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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,016 ✭✭✭jmreire


    And a list of recent fires, particularly in or near refineries or similar oil / gas operations,




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,380 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    I don't understand why Russia after discovering a tunnel under Avdiivka would plan this attack over 6 months and only send 150 troops behind these unbreakable lines. Surely they should have sent 500 at least.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,330 ✭✭✭RGARDINR


    I presume it was they weren't sure it would work, if Ukraine noticed it they might of thought they might collapse the tunnel and kill 150 instead of 500 troops in 1 go. More they should of been fast to get more troops in if it was a success. But maybe drones stop it as they could of been thinking Ukraine would notice more troops in that sector or something? Still sadly it was a smart move on Russia that seemed to have worked out for them, smart isn't usually something you say with Russian military tactics in this war but in this case it was a risk but paid off for them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,621 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    We are well and truly back to WW1 with artillery barrages, trench warfare and now tunnel warfare

    There is not a notion they killed 300 people from it though!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Imagine if they did send 500 through the tunnels ,100-150 eliminated 500 killed or injured now multiply that number several times over with a larger force running amok inside Ukrainian lines , what ever the plan for the Russians was it seem to have worked they breached the Ukrainian lines and have gained another foothold inside of adviika



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,246 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    So is the consensus here that there was no tunnel breakthrough and/ or no significant loss on the Ukrainian side?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,759 ✭✭✭macraignil


    Probably too late for that but since I'm not getting a reply to my request for any reputable source for this claimed confirmation that some tunnel had allowed putin's troops take up new positions the latest update I could find simply refers to claims the moskovytes are said to be using the tactic of digging tunnels under positions of the Ukrainian armed forces in the houses to the south of the city and packing them with explosives so they can increase the area of rubble just as is happening across Ukraine from their use of artillery. The article can't confirm the pro putin bloggers claims and an independent analysis group on the war describes movement in the area as "marginal tactical advances during intensified offensive efforts"

    Do we actually know if any significant number of putin's troops moved through a tunnel to a new position in the Adiivka area?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    People are confused,it happened Russia made some gains through it , other people have said it happened , the usual suspects no ,no ,no It didn't happen,it couldn't have happened,but yet again here we are ,



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    There's a logic in it, making the convicts stay the full term implies less will return to Russian society, so they solve two problems at the same time. Also keeps the Muscovites further away from the Russian version of Uncle Sam.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,454 ✭✭✭zv2


    Russia needs to take a page out of the Hamas book and start living underground, lol.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,415 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    We can certainly question your claim 300 Ukrainians were killed and 200 wounded.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,454 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,016 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The Ukrainian war might be considered a roaring success at this stage, and on other fronts too. Moscow needs 2 million + workers to keep the city (maintenance) and commercial side of things running. It has gotten so bad that even though Putin was paying soldiers up to 3 times the average salary, commercial interests have pushed salaries even higher in direct competition with Putin for staff. Ah, all said and done, it's been a great start to 2025 for Ukraine. Not so good for Putin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    I think the that the sewer story may indeed have happened. My own assumption and that is an assumption mind you, is that this avdiivka salient which is in the process of collapsing at the moment as you can see at the tight neck:

    Salient.png

    Is potentially explained by the sewer story.

    Now after that what we have is our local sewer pipe style poster @Gatling claiming that somehow Ukraine lost what? Over a platoon? Half a brigades worth of soldiers in a single move somehow? Based on nothing more than, from what I can see, one twitter post and one video where some Ukrainians can be heard saying "200" and "300".

    And again I could be wrong here, I'll always caveat but there's a few things that I think make that extremely unlikely:

    • I just don't see the Ukranian army being so incompetent as to have 2-300 frontline soldiers in one area of the map that could be encircled by a single underground tunnel move. And nothing on the Deepstate map shows said encirclement so far.
    • Losing 300 soldiers in a single attack would be hitting more mainstream levels of news. So far we have one twitter video confirmed? Which doesn't actually confirm anything like this. There was mention of more trusted twitter accounts earlier but when I asked these were not provided.
    • UAF operational silence has been good at obfuscating their losses so far but I just don't see over a platoon of soldiers being wiped in an afternoon as being possible to sweep under the rug. At this point you're approaching Azovstal Steel plant siege levels of encirclement.
    • The "300" and "200" comment is more easily explained by Soviet codes for casualties. I'm sure Ukraine did lose people as they do every day on the lines.

    Then of course since then we've had a few fantastical pie in the sky scenarios about somehow Russia catching hundreds of Ukranians in the same building and killing them all.

    [Mod Snip]

    Is it possible? Yes. But i'll wait for more than a few seconds of a conversation in a video and the word of a few internet contrarians before I believe it the next Azovstal steel plant scenario just occured.

    Post edited by Ten of Swords on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,016 ✭✭✭jmreire


    And solves the ever-increasing problem of having to replace them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,016 ✭✭✭jmreire


    If the prison supply of conscripts had not already started to dry up, this would finish it for sure! Exchanging a non to comfortable Russian prison but alive, for a war zone until the end of the war. with very odds of not surviving? Het Spasibo.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,246 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Thanks for at least responding to my post. I find it ironic that others who are so quick to dismiss any bad news with the usual "where are your sources" and "you never answered my question" are very slow to actually commit an opinion of their own.

    Yours is well presented and as good a chance of being accurate as anything I've read. Certainly as the days progress and there's no more detail leaking out the more positive the picture looks.

    I just don't get the desperation to jump on any link to a possible bad-news story on here. Yet we get twitter link after twitter link with reports of Russian losses, none of which are questioned. Which is fine... it's just an online discussion forum, not the editorial committee for the Washington Post. It's a bit like analysing reported losses - Ukrainian figures (c. 375k casualties) are taken, not just as fact, but have been spun in the last couple of days as "Russian casualties close to half a million". Whereas someone else suggests that unless there's official confirmation from the Ukrainians of losses, they can't be verified.

    This isn't aimed at you at all, but there seems to be a serious case of "Reds under the Bed" fear on here when it comes to analysing reports coming out of Ukraine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,415 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    People don't generally dismiss bad news, but when posters quote a tweet and say (without any evidence in the tweet) that 300 Ukrainians were KIA and 200 wounded, it's not too much to ask for some source for the claim of the figures. Figures that high should be backed up by some/source.

    Same poster is very quick to question other people sources.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Yes Ted I did provide a photo as you well remember



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    Thanks for at least responding to my post. I find it ironic that others who are so quick to dismiss any bad news with the usual "where are your sources" and "you never answered my question" are very slow to actually commit an opinion of their own.

    I'm not sure I'd say it's ironic. It's very easy to make fantastical claims with little evidence. So I refrain from doing that where possible. I come to this thread for news updates. But it's very grating when the thread is being scuttered by certain posters who only seem to post bad news and do so with the bare minimum of evidence or none at all. While at the same time childishly sniping at others who do the same but with good news. Blind to their own hypocrisy.

    However I'm not unbiased and anyone reading any of my posts where I make any claims should not take my words at face value. In fact I'd encourage the opposite.

    I just don't get the desperation to jump on any link to a possible bad-news story on here. Yet we get twitter link after twitter link with reports of Russian losses, none of which are questioned.

    I understand well enough. Ukraine are waging a war on all our behalf where the very idea of democracy and fairness globally is on the line. I'm not exaggerating when I say that I won't be rushing to bring any kids into this world if Ukraine is simply left to die slowly. Either through incompetence, greed or apathy. So I'm happy to admit my bias. As I'm sure others are. So when I see good news I hope that it's true and wait for more confirmation.

    So when I see others that consistently post only bad news I have to question their motives. Do they want Russia to win? Are they just edgy contrarians who don't care and internet clout is the best thing going in their lives? In any case there's a simple fact to be known. Russia lies. A lot. About everything. The same can't be said to the same degree about Ukranian sources. So any good news for Russia has to be filtered through that lens in my opinion.

    And in any case if you ever feel like seeing the scale of Russian losses and you have a strong stomach, head on over to the combat footage reddit. I'll reiterate it's not for the faint of heart. It's not completely possible to verify each and every combat kill Ukraine claims(and perhaps it never will be) but there isn't a day that goes by where new footage of scores of Russian soldiers being drone grenaded or columns of armor being shredded by javelins, mines and artillery doesn't show up. So I'd well believe Ukraines numbers are close enough. Sooner than I'd believe anything from the Kremlin anyway.

    But sure don't take my word for it. I'm just an internet pleb.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 877 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    You are confusing profits with revenues. 40% reduction isn't that bad given the reduction in gas price.

    As a comparison they made 16bn profit in 2019.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 518 ✭✭✭SoapMcTavish


    I assume you mean that Russia is a carcass ?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,124 ✭✭✭Mike3549


    Why are you calling him ted? Is this some kind of father ted reference?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,016 ✭✭✭jmreire


    And meanwhile, back home in Russia,,, the next battlefield?





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    For some reason I expect them to rock up to the UN demanding food aid,



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,246 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Over the past number of weeks I've seen that poster link loads of Ukraine-positive stories/ tweets/ updates etc. with some of his own commentary. I don't recall anyone pulling him up on those, suggesting that they were his claims (as opposed to just repeating what was in the tweet/ link etc) and drilling down into the evidence, demanding sources etc.

    We keep getting the Ukrainian updates of destroyed enemy equipment, kills etc. I clearly remember almost every Western expert acknowledging earlier in the war that these were no doubt inflated, to be taken with a pinch of salt etc. (albeit, confirming that yes, the Russians were suffering very heavy losses). Nobody - literally nobody on here - takes issue with the continued posting of the Ukrainian updates as fact. Nobody says "you better have sources for those 976 kills yesterday".



This discussion has been closed.
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