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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Only a few Abrams tanks are arriving this month,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    I think the point is NATO is the USA. Your point is correct though the Europeans should be contributing more or at least buying this vast stock the US has.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,023 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Shell munition supply to Ukraine is growing exponentially, Sweden will be jointly producing IFVs with Ukraine, Rheinmetall is setting up a complex in Ukraine. Military spending across Europe is rising dramatically. It's not just all about existing stock.

    Ukraine doesn't have to "defeat" Russia, it just has to aid the Russian invasion force in defeating itself, through attrition. Not a simple task but not entirely impossible either. The signs are growing - Ru military having to field prisoners, use ageing equipment, rely on Iranian drones, using vehicle borne IEDs and asking the North Koreans for ammunition. Russia still has quantity, and production ability, and poor 50 yr untrained men who will sit in trenches for low pay - but I wonder how long for. There's a clock running for Russia also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Rheinmetall is setting up a complex in Ukraine announced during the summer it's mainly going to be repairing vehicles donated by Germany but it's being funded by several other nations,so it's cheaper and easier then sending them back to Germany which could take months to turn around,it makes sense setting up in Ukraine, there's only a handful of companies who make artillery shells in Europe and the US and it will be something like 2028 before they reach the capacity needed that's another 4 years down the road ,the same with deal to produce the 1500 +cv90s it's taken 30 years to Produce that many so we won't be seeing 1500+ cv90s built in Ukraine fighting in Ukraine in the short to medium term at all ,

    Both sides are being grinded down Ukraine themselves have had to lower their requirements for military conscription to include people suffering from medical and mental health problems as long as they believe it's curable, and recently talks of seeking extradition of individuals they believe have dodged conscription by fleeing to EU states.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    F35 arrives in Finland

    85D192F2-A9FA-47EC-BB4A-27DACAC41FDE.jpeg




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    Does the west have the will is the real question. Without that it certainly won't produce/release the equipment.

    Up until now the answer is a 100% no.

    Amnesty International’s new investigation shows that Israel imposes a system of oppression and domination against Palestinians across all areas under its control: in Israel and the OPT, and against Palestinian refugees, in order to benefit Jewish Israelis. This amounts to apartheid as prohibited in international law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,734 ✭✭✭20silkcut



    In my opinion the poor performance of the Russian army in Ukraine has actually lowered the level of urgency to ramp up defence spending in western countries particularly on the western side of Europe. If the Russians were rampaging through western Ukraine and approaching the borders of Romania and Moldova etc the level of urgency would be many times different. The static front lines and pathetic offensive ability of the Russian army is paradoxically working in their favour as regards many people and countries seeing them as an existential threat, which they still very much are. And their more hybrid operations are yielding far better results than their military ones. And very few people can see that or make the connections which makes it a very dangerous situation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,758 ✭✭✭weisses


    If the West starts sending the proper weapons and systems this will be over soon enough. It is letting Ukraine fight with one hand tied behind their back. The US is happy enough with this. It is witnessing the collapse of the Russian army without loosing a single man.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,013 ✭✭✭Sunny Disposition


    I think our own Government should be pressured into giving funding for weapons to the Ukraine. It’s an embarrassment that we don’t.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,822 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    It does seem to be strategy to drag the war out …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    Absolutely. Especially cruel on Ukraine unfortunately.

    Amnesty International’s new investigation shows that Israel imposes a system of oppression and domination against Palestinians across all areas under its control: in Israel and the OPT, and against Palestinian refugees, in order to benefit Jewish Israelis. This amounts to apartheid as prohibited in international law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,037 ✭✭✭thomil


    I think you're confusing lethargy and strategy here...

    Only halfway joking, it seems to me that even some of the more hawkish countries out there are unwilling to part with their pre-war approach to international crises, that is, taking things slow and deliberately with the least possible impact on their nation's populace.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    On defence spending the 4 biggest spenders in Europe last and this year is Germany, France,UK and Ukraine



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,556 ✭✭✭Widdensushi




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,949 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Some of their actions would certainly seem in line with this theory. Wear down the Russian military but not fast enough for them to call it quits.

    Send tanks and other armoured vehicles but in the double digits.

    As regards the Poles, the seem to be continuing to supply Krab Howitzers and Wolverine IFVs. Which are at least partially funded by the EU & the US.

    So imagine some of the "noise" lately is just electioneering season.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Being since the start actually going back to 2014 i was saying it ,if they don't get the equipment they won't defeat Russia,the US and others are happy to sit and watch the Russians get grinded down to nothing, but at the same time Ukrainians are getting ground down ,this war could have been over in a few months if the US and NATO decided to back Ukraine properly, but they aren't and zelensky trying to call countries for apparently not doing enough isn't going to end well ,if it wasn't for NATO and the EU he and his family would either be dead or in a Russian prison on some rediculous charges for crimes against Russia,

    Ukraines defence budget is 44 Billion on top of the nearly 100 billion that's been donated by NATO and the EU



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,648 ✭✭✭Dubh Geannain




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,949 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Think the future donations might be more consumables rather than vehicles. 155mm shells, Warsaw pact calibre ammunition from countries like Pakistan and air defense munitions. Imagine the Russians will conduct a campaign similar to the previous one targeting energy infrastructure.


    The jets are one area where to expect significant deliveries. Something like the SAAB Grippen would be excellent for Ukraine. As you mentioned supplies are limited, hence the F16.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,622 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    It could be the Americans think a slow bleed of Russia is preferable to a swift and total defeat and the resultant chaos that might ensue from that..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    This is what I've been saying for a while,there is no big stocks of exsoviet equipment anywhere is Europe now , which means going further afield like you said , nobody in Europe is building new tanks and vehicles to be donated to Ukraine, go back through this thread and you'll see said give them cv90s ifv ,give them archers and gripens before most people even knew what they actually were, the Archer artillery system is brilliant but only 17 of them exist, which ukraine got some of already,

    But the idea of zelensky calling out countries for not doing enough or claiming that countries support Russia is not a great look, he shouldn't be calling out countries while demanding countries Donate tanks , aircraft and weapons,at some point he's going to end up being told yes you can have new tanks when you buy them from countries rather than having a wish list that can only be donated



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,574 ✭✭✭rogber


    Agree completely and Zelensky said as much this week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,574 ✭✭✭rogber


    I agree. The US has done a lot already and the EU can't have it both ways: on the one hand it wants to be a major world player, on the other hand it wants US to be the saviour when there's war on the European continent.

    There are definite cracks forming in the alliance and all it does is encourage Putin to hang in there. The European countries must provide more and better military aid but I really don't see where the decisive contribution is going to come from.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,013 ✭✭✭Sunny Disposition


    We criticise the US and other larger countries, but if we do feel strongly about it, a better use of energy is to write to your TD and MEP and tell them you want to see Ireland and the EU provide as much military support as is possible.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    They aren't listening to him any more. Yes you'll get the odd arms announcement but the overall goal is to slowly demolish the Russian army and indeed Russia itself. The west could care less if over a million Ukrainians die in a 5-10 year war if it achieves that goal. If they wanted Ukraine to win rapidly it would have happened last year. Don't get me wrong, this whole sorry situation is Putin's doing but don't mistake the fact that the US in particular see this as an opportunity not to be missed.

    Amnesty International’s new investigation shows that Israel imposes a system of oppression and domination against Palestinians across all areas under its control: in Israel and the OPT, and against Palestinian refugees, in order to benefit Jewish Israelis. This amounts to apartheid as prohibited in international law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    Our response here has been particularly pathetic tbh. The "wE aRe neEutrAl" standard response from our government is criminal. We are the ultimate sit on the fence nation.

    Amnesty International’s new investigation shows that Israel imposes a system of oppression and domination against Palestinians across all areas under its control: in Israel and the OPT, and against Palestinian refugees, in order to benefit Jewish Israelis. This amounts to apartheid as prohibited in international law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,822 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,574 ✭✭✭rogber


    There's definitely an argument to be made for that yes, even though a now-banned poster always claimed that was "Russian propaganda". But it often seems the US in particular favours a long war that greatly weakens Russia and stops it stirring sh*t elsewhere, over a total defeat of Putin that could to very unpredictable consequences.

    In a way, I understand that from a US perspective. But it means more and prolonged suffering for Ukraine.

    I've always said I think the only hope for a truly positive end to the war is regime change from within Russia. But where that will come from is also unclear.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,871 ✭✭✭yagan


    What both the EU and the USAs next question is who manages a collapsed and shattered Russia after Putin?

    I can see from the USA perspective that they'd be thinking "hey Europe, that's your backyard, deal with it".

    The EU perspective is there isn't the domestic political will within the EU to provide for a Marshall Plan type rehabilitation of Russia, although from a resources perspective that reconstruction would quickly pay for itself.



This discussion has been closed.
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