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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭fartooreasonable


    There certainly seems to be a middle ground of reasonable profit for the landlord and guarantees of security and comfort for the tenant. The current system however is heavily skewed in one direction and from looking at the political opinions of the majority of the electorate if this cannot be rectified internally it will be a political issue. And from past experience when politics becomes involves there aren't many winners.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Yes it’s a regulated market and any investor investing is aware of this and the risks of further regulation coming into play….Its not a risk free investment if an investor is looking for risk free then buy government bonds and not property…But as you say they are looking for max returns and with that comes risk.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Rental is only one part of the housing market….if preferential treatment is given it is at the expense of others in the market. If I was a FTB I wouldn’t give a **** about landlords leaving I would be happy about more stock on the market and less buyers.

    As for LL I don’t know will it be as rosy a year or two down the road as housing bodies/government seem to be the only ones buying new apartments so in theory demand should fall (but probably won’t due to the endless population growth we are seeing).

    In my opinion we have moved from building large council estates due to issues in the past to large buildings of apartments that private buyers can’t afford so end up with majority of the apartments providing housing the same as if a new large council estate was built.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,330 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    There is no compensation for idiosyncratic risk in efficient markets. Not all of a landlord's risk will be idiosyncratic, but the majority of it will be



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Avg occupancy for a rental unit is much higher than equivalent unit if it were an owner occupier. The more landlords that sell to FTBs the total housing need actually increases.

    For the sake of those currently renting, we need more landlords not less. Landlord investment needs to be an attractive proposition or rental supply will never increase. This could be achieved by higher yields OR less risk (I.e. easier ability to evict non payers). Until this is rectified rents will only go up.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,337 ✭✭✭The Student


    It is not a balanced regulated market hence the exodus of small landlords.

    If you give control to a small number of suppliers they can control the market so keep pushing the small landlord out and see them being replaced with institutional landlords.

    If people think the market is dysfunctional now keep going the way we are and we ain't seen nothing yet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,277 ✭✭✭amacca




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    A few years ago the RTB were caught "massaging" the figures to show the results that they were required to show.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    I rented a room in the house of a friend. He decided he wanted to sell up last year as it wasnt working out for him. All of us except one couple understood and moved out so he could sell. That one couple have paid no rent since and he was telling me his solicitor thinks it will be at least a couple of years before he can sell it. He can expect no rent in that time either.

    People should be allowed to exit a bad investment instead of being forced into it becoming an albatross.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    Realistically what would happen if the opportunity presented itself if he gathered up all of their stuff and threw it out on the front lawn and got the locks changed.

    What could they do? Nothing



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,633 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Thats what I would have done, but I later found out that its not that easy. In fact its even worse then i ever imagined it could be to get someone out who didnt want to leave.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    I nearly take my chances especially if not in a city.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    As another poster said I'd take my chances. If they haven't paid rent in months then the judge isnt going to do anything for them.

    They themselves won't bring it to court either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    It would seem from all of the reports in the RTB that this could go very badly for the landlord.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    Might not see court for 6 months or more. Unless they are planning to camp out on the footpath in the meantime and play homeless nothing will come of it.

    That's how I'd look at it anyway. It's them that's in the wrong. Not to forget this



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    Tell him to threaten them with court for the rent they owe too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    TBH having thought long and hard about it over the last year, I have noone to blame but myself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Guilty as charged. I was warned by many trusted people close to me to buy a house from as far back as 2012 I actually could have got a mortgage. Rent was cheap then and i was winning by renting. Its only since covid that the market has out run me and i cant catch up now that i want to buy. But back then I had no interest in buying a house.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,021 ✭✭✭growleaves


    True. That seems to be deliberate.

    Institutional landlords can absorb a few bad tenants due to the scale of their operation. But they may have better screening processes for tenants also.

    However in the example given above by Vill05 of an LL who is highly leveraged but failed to lock down a lower interest rate within 3-4 years...any physical business like a barber or a restaurant is going to struggle if they don't own their own building. Any physical business that does own its own building is in a great position to succeed.

    This is not necessarily an institutional vs small question as such. A person with a mortgage is much more vulnerable than any entity/person who does not.

    Dudes who are over-leveraged and don't have the commitment to ride out periods of losses but demand to be in profit after debt payments to the bank. Is that a problem for the tax-payer?

    Corporate control of rental property will be bad though I agree.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,330 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Your ideas of the glory days ain't coming back lads

    Untitled Image


    Encouragement to illegally evict anyone from their home is terrible advice. Anyone who does it is likely to find themselves reinstating the tenants with hefty damages in tow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Not taking opportunities that were available is on your head, yes. The same is true for the mistakes that I've made regarding buying later than I should have. However, I heard similar things back in 2010 when I was using the economics board a lot. Many people would say things like "sure, we all went mad during the Celtic Tiger; we're all to blame." This has elements of truth to it, but it ignores a fundamental that is equally true; those who were given the power to govern fundamentally failed or abused their positions.

    To put it another way, I go away for a weekend and leave my house unlocked, it's on my head if the place is burgled. That, however, doesn't relieve the burglars of responsibility for the crime.

    Many people should have bought years ago, but they didn't for whatever reason. Now, many of them are priced out of owning a home, which will likely have enormous effects on their futures. Can one settle and raise a family with little security of accommodation? This also doesn't happen in a vacuum. Having people living with their parents in their 30s (and soon 40s) will be enormously deleterious to the future of Ireland herself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,330 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    So here is a question for you. Given that you were in a position to buy in 2012, but are finding it tough to do so 12 years later, what has happened in the intervening years to reduce your ability to buy the house? A series of demotions? Illness? Laziness?

    Because in a lot of your posts, you push back against the idea that any difficulties due to deficiencies in the market are to blame.

    Let's say you were 24 years old 12 year ago and you are struggling now at 36. Would you expect to be in a better position as a 36 year old today relative to a 24 year old today? If a 24 year old expressed the opinion today that it is more difficult for his cohort to get on the ladder compared to 12 years ago, would you dismiss him with "no it isn't, It's the same. Just give up the avocados"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    Tenants are not paying rent for some time.

    They have broken the rules of the agreement themselves .

    Maybe we need some more details from op as there might not even be a tenancy agreement in place. In that case they have no right



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    If they're renting for 6 months they get part 4 and tenancy agreement is not strictly necessary



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    Could do with a few more details from the poster. They hadn't paid rent since last year. Hard to say that qualifies as "renting".

    If it was renting a room in the house the landlord also lives in part 4 rights do not apply.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭fartooreasonable


    To draw on your last point there a lot of the talk of home ownership is personal finance and personal issues but in reality this is a societal issue. This has and will continue to affect brain drain, foreign investment, fertility rates and much much more for a long time which will affect even homeowners in the future as they need healthcare, external services etc.

    Additionally I don't think a (in retrospect) poor financial decision made 10 or 15 years ago should prevent homeownership for anyone for life. The market could just as easily have went negative or stayed depressed like in many other countries that still haven't recovered from the 2007 financial crisis. Moreso many people never had a choice due to their age at the time to take part in the excesses of the Celtic tiger, I personally was starting university and remember being advised to consider a job on a site by my father instead and thankfully turning that advice down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 630 ✭✭✭Ozvaldo


    Renting in Dublin for the last 2 years cannot afford to buy a house here so Im looking at going back to Cork City



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Poster has given details before and has said it was a house share, the OP moved out but the couple in question remained and then stopped paying - they almost definitely have a part 4 tenancy, and are not licensees.

    The landlord has no recourse other than the lengthy RTB adjudication followed by taking it to court, and only then getting forcible eviction by a sheriff.



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