call them incidents or crashes or collisions or whatever but we all should not be calling them accidents!

    They are the end result of bad decisions but they're not accidents!



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    "Some of the top speeds detected by gardaí were 126km/h in a 50km/h zone in Dublin 5"

    That should be an instant driving ban. Double the speed limit, straight off the road, jail time wouldnt harm either.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/more-than-2600-people-found-speeding-over-bank-holiday-weekend-6342968-Apr2024/



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,385 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,273 ✭✭✭kirving


    I'm not attempting to cover up a problem - it very clearly exits in that there are a disproportionate number of dead drivers who have intoxicants in their system. I'm pointing out that even when we know that, the data is continuously presented in a very cagey manner, with lots of omissions, and caveats which effectively state that a positive result may not mean impairment, and no link back to whether impairment was a causation factor in a collision.

    1.3% might use cocaine, but when correlating for A) young drivers B) night time at the weekend C) outside cities with lack of public transport I suspect the number would more closely match. The studly below says 10.5% of 15-24yo used Cocaine in the last month, and we know that young people, at night, in rural area are involved in a greater number of fatal collisions.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/social-affairs/2022/06/08/cocaine-use-by-young-women-rising-significantly-study-finds/

    Again, this it not to dismiss the problem, and perhaps the causation factor for 13% of fatal collisions on weekend nights IS cocaine, as opposed to just being a correlation with poor roads and poor driving training, but we can't tell that from the data either.

    Without knowing that, then we can't know that enforcement alone would solve the problem, and dismiss infrastructure improvements and improved training.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,385 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    Enforcement alone will not solve the problem, but it will help significantly for certain issues.

    As for the presentation of data, have a few random checkpoints with checks, establish that only 3% of people or whatever are over 20Mg and then point out that 37% of dead drivers do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,273 ✭✭✭kirving


    Absolutely, just do that baseline in the same conditions. Really what I'm trying to get at here is that almost every collision has multiple causation factors, and eliminating drink for example wouldn't cut deaths by 37%



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    Csn you backup any of your claims about drivers and workers with evidence

    You've been posting a lot of polemic without evidence



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,224 ✭✭✭creedp


    It seems to me that reading your contribution over multiple threads everyone other than yourself and cyclists in general are idiots. Must be nice to be on that pedestial



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    Seems that way

    Apparently he reports drivers using his head cam footage if I recall

    Posting above if I recall that construction workers are responsible for site accidents which blatantly isn't true



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,173 ✭✭✭✭Stark


    This is the kind of **** that annoys me when the likes of the RSA/Gardaí go on about how you can take responsibility for your own safety by wearing hi-viz/helmet etc. **** all good those things will do you when the likes of above ploughs through you. If they were engaged in good faith efforts to tackle the likes of above then fair enough but when there's **** all being done, then any well intentioned advice being given to the victims who are going to be knocked down and killed by these cretins is just patronising and infuriating.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,683 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    Not really. There's lots of idiot cyclists out there, and indeed, most cyclists are motorists too, so they're literally the same people. I'm not trying to pretended that cyclists are great, lovely and careful people while motorists are not. They're literally the same people.

    The difference is the equipment. If you screw up when you're supposed to be controlling a tonne or two of metal travelling at 20-150 kmph, the outcomes are dramatically different to screwing up when you're supposed to be controlling a 10-20kg bike travelling at 10-30 kmph.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,683 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    Duplicate post, thanks to Vanilla upgrade screwing up handling of quotes.

    Post edited by AndrewJRenko on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,034 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    It is not just young drivers

    Older idiot drivers not using indicators or overtaking at turns or not knowing where they are going, as likely not from the area or speeding are also factors

    If caught speeding, drunk or drug driving, automatic 5 to 10 year road ban imho



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 552 ✭✭✭Mac 3


    We have a concentrated effort of speed vans and speed traps on the main roads fining people doing just over the speed limit.

    Meanwhile in the sticks, theres footage from Sneem over the weekend of an 06-D Renault Modus driving on the wrong side of the road after crossing a continuous white line. Driver carries on through Sneem and when he stops and is challenged, he walks away. Couldn't give a toss.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,683 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    What claims? The road death data is absolutely clear, in Ireland and everywhere in the world.

    The common denominator in 99% of road deaths is the motor vehicle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,683 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 682 ✭✭✭ARX


    I see Belgium is near the top of the table. I was there recently - people do mad stuff like obeying 30 km/h speed limits and stopping for pedestrians at pedestrian crossings. I had to make sure that if I stopped walking to look at my phone, I wasn't anywhere near a pedestrian crossing, or else drivers would stop to let me cross when I didn't intend to.

    The standard of driving in Belgium used to be really bad. Apparently they've managed to improve it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭AyeGer


    Fully agree, we have a sizeable number of the population who will do what they can get away with. I think a great measure of a countries civility is if they can have honesty boxes and people don’t rob it or take the piss. I couldn’t see them working very well in Ireland unfortunately.

    Back to our roads, I was out this morning and let a woman in a big BMW jeep out a junction so I was behind her for a portion of my journey home. First junction we met she was looking at her phone while waiting for the chance to go, didn’t bother indicating which way she was going, didn’t bother indicating at the next turn and same for the last one before we headed in different directions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    A significant proportion of serious accidents do involve young drivers and more than enough to justify targeting that area.

    I see it in our own lad, a touch too much confidence in his own ability that is not merited and will be tempered by experience.

    I was a bit like that too once, not quite erring on the right side of judgement. Couple of near misses and some minor mishaps changed that in time. I've seen it in neighbours kids, going that bit too quick until they or one of their buddies prangs and is either injured or worse.

    One of the issues with younger, partc male drivers is that they are inclined to assume that everyone else on the road is as 'good' as they are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,707 ✭✭✭Uncle Pierre


    You must have missed the discussion that followed when another user first posted that infographic three weeks ago.

    Have a look back at the top of page 15 of this thread, and you'll see how the European Commission (who published that infographic) also published the following table on the same day:

    image.png

    As I pointed out in that earlier discussion, the finding here is that even in spite of the percentage increase from 2019, Ireland is still one of the safest in terms of fatalities per population, with only five of the EU27 having a lower death rate and only three being significantly lower.

    Please also refer to page 15 before coming back with one of your likely replies, as you'll probably find it was already dealt with there too.

    Main point of that earlier discussion was reasonable people agreeing that one data point taken in isolation is often misleading. I know you've a long track record in either simply not understanding or not considering the broader statistical context, or perhaps deliberately misrepresenting it, but thankfully others have a greater understanding of such things.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,707 ✭✭✭Uncle Pierre


    And on this one - seems you'd start an argument with yourself in an empty room.

    Here, you say you're not trying to pretend that motorists aren't great, lovely and careful people.

    But back in post #679, you came out with a blanket statement of "Drivers are dangerous".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,683 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    None of which changes the dreadful facts that we've sat back and watched our road deaths rates climb by 31% over four years, and a further 25% this year to date, while other countries around Europe have mostly continued the downward reduction in deaths.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,683 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    Of course drivers are dangerous. Have you seen what's happening on our roads at all?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,268 ✭✭✭Allinall




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,385 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    We cannot totally eliminate road fatalities and injuries. But it would be negligent not to eliminate that increase.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 273 ✭✭GPoint


    You spent too much time watching Covid statistics few years ago.

    People were dangerous virus bags that time, now they are dangerous drivers.

    Every single one of them ?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,707 ✭✭✭Uncle Pierre


    Belgium is another example of how just one data point can be misleading.

    Their position near the top of that table is due to their number of road deaths falling from 644 in 2019, to 483 in 2023.

    Yet, as the other table shows, that's still a death rate of 43 people per million, compared to our 35.

    So, rely on just the first data point, and you'd conclude Belgium is a shining example to us, despite how their death rate is still worse than ours.

    Rely on just the second data point, and you'd conclude we've nothing to learn from a country with a worse record than ours, despite how they've greatly improved things in recent years.

    Hopefully it's clear by now why no such graphic or table should ever be taken in isolation, without considering the broader context.



This discussion has been closed.
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