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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    10 -12 billion military aid over 5 years but thanks to Orban it's now going to be reviewed every year



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Ok, so unless I'm mis-reading it looks like Orbán got a concession; that the EU would no longer suspend EU funding in cases where obvious breaches in the rule of law were taken by a member country.

    So if I am reading it correctly, that's a bit of a blow to member states' accountability, or guard-rails against exactly the kind of democratic backsliding Orbán is conducting. So great news for the funding, not so great news for future checks & balances. Perhaps the EU has a different angle they can take.

    What are the 2020 rule of law conclusions referenced in the compromise?

    As part of today’s deal, leaders agreed to state in their summit conclusions that “the European Council recalls its December 2020 conclusions on the application of the conditionality mechanism.”

    Why is this relevant for Hungary’s Viktor Orbán?

    In 2020, the leaders agreed to create a new mechanism which allow the bloc to suspend EU funding to a member state in a scenario when breaches of the principles of the rule of law affect or seriously risk affecting the sound financial management of the EU budget or the bloc’s protection of the financial interests.

    The mechanism was later triggered to suspend part of Hungary’s EU funding.

    In the 2020 conclusions, leaders stressed that “the Union budget, including Next Generation EU, must be protected against any kind of fraud, corruption and conflict of interest.”

    At the time, they noted that “the application of the conditionality mechanism under the Regulation will be objective, fair, impartial and fact-based, ensuring due process, non discrimination and equal treatment of Member States.”




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It should mean greater checks and balances no , instead of just sending several billion per year for the next 5 year's it now going to be reviewed yearly and anyone of the 27 can then object or ask to make changes going forward,one of things Orban wanted was the EU to disperse the funds themselves rather than it all going directly to Kiev with no oversight, and it's not as if Ukraine doesn't have access to funds already,

    For me the biggest issue there was no plan B and at one point it could have been sent to all 27 countries Parliaments for discussion and voting on first which might not have actually worked out in ukraines favour at all , there should be a Plan A,B,C,D,E at least rather than one and done then what



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    The snippet I shared was from a 2020 decision re. EU Funding held from countries whose rule of law was slipping; that, if I'm reading it right, is the pertinent bit that may have persuaded Orbán to stop blocking the Ukraine funding - the promise that the overall EU funding won't be at risk now.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    He might be getting his covid funds in return too , this was all game to him



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,661 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    If he got something (like billions more funding released, or even some assurance he is safe from Article 7 and a promise no more funds will be cut) it is depressing. I don't know if leaders are realising the damage they are doing by cowardice, and not facing down these leeches.

    The only negative our cautious liberal/democratic leaders like Varadkar etc. seem to consider is the big stink these people will create when they are finally challenged, they don't weigh properly (IMO) the damage done by indulging them again and again, and bowing to blackmail.



  • Site Banned Posts: 899 ✭✭✭I.am.Putins.raging.bile.duct


    Just saw the footage of the attack on the missile cruiser Ivanoets. Catastrophic explosion and heavy listing afterwards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,703 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    Nice to see the EU stepping up there.

    Seems Johnson still taking the piss in the US though. Although I don't think the full details of the bill have been released yet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,661 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Unfortunately I don't believe anything for Ukraine is going to get through their Congress before the US election now. I hope I am wrong.

    I have become cynical that Republican party are not worried about it, and calculate that a Ukraine collapse of some sort, Ukraine being forced to humiliating terms by Russia etc. could actually be successfully blamed on the president and the Biden admin. (!) should it happen.

    They must be thinking those inside a conservative filter bubble + listening to the "right wing noise machine" for news would buy that narrative.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I don't think it's a question of the GOP wanting Ukraine to collapse, the problem is that by all accounts Biden is proposing to solve the border - and Trump has panicked & shaking down the GOP to stop it 'cos HE wants to be the one to solve the border crisis. If Biden gets this bill through then he gets to claim "I fixed the problem" in the November run-up; if it's stymied then Turnip can continue to blather on about the hordes of brown people invading, and that only he can fix it (even though he had 4 years to do so but hey-ho).

    Ukraine is unfortunate collateral in all this 'cos as we've seen, the local economies appear to be doing well enough for all the increased spending on US armaments. But such is TRump's control of the GOP, and that party's obsession with immigration, that this bill is dragging Ukraine alongside it. Like government shutdowns I think it'll get there, it's just the charade of noise needs to happen first (and if possible, Trump is sidelined too in the process)




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 4,924 ✭✭✭thomil


    Just saw it now myself. Looks like they aimed right under the SSM launch tubes, which would explain the catastrophic damage. Those missiles are designed to take out ships much larger than the Tarantul class herself, which is on the small side even for a corvette. If even one of them was set off by a USV, that should be enough to set off the second missile on the same side of the ship as well.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,076 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Bearing in mind that the EU is a complex, multi State collective, organised and governed by a massive body of laws which restrict Member States in how they can act... what is it that you would have the rest of the 'cautious liberal/ democratic' (is that a bad thing??) EU leaders do, that they are allowed to do, under EU law?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,185 ✭✭✭Polar101


    Sure, some of it may be, but I don't see a NATO invasion of Russia on the cards because of that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,965 ✭✭✭rogber


    A good couple of days for Ukraine with the EU aid package and some impressive hits on Russian military infrastructure. Much more of this needed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,223 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Russian MI8 helicopter crashed in Syria

    Naval ship sunk

    Fighter jet downed

    EU Funding agreed

    Carlsberg don't do February's...

    Now hurry up and show me footage of these new glide bombs Ukraine.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,844 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    That was insane footage. You don't normally see multiple drones attacking so successfully.

    Did it technically blow up or sink! You kinda wish one drone stayed, lying in wait for another ship to arrive to investigate.

    If the claim that it's an old video is true (I can't recall seeing footage like that before) it can easily be proven with a link to the old footage.

    That's 20% of the black sea fleet destroyed in total, based on tonnage by Ukraine.... Without a navy!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    That's 20% of the black sea fleet destroyed in total, based on tonnage by Ukraine.... Without a navy!

    This war is gonna prove somewhat pivotal I feel, just purely in terms of how influential drones can be on the battlefield when applied smartly and with strategic nous. You'd imagine a lot of military boffins are gonna pour over how and when they're being used. But on top of that: does it kinda prove you can protect your waters with drones & drones alone? Cos while you'd still probably want some ships to chase down drug/people smugglers or pirates, actual offensive action seems perfectly manageable with a supply of drones.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,052 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    A drone navy! Surface and below? The Atlantic would be a far harsher environment but could be done..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They are already working on a submersed version, but you can bet the likes of the Chinese looking very closely at these attacks, the Americans were already working on armed drone vessels for harbour and coastal patrols,I get the feeling that advisers in Ukraine were more than a helping hand in the design and construction of these new toys ,



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,661 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Caution is a good thing usually, not always, maybe not in current circumstances.

    Liberal and democratic is always a good thing, unfortunately politicians like this around Europe and survival of their values are are under severe threat from movements like that of Victor Orbán, and from Russia itself of course.

    What I would prefer to more concessions to Hungary over Ukraine would be for final stage of Article 7 (I think all the other steps are in place already) to be used by the rest of the Council to remove their voting rights.

    If any country or countries back them up and prevent this, I suppose those who want to support Ukraine will have to go outside the current EU structures to fund Ukraine. That is not ideal but better than kowtowing to Orbán yet again (I don't know if they did that).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,076 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    I've been thinking that myself, but presumably they'll come up with anti-drone technology and equipment pretty quickly. When there's billions of hardware, jobs and investment on the line, you can be sure the boffins will be put to work



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,076 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    It's particularly hard to stomach seeing that oaf getting anything for his shystering. I'd support any measures that were designed to prevent the entire spirit of the EU from being torpedoed from within.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,223 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    That was a big explosion that finished it off. Hopefully it was full of AA missiles and missiles destined for Ukraine. Kill 2 birds with one stone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The way he likely sees this is he put his country first over and the EU and Ukraine,I think the idea of giving every parliament a discussion and vote on the subject scares the EU , while EU leaders will show a United Front there would be zero guarantee the population of EU states support those views ,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,052 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    You can make out on the footage small splashs from what must be 'machine gun' fire from the ship.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,852 ✭✭✭zv2


    Rotten flour for rotter shells. Seems fair to me.


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It looks like the Chinese are threatening the Ukraine to stop Chinese companies from being added to the sponsors of war list





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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,052 ✭✭✭saabsaab




This discussion has been closed.
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