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"average Dublin house prices should fall to ‘the €300,000 mark" according to Many Lou McD.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    What unit did you want her to use? Tulips? Sterling? Knee Cappings?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,390 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    You're right, what a sell out. She really should have said houses should fall to 27,595,800.00 Indian Rupees or 427,956,000.00 South Korean Won.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,291 ✭✭✭Sheep breeder


    Talking about trades, local tractor garage for years had 5 mechanics working full time and at present have only two and can’t get anybody to start apprenticeships, local plumber had 12 lads four years ago and today has only 7 lads working now with 3 lads from Poland gone home last spring after working for him for ten years and no young fella looking to start apprenticeships, best mate works on a groundwork crew on building sites crying out for lads with two diggers and three tipper lorry’s parked up in the yard due to no drivers. No young fella is doing any sort of apprenticeships and result in lack of trades men to keep the housing market going and your complaining about gouging.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    You've taken me up wrong.

    I'm not complaining about tradesmen gouging.

    It's mostly the middlemen who are causing the problems from what I can see.

    I think tradesmen's rates should be better and they should have better job security.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,723 ✭✭✭Finty Lemon



    Don't know about that. I finished a new build last year (Tipp area) with direct labour, and the cost was €3100 per square m before site works, landscaping, design costs and levies. That was after pushing hard on quotes for every job. You don't need middlemen to drive costs up.

    Putting all overheads in came to another €300 sq m , good job the site came cheap at €400 per square m equivalent.

    That's €3800 per square m as a conservative cost to finish. Land costs in Dublin will obviously be double or more so you might still be talking 475 for a Dublin 3 bed semi minimum.

    It's a long way back to 300k unless people give up the semi-D idea and go 100% apartments



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,772 ✭✭✭✭maccored


    ye's are some laugh. A party wants to reduce the cost of living and theres a threadful of people whinging about it



  • Posts: 14,708 [Deleted User]


    Give us your insight on how SF will reduce the average cost of a house in Dublin to €300k.

    I promise I won’t laugh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    Yet you don't post in any of the self build or construction forums?

    Plenty of anti SF comments though I see.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    From what I've heard, mechanics are one of the worst paid, if not the worst, trades. Open to correction on that.

    Not that you'd know from the invoices that come in. You are probably getting invoiced 4x per hour for labour what the mechanic is getting per hour.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,291 ✭✭✭Sheep breeder


    Sorry didn’t take you up wrong your whining about middlemen and gouging and tradesmen, I pointed out there is a shortage of people going into trades at present, finty lemon has explained what he done and you comeback with plenty of anti SF comments, Mary Lou has said she will build 300k houses with out explaining how will this be done, question what is the price of concrete at present compared to 4 years ago, what is the cost to haul subsoil from a site in Dublin to Meath or Wexford for landfill, etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 239 ✭✭tikka16751


    It was Palestine today with Mary Louise. Guess it’s Ukraine tomorrow



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,723 ✭✭✭Finty Lemon


    Since when do you have to be posting on a self build forum to prove you've been building a house?

    Those figures are accurate. The RIAI have a guideline of 2800 to 3500 per sq m depending on level of finish so mine are not a mile off.

    You will do well to bring a standard 110m2 house to turn-key finish for 290 to 320k in Dublin depending on spec. Put site and administration on top of that. That's the reality.

    The era of 3 bed semi in Dublin is over.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,291 ✭✭✭Sheep breeder


    Have two friends that are mechanics, one on lorries and one on tractors and bought are very well paid and a van from the job, they will tell you new stuff is very easy to work on with the diagnostic systems available today and most are serviced under warranty. Both work at home at nighttime in their own garage and always have awaiting list to fix,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,723 ✭✭✭Finty Lemon


    I was direct build, not self-build. There is a difference.

    For a good quality finish you are looking at 2800 to 3000per sq m, including kitchen, flooring, paint finish, stairs, bathrooms and fixed furnishings. That is the reality.We won some and lost some e.g. kitchen was way over budget but floors and tiling came in well.

    You'd think, as many people do that the builders finish was near the end of the cost. But can easily go 600 per sq m from that point on a new build which would be 65k on a new standard semi.

    It would be worth doing a BoQ for the craic. Talk to some people who.have built their own house recently by DL or contract. Cost overruns v original budgets are the norm.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,154 ✭✭✭Bogwoppit


    I built in 2018 at a cost of €2000/sqm, I did a calculation of costs again a few months ago for the house insurance, €2800.

    This is outside Dublin and doesn’t include site cost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,504 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    The point of this thread is that there are lots of things SF “want” to do, but they don’t have the first clue how to do it, nor any understanding of the implications



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    What does that include? Some of those calculators take into account knocking and disposing of the original structure in their rebuild costs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,154 ✭✭✭Bogwoppit


    No, this is my own calculation just for a rebuild of the existing. Does not take into account demolition.

    It’s not a full calculation down to the fine detail but it’s pretty accurate i think.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 185 ✭✭drop table Users


    They haven’t outlined how they are planning to do so, and if we go by their past rhetoric it’s possibly nothing that would benefit the majority of the population for whom housing is not an issue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    I'm saying self-build because often people talk about direct build when they go to one builder who subcontracts the work. Either term can be misleading.

    Yours was a straightforward build? Simple structure? All off the shelf components?

    Often when I hear people talking about high self or direct build costs it turns out they've all sorts of luxury features. Bespoke architecture, alu-clad, smart homes etc.

    Did you work out how much your tradesmen were earning per day?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    Who are these people for whom housing isn't an issue?

    It's an issue for me, even though I've bought my own house because I'd like to think my kids might be able to too someday.

    Given that we've an increasing population, heavily affected by inward migration, I'd like to also think we could attract doctors, nurses, teachers, researchers etc.

    At the moment these people generally can't afford to come here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 185 ✭✭drop table Users


    I agree with you however SF haven’t outlined how they will achieve this goal



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,027 ✭✭✭PeadarCo


    Why? ignoring the whole debate around if 300k is even possible Irish homeowners hold massive political power. Telling these people that there main assets is going to be worth less and worse than that the plan is going to put some of them into negative equity is never going to be well received.

    SF like every other party support NIMBYs who don't want houses built of a whole host of reasons. A lot of these NIMBY objections can be boiled down to the new housing will negatively impact the value of their home.

    Everyone wants affordable housing provided it doesn't impact negatively the value of their home. There is an obvious contradiction there.

    The blowback is to be expected. However most older voters/homeowners won't be voting for them anyway I'd guess. Where SF might lose votes is from younger voters who only bought in the last few years. These are the voters who would be most impacted by SF proposal.

    Mary Lou and SF mistake was to put a number down as it exposes the contradiction/differing interests voters have. 99% of the time the contradiction is ignored or glossed over by most politicians and commentators.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,263 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    I am looking at the SCSI data on building costs in the GDA, and the proposal from Eoin O'Broin of SF.

    The total costs in 2023 in the GDA are 461k, which includes:

    land costs = 69,962

    finance costs = 22,874

    profit margin = 53,864

    sales and marketing = 9,000

    The SF plan seems to eliminate the four costs listed above.

    The SF plan proposes to build house on State lands, but keep the lands in State ownership, so the buyer buys the house, but not the land underneath

    (will a bank give a mortgage if selling the house is restricted?)

    Under the SF plan, the cost in the GDA falls to 257,259 plus VAT, or 292k in total.


    I am not a fan of SF, but I welcome any efforts or proposals to reduce the costs of building houses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,263 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Here is the SCSI data for the GDA:

    image.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,263 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    I think I can see one problem with the SF calculations.

    They eliminate the profit margin of 53,864 per house, as they intend to remove the property developer, and build houses on already-owned State lands.

    Okay, but what about the profit for the building contractor that they intend to hire?

    Maybe that is included in the 179,022 house build cost?

    If not, then it will have to be added in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,662 ✭✭✭KaneToad




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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Don't forget that the state-owned land is not developed someone has to pay for the development of the land it's not 'free' just because the cost would be absorbed by the general taxpayer or somehow absorbed by the council the land is in.



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